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OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
GOOD CORRELATION BETWEEN
VACCINE MATCH IN POTENCY
TESTS AND r1-VALUE
A. Dekker, A.B. Ludi
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Objective
• How should we interpret r1-values
• Is the current traffic light reporting adequate?
• No we should take vaccine quality into account
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Duque, H., Naranjo, J., Carrillo, C., Burbano, A., Vargas, J., Pauszek, L., Olesen, I., Sanchez-
Vazquez, M. J., Cosivi, O., Allende, R. M. 2016. Protection induced by a commercial
bivalent vaccine against Foot-and-Mouth Disease 2010 field virus from Ecuador. Vaccine
34(35); 4140-4144.
South-America
• Old vaccine strains
• O1 Campos Br/58
• A24 Cruzeiro Br/55
• Cross-protection against newly evolved isolates
• Cross-protection against strains from another
continent
Galdo Novo, S., Malirat, V., Maradei, E. D., Pedemonte, A. R., Espinoza, A. M., Smitsaart, E.,
Lee, K. N., Park, J. H., Bergmann, I. E. 2018. Efficacy of a high quality O1/Campos foot-
and-mouth disease vaccine upon challenge with a heterologous Korean O Mya98
lineage virus in pigs. Vaccine 36(12); 1570-1576.
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
2 PD50
8 PD50
Type A good protection even with low r1-value
r1 = 0.09 r1 = 0.04
r1 = 0.1 r1 = 0.23
r1 = 0.12r1 = 0.1
14 PD50
>32 PD50
>32 PD50
>32 PD50
14 PD50
19 PD50
11 PD50
4 PD506 PD503 PD50
11 PD50
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Cross-protection
• Good vaccine should provide
cross-protection
• Test for cross-protection
• Potency test with homologous
challenge (serology?)
• Potency test with heterologous
challenge
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Material and methods
• Literature search on quantitative cross-protection
studies
• Calculate potency ratio
Heterologous potency
• Potency ratio = -------------------------------
Homologous potency
• Average and 95% CI of the r1-values from same
topotype (TPI)
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Results
• Scopus search resulted in 53 papers of which 5
were valid
• 3 additional studies found
• Several experiments with homologous potency
>32 PD50/dose
• One study reported the antigen amount needed for
1 PD50, not the volume (excluded from the
regression)
• Not all combinations of vaccine and field strain
tested at TPI
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7
0.00.20.40.60.8
r1-value
potencytestratio
X
Good relation potency ratio r1-value
• p = 0.01
• Slope 0.9
• R-squared = 0.43
• High leverage
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Serotype species Vaccine strain Challenge strain Potency ratio r1-value
A Pig A/WH/CHA/09 A/GDMM/CHA/2013 0.8 0.68 NA NA
O Cattle O Manisa O Campos 0.04 0.63
A Cattle A22 IRQ A Iran 96 <0.19 0.09 0.06 0.15
A Cattle A22 IRQ A Egypt 06 <0.34 0.17 0.04 0.70
A Cattle A22 IRQ A Iran 99 <0.12 0.13 NA NA
A Cattle A22 IRQ A24 Cruziero <0.08 0.004 0.000 0.043
A Cattle A Iran 99 A22 IRQ <0.44 0.1 NA NA
A Cattle A Iran 99 A Iran 96 <0.57 0.16 NA NA
A Cattle A Iran 96 A22 IRQ <0.06 0.1 NA NA
A Cattle A Iran 96 A22 IRQ <0.25 0.1 NA NA
A Cattle A Iran 96 A Iran 99 <0.34 0.12 NA NA
O Cattle O Manisa O/ALG/3/2014 0.2 0.28 0.09 0.87
A Cattle A MAY/97 A IRN 22/2015 ND 0.19 0.12 0.30
SAT2 Cattle SAT2 SAU/00 SAT2 BOT 0.01 ND NA NA
SAT2 Cattle SAT2 SAU/00 SAT2 LIB/40/2012 0.11 0.22 NA NA
95% CI
More studies are needed
Include strains with r1-value = 1?
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Consequences
• 3 PD50/dose against the outbreak strain is sufficient
• If r1-value is 0.1  potency ratio is 0.22
• Vaccine should have a homologous potency of:
> 14 PD50/dose
OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY
Conclusion
• r1-values correlate with protection
• Can we reduce variation in r1-value?
