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VOCS 2017/18
Victims of Crime Survey
2017/18
Risenga Maluleke
Statistician-General
11 October 2018
#Crime
VOCS 2017/18
Why do we need crime statistics?
Safety NDP and MTSF Statistics
Crime creates anxiety in
society and this has a negative
effect on the quality of life and
economic development.
Its reduction is therefore a
priority on the national agenda
Chapter 12 of the National
Development Plan lists crime
reduction as a strategic priority.
The NDP envisions that people
feel safe at home, at school and
at work and live without fear.
One of the broad strategic
outcomes of the MTSF (2014-
2019) is:
“All People in South Africa are,
and feel safe”
In order to achieve the national
strategic outcomes on crime, it is
important to measure the levels,
trends and patterns of crime and
victimisation in SA
The South African Police Service
and VOCS data provide
complementary official sources of
crime statistics in SA
VOCS 2017/18
02
01
04
03
VOCS is a household-based survey that examines crime from
the point of view of the victims. Focus is on peoples’ perceptions
and experiences of crime.
Conducted by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) in 1998. The
Institute for Security Studies (ISS) conducted the 2003 and
2007 versions of the VOCS.
Stats SA continued to run the survey from 2011 onwards,
based on a sample size of approximately 30 000 private
households in all 9 provinces of SA.
This is the last report of VOCS as conducted from 2011. From April this
year a new survey called Governance, Public Safety and Justice
(GPSJS) began. GPSJS has some VOCS content plus new content on
governance public safety and justice.
ABOUT THIS SURVEY
VOCS 2017/18
Explore the views households and crime victims
have about crime
Explore public perceptions of the activities of the
police, prosecutors, courts and correctional services
Provide complementary data on the level of crime
in South Africa
1
2
3
OBJECTIVES OF THE SURVEY
VOCS 2017/18
VENTURING TO ALIGN CRIME STATS
We present VOCS and SAPS statistics side-by-side as a first step towards
aligning the two major sources of crime statistics.
Different definitions of crime categories is one of the obstacles that would
need to be addressed.
International Classification of Crime for Statistical purposes (ICCS) project
is a step in the right direction.
VOCS produces estimates of the actual number of incidents of crime
experienced by households and individuals while SAPS statistics are
derived from crime reported at police stations.
VOCS and SAPS statistics represent different measurements so the
numbers would differ even if identical definitions were used.
VOCS 2017/18
CAUTIONARY REMARKS
VOCS covers only thirteen household crimes
and seven individual crimes.
Some SAPS crime categories are not reported
by VOCS e.g. crime on businesses, drug related
crimes, illegal possession of firearms, e.t.c.
VOCS 2017/18
Household crimes
Generally impacts on the
household
Individual crimes
Impacts on one individual in the
household
VOCS 2017/18
GENERAL EXPERIENCE OF HOUSEHOLD
CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA
1 545 701
Estimated total
number of crime
incidences
1 244 152
Estimated number of
households that
experienced crime
7,5%
Estimated percentage of
households that
experienced crime
5%
0,3%
points
VOCS 2017/18
GENERAL EXPERIENCE OF INDIVIDUAL CRIME
IN SOUTH AFRICA for persons aged 16 and above
1 682 624
Estimated total
number of crime
incidences
1 417 731
Estimated number of
victimised individuals
aged 16 and above
3,7%
Estimated percentage of
victimised individuals
aged 16 and above
5%
0,2%
points
VOCS 2017/18
-2% -7%
-18%
11% 8%
42%
6%
25%
-8%
5%
-24%
-11% -13%
52%
-12%
81%
29%
-4%
-1%
5%
WC EC NC FS KZN NW GP MP LP SA
Househohold Individual
NORTH WEST EXPERIENCED THE HIGHEST INCREASE OF BOTH HOUSEHOLD AND
INDIVIDUAL CRIME. FS, NW and GP experienced an increase of both household and individual crime.
WC, EC, NC and LP experienced a decrease of both household and individual crime.
