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BlueBRIDGE receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 675680 www.bluebridge-vres.eu
Gerasimos Antzoulatos, i2S (gantzoulatos@i2s.gr)
Charalampos Dimitrakopoulos, CITE (bdimitrako@cite.gr)
Eleni Petra, UOA (petrael@athena-innovation.gr)
Stella Tsani, ICRE8 (stellatsani@gmail.com)
2nd International Congress on Applied
Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment
"HydroMediT 2016"
10-12 Nov. 2016
Mesolonghi, Greece
BLUEBRIDGE: CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE
SERVING AQUAFARMS
Strategic Investment Analysis and Scientific
Planning/Alerting VRE
2
Charalampos Dimitrakopoulos, CITE (bdimitrako@cite.gr)
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Dr Stella Tsani, ICRE8 (stellatsani@gmail.com)
Cost-driven techno-economic
evaluation: key concepts
3
• Aquafarm Type
• Production Schedule
• Cost Breakdown
• Sales Estimation
• Revenue Calculation
• Economics
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
The Model
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016 4
Aqua farm
Definition
Species
Cages
Nets
Anchors
Off-Shore
Techno Economic
Model
Technology
Definition
End of Life
Shop. List
Indicators
IRR
NPV
YNPMEBIAT EBITDA
Economics
Definition
Product Mix
Price
Cost
Breakdown
Socio
Environmental
Impact
Aquafarm definition
5
• Time to Species Maturity
 Defines the first selling point in time for each generation
• Cages, Nets, Anchors Systems
 Architecture of the aqua farm bulk definition
• Off-shore Location (Y/N)
 Auto-feeding machine required on off-shore location
• Species Definition
 Fry need, Feed requirement
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Operation Administration &
Misc. Expenses
6
• Aqua Farm License Cost
• General Industrial Expenses
 Labour, Maintenance, Fuel, Energy, etc.
• Packaging Cost
 Cost of packaging per fish
• Socio-Economic Impact
 Translated in production cost’s terms
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Shopping List Estimation
7
• End of Life (EoL)
 Estimated useful life of equipment
• Item Cost
 Estimated 10-year item cost
• Shopping Cost
 Estimated 10-year shopping cost cashflows (w/ depreciated values)
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Sales & Revenues
8
• Product Mix Definition
 Each species (%) over aqua farm’s total capacity
• Products’ Selling Prices
 10-year estimation of each species selling prices
• Revenue Calculation
 10-year revenues combining the estimated cashflows
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
KPIs & Financial Metrics
9
• Net Present Value (NPV)
 The difference between the present value of cash inflows and the
present value of cash outflows (socio-environmental enhanced formula)
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
 Solving the equation NPV = 0 for r
• Yearly Net Profit Margin
 Measures the impact to the price for every additional 1€ invested
• Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation
Amortization
 A financial performance indicator that eliminates the effects of financing
and accounting decisions
• Earnings before Interest After Taxes
 Indicator of a company's operating performance
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
A preview of the VRE tools
1011/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Introduction of socio-environmental
impact in cost-driven production
models
• Aim
Conceptualize and monetize the social and environmental
impact of aquaculture
Combine social and environmental impact with specific
techno-economic and production models of blue economy
Consider data and computational resources at reach
Distinguish between private and social costs and benefits
and incorporate social costs and benefits in private
functions
1111/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Introduction of socio-environmental impact in
cost-driven production models
• Core idea: Introduce socio-environmental costs and benefits in the Net Present Value (NPV)
function employed by cost-driven production models
• Specification of the augmented NPV function:
where:
• NPV: Net present value
• BF: Annual gross revenues
• ESBF: Extended annual benefits
• CS: Annual gross costs
• ESCS: Extended annual costs
• r: discount rate
• i: Benefit/cost category
• t: time
• Extended annual benefits and costs reflect the monetized value of socio-environmental impacts
𝑁𝑃𝑉 =
𝐵𝐹𝑖𝑡 + 𝐸𝑆𝐵𝐹𝑖𝑡 − 𝐶𝑆𝑖𝑡 + 𝐸𝑆𝐶𝑆𝑖𝑡
(1 + 𝑟)𝑡
𝑛
𝑖
1211/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Introduction of socio-environmental impact
in cost-driven production models (cont.)
• Socio-environmental costs and benefits to be included as an additional
cost/revenue (disaggregation subject to data availability) in the techno-
economic analysis model (for instance as additional cost components in
“Operation and Administration Cost”)
Extended NPV
estimations to
account for socio-
environmental
costs and benefits
1311/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Selected cost components
• Investment cost = Construction costs + Farming equipment
• Production cost = Fixed cost + Variable cost
• Environmental cost estimations (Cobb-Douglas function):
logEC=b0+b1logY+b2logK
where:
EC: Environmental cost of aquaculture
Y = aquaculture yield
K= food costs
• Water pollution: Cost of waste management to enter the cost function of
aquaculture so as to capture water pollution effects
• Climate change and CO2 emissions: Climate change costs will be
translated in monetary terms with the use of carbon prices:
Climate Change Cost=Emissions*Carbon Price
1411/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
Thank you for your attention!!!
We will be happy to hear from you!
