"Analyzing and assessing ecological transition in building sustainable cities" Keynote presentation at "International Conference on Sustainable Environment and Technologies" 23 September 2022, Nicolas Tesla University Union, Belgrade, Serbia
Analyzing and assessing ecological transition in building sustainable cities
1. Beniamino Murgante
School of Engineering, University of Basilicata
beniamino.murgante@unibas.it
http://oldwww.unibas.it/utenti/murgante/Benny.html
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Beniamino_Murgante
Analyzing and assessing ecological transition
in building sustainable cities
2. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
3. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
4. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
5. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
6. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
7. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
8. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
9. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
10. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
11. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
12. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
13. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
14. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
15. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
16. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
17. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Potenza 175,43 km2 64786 inhabitants
18. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Ferrara 405.16 km2
131091 inhabitants
20. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Education, Economy and Finance, Health, Sport and Leisure
22. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Distribution (%) of trips by means of transport used and city size (population)
Car
Motorbike
bike
Walking Public Transport
Car
Motorbike
bike
Walking Public Transport
23. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Education, Economy and Finance,
Health, Sport and Leisure
24. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
25. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
26. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
27. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
https://www.theguardian.com/cities
/2018/mar/19/urban-explosion-
kinshasa-el-alto-growth-mexico-city-
bangalore-lagos
28. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar
/19/urban-explosion-kinshasa-el-alto-growth-
mexico-city-bangalore-lagos
29. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar/19/plan-big-city-disease-populations-fall-beijing-shanghai
30. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
31. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
32. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
33. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F., Pontrandolfi, P., Murgante, B., 2015, Supporting planning activities with the
assessment and the prediction of urban sprawl using spatio-temporal analysis, Ecological
Informatics, Volume 30, November 2015, Pages 365–378 doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2015.07.004
34. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F., Pontrandolfi, P., Murgante, B., 2015, Supporting planning activities with the
assessment and the prediction of urban sprawl using spatio-temporal analysis, Ecological
Informatics, Volume 30, November 2015, Pages 365–378 doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2015.07.004
35. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F., Pontrandolfi, P., Murgante, B., 2015, Supporting planning activities with the
assessment and the prediction of urban sprawl using spatio-temporal analysis, Ecological
Informatics, Volume 30, November 2015, Pages 365–378 doi:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2015.07.004
Quantity of
built-up
areas [ha]
measured at
different
times.
36. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
37. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Results
Calibration
Coefficients
Growth simulation
cycles
Initial
patterns
Land Use/Land
Cover change
model,
SLEUTH
38. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Maimone, B.A.; Martellozzo, F.;
Nolè, G.; Murgante, B. (2016) The Effects
of Urban Policies on the Development of
Urban Areas. Sustainability 2016, 8, 297.
doi:10.3390/su8040297
39. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Maimone, B.A.; Martellozzo, F.; Nolè, G.; Murgante, B. (2016) The Effects
of Urban Policies on the Development of Urban Areas. Sustainability 2016, 8, 297.
doi:10.3390/su8040297
40. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Maimone, B.A.;
Martellozzo, F.; Nolè, G.;
Murgante, B. (2016) The
Effects of Urban Policies on
the Development of Urban
Areas. Sustainability 2016,
8, 297.
doi:10.3390/su8040297
41. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Scorza F., Las Casas G., Murgante B., Amato F., (2019) "City Dashboards for Urban Planning"
Journal of Urban Technology DOI 10.1080/10630732.2019.1614895
42. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Maimone, B.A.; Martellozzo, F.; Nolè, G.; Murgante, B. (2016) The Effects
of Urban Policies on the Development of Urban Areas. Sustainability 2016, 8, 297.
doi:10.3390/su8040297
43. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Maimone, B.A.; Martellozzo, F.; Nolè, G.; Murgante, B. (2016) The Effects
of Urban Policies on the Development of Urban Areas. Sustainability 2016, 8, 297.
doi:10.3390/su8040297
44. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
45. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Martellozzo, F.; Murgante B.; Clarke, K. (2018) Balancing urban expansion against agriculture
and natural land loss: Scenario-based Modelling of urbanization and ecological losses in Italy to
2030 Applied Geography 91, pp. 156-167 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.004
46. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Martellozzo, F.; Murgante B.; Clarke, K. (2018) Balancing urban expansion against agriculture
and natural land loss: Scenario-based Modelling of urbanization and ecological losses in Italy to
2030 Applied Geography 91, pp. 156-167 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.004
The Number of Total Transactions (NTT).
The Housing Market Index (HMI), which consists in the ration of NTT with the
stock of residential unit existing in a specific territorial unit.
Code of Cultural
and Landscape
Heritage
The Natura 2000
Project
Housing Market
Index
Areas within a 300m buffer from the coastal line (CBCPa).
Areas within a 300m buffer from the coastal line of lakes (CBCPb).
Water streams, river zones and areas within a buffer of 150m from these (CBCPc).
Glaciers and perennial snow areas (CBCPd).
National and regional reserves and parks (CBCPe).
Forests and woodlands (CBCPf).
Wetlands (CBCPg).
Sites of Community Importance (SCIs) and Special Areas of Conservation (SACs).
SACs are usually included within SCIs.