Percentage change of household
and individual crime levels by
province, 2016/17 - 2017/18
HOUSEHOLD
CRIME
VOCS 2017/18
10,2%
9,9%
8,5%
7,2% 7,5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2016/17, THERE WAS A DECLINING TREND OF THE
PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS IN SOUTH AFRICA THAT EXPERIENCED AT
LEAST ONE INCIDENT OF CRIME. However there was an increase between 2016/17 and
2017/18.
Household crime trend:
2013/14 – 2017/18
VOCS 2017/18
Household experience of
crime, 2017/18
Housebreaking
or burglary
54%
Home
robbery
10%
Theft of
livestock,
poultry
and other
animals
10%
Theft out
of motor
vehicle
8%
HOUSEBREAKING OR BURGLARY WAS AGAIN THE DOMINANT HOUSEHOLD CRIME
IN 2017/18 ACCOUNTING FOR ABOUT 54% OF ALL HOUSEHOLD CRIMES.
Theft of motor
vehicle; 4%
Other crimes;
4%
Deliberate
damaging, burning,
destruction of
buildings; 3%
Motor vehicle
vandalism/deliberate damage
of motor vehicle; 3%
Theft of
bicycle; 2%
Theft of crops planted by the
household; 1%
Murder; 1%
VOCS 2017/18
-23%
-7%
-5%
-2%
-1%
3%
4%
7%
7%
12%
14%
19%
26%
Home robbery
Murder
Housebreaking
Deliberate damage of residential buildings
Assault
Hijacking
Theft of motor vehicles
Motor vehicle vandalism
Theft of crops
Theft out of motor vehicle
Robbery away from home
Theft of personal property
Livestock theft
DECREASES IN CRIME
INCREASES IN CRIME
MOTOR VEHICLE VANDALISM SHOWED THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE INCREASE
IN CRIME.
Percentage changes in crime
categories between 16/17 and 17/18
VOCS 2017/18
Household experience of
Housebreaking/ burglary, 2017/18
BOTH VOCS ESTIMATES OF THE NUMBER OF INCIDENCES OF
HOUSEBREAKING AND SAPS STATISTICS ON REPORTED BURGLARY
DECLINED DURING THE PERIOD 2013/14 AND 2016/17.
10,2%
832 122
INCIDENTS
4,25%
Percentage of
households that
experienced burglary
940 954
776 933
832 122
259 784 246 654 228 094
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Numberofburglaries/cases
51%
Percentage of burglary
victims who reported to
the police
VOCS
SAPS
0,51%
Points
7%
No change
VOCS 2017/18
Items stolen during
housebreaking
HOUSEHOLDS LOST CLOTHES IN ABOUT A THIRD OF ALL
HOUSEBREAKINGS. Cell phones and food stuffs were taken in about a quarter of all recorded
housebreakings in 2017/18.
17,6%
20,4%
21,0%
22,2%
23,6%
31,6%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Personal effects (e.g
watches)
Money
Electronic equipment (e.g.
laptop)
Food stuff
Cellphone
Clothes
VOCS 2017/18
SATISFACTION WITH POLICE RESPONSE TO
HOUSEBREAKING
About 33% of households that reported housebreaking were
satisfied with police response.
Male and female-headed households were equally likely to be
satisfied with police response.
The white population group had the highest percentage (53%) of
households satisfied with police response to housebreaking
reporting
Black African and coloured population groups had the lowest
percentage (30%) of households satisfied with police response
VOCS 2017/18
NORTHERN CAPE HAD THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS
SATISFIED WITH POLICE RESPONSE TO HOUSEBREAKING.