• Advise on vaccine strain should take vaccine quality
into account

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Good correlation between vaccine match in potency tests and r1-Value (A. Dekker)

  • 1. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY GOOD CORRELATION BETWEEN VACCINE MATCH IN POTENCY TESTS AND r1-VALUE A. Dekker, A.B. Ludi
  • 2. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Objective • How should we interpret r1-values • Is the current traffic light reporting adequate? • No we should take vaccine quality into account
  • 3. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Duque, H., Naranjo, J., Carrillo, C., Burbano, A., Vargas, J., Pauszek, L., Olesen, I., Sanchez- Vazquez, M. J., Cosivi, O., Allende, R. M. 2016. Protection induced by a commercial bivalent vaccine against Foot-and-Mouth Disease 2010 field virus from Ecuador. Vaccine 34(35); 4140-4144. South-America • Old vaccine strains • O1 Campos Br/58 • A24 Cruzeiro Br/55 • Cross-protection against newly evolved isolates • Cross-protection against strains from another continent Galdo Novo, S., Malirat, V., Maradei, E. D., Pedemonte, A. R., Espinoza, A. M., Smitsaart, E., Lee, K. N., Park, J. H., Bergmann, I. E. 2018. Efficacy of a high quality O1/Campos foot- and-mouth disease vaccine upon challenge with a heterologous Korean O Mya98 lineage virus in pigs. Vaccine 36(12); 1570-1576.
  • 4. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY 2 PD50 8 PD50 Type A good protection even with low r1-value r1 = 0.09 r1 = 0.04 r1 = 0.1 r1 = 0.23 r1 = 0.12r1 = 0.1 14 PD50 >32 PD50 >32 PD50 >32 PD50 14 PD50 19 PD50 11 PD50 4 PD506 PD503 PD50 11 PD50
  • 5. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Cross-protection • Good vaccine should provide cross-protection • Test for cross-protection • Potency test with homologous challenge (serology?) • Potency test with heterologous challenge
  • 6. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Material and methods • Literature search on quantitative cross-protection studies • Calculate potency ratio Heterologous potency • Potency ratio = ------------------------------- Homologous potency • Average and 95% CI of the r1-values from same topotype (TPI)
  • 7. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Results • Scopus search resulted in 53 papers of which 5 were valid • 3 additional studies found • Several experiments with homologous potency >32 PD50/dose • One study reported the antigen amount needed for 1 PD50, not the volume (excluded from the regression) • Not all combinations of vaccine and field strain tested at TPI
  • 8. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.00.20.40.60.8 r1-value potencytestratio X Good relation potency ratio r1-value • p = 0.01 • Slope 0.9 • R-squared = 0.43 • High leverage
  • 9. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Serotype species Vaccine strain Challenge strain Potency ratio r1-value A Pig A/WH/CHA/09 A/GDMM/CHA/2013 0.8 0.68 NA NA O Cattle O Manisa O Campos 0.04 0.63 A Cattle A22 IRQ A Iran 96 <0.19 0.09 0.06 0.15 A Cattle A22 IRQ A Egypt 06 <0.34 0.17 0.04 0.70 A Cattle A22 IRQ A Iran 99 <0.12 0.13 NA NA A Cattle A22 IRQ A24 Cruziero <0.08 0.004 0.000 0.043 A Cattle A Iran 99 A22 IRQ <0.44 0.1 NA NA A Cattle A Iran 99 A Iran 96 <0.57 0.16 NA NA A Cattle A Iran 96 A22 IRQ <0.06 0.1 NA NA A Cattle A Iran 96 A22 IRQ <0.25 0.1 NA NA A Cattle A Iran 96 A Iran 99 <0.34 0.12 NA NA O Cattle O Manisa O/ALG/3/2014 0.2 0.28 0.09 0.87 A Cattle A MAY/97 A IRN 22/2015 ND 0.19 0.12 0.30 SAT2 Cattle SAT2 SAU/00 SAT2 BOT 0.01 ND NA NA SAT2 Cattle SAT2 SAU/00 SAT2 LIB/40/2012 0.11 0.22 NA NA 95% CI More studies are needed Include strains with r1-value = 1?
  • 10. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Consequences • 3 PD50/dose against the outbreak strain is sufficient • If r1-value is 0.1  potency ratio is 0.22 • Vaccine should have a homologous potency of: > 14 PD50/dose
  • 11. OS18 GLOBAL VACCINE SECURITY Conclusion • r1-values correlate with protection • Can we reduce variation in r1-value? • Advise on vaccine strain should take vaccine quality into account