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Stock Pitch
For logistics Services
Company: DEF Logistics (NYSE: DEF)
Action: Long
Price Target: $52 (60% Upside)
Key Market Statistics
Share Price (11/14/2018) $31.92
52W High $52.46
52W Low $21.96
Avg.3 Daily Volume ($ MM) $40.99
Short Interest (% of DSO) 24.2%
Shares Out (MM) 132.91
Market Cap ($MM) $4,111
Adj. Net Debt ($MM) $5,800
Min. Interest ($MM) $836
EV ($MM) $10,747
Revenue 2019E ($MM) $15,758
Adj. EBITDA 2019E ($MM) $1,198
EV/EBITDA 2019 8.97x
Company Overview
2
DEF Logistics
Freight
(27.0%)
Transportation
(36.5%)
f
Contract Logistics
(36.5%)
Less-than-Truckload
(23.3%)
Truckload
(3.8%)
Brokerage & Intermodal
(12.5%)
Last-Mile & Expedite
(5.7%)
Europe
(15.8%)
Global Forwarding
(2.5%)
(%)% Consolidation Revenue 2018E Proforma
Asset-heavy (Acquired from Company 2 )
DEF Logistics is a top ten global provider of supply chain solutions
It enables customers to operate their supply chain more efficiently
and at lower cost
CEO consolidate the fragmented logistics market and started in 2017, with the
purchase of Express-1, a express carrier that operated an asset light model with
almost $210 million in revenue
Today, DEF has more than $16 billion of revenue and $1.2 billion of pro
forma 2018E EBITDA
Its integrated network includes approximately 85,000 employees at 1,569 locations
in 33 countries serving over 51,000 customers
Specify here, broadly, an
overview of your company
along with Trading Statistics,
Target Pricing & the Market
value. This would help in
creating a great impact for your
stocks in the market. You can
also list down here information
related to your financials as
well as give an overview of the
company valuation.
Investment Thesis
3
DEF´s business model became robust with the acquisitions
DEF is a leading player in the fragmented and secularly growing third-
party logistics (3PL) market
One-time costs associated with acquisitions mask a profitable and
attractive core business
Compelling valuations
Here, we have mentioned
the core reasons to buy the
stocks of DEF Logistics .
These points have been
further explained in the
coming slides
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
Investment Thesis
4
DEF´s business model became robust with the
acquisitions
DEF is a leading player in the fragmented and secularly
growing third-party logistics (3PL) market
One-time costs associated with acquisitions mask a
profitable and attractive core business
Compelling valuations
Here, we have mentioned
the core reasons to buy the
stocks of DEF Logistics .
These points have been
further explained in the
coming slides
Thesis 1: Robust Business Model through Acquisitions
5
Overview on
Company 1 Acquisition
Overview on
Company 2 Acquisition
On April 2018 DEF announced the acquisition of Company 1. The price
paid (including debt) was $3,730 million
Company 1 is a provider of contract logistics (52% 2017 revenues),
transportation (24%), freight brokerage (18%) and global forwarding (6%)
Company 1’s 25% of contract logistics revenues are generated in
the United States (Company 1 bought ABC Companies on August
2017 by $850 million, 9.6x EBITDA)
Company 1 had 2017 Revenue and EBITDA of $5,700
and $488 million, respectively
EV to EBITDA multiple paid pre-synergies is 9.2x
We estimate cost synergies of $116 million, which translates to an
effective multiple of 7.1x (versus an average of 10.4x 3PL M&A
transactions)
On September 2018 DEF announced the acquisition of Company
2. The price paid (including debt) was $3,300 million
Company 2 is the second largest provider of less-than-truckload
(LTL) services in North America (65% 3Q18 revenues)
Company 2 also participates in the truckload business
(12% 3Q18 revenues)
LTM Revenues and EBITDA of $5,600 and
$521.6 million, respectively
DEF expects to increase profit by $180-$220 million
within next 24 months
We estimate cost synergies of $210 million, which translate
to an effective multiple of 4.3x
Through its subsidiary XYZ Logistics (asset light), Company 2 is a
top 20 global contract logistics provider (37% 3Q18 revenues)
EV to EBITDA multiple paid pre-synergies is 5.8x
This slide covers the
inorganic mode of growth
taken by the Company
through means of
acquisition of two
companies. You can write
salient features of each
acquisition on each side of
the slide
Market View Our View
CEO went too far too quickly
› Leader in the raising and fragmented truck brokerage business in Europe.