25%
26%
28%
29%
33%
37%
38%
42%
43%
52%
North West
Limpopo
Gauteng
KwaZulu-Natal
SOUTH AFRICA
Mpumalanga
Western Cape
Eastern Cape
Free State
Northern Cape
Satisfaction with police
response by province
VOCS 2017/18
156 089
INCIDENCES
0,8%
Percentage of households
that experienced home
robbery
VOCS ESTIMATES OF THE NUMBER OF HOME ROBBERY INCIDENCES
DECREASED RAPIDLY BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2016/17. SAPS reported cases of
home robbery slightly increased between 2013/14 and 2016/17
Home robbery estimates for
2017/18
59%
Percentage of home robbery
victims who reported to the
police
268 639
151 279 156 089
19 284 22 343
22 261
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Numberofincidences/cases
VOCS
SAPS
No change
3%
6%
Points
VOCS 2017/18
159 421
INCIDENCES
0,77%
Percentage of
households that
experienced livestock
theft
THE NUMBER OF INCIDENCES OF THEFT OF LIVESTOCK, POULTRY
AND OTHER ANIMALS DECLINED DURING THE PERIOD 2013/14 AND
2017/18. SAPS statistics for stock theft increased during that period
Livestock theft estimates
for 2017/18
29%
Percentage of livestock
theft victims who
reported to the police
301 350
176 066
159 421
24 534 26 902 28 849
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Numberofincidences/cases
VOCS
SAPS
1%
0,03%
Points
0,04%
% Points
VOCS 2017/18
16 809
INCIDENCES
0,08%
Percentage of
households that
experienced murder
VOCS ESTIMATED MURDER INCIDENCES DECLINED BETWEEN 2013/14
AND 2015/16 AND THEN FOLLOWED AN INCREASING TREND. SAPS murder
plus culpable homicide increased steadily since 2013/14
Murder estimates for
2017/18
89%
Percentage of
households that reported
murder to the police
26 529
16 809
28 280
32 359
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Numberofmurders/cases
VOCS
SAPS
4%
0,02%
% Points
23%
Points
VOCS 2017/18
Individual
Experience
of Crime
VOCS 2017/18
4,7%
4,4%
3,9%
3,5% 3,7%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Individual crime trends
2013/14 – 2017/18
THE PERCENTAGE OF INDIVIDUALS AGED 16 AND ABOVE WHO
EXPERIENCED CRIME DECREASED STEADILY BETWEEN 2013/14 AND
2016/17 THEN INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN 2017/18
VOCS 2017/18
THEFT OF PERSONAL PROPERTY, ROBBERY OUTSIDE HOME AND
ASSAULT ACCOUNTED FOR 79% OF CRIME EXPERIENCED BY
INDIVIDUALS 16 YEARS AND ABOVE.
Distribution of individual crime
experienced, 2017/18
Theft of
personal
property
41%
Assault
21%
Robbery
17%
* Other
crimes
21%
* Numbers have been rounded and may not total 100% * Other includes: Hijacking of motor vehicles, sexual offences, consumer fraud and corruption
VOCS 2017/18
CELLPHONES DOMINATED THE LIST OF ITEMS LOST THROUGH THEFT
OF PERSONAL PROPERTY AFFECTING 69,1% OF THE VICTIMS.
Theft of personal property,
2017/18, percentage of
persons 16 years and older
69%
45%
14%
8% 7% 6%
2% 2% 1% 1%
Cellphone
Money/purse/wallet
Bankbooks/cards
Other
Clothing
Personaleffects(e,g
jewellery)
Travellingbag
Portablecomputer
Traveldocument
Portableradio/MP3
player
693 219
INCIDENTS
1,72%
Individuals aged 16 and
above who experienced
theft of personal property
24%
Individuals aged 16 and
above who reported to
the police
2%
0,04%
Points
8%
Points
VOCS 2017/18
280 526
INCIDENCES
0,67%
Percentage of individuals
aged 16 years and above
who experienced robbery
outside home
VOCS ESTIMATED ROBBERY OUTSIDE HOME INCIDENCES DECLINED
BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2017/18. Saps reported robbery plus robbery with aggravating
circumstances increased for the most part during that period
Robbery outside home
estimates for 2017/18
36%
Percentage of assault
victims who reported to
the police
373 148
294 874
280 526
172 468
194 374 189 094
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Numberofincidences/Cases
VOCS
SAPS
0,04%
Points
5%
3%
Points
VOCS 2017/18
Most victims (65,4%) are robbed in the streets in the residential
area
Males are almost twice as likely to be victims of robbery as females
31,5% resist robbery
25,8% injured during robbery
There is evidence of association between resisting robbery and
sustaining injury during robbery
ROBBERY AWAY FROM HOME : QUICK FACTS
VOCS 2017/18
355 739
INCIDENCES
0,72%
Percentage of individuals
aged 16 years and above
who experienced assault
431 043
318 077
347 062
348 414
327 066
323 595
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Numberofincidences/cases
SAPS
BOTH SAPS STATISTICS AND VOCS ESTIMATES SHOW DECLINING TRENDS OF
ASSAULT FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD 2013/14 AND 2016/17.
