some basic idea about Nuclear Deterrence

1. DETERRENCE
Presented By
Sheikh Abir Ahmed
BIR-16
Sec:B

3. Deterrence
• Don’t do this ( Restriction)
• Punishment & Pay the Cost
• Giving threat to other not to attack me, if they do so then they would
be punished
• Aims to persuade the opponent not to initiate action
• A psychological phenomena
• No physical involvement rather psychological threat

4. RAM
• Rational Actor Model
• People are rational
• complex concept with different meanings to different people
• Everyone is rational on their on way of thinking

5. Some Key thinkers
• Bernard Brodie
• Henry Kissinger
• Thomas