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LYFT
Group 4:
Ankush Chandak
Konark Malik
Manu Aggarwal
Sajal Gupta
Soubhik Chaterjee
Agenda
Style
About Lyft
01
Industry Structure
02
Competitor
03
Unit Economics
04
Valuation
05
About Lyft
Logan Green (CEO)
and John Zimmer
(President)
Founder Members
Lyft is a transportation
company founded in
2012 in San
Francisco , California
2012
Lyft currently operates
in 640 cities of USA
and 9 cities of Canada
Operation
Lyft currently has 28%
market share in USA.
Market Share
LYFT MANAGEMENT
Logan Green
(CEO)
John Zimmer
(President)
Ran Makavy
(Vice President)
Brian Roberts
(CFO)
About Lyft
2.15 Billion $
Employees Revenue (2018)
4,854 in 2018
Ride Options
Lux
Lux matches passengers with a luxury
vehicle that can seat 4 passengers.
Lux Black
It matches with a luxury vehicle that has
a luxury black exterior which can seat 4
passengers.
Lyft XL
Lyft XL matches passengers with a
vehicle that can seat 6 passengers.
Shared Ride
It is not available in all cities but it is the
cheapest option and will match
passengers with other riders if they are
going in same direction.
Lyft
Lyft is the basic and most popular
offering that matches passengers with
nearby drivers
Lux Black XL
Lux Black XL matches with a vehicle
that has luxury black exterior which can
seat 6 passengers.
Industry Structure
Today
Current market
share of Lyft is 28%
Market Leader is
Uber having around
68 % market share
2019
After 5 Yrs
Lyft is expected to
rise and the
expected ride share
would be 34%
Uber market share
will fall to 60%
2024
After 10 Yrs
After 10 years lyft is
expected to have
40% market share.
Uber share will
further decline to
55%
2029
• Company is having a very friendly
image as opposed to other
competitors.
• The price is comparatively less
compared to the competitor.
• People prefer Lyft for small rides
as they are easily available and
pocket friendly
LYFT USP:
Competitor
Indirect
Competitor
68%
Uber 76B $
Uber is the current competitor of Lyft.
Direct Competitior Uber current evaluation stands at 76
Billion $ wheras Lyft is valued at 16 Billion.
Uber is currently having 68% market share
in USA
The indirect competitors are local
transport like Bus service , Metros and
local taxis.
TAM
In 2009 the TAM was 51 Billion $ and so applying a 10% gain in each
year the total addressable market in 2019 as 132 Billion $.
TAM in 2019 = 132 Billion $
51
56.1
61.71
67.881
74.6691
82.13601
90.349611
99.3845721
109.3230293
120.2553322
132.2808655
145.508952
160.0598472
176.0658319
193.6724151
213.0396566
234.3436223
257.7779845
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Unit Economics Per Rider
The year on year marketing
expenses incurred by the
company divided by year on year
incrementing number of
customer.
The customer acquisition cost for
Lyft is coming around 98.02$.
Customer Acquisition Cost
01 Value added per rider
02
Value added per rider comes
from total value added /
Number of active riders.
The value added per rider
comes around 141.67$
Unit Economics
Customer Lifetime Value
03
The customer Lifetime value comes
from the value added per existing rider
less customer acquisition cost.
The customer lifetime value comes
around 43.65$.
Unit Economics Based on
Per Ride
Sales and Marketing cost = 275.1 Million -(A)
Active Rides = 196.24 Million -(B)
Sales & Marketing cost Per Ride = 1.4 $ -(A/B)
Active Riders =20.5 Million -(C)
Revenue per Rider =37.86 $ -(D)
Revenue per Ride =3.955$ - ((C*D)/B)
Growth Model
• Although the Lyft model is widely popular, it is not profitable as of yet. In that respect, a
growth model is required to reach the break-even.
• Growth usually can be achieved by a combination of 3 strategies: run, team-up and
block. In case of Lyft, the block strategy is lesser hard to implement, as the fixed costs
entailed are very low. It can engage run and team-up strategies.
• Run essentially means to innovate, and team-up can be either strategic partnerships
with other firms for cross-selling, or consolidations with positive synergies.
• Lyft has strategic partnerships with Hilton, Starbucks, Humana, MasterCard and
others. Lyft has acquired Motivate, Blue Vision, Cherry, Yesgraph, DataScore and
others.
• Although a breakout disruptive technology is always appreciated, ‘Less is more
innovations’ (LIMI) works well for Lyft so as to not alienate existing customers and
innovating at the same time.
• Salient features may be re-emphasizing on Lyft being a friendly car that you can rely
on, rather than a car where there is a strategic disconnect. This can also point to
reverse positioning where Lyft is not merely a taxi, but your friend, and the moods can
be light.
Valuation
The current market share of Lyft
is 6% and is assumed to be 40%
in terminal year.
• Using these assumptions we
estimated the operating
margin and thus the operating
income and after accounting
for reinvestment needs
calculated the FCFF of the
company, present value of
those is then calculated to
reach to the EV which is
20billion and share price of
the firm is coming out to be
$72.90.
Discounted Cash Flow
Model
01
We used many qualitative and
quantitative assumptions to
estimate the industry size, risk
associated, growth of the market,
chances of failure for valuation
using DCF and Comparables both.
The valuation ranges from 5 Billion
to 20 Billion based on the
methodology.
