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1 of 10
1
Facebook Financial Institutions
Norman Niemer
 Used Facebook Graph API for effectiveness metrics on fans and posts
 Top 10 US financials, 200 recent posts = 2000 data points. Another 1,200 for Citibank global
 Stack: Preprocessing Python + Graph API, Storage SQL, Processing R, Excel
 Ran a number of experiments:
 #1: Potential for financial institutions to interact with customers. Only 3% penetration
 #2: Potential for Facebook to gain share of $17bn buget. Only 3% penetration?
 #3: A global opportunity. Citibank’s emerging market communities
 #4: Who runs the most effective pages? MetLife and B of A. Laggards need to catch up
 #5: When to post? Mondays are best, as are afternoon and evening hours
 Additional experiments TBD:
 Outliers analysis – what defines the viral post?
 Weekly reports for clients – what’s on consumers mind?
 Solution selling: build relationships with financial institutions by providing advice and solutions
 Help them run an effective social media strategy
 Norman Niemer: 8 years experience in quantitative data analysis at financial institutions
 Entrepreneurial: drove improvements at both small and large companies
 Tech affinity: founded tech company in high-school, running SaaS startup now
2
Experiment #1: Potential for Financial
Institutions to Interact with Customers
 Significant potential for financial institutions to interact with Facebook users
 Chase, Blackrock do not even have a page
494.3
12.6
-
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
Top 10 Financial Institutions
# of Customersvs # of Facebook Likes
(Top10 US Financial Insitutions)
# Customers (MM) # Likes(MM)
Only 3%
penetration
Top 10 US Financial Institutions include: Amex, Capital One, MetLife, Wells Fargo, B of A,
Citibank US, Fidelity, U.S. Bank, Schwab, PNC Bank, Travelers Insurance
3
Experiment #2: Potential for Facebook to Gain
Wallet Share
 If user penetration = wallet share penetration, significant potential for Facebook to gain share
within large marketing budgets
 Top 10 US Financial Institutions command $17bn marketing budget
16.8
0.4
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
Marketing Spend vs Facebook US FS Sales
(Top10 US Financial Insitutions)
Marketing Spend ($bn) Facebook US FS Sales ($bn)
Only 3%
penetration?
4
Experiment #3: A Global Opportunity
 Citibank has a very vibrant emerging market online community
 Share rates in Singapore significantly higher than in the US (see appendix)
5
Experiment #4: Who runs an effective Facebook
Page?
 # shares the highest form of user engagement
 Travelers off the chart due to agents
 B of A and MetLife register high number of shares, likely shares related to sports events
 Capital One to catch up with Amex, Charles Schwab with Fidelity
6
Experiment #5: When to post?
 # shares the highest on Mondays
 Evening and lunch as well as afternoon hours see highest shares
 Companies avoid posting in the morning already
7
“A Tale of Two Cities”
 Users post both positive and negative comments
 Resources have to be set aside to handle feedback
8
Solution Selling to Financial Institutions
 Low Facebook penetration provides both challenges and opportunities
 Challenges financial services customers are facing:
 Regulatory concerns – some institutions seems to have solved them
 Process for providing customer service via Facebook – see previous slide
 New medium, still trying to figure out how to use it
 Solutions:
 Help them run an effective social media strategy
– Not just ads but integrate with their marketing campaign
 Help them understand their customers
– Provide regular analytics e.g. sentiment analysis and what’s trending with customers
 Provide regular analytics on Facebook campaigns and discuss with clients
 Tailor to sub-industry, i.e. banks vs asset managers vs brokers
9
Appendix: Significance Test for Sharing
Engagement Across Citibank Country Pages
 Test if post sharing in emerging economies differs from US
 Result: share rates in Singapore is significantly different but not in other countries
 Tests conducted: F-test for combined means and t-test for pairwise means
 Challenge: highly non-normal distribution with many values concentrated around zero
Comparison of % Shares in Different Countries
(Bonferroni Test)
India Malaysia Philippines Singapore
Malaysia (0.21)
1.00
Philippines (0.05) 0.16
1.00 1.00
Singapore 1.47 1.68 1.52
0.00 - 0.00
US (0.06) 0.15 (0.00) (1.53)
1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00
9
Appendix: Significance Test for Sharing
Engagement Across Citibank Country Pages
 Test if post sharing in emerging economies differs from US
 Result: share rates in Singapore is significantly different but not in other countries
 Tests conducted: F-test for combined means and t-test for pairwise means
 Challenge: highly non-normal distribution with many values concentrated around zero
Comparison of % Shares in Different Countries
(Bonferroni Test)
India Malaysia Philippines Singapore
Malaysia (0.21)
1.00
Philippines (0.05) 0.16
1.00 1.00
Singapore 1.47 1.68 1.52
0.00 - 0.00
US (0.06) 0.15 (0.00) (1.53)
1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00