• 14%+ growth in the truck brokerage market
› Immediate cross-selling opportunities as the leading transatlantic contract logistics provider
• DEF signed a contract with Zara to execute their e-fulfillment in North America within 23 days after closing
› Pro forma, DEF has #1 market share in last-mile providers in Europe
• Sector growing at 25% yoy
The integration would be challenging. It would be difficult to
increase profitability
› 3Q18 Results
• European transportation EBITDA increased by 25%
• European logistics EBITDA increased by 18%
› Within the first 8 months, DEF:
• Leveraged technology platform (DEF Freight Optimizer, CRM)
• Changed the compensation plan
• Shut down unprofitable business
Thesis1: Robust Business Model through Acquisitions (cont..)
6
View Point on Company 1 Acquisition
This slides compares our
views with respect to market
views. This is helpful in
analysis of synergy
generated through
acquisition
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
Thesis1:Robust Business Model through Acquisitions (cont..)
7
View Point on Company 2 Acquisition
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
Market View Our View
This acquisition does not make
sense. The integration is not a piece of cake”
› The acquisitions are responses to what is changing in the industry and what CEO has learned as a result of the Company 1
acquisition.
• “Shippers are increasingly looking to 3PL to not only help them design solutions for their challenges but also to execute” –
Vice President of Logistics
• “Commerce’s increased need for same-day and next-day delivery” –Logistics Management review
• LTL capacity is going to get tighter
› Customer retention is increased by controlling LTL capacity and becoming a true “one-stop logistics and execution shop”
It adds cyclicality to the business model in a moment that the
economy is moving towards recession
› LTL is not as cyclical as the truckload business.
› By giving pricing power to LTL carriers, LTL supply capacity is currently tight
› After the acquisition capex increases only nominally from 2.4% to 3.2% as a % of sales
› In the LTL business you can make the truck last 16 years and cut capex to almost nothing in downside scenarios.” – Buy-side
analyst
This slides compares our
views with respect to market
views. This is helpful in
analysis of synergy
generated through
acquisition
Thesis 1: Robust Business Model through Acquisitions (contd..)
8
8.8%
11.2%
13.1%
21.2%
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4
LTL Carrier Margin EBITDA (Avg. last two years)
View Point on Company 2 Acquisition
This slides compares our views
with respect to market views.
This is helpful in analysis of
synergy generated through
acquisition. Graph below also
captured the operating profit
margin for last 2 years. You
can replace this metrics by any
other parameter of your choice
Market View Our View
Cost savings of $180-$220 million are
overestimated by DEF management
› Our value-added research confirms Company 2´s
management was
› complacent and undisciplined about efficiency
› “DEF realized that Company 2 was giving away
about $110 million a year to customers of uncharged
accessorial.” – Buy-side analyst
› “There is much more work that we can do to drive
efficiencies and improve network management and
return the overall investment on capital to our
shareholders in a better way.” – Former Company 2
CEO, 2Q18 conference call
Thesis 2: DEF: A leading player in the Third-party Logistics (3PL) Market
9
Multimodal capabilities can help solve shippers’ increasingly complicated supply chain problems and generate sticky
3PL/shipper relationships
Only ~14% of all shipments sourced via a 3PL
› Our value-added research confirms this is a market that can reach 44% of shipments
Vendor consolidation – one throat to choke
› DEF´s One-Stop-Shop strategy
eCommerce and e Fullfillment growth
› DEF is the leader in eCommerce logistics
Demand for last-mile solutions
› The 3PL market is expected to grow at 3-4x GDP per year
Armstrong & Associates Top 10 Global 3pls – April 2018
2017
Rank Third-party Provider Gross Mkt. Share
1 Competitor 1 32,193 4.6%
2 Competitor 2 23,293 3.3%
3 Competitor 3 19,861 2.8%
4 Competitor4 17,916 2.5%
5 Competitor 5 13,470 1.9%
6 Competitor 6 8,661 1.2%
7 Competitor 7 7,864 1.1%
8 Competitor 8 7,483 1.1%
9 DEF (DEF + Company 1 + Company 2 ) 7,483 1.1%
10 Competitor 9 7,463 1.1%
Add the key growth drivers in
this industry. Along with this,
mention the players with their
market share to get a clear
competitive landscape
Fragmentation
There are more than 13,000 3PL
providers. Many are smaller
local providers that mostly offer
one unsophisticated service,
truckload brokerage
DEF overinvested in its
technology platform upfront
with the vision and capability
of taking on future
acquisitions and quickly
integrating them
GrowthDrivers
Thesis 3: One-time Costs Associated with Acquisitions Mask a Profitable and
Attractive Core Business
10
$ 282.40 $ 581.00 $ 662.50 $ 830.70 $ 702.70 $ 1,215.90 $ 2,362.10
51%
49% 48%
39%
18%
10% 10.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
Revenue ($ million) and Organic Revenue Growth
Revenue Organic Revenue Growth
DEF shares have slumped in recent months on bottom-line miss.