Valuation using
Comparable
02
VALUATION USING COMPARABLES
Term Sheet
Overview of Lyft, from perspective of a Private Equity firm, and analyse whether it will be good/bad/neutral investment

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Overview of Lyft, from perspective of a Private Equity firm, and analyse whether it will be good/bad/neutral investment

  • 1. LYFT Group 4: Ankush Chandak Konark Malik Manu Aggarwal Sajal Gupta Soubhik Chaterjee
  • 3. About Lyft Logan Green (CEO) and John Zimmer (President) Founder Members Lyft is a transportation company founded in 2012 in San Francisco , California 2012 Lyft currently operates in 640 cities of USA and 9 cities of Canada Operation Lyft currently has 28% market share in USA. Market Share
  • 4.
  • 5. LYFT MANAGEMENT Logan Green (CEO) John Zimmer (President) Ran Makavy (Vice President) Brian Roberts (CFO)
  • 6. About Lyft 2.15 Billion $ Employees Revenue (2018) 4,854 in 2018
  • 7. Ride Options Lux Lux matches passengers with a luxury vehicle that can seat 4 passengers. Lux Black It matches with a luxury vehicle that has a luxury black exterior which can seat 4 passengers. Lyft XL Lyft XL matches passengers with a vehicle that can seat 6 passengers. Shared Ride It is not available in all cities but it is the cheapest option and will match passengers with other riders if they are going in same direction. Lyft Lyft is the basic and most popular offering that matches passengers with nearby drivers Lux Black XL Lux Black XL matches with a vehicle that has luxury black exterior which can seat 6 passengers.
  • 8. Industry Structure Today Current market share of Lyft is 28% Market Leader is Uber having around 68 % market share 2019 After 5 Yrs Lyft is expected to rise and the expected ride share would be 34% Uber market share will fall to 60% 2024 After 10 Yrs After 10 years lyft is expected to have 40% market share. Uber share will further decline to 55% 2029 • Company is having a very friendly image as opposed to other competitors. • The price is comparatively less compared to the competitor. • People prefer Lyft for small rides as they are easily available and pocket friendly LYFT USP:
  • 9. Competitor Indirect Competitor 68% Uber 76B $ Uber is the current competitor of Lyft. Direct Competitior Uber current evaluation stands at 76 Billion $ wheras Lyft is valued at 16 Billion. Uber is currently having 68% market share in USA The indirect competitors are local transport like Bus service , Metros and local taxis.
  • 10. TAM In 2009 the TAM was 51 Billion $ and so applying a 10% gain in each year the total addressable market in 2019 as 132 Billion $. TAM in 2019 = 132 Billion $ 51 56.1 61.71 67.881 74.6691 82.13601 90.349611 99.3845721 109.3230293 120.2553322 132.2808655 145.508952 160.0598472 176.0658319 193.6724151 213.0396566 234.3436223 257.7779845 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
  • 11. Unit Economics Per Rider The year on year marketing expenses incurred by the company divided by year on year incrementing number of customer. The customer acquisition cost for Lyft is coming around 98.02$. Customer Acquisition Cost 01 Value added per rider 02 Value added per rider comes from total value added / Number of active riders. The value added per rider comes around 141.67$
  • 12. Unit Economics Customer Lifetime Value 03 The customer Lifetime value comes from the value added per existing rider less customer acquisition cost. The customer lifetime value comes around 43.65$.
  • 13. Unit Economics Based on Per Ride Sales and Marketing cost = 275.1 Million -(A) Active Rides = 196.24 Million -(B) Sales & Marketing cost Per Ride = 1.4 $ -(A/B) Active Riders =20.5 Million -(C) Revenue per Rider =37.86 $ -(D) Revenue per Ride =3.955$ - ((C*D)/B)
  • 14. Growth Model • Although the Lyft model is widely popular, it is not profitable as of yet. In that respect, a growth model is required to reach the break-even. • Growth usually can be achieved by a combination of 3 strategies: run, team-up and block. In case of Lyft, the block strategy is lesser hard to implement, as the fixed costs entailed are very low. It can engage run and team-up strategies. • Run essentially means to innovate, and team-up can be either strategic partnerships with other firms for cross-selling, or consolidations with positive synergies. • Lyft has strategic partnerships with Hilton, Starbucks, Humana, MasterCard and others. Lyft has acquired Motivate, Blue Vision, Cherry, Yesgraph, DataScore and others. • Although a breakout disruptive technology is always appreciated, ‘Less is more innovations’ (LIMI) works well for Lyft so as to not alienate existing customers and innovating at the same time. • Salient features may be re-emphasizing on Lyft being a friendly car that you can rely on, rather than a car where there is a strategic disconnect. This can also point to reverse positioning where Lyft is not merely a taxi, but your friend, and the moods can be light.
  • 15. Valuation The current market share of Lyft is 6% and is assumed to be 40% in terminal year. • Using these assumptions we estimated the operating margin and thus the operating income and after accounting for reinvestment needs calculated the FCFF of the company, present value of those is then calculated to reach to the EV which is 20billion and share price of the firm is coming out to be $72.90. Discounted Cash Flow Model 01 We used many qualitative and quantitative assumptions to estimate the industry size, risk associated, growth of the market, chances of failure for valuation using DCF and Comparables both. The valuation ranges from 5 Billion to 20 Billion based on the methodology. Valuation using Comparable 02