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Fb financial services

  • 1. 1 Facebook Financial Institutions Norman Niemer  Used Facebook Graph API for effectiveness metrics on fans and posts  Top 10 US financials, 200 recent posts = 2000 data points. Another 1,200 for Citibank global  Stack: Preprocessing Python + Graph API, Storage SQL, Processing R, Excel  Ran a number of experiments:  #1: Potential for financial institutions to interact with customers. Only 3% penetration  #2: Potential for Facebook to gain share of $17bn buget. Only 3% penetration?  #3: A global opportunity. Citibank’s emerging market communities  #4: Who runs the most effective pages? MetLife and B of A. Laggards need to catch up  #5: When to post? Mondays are best, as are afternoon and evening hours  Additional experiments TBD:  Outliers analysis – what defines the viral post?  Weekly reports for clients – what’s on consumers mind?  Solution selling: build relationships with financial institutions by providing advice and solutions  Help them run an effective social media strategy  Norman Niemer: 8 years experience in quantitative data analysis at financial institutions  Entrepreneurial: drove improvements at both small and large companies  Tech affinity: founded tech company in high-school, running SaaS startup now
  • 2. 2 Experiment #1: Potential for Financial Institutions to Interact with Customers  Significant potential for financial institutions to interact with Facebook users  Chase, Blackrock do not even have a page 494.3 12.6 - 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 Top 10 Financial Institutions # of Customersvs # of Facebook Likes (Top10 US Financial Insitutions) # Customers (MM) # Likes(MM) Only 3% penetration Top 10 US Financial Institutions include: Amex, Capital One, MetLife, Wells Fargo, B of A, Citibank US, Fidelity, U.S. Bank, Schwab, PNC Bank, Travelers Insurance
  • 3. 3 Experiment #2: Potential for Facebook to Gain Wallet Share  If user penetration = wallet share penetration, significant potential for Facebook to gain share within large marketing budgets  Top 10 US Financial Institutions command $17bn marketing budget 16.8 0.4 - 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 Marketing Spend vs Facebook US FS Sales (Top10 US Financial Insitutions) Marketing Spend ($bn) Facebook US FS Sales ($bn) Only 3% penetration?
  • 4. 4 Experiment #3: A Global Opportunity  Citibank has a very vibrant emerging market online community  Share rates in Singapore significantly higher than in the US (see appendix)
  • 5. 5 Experiment #4: Who runs an effective Facebook Page?  # shares the highest form of user engagement  Travelers off the chart due to agents  B of A and MetLife register high number of shares, likely shares related to sports events  Capital One to catch up with Amex, Charles Schwab with Fidelity
  • 6. 6 Experiment #5: When to post?  # shares the highest on Mondays  Evening and lunch as well as afternoon hours see highest shares  Companies avoid posting in the morning already
  • 7. 7 “A Tale of Two Cities”  Users post both positive and negative comments  Resources have to be set aside to handle feedback
  • 8. 8 Solution Selling to Financial Institutions  Low Facebook penetration provides both challenges and opportunities  Challenges financial services customers are facing:  Regulatory concerns – some institutions seems to have solved them  Process for providing customer service via Facebook – see previous slide  New medium, still trying to figure out how to use it  Solutions:  Help them run an effective social media strategy – Not just ads but integrate with their marketing campaign  Help them understand their customers – Provide regular analytics e.g. sentiment analysis and what’s trending with customers  Provide regular analytics on Facebook campaigns and discuss with clients  Tailor to sub-industry, i.e. banks vs asset managers vs brokers
  • 9. 9 Appendix: Significance Test for Sharing Engagement Across Citibank Country Pages  Test if post sharing in emerging economies differs from US  Result: share rates in Singapore is significantly different but not in other countries  Tests conducted: F-test for combined means and t-test for pairwise means  Challenge: highly non-normal distribution with many values concentrated around zero Comparison of % Shares in Different Countries (Bonferroni Test) India Malaysia Philippines Singapore Malaysia (0.21) 1.00 Philippines (0.05) 0.16 1.00 1.00 Singapore 1.47 1.68 1.52 0.00 - 0.00 US (0.06) 0.15 (0.00) (1.53) 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00
  • 10. 9 Appendix: Significance Test for Sharing Engagement Across Citibank Country Pages  Test if post sharing in emerging economies differs from US  Result: share rates in Singapore is significantly different but not in other countries  Tests conducted: F-test for combined means and t-test for pairwise means  Challenge: highly non-normal distribution with many values concentrated around zero Comparison of % Shares in Different Countries (Bonferroni Test) India Malaysia Philippines Singapore Malaysia (0.21) 1.00 Philippines (0.05) 0.16 1.00 1.00 Singapore 1.47 1.68 1.52 0.00 - 0.00 US (0.06) 0.15 (0.00) (1.53) 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00

Editor's Notes

  1. Dont go through slide by slide – give them printout after presentation! (only show market size slides)