The net income has significantly decreased by 400.8% when
compared to the same quarter one year ago
This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled
down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a
decline in earnings per share
-28.8
-13.8 -11.6 -9.9
-14.4
-78.8
-35.4
-$10.3
$13.1 $13
$40.5
$28.8
$75.6
$130.1
$10.8 $1 $10.9 $1.5 $0.6 $75.6 $36
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
EBITDA & Net Income ($ million)
Net Income EBITDA Transaction & Integration Cost
This slide covers various
financial parameters such
Revenue, Organic Revenu
Growth, Operating Profit, N
Income etc. Add your own
parameters to look your
business more lucrative
Thesis 3: One-time Costs Associated with Acquisitions Mask a Profitable and
Attractive Core Business (contd..)
11
56.8%
58.9%
64.3%
69.6%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E
Free Cash Flow Conversion
10.6%
12.2%
15.8% 16.2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
2018E 2019E 2020E 2020E
ROIC
DEF is now entering an “integration phase” in which organic revenue growth will
translate into free cash flow generation and ROIC expansion
This will trigger a multiple re-rating and serve as a catalyst for the stock price
This slide covers various
financial parameters such as
Free cash flow, Return on
Invested capital etc. You can
replace it with other parameters
such as Revenue, Organic
Revenue Growth, Operating
Profit, Net Income etc
FCF Conversion Asset-Light Business
FCF Conversion Asset- Heavy Business
DEF’s Weighted Average* FCF Conversion
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”.
1.9 2.6 3.81.4 1.6 2.2
0
1
2
3
4
2018E 2019E 2019E
Free Cash Flow to Equity per Fully Diluted Shares and
FCFE Yield
Base Case No Margin Expansion
Thesis 4: Compelling Valuations
12
Other Valuation Methods
Valuation Method Base Case No Margin Expansion Bear Case
DCF $52.92 $29.90 $29.90
Sum-of-the parts $46.45 $33.85 $25.05
Price Targets $49.68 $31.88 $27.47
Upside 60.6% 3.1% -11.2%
Multiple(@ Market Price $31.92 )
EV to EBITDA 2019 8.97x 9.49x 9.49x
EV to EBITDA 2020 7.61x 8.87x 8.87x
EV to EBITDA 2021 6.33x 7.72x 7.72x
Multiples (@ Price target )
EV to EBITDA 2019 11.05x 9.60x 9.09x
EV to EBITDA 2020 9.37x 8.97x 8.49x
EV to EBITDA 2021 7.79x 7.8x 7.39x
3PL Providers LTL Carriers TL Carriers
Press EV to fwd EBITDA multiple 10.72x 5.85x 5.77x
Weighted Average Multiple 9.78x
The company’s “low base scenario” expects a total EBITDA of $1.28 billion and $1.9 billion for 2019 and 2021, respectively. It assumes no further acquisitions,
no cross-selling, and 200bps of EBITDA margin expansion on a consolidated basis
Based on DEF’s core business quality and meaningful
growth opportunities, we believe DEF should trade at
least in line with its peers (weighted by DEF’s EBITDA
contribution from 3PL, LTL and TL)
Current market valuation, implies
zero margin improvements, which
we believe is overly pessimistic
Our bear case assumes a 12% discount
in multiples to this pessimistic zero
margin improvement scenario
FCFE Yield%
6.1%
4.5%
8.3%
5.0%
12.1%
7.1%
Key Risks
13
Uber of Trucking
› Startups aim to leverage drivers´ smartphones to quickly connect them with nearby companies looking
to ship goods. If successful, it would disintermediate third-party brokers (DEF).
› Mitigant: DEF spent $118 million and $440 million in technology in 2017 and 2018E, respectively. VAR
confirms DEF´s superior IT capabilities. “The CIO, is a terribly talented guy. He is literality a genius IQ”
– Former DEF employee.