Assault estimates for
2017/18
47%
Percentage of assault
victims who reported to
the police
VOCS12%
0,01%
Points
1%
Points
VOCS 2017/18
Number of incidents: 355 739
Males more likely to be victims than females
Females are more likely to report assault to the police than males
Most assaults occur at home
ASSAULT: QUICK FACTS
VOCS 2017/18
Household's
Feelings
About Crime
And Their
Safety
VOCS 2017/18
PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS WHO THOUGHT THAT VIOLENT CRIME
INCREASED DURING THE PAST 3 YEARS, INCREASED BETWEEN 2016/17
AND 2017/18.
Household perceptions on violent crime
in their areas of residence, 2012-2017/18
32,5%
39,4%
42,1%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
12
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
38,2%
24,5%
12
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
29,2%
28,6%
12
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
Increased Decreased Stayed the same
VOCS 2017/18
HOUSEHOLDS THAT FELT SAFE TO WALK (DAY AND NIGHT) IN THEIR
NEIGHBOURHOODS DECLINED FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD 2013/14 TO 2017/18
Household feelings of safety during the
day and when it is dark, 2013/14-2017/18
87%
79%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
35%
32%
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
Feeling safe during the day
Feeling safe when its dark
VOCS 2017/18
Satisfaction with
the police and
the court
VOCS 2017/18
59,4% 54,2%
63,9%
41,1%
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
PercentageofhouseholdssatisfiedWIDENING GULF IN HOUSEHOLDS SATISFACTION BETWEEN POLICE SERVICES
AND HOW COURTS GENERALLY DEAL WITH PERPETRATORS OF CRIME
Percentage of households satisfied
with the police or the courts
Police
Courts
VOCS 2017/18
-9%
-8%
-7%
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
Western Cape Eastern Cape Northern Cape Free State KwaZulu-Natal North West Gauteng Mpumalanga Limpopo
SOUTH
AFRICA
Police Courts
NC SHOWED RELATIVELY LARGE DECLINES IN BOTH SATISFACTION LEVELS WITH
POLICE AND COURTS BETWEEN 2016/17 AND 2017/18
Percentage change in general
satisfaction with the police and courts
between 2016/17 and 2017/18 by
province
VOCS 2017/18
Household satisfaction with the
courts vs the police, by
province, 2017/18
LIMPOPO IS THE ONLY PROVINCE TO SHOW A HIGHER SATISFACTION RATE
WITH THE COURTS VS THE POLICE.
VOCS 2017/18
Households’
perceptions of
effectiveness of
correctional
services
VOCS 2017/18
Males have more trust in the
effectiveness of correctional
services than women
51,0%
45,0%
25,0%
19,0%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Male Female
PercentagewhosayYes
Provide employment Marry a former prisoner
51,6%
38,3%
30,9%
35,5%
24,6%
13,1%
9,1%
12,4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Black/African Coloured Indian/Asian White
Percentage
Employ a former prisoner Marry a former prisoner
Black Africans have more trust in the
effectiveness of correctional services
than other population groups
CORRECTIONAL SERVICES EFFECTIVENESS
RECAP
Perceptions of
violent crime
MurderFeelings of Safety
The general level of
crime as estimated by
VOCS has been
declining during the
past five years but
increased in 2016/17
and 2017/18.