If you have any comments, ideas or you would like
to be involved in BlueBRIDGE, please send us an
email or visit our web portal
http://www.bluebridge-vres.eu/
11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016 15

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Bluebridge hydromedit 2016 TechnoEconomic Analysis Tools

  • 1. BlueBRIDGE receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 675680 www.bluebridge-vres.eu Gerasimos Antzoulatos, i2S (gantzoulatos@i2s.gr) Charalampos Dimitrakopoulos, CITE (bdimitrako@cite.gr) Eleni Petra, UOA (petrael@athena-innovation.gr) Stella Tsani, ICRE8 (stellatsani@gmail.com) 2nd International Congress on Applied Ichthyology and Aquatic Environment "HydroMediT 2016" 10-12 Nov. 2016 Mesolonghi, Greece BLUEBRIDGE: CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE SERVING AQUAFARMS
  • 2. Strategic Investment Analysis and Scientific Planning/Alerting VRE 2 Charalampos Dimitrakopoulos, CITE (bdimitrako@cite.gr) 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016 Dr Stella Tsani, ICRE8 (stellatsani@gmail.com)
  • 3. Cost-driven techno-economic evaluation: key concepts 3 • Aquafarm Type • Production Schedule • Cost Breakdown • Sales Estimation • Revenue Calculation • Economics 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 4. The Model 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016 4 Aqua farm Definition Species Cages Nets Anchors Off-Shore Techno Economic Model Technology Definition End of Life Shop. List Indicators IRR NPV YNPMEBIAT EBITDA Economics Definition Product Mix Price Cost Breakdown Socio Environmental Impact
  • 5. Aquafarm definition 5 • Time to Species Maturity  Defines the first selling point in time for each generation • Cages, Nets, Anchors Systems  Architecture of the aqua farm bulk definition • Off-shore Location (Y/N)  Auto-feeding machine required on off-shore location • Species Definition  Fry need, Feed requirement 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 6. Operation Administration & Misc. Expenses 6 • Aqua Farm License Cost • General Industrial Expenses  Labour, Maintenance, Fuel, Energy, etc. • Packaging Cost  Cost of packaging per fish • Socio-Economic Impact  Translated in production cost’s terms 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 7. Shopping List Estimation 7 • End of Life (EoL)  Estimated useful life of equipment • Item Cost  Estimated 10-year item cost • Shopping Cost  Estimated 10-year shopping cost cashflows (w/ depreciated values) 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 8. Sales & Revenues 8 • Product Mix Definition  Each species (%) over aqua farm’s total capacity • Products’ Selling Prices  10-year estimation of each species selling prices • Revenue Calculation  10-year revenues combining the estimated cashflows 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 9. KPIs & Financial Metrics 9 • Net Present Value (NPV)  The difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows (socio-environmental enhanced formula) • Internal Rate of Return (IRR)  Solving the equation NPV = 0 for r • Yearly Net Profit Margin  Measures the impact to the price for every additional 1€ invested • Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation Amortization  A financial performance indicator that eliminates the effects of financing and accounting decisions • Earnings before Interest After Taxes  Indicator of a company's operating performance 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 10. A preview of the VRE tools 1011/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 11. Introduction of socio-environmental impact in cost-driven production models • Aim Conceptualize and monetize the social and environmental impact of aquaculture Combine social and environmental impact with specific techno-economic and production models of blue economy Consider data and computational resources at reach Distinguish between private and social costs and benefits and incorporate social costs and benefits in private functions 1111/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 12. Introduction of socio-environmental impact in cost-driven production models • Core idea: Introduce socio-environmental costs and benefits in the Net Present Value (NPV) function employed by cost-driven production models • Specification of the augmented NPV function: where: • NPV: Net present value • BF: Annual gross revenues • ESBF: Extended annual benefits • CS: Annual gross costs • ESCS: Extended annual costs • r: discount rate • i: Benefit/cost category • t: time • Extended annual benefits and costs reflect the monetized value of socio-environmental impacts 𝑁𝑃𝑉 = 𝐵𝐹𝑖𝑡 + 𝐸𝑆𝐵𝐹𝑖𝑡 − 𝐶𝑆𝑖𝑡 + 𝐸𝑆𝐶𝑆𝑖𝑡 (1 + 𝑟)𝑡 𝑛 𝑖 1211/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 13. Introduction of socio-environmental impact in cost-driven production models (cont.) • Socio-environmental costs and benefits to be included as an additional cost/revenue (disaggregation subject to data availability) in the techno- economic analysis model (for instance as additional cost components in “Operation and Administration Cost”) Extended NPV estimations to account for socio- environmental costs and benefits 1311/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 14. Selected cost components • Investment cost = Construction costs + Farming equipment • Production cost = Fixed cost + Variable cost • Environmental cost estimations (Cobb-Douglas function): logEC=b0+b1logY+b2logK where: EC: Environmental cost of aquaculture Y = aquaculture yield K= food costs • Water pollution: Cost of waste management to enter the cost function of aquaculture so as to capture water pollution effects • Climate change and CO2 emissions: Climate change costs will be translated in monetary terms with the use of carbon prices: Climate Change Cost=Emissions*Carbon Price 1411/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016
  • 15. Thank you for your attention!!! We will be happy to hear from you! If you have any comments, ideas or you would like to be involved in BlueBRIDGE, please send us an email or visit our web portal http://www.bluebridge-vres.eu/ 11/11/2016 HydroMedit 2016 15