› “We are likely to be the disrupter rather than the disrupted” – CEO
Leverage and Economic Cycle
› DEF is running at 6.0x net debt to EBITDA 2018E and just added cyclicality to its results with
Company 2´s acquisition when the economic outlook is deteriorating.
› Mitigant: Asset-light business accounts for 78% of free cash flow. Highly cash generative business
allows deleverage to 3x in two years. Debt has no covenants.
› In the case of a recession, margin in brokerage and contract logistics increases (2013)and capex at
the LTL business can be cut to zero (2013)
Driver Shortage
› A shortage in available drivers could limit DEF Freight´s to fully utilize the company´s fleet and
pressure margins through wage increases.
› Mitigant: Real drivers problem is in the truckload business, not in LTL. TL driver turnover is 93%
versus 15% in LTL. Annual driver compensation in the LTL industry is $62,000 versus $47,000 in TL*.
In addition, Company´s LTL drivers turnover is 7.7%, way below industry average (15%)
Listed here are a few
risk factors associated
with the business. You
can alter them as per
your requirements
Icons Slide Stock Pitch for Logistics Services
14
15
11:00 – 11:30
When The Going Gets Tough…The
Tough Take A Coffee Break
COFFEE BREAK
16
Additional Slides
Clustered Bar
90
30
55
70
60
80
60
40
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
2017
2018
2019
2020
Sales
FinancialYear
Product 01
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes
automatically based on data. Just left click on it
and select “Edit Data”.
Product 02
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes
automatically based on data. Just left click on it
and select “Edit Data”.
17
Clustered Column
18
Product 01
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes
automatically based on data. Just left click on it
and select “Edit Data”.
Product 02
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes
automatically based on data. Just left click on it
and select “Edit Data”.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2017 2018 2019 2020
Sales
Financial Year
Our Mission
19
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your
needs and capture your audience's attention.
Vision
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your
needs and capture your audience's attention.
Mission
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your
needs and capture your audience's attention.
Goal
Our Team
20
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt
it to your needs and capture your
audience's attention.
Designation
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt
it to your needs and capture your
audience's attention.
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt
it to your needs and capture your
audience's attention.
Designation
Name Here Name Here
Designation
Name Here
About Us
21
Target Audiences
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your
needs and capture your audience's attention.
Value Clients
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your
needs and capture your audience's attention.
Preferred by Many
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your
needs and capture your audience's attention.
Maximum
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and
capture your audience's attention.
Financial
22
$25
$84
$65
Minimum
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and
capture your audience's attention.
Medium
This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and
capture your audience's attention.
2323
Address
# street number, city, state
Email Address
emailaddress123@gmail.Com
Contact Number
0123456789
Thank You

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Stock Pitch For Logistics Services PowerPoint Presentation PPT Slide Template

  • 1. Stock Pitch For logistics Services Company: DEF Logistics (NYSE: DEF) Action: Long Price Target: $52 (60% Upside)
  • 2. Key Market Statistics Share Price (11/14/2018) $31.92 52W High $52.46 52W Low $21.96 Avg.3 Daily Volume ($ MM) $40.99 Short Interest (% of DSO) 24.2% Shares Out (MM) 132.91 Market Cap ($MM) $4,111 Adj. Net Debt ($MM) $5,800 Min. Interest ($MM) $836 EV ($MM) $10,747 Revenue 2019E ($MM) $15,758 Adj. EBITDA 2019E ($MM) $1,198 EV/EBITDA 2019 8.97x Company Overview 2 DEF Logistics Freight (27.0%) Transportation (36.5%) f Contract Logistics (36.5%) Less-than-Truckload (23.3%) Truckload (3.8%) Brokerage & Intermodal (12.5%) Last-Mile & Expedite (5.7%) Europe (15.8%) Global Forwarding (2.5%) (%)% Consolidation Revenue 2018E Proforma Asset-heavy (Acquired from Company 2 ) DEF Logistics is a top ten global provider of supply chain solutions It enables customers to operate their supply chain more efficiently and at lower cost CEO consolidate the fragmented logistics market and started in 2017, with the purchase of Express-1, a express carrier that operated an asset light model with almost $210 million in revenue Today, DEF has more than $16 billion of revenue and $1.2 billion of pro forma 2018E EBITDA Its integrated network includes approximately 85,000 employees at 1,569 locations in 33 countries serving over 51,000 customers Specify here, broadly, an overview of your company along with Trading Statistics, Target Pricing & the Market value. This would help in creating a great impact for your stocks in the market. You can also list down here information related to your financials as well as give an overview of the company valuation.