Murder increased during the
past three years both in
terms of the total number of
incidences (VOCS) and the
number of cases reported to
the police (SAPS).
The percentage of
households who feel
safe walking in their
neighbourhoods during
the day continued to
decline.
Greater percentage
of households, in
2017/18 compared to
2016/17, think that
the levels of violent
and property crimes
increased during the
past three years.
General Level of
Crime
VOCS
2017/2018
Ndzi Hela Kwala!

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Victims of Crime Survey, 2017 - 2018

  • 1. VOCS 2017/18 Victims of Crime Survey 2017/18 Risenga Maluleke Statistician-General 11 October 2018 #Crime
  • 2. VOCS 2017/18 Why do we need crime statistics? Safety NDP and MTSF Statistics Crime creates anxiety in society and this has a negative effect on the quality of life and economic development. Its reduction is therefore a priority on the national agenda Chapter 12 of the National Development Plan lists crime reduction as a strategic priority. The NDP envisions that people feel safe at home, at school and at work and live without fear. One of the broad strategic outcomes of the MTSF (2014- 2019) is: “All People in South Africa are, and feel safe” In order to achieve the national strategic outcomes on crime, it is important to measure the levels, trends and patterns of crime and victimisation in SA The South African Police Service and VOCS data provide complementary official sources of crime statistics in SA
  • 3. VOCS 2017/18 02 01 04 03 VOCS is a household-based survey that examines crime from the point of view of the victims. Focus is on peoples’ perceptions and experiences of crime. Conducted by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) in 1998. The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) conducted the 2003 and 2007 versions of the VOCS. Stats SA continued to run the survey from 2011 onwards, based on a sample size of approximately 30 000 private households in all 9 provinces of SA. This is the last report of VOCS as conducted from 2011. From April this year a new survey called Governance, Public Safety and Justice (GPSJS) began. GPSJS has some VOCS content plus new content on governance public safety and justice. ABOUT THIS SURVEY
  • 4. VOCS 2017/18 Explore the views households and crime victims have about crime Explore public perceptions of the activities of the police, prosecutors, courts and correctional services Provide complementary data on the level of crime in South Africa 1 2 3 OBJECTIVES OF THE SURVEY
  • 5. VOCS 2017/18 VENTURING TO ALIGN CRIME STATS We present VOCS and SAPS statistics side-by-side as a first step towards aligning the two major sources of crime statistics. Different definitions of crime categories is one of the obstacles that would need to be addressed. International Classification of Crime for Statistical purposes (ICCS) project is a step in the right direction. VOCS produces estimates of the actual number of incidents of crime experienced by households and individuals while SAPS statistics are derived from crime reported at police stations. VOCS and SAPS statistics represent different measurements so the numbers would differ even if identical definitions were used.
  • 6. VOCS 2017/18 CAUTIONARY REMARKS VOCS covers only thirteen household crimes and seven individual crimes. Some SAPS crime categories are not reported by VOCS e.g. crime on businesses, drug related crimes, illegal possession of firearms, e.t.c.