Special Protection Areas (SPAs). In Italy, these areas cover about 19% of inland
and 4% of marine areas.
Important Bird Areas (IBA)
𝑆!"# = ∑$
%
𝑊$ ∗ 𝑉$
𝑆!"# is the value assumed by each pixels of the synthesis map
𝑊$ is the weight of ith criteria
𝑉$ is the value of the map representing the ith criteria at any given location
47. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Martellozzo, F.; Murgante B.;
Clarke, K. (2018) Balancing urban
expansion against agriculture and natural
land loss: Scenario-based Modelling of
urbanization and ecological losses in Italy
to 2030 Applied Geography 91, pp. 156-
167 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.004
Scenario
conservation
Scenario
BAU/diffusion
CBCPa 0,112 0,085
CBCPb 0,112 0,085
CBCPc 0,112 0,085
CBCPd 0,112 0,085
CBCPe 0,112 0,085
CBCPf 0,112 0,085
CBCPg 0,112 0,085
SCIs 0,047 0,033
SPAs 0,047 0,033
IBA 0,031 0,022
HMI 0,02 0,32
Criteria’s weights resulting from the AHP
and used for the scenario conservation
and for the scenario BAU/diffusion.
48. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Martellozzo, F.; Murgante
B.; Clarke, K. (2018) Balancing urban
expansion against agriculture and
natural land loss: Scenario-based
Modelling of urbanization and
ecological losses in Italy to
2030 Applied Geography 91, pp. 156-
167 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.004
49. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Martellozzo, F.; Murgante B.; Clarke, K. (2018) Balancing urban expansion against agriculture and
natural land loss: Scenario-based Modelling of urbanization and ecological losses in Italy to 2030 Applied
Geography 91, pp. 156-167 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.004
50. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Amato, F.; Martellozzo, F.; Murgante B.; Clarke, K. (2018) Balancing urban expansion against agriculture and natural
land loss: Scenario-based Modelling of urbanization and ecological losses in Italy to 2030 Applied Geography 91, pp.
156-167 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.004
LUCC dynamics between 2012 and 2030
according to the Diffusion scenario
LUCC dynamics between 2012 and 2030
according to the Conservation scenario
51. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
52. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Urban sprawl vs Urban sprinkling
Urban sprawl Urban sprinkling
Urban sprawl: “the spreading of urban developments (such as houses and
shopping centers) on undeveloped land near a city”
Urban sprinkling: “a small quantity distributed in drops or
scattered particles”
53. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Building density
and population
density
Year Population (No.) Residential Buildings [BR] (n) Dp (Inhabitants/ha) Db (BR/ha)
1950 627,586 117,687 0.63 0.12
1989 610,186 238,603 0.61 0.24
1998 597,468 269,019 0.60 0.27
2006 591,338 285,072 0.59 0.28
2013 578,391 297,810 0.58 0.30
54. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
60. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
62.
63. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
65. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Pilogallo, A., Saganeiti, Pontradolfi P. Scorza F., Murgante B., Comparing territorial performances of
Renewable Energy Sources' plants with integrated Ecosystem Services losses assessment: Melfi
municipality sample area in Basilicata region (Italy). Sustainable Cities and Society.
DOI:10.1016/j.scs.2020.102082
66. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Pilogallo, A., Saganeiti,
Pontradolfi P. Scorza F., Murgante
B., Comparing territorial
performances of Renewable
Energy Sources' plants with
integrated Ecosystem Services
losses assessment: Melfi
municipality sample area in
Basilicata region (Italy).
Sustainable Cities and Society
DOI:10.1016/j.scs.2020.102082
67. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Pilogallo, A., Saganeiti,
Pontradolfi P. Scorza F., Murgante
B., Comparing territorial
performances of Renewable
Energy Sources' plants with
integrated Ecosystem Services
losses assessment: Melfi
municipality sample area in
Basilicata region (Italy).
Sustainable Cities and Society
DOI:10.1016/j.scs.2020.102082
68. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Pilogallo, A., Saganeiti, Pontradolfi P. Scorza F., Murgante B., Comparing territorial performances of
Renewable Energy Sources' plants with integrated Ecosystem Services losses assessment: Melfi
municipality sample area in Basilicata region (Italy). Sustainable Cities and Society
DOI:10.1016/j.scs.2020.102082
69. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Pilogallo, A., Saganeiti,
Pontradolfi P. Scorza F., Murgante
B., Comparing territorial
performances of Renewable
Energy Sources' plants with
integrated Ecosystem Services
losses assessment: Melfi
municipality sample area in
Basilicata region (Italy).
Sustainable Cities and Society
DOI:10.1016/j.scs.2020.102082
biodiversity
carbon storage agricultural vocation
70. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Energy village in Calvello
71. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Energy village in Calvello
72. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Energy village in Calvello
73. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Energy village in Calvello
74. Analyzing and assessing ecological
transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
Energy village in Calvello
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
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transition in building sustainable cities
Beniamino Murgante
79. Beniamino Murgante
School of Engineering, University of Basilicata
beniamino.murgante@unibas.it
http://oldwww.unibas.it/utenti/murgante/Benny.html
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Beniamino_Murgante
Thank you for the attention