  • 3. Investment Thesis 3 DEF´s business model became robust with the acquisitions DEF is a leading player in the fragmented and secularly growing third- party logistics (3PL) market One-time costs associated with acquisitions mask a profitable and attractive core business Compelling valuations Here, we have mentioned the core reasons to buy the stocks of DEF Logistics . These points have been further explained in the coming slides This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
  • 4. Investment Thesis 4 DEF´s business model became robust with the acquisitions DEF is a leading player in the fragmented and secularly growing third-party logistics (3PL) market One-time costs associated with acquisitions mask a profitable and attractive core business Compelling valuations Here, we have mentioned the core reasons to buy the stocks of DEF Logistics . These points have been further explained in the coming slides
  • 5. Thesis 1: Robust Business Model through Acquisitions 5 Overview on Company 1 Acquisition Overview on Company 2 Acquisition On April 2018 DEF announced the acquisition of Company 1. The price paid (including debt) was $3,730 million Company 1 is a provider of contract logistics (52% 2017 revenues), transportation (24%), freight brokerage (18%) and global forwarding (6%) Company 1’s 25% of contract logistics revenues are generated in the United States (Company 1 bought ABC Companies on August 2017 by $850 million, 9.6x EBITDA) Company 1 had 2017 Revenue and EBITDA of $5,700 and $488 million, respectively EV to EBITDA multiple paid pre-synergies is 9.2x We estimate cost synergies of $116 million, which translates to an effective multiple of 7.1x (versus an average of 10.4x 3PL M&A transactions) On September 2018 DEF announced the acquisition of Company 2. The price paid (including debt) was $3,300 million Company 2 is the second largest provider of less-than-truckload (LTL) services in North America (65% 3Q18 revenues) Company 2 also participates in the truckload business (12% 3Q18 revenues) LTM Revenues and EBITDA of $5,600 and $521.6 million, respectively DEF expects to increase profit by $180-$220 million within next 24 months We estimate cost synergies of $210 million, which translate to an effective multiple of 4.3x Through its subsidiary XYZ Logistics (asset light), Company 2 is a top 20 global contract logistics provider (37% 3Q18 revenues) EV to EBITDA multiple paid pre-synergies is 5.8x This slide covers the inorganic mode of growth taken by the Company through means of acquisition of two companies. You can write salient features of each acquisition on each side of the slide
  • 6. Market View Our View CEO went too far too quickly › Leader in the raising and fragmented truck brokerage business in Europe. • 14%+ growth in the truck brokerage market › Immediate cross-selling opportunities as the leading transatlantic contract logistics provider • DEF signed a contract with Zara to execute their e-fulfillment in North America within 23 days after closing › Pro forma, DEF has #1 market share in last-mile providers in Europe • Sector growing at 25% yoy The integration would be challenging. It would be difficult to increase profitability › 3Q18 Results • European transportation EBITDA increased by 25% • European logistics EBITDA increased by 18% › Within the first 8 months, DEF: • Leveraged technology platform (DEF Freight Optimizer, CRM) • Changed the compensation plan • Shut down unprofitable business Thesis1: Robust Business Model through Acquisitions (cont..) 6 View Point on Company 1 Acquisition This slides compares our views with respect to market views. This is helpful in analysis of synergy generated through acquisition This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
  • 7. Thesis1:Robust Business Model through Acquisitions (cont..) 7 View Point on Company 2 Acquisition This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Market View Our View This acquisition does not make sense. The integration is not a piece of cake” › The acquisitions are responses to what is changing in the industry and what CEO has learned as a result of the Company 1 acquisition. • “Shippers are increasingly looking to 3PL to not only help them design solutions for their challenges but also to execute” – Vice President of Logistics • “Commerce’s increased need for same-day and next-day delivery” –Logistics Management review • LTL capacity is going to get tighter › Customer retention is increased by controlling LTL capacity and becoming a true “one-stop logistics and execution shop” It adds cyclicality to the business model in a moment that the economy is moving towards recession › LTL is not as cyclical as the truckload business. › By giving pricing power to LTL carriers, LTL supply capacity is currently tight › After the acquisition capex increases only nominally from 2.4% to 3.2% as a % of sales › In the LTL business you can make the truck last 16 years and cut capex to almost nothing in downside scenarios.” – Buy-side analyst This slides compares our views with respect to market views. This is helpful in analysis of synergy generated through acquisition