  • 7. VOCS 2017/18 Household crimes Generally impacts on the household Individual crimes Impacts on one individual in the household
  • 8. VOCS 2017/18 GENERAL EXPERIENCE OF HOUSEHOLD CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA 1 545 701 Estimated total number of crime incidences 1 244 152 Estimated number of households that experienced crime 7,5% Estimated percentage of households that experienced crime 5% 0,3% points
  • 9. VOCS 2017/18 GENERAL EXPERIENCE OF INDIVIDUAL CRIME IN SOUTH AFRICA for persons aged 16 and above 1 682 624 Estimated total number of crime incidences 1 417 731 Estimated number of victimised individuals aged 16 and above 3,7% Estimated percentage of victimised individuals aged 16 and above 5% 0,2% points
  • 10. VOCS 2017/18 -2% -7% -18% 11% 8% 42% 6% 25% -8% 5% -24% -11% -13% 52% -12% 81% 29% -4% -1% 5% WC EC NC FS KZN NW GP MP LP SA Househohold Individual NORTH WEST EXPERIENCED THE HIGHEST INCREASE OF BOTH HOUSEHOLD AND INDIVIDUAL CRIME. FS, NW and GP experienced an increase of both household and individual crime. WC, EC, NC and LP experienced a decrease of both household and individual crime. Percentage change of household and individual crime levels by province, 2016/17 - 2017/18
  • 12. VOCS 2017/18 10,2% 9,9% 8,5% 7,2% 7,5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2016/17, THERE WAS A DECLINING TREND OF THE PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS IN SOUTH AFRICA THAT EXPERIENCED AT LEAST ONE INCIDENT OF CRIME. However there was an increase between 2016/17 and 2017/18. Household crime trend: 2013/14 – 2017/18
  • 13. VOCS 2017/18 Household experience of crime, 2017/18 Housebreaking or burglary 54% Home robbery 10% Theft of livestock, poultry and other animals 10% Theft out of motor vehicle 8% HOUSEBREAKING OR BURGLARY WAS AGAIN THE DOMINANT HOUSEHOLD CRIME IN 2017/18 ACCOUNTING FOR ABOUT 54% OF ALL HOUSEHOLD CRIMES. Theft of motor vehicle; 4% Other crimes; 4% Deliberate damaging, burning, destruction of buildings; 3% Motor vehicle vandalism/deliberate damage of motor vehicle; 3% Theft of bicycle; 2% Theft of crops planted by the household; 1% Murder; 1%
  • 14. VOCS 2017/18 -23% -7% -5% -2% -1% 3% 4% 7% 7% 12% 14% 19% 26% Home robbery Murder Housebreaking Deliberate damage of residential buildings Assault Hijacking Theft of motor vehicles Motor vehicle vandalism Theft of crops Theft out of motor vehicle Robbery away from home Theft of personal property Livestock theft DECREASES IN CRIME INCREASES IN CRIME MOTOR VEHICLE VANDALISM SHOWED THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE INCREASE IN CRIME. Percentage changes in crime categories between 16/17 and 17/18
  • 15. VOCS 2017/18 Household experience of Housebreaking/ burglary, 2017/18 BOTH VOCS ESTIMATES OF THE NUMBER OF INCIDENCES OF HOUSEBREAKING AND SAPS STATISTICS ON REPORTED BURGLARY DECLINED DURING THE PERIOD 2013/14 AND 2016/17. 10,2% 832 122 INCIDENTS 4,25% Percentage of households that experienced burglary 940 954 776 933 832 122 259 784 246 654 228 094 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Numberofburglaries/cases 51% Percentage of burglary victims who reported to the police VOCS SAPS 0,51% Points 7% No change
  • 16. VOCS 2017/18 Items stolen during housebreaking HOUSEHOLDS LOST CLOTHES IN ABOUT A THIRD OF ALL HOUSEBREAKINGS. Cell phones and food stuffs were taken in about a quarter of all recorded housebreakings in 2017/18. 17,6% 20,4% 21,0% 22,2% 23,6% 31,6% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Personal effects (e.g watches) Money Electronic equipment (e.g. laptop) Food stuff Cellphone Clothes
  • 17. VOCS 2017/18 SATISFACTION WITH POLICE RESPONSE TO HOUSEBREAKING About 33% of households that reported housebreaking were satisfied with police response. Male and female-headed households were equally likely to be satisfied with police response. The white population group had the highest percentage (53%) of households satisfied with police response to housebreaking reporting Black African and coloured population groups had the lowest percentage (30%) of households satisfied with police response