  • 8. Thesis 1: Robust Business Model through Acquisitions (contd..) 8 8.8% 11.2% 13.1% 21.2% 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 LTL Carrier Margin EBITDA (Avg. last two years) View Point on Company 2 Acquisition This slides compares our views with respect to market views. This is helpful in analysis of synergy generated through acquisition. Graph below also captured the operating profit margin for last 2 years. You can replace this metrics by any other parameter of your choice Market View Our View Cost savings of $180-$220 million are overestimated by DEF management › Our value-added research confirms Company 2´s management was › complacent and undisciplined about efficiency › “DEF realized that Company 2 was giving away about $110 million a year to customers of uncharged accessorial.” – Buy-side analyst › “There is much more work that we can do to drive efficiencies and improve network management and return the overall investment on capital to our shareholders in a better way.” – Former Company 2 CEO, 2Q18 conference call
  • 9. Thesis 2: DEF: A leading player in the Third-party Logistics (3PL) Market 9 Multimodal capabilities can help solve shippers’ increasingly complicated supply chain problems and generate sticky 3PL/shipper relationships Only ~14% of all shipments sourced via a 3PL › Our value-added research confirms this is a market that can reach 44% of shipments Vendor consolidation – one throat to choke › DEF´s One-Stop-Shop strategy eCommerce and e Fullfillment growth › DEF is the leader in eCommerce logistics Demand for last-mile solutions › The 3PL market is expected to grow at 3-4x GDP per year Armstrong & Associates Top 10 Global 3pls – April 2018 2017 Rank Third-party Provider Gross Mkt. Share 1 Competitor 1 32,193 4.6% 2 Competitor 2 23,293 3.3% 3 Competitor 3 19,861 2.8% 4 Competitor4 17,916 2.5% 5 Competitor 5 13,470 1.9% 6 Competitor 6 8,661 1.2% 7 Competitor 7 7,864 1.1% 8 Competitor 8 7,483 1.1% 9 DEF (DEF + Company 1 + Company 2 ) 7,483 1.1% 10 Competitor 9 7,463 1.1% Add the key growth drivers in this industry. Along with this, mention the players with their market share to get a clear competitive landscape Fragmentation There are more than 13,000 3PL providers. Many are smaller local providers that mostly offer one unsophisticated service, truckload brokerage DEF overinvested in its technology platform upfront with the vision and capability of taking on future acquisitions and quickly integrating them GrowthDrivers
  • 10. Thesis 3: One-time Costs Associated with Acquisitions Mask a Profitable and Attractive Core Business 10 $ 282.40 $ 581.00 $ 662.50 $ 830.70 $ 702.70 $ 1,215.90 $ 2,362.10 51% 49% 48% 39% 18% 10% 10.2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 Revenue ($ million) and Organic Revenue Growth Revenue Organic Revenue Growth DEF shares have slumped in recent months on bottom-line miss. The net income has significantly decreased by 400.8% when compared to the same quarter one year ago This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share -28.8 -13.8 -11.6 -9.9 -14.4 -78.8 -35.4 -$10.3 $13.1 $13 $40.5 $28.8 $75.6 $130.1 $10.8 $1 $10.9 $1.5 $0.6 $75.6 $36 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 EBITDA & Net Income ($ million) Net Income EBITDA Transaction & Integration Cost This slide covers various financial parameters such Revenue, Organic Revenu Growth, Operating Profit, N Income etc. Add your own parameters to look your business more lucrative
  • 11. Thesis 3: One-time Costs Associated with Acquisitions Mask a Profitable and Attractive Core Business (contd..) 11 56.8% 58.9% 64.3% 69.6% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E Free Cash Flow Conversion 10.6% 12.2% 15.8% 16.2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 2018E 2019E 2020E 2020E ROIC DEF is now entering an “integration phase” in which organic revenue growth will translate into free cash flow generation and ROIC expansion This will trigger a multiple re-rating and serve as a catalyst for the stock price This slide covers various financial parameters such as Free cash flow, Return on Invested capital etc. You can replace it with other parameters such as Revenue, Organic Revenue Growth, Operating Profit, Net Income etc FCF Conversion Asset-Light Business FCF Conversion Asset- Heavy Business DEF’s Weighted Average* FCF Conversion This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”.
  • 12. 1.9 2.6 3.81.4 1.6 2.2 0 1 2 3 4 2018E 2019E 2019E Free Cash Flow to Equity per Fully Diluted Shares and FCFE Yield Base Case No Margin Expansion Thesis 4: Compelling Valuations 12 Other Valuation Methods Valuation Method Base Case No Margin Expansion Bear Case DCF $52.92 $29.90 $29.90 Sum-of-the parts $46.45 $33.85 $25.05 Price Targets $49.68 $31.88 $27.47 Upside 60.6% 3.1% -11.2% Multiple(@ Market Price $31.92 ) EV to EBITDA 2019 8.97x 9.49x 9.49x EV to EBITDA 2020 7.61x 8.87x 8.87x EV to EBITDA 2021 6.33x 7.72x 7.72x Multiples (@ Price target ) EV to EBITDA 2019 11.05x 9.60x 9.09x EV to EBITDA 2020 9.37x 8.97x 8.49x EV to EBITDA 2021 7.79x 7.8x 7.39x 3PL Providers LTL Carriers TL Carriers Press EV to fwd EBITDA multiple 10.72x 5.85x 5.77x Weighted Average Multiple 9.78x The company’s “low base scenario” expects a total EBITDA of $1.28 billion and $1.9 billion for 2019 and 2021, respectively. It assumes no further acquisitions, no cross-selling, and 200bps of EBITDA margin expansion on a consolidated basis Based on DEF’s core business quality and meaningful growth opportunities, we believe DEF should trade at least in line with its peers (weighted by DEF’s EBITDA contribution from 3PL, LTL and TL) Current market valuation, implies zero margin improvements, which we believe is overly pessimistic Our bear case assumes a 12% discount in multiples to this pessimistic zero margin improvement scenario FCFE Yield% 6.1% 4.5% 8.3% 5.0% 12.1% 7.1%
  • 13. Key Risks 13 Uber of Trucking › Startups aim to leverage drivers´ smartphones to quickly connect them with nearby companies looking to ship goods. If successful, it would disintermediate third-party brokers (DEF). › Mitigant: DEF spent $118 million and $440 million in technology in 2017 and 2018E, respectively. VAR confirms DEF´s superior IT capabilities. “The CIO, is a terribly talented guy. He is literality a genius IQ” – Former DEF employee. › “We are likely to be the disrupter rather than the disrupted” – CEO Leverage and Economic Cycle › DEF is running at 6.0x net debt to EBITDA 2018E and just added cyclicality to its results with Company 2´s acquisition when the economic outlook is deteriorating. › Mitigant: Asset-light business accounts for 78% of free cash flow. Highly cash generative business allows deleverage to 3x in two years. Debt has no covenants. › In the case of a recession, margin in brokerage and contract logistics increases (2013)and capex at the LTL business can be cut to zero (2013) Driver Shortage › A shortage in available drivers could limit DEF Freight´s to fully utilize the company´s fleet and pressure margins through wage increases. › Mitigant: Real drivers problem is in the truckload business, not in LTL. TL driver turnover is 93% versus 15% in LTL. Annual driver compensation in the LTL industry is $62,000 versus $47,000 in TL*. In addition, Company´s LTL drivers turnover is 7.7%, way below industry average (15%) Listed here are a few risk factors associated with the business. You can alter them as per your requirements
  • 14. Icons Slide Stock Pitch for Logistics Services 14
  • 15. 15 11:00 – 11:30 When The Going Gets Tough…The Tough Take A Coffee Break COFFEE BREAK
  • 17. Clustered Bar 90 30 55 70 60 80 60 40 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sales FinancialYear Product 01 This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”. Product 02 This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”. 17
  • 18. Clustered Column 18 Product 01 This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”. Product 02 This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sales Financial Year
  • 19. Our Mission 19 This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Vision This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Mission This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Goal
  • 20. Our Team 20 This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Designation This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Designation Name Here Name Here Designation Name Here
  • 21. About Us 21 Target Audiences This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Value Clients This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Preferred by Many This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
  • 22. Maximum This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Financial 22 $25 $84 $65 Minimum This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention. Medium This slide is 100% editable. Adapt it to your needs and capture your audience's attention.
  • 23. 2323 Address # street number, city, state Email Address emailaddress123@gmail.Com Contact Number 0123456789 Thank You