  • 18. VOCS 2017/18 NORTHERN CAPE HAD THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS SATISFIED WITH POLICE RESPONSE TO HOUSEBREAKING. 25% 26% 28% 29% 33% 37% 38% 42% 43% 52% North West Limpopo Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal SOUTH AFRICA Mpumalanga Western Cape Eastern Cape Free State Northern Cape Satisfaction with police response by province
  • 19. VOCS 2017/18 156 089 INCIDENCES 0,8% Percentage of households that experienced home robbery VOCS ESTIMATES OF THE NUMBER OF HOME ROBBERY INCIDENCES DECREASED RAPIDLY BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2016/17. SAPS reported cases of home robbery slightly increased between 2013/14 and 2016/17 Home robbery estimates for 2017/18 59% Percentage of home robbery victims who reported to the police 268 639 151 279 156 089 19 284 22 343 22 261 0 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Numberofincidences/cases VOCS SAPS No change 3% 6% Points
  • 20. VOCS 2017/18 159 421 INCIDENCES 0,77% Percentage of households that experienced livestock theft THE NUMBER OF INCIDENCES OF THEFT OF LIVESTOCK, POULTRY AND OTHER ANIMALS DECLINED DURING THE PERIOD 2013/14 AND 2017/18. SAPS statistics for stock theft increased during that period Livestock theft estimates for 2017/18 29% Percentage of livestock theft victims who reported to the police 301 350 176 066 159 421 24 534 26 902 28 849 0 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 350 000 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Numberofincidences/cases VOCS SAPS 1% 0,03% Points 0,04% % Points
  • 21. VOCS 2017/18 16 809 INCIDENCES 0,08% Percentage of households that experienced murder VOCS ESTIMATED MURDER INCIDENCES DECLINED BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2015/16 AND THEN FOLLOWED AN INCREASING TREND. SAPS murder plus culpable homicide increased steadily since 2013/14 Murder estimates for 2017/18 89% Percentage of households that reported murder to the police 26 529 16 809 28 280 32 359 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Numberofmurders/cases VOCS SAPS 4% 0,02% % Points 23% Points
  • 23. VOCS 2017/18 4,7% 4,4% 3,9% 3,5% 3,7% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Individual crime trends 2013/14 – 2017/18 THE PERCENTAGE OF INDIVIDUALS AGED 16 AND ABOVE WHO EXPERIENCED CRIME DECREASED STEADILY BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2016/17 THEN INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN 2017/18
  • 24. VOCS 2017/18 THEFT OF PERSONAL PROPERTY, ROBBERY OUTSIDE HOME AND ASSAULT ACCOUNTED FOR 79% OF CRIME EXPERIENCED BY INDIVIDUALS 16 YEARS AND ABOVE. Distribution of individual crime experienced, 2017/18 Theft of personal property 41% Assault 21% Robbery 17% * Other crimes 21% * Numbers have been rounded and may not total 100% * Other includes: Hijacking of motor vehicles, sexual offences, consumer fraud and corruption
  • 25. VOCS 2017/18 CELLPHONES DOMINATED THE LIST OF ITEMS LOST THROUGH THEFT OF PERSONAL PROPERTY AFFECTING 69,1% OF THE VICTIMS. Theft of personal property, 2017/18, percentage of persons 16 years and older 69% 45% 14% 8% 7% 6% 2% 2% 1% 1% Cellphone Money/purse/wallet Bankbooks/cards Other Clothing Personaleffects(e,g jewellery) Travellingbag Portablecomputer Traveldocument Portableradio/MP3 player 693 219 INCIDENTS 1,72% Individuals aged 16 and above who experienced theft of personal property 24% Individuals aged 16 and above who reported to the police 2% 0,04% Points 8% Points
  • 26. VOCS 2017/18 280 526 INCIDENCES 0,67% Percentage of individuals aged 16 years and above who experienced robbery outside home VOCS ESTIMATED ROBBERY OUTSIDE HOME INCIDENCES DECLINED BETWEEN 2013/14 AND 2017/18. Saps reported robbery plus robbery with aggravating circumstances increased for the most part during that period Robbery outside home estimates for 2017/18 36% Percentage of assault victims who reported to the police 373 148 294 874 280 526 172 468 194 374 189 094 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000 350 000 400 000 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Numberofincidences/Cases VOCS SAPS 0,04% Points 5% 3% Points
  • 27. VOCS 2017/18 Most victims (65,4%) are robbed in the streets in the residential area Males are almost twice as likely to be victims of robbery as females 31,5% resist robbery 25,8% injured during robbery There is evidence of association between resisting robbery and sustaining injury during robbery ROBBERY AWAY FROM HOME : QUICK FACTS
  • 28. VOCS 2017/18 355 739 INCIDENCES 0,72% Percentage of individuals aged 16 years and above who experienced assault 431 043 318 077 347 062 348 414 327 066 323 595 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Numberofincidences/cases SAPS BOTH SAPS STATISTICS AND VOCS ESTIMATES SHOW DECLINING TRENDS OF ASSAULT FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD 2013/14 AND 2016/17. Assault estimates for 2017/18 47% Percentage of assault victims who reported to the police VOCS12% 0,01% Points 1% Points
  • 29. VOCS 2017/18 Number of incidents: 355 739 Males more likely to be victims than females Females are more likely to report assault to the police than males Most assaults occur at home ASSAULT: QUICK FACTS
  • 31. VOCS 2017/18 PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS WHO THOUGHT THAT VIOLENT CRIME INCREASED DURING THE PAST 3 YEARS, INCREASED BETWEEN 2016/17 AND 2017/18. Household perceptions on violent crime in their areas of residence, 2012-2017/18 32,5% 39,4% 42,1% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 12 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 38,2% 24,5% 12 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 29,2% 28,6% 12 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 Increased Decreased Stayed the same
  • 32. VOCS 2017/18 HOUSEHOLDS THAT FELT SAFE TO WALK (DAY AND NIGHT) IN THEIR NEIGHBOURHOODS DECLINED FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD 2013/14 TO 2017/18 Household feelings of safety during the day and when it is dark, 2013/14-2017/18 87% 79% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 35% 32% 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 Feeling safe during the day Feeling safe when its dark
  • 33. VOCS 2017/18 Satisfaction with the police and the court
  • 34. VOCS 2017/18 59,4% 54,2% 63,9% 41,1% 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 PercentageofhouseholdssatisfiedWIDENING GULF IN HOUSEHOLDS SATISFACTION BETWEEN POLICE SERVICES AND HOW COURTS GENERALLY DEAL WITH PERPETRATORS OF CRIME Percentage of households satisfied with the police or the courts Police Courts
  • 35. VOCS 2017/18 -9% -8% -7% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% Western Cape Eastern Cape Northern Cape Free State KwaZulu-Natal North West Gauteng Mpumalanga Limpopo SOUTH AFRICA Police Courts NC SHOWED RELATIVELY LARGE DECLINES IN BOTH SATISFACTION LEVELS WITH POLICE AND COURTS BETWEEN 2016/17 AND 2017/18 Percentage change in general satisfaction with the police and courts between 2016/17 and 2017/18 by province
  • 36. VOCS 2017/18 Household satisfaction with the courts vs the police, by province, 2017/18 LIMPOPO IS THE ONLY PROVINCE TO SHOW A HIGHER SATISFACTION RATE WITH THE COURTS VS THE POLICE.
  • 38. VOCS 2017/18 Males have more trust in the effectiveness of correctional services than women 51,0% 45,0% 25,0% 19,0% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Male Female PercentagewhosayYes Provide employment Marry a former prisoner 51,6% 38,3% 30,9% 35,5% 24,6% 13,1% 9,1% 12,4% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Black/African Coloured Indian/Asian White Percentage Employ a former prisoner Marry a former prisoner Black Africans have more trust in the effectiveness of correctional services than other population groups CORRECTIONAL SERVICES EFFECTIVENESS
  • 39. RECAP Perceptions of violent crime MurderFeelings of Safety The general level of crime as estimated by VOCS has been declining during the past five years but increased in 2016/17 and 2017/18. Murder increased during the past three years both in terms of the total number of incidences (VOCS) and the number of cases reported to the police (SAPS). The percentage of households who feel safe walking in their neighbourhoods during the day continued to decline. Greater percentage of households, in 2017/18 compared to 2016/17, think that the levels of violent and property crimes increased during the past three years. General Level of Crime VOCS 2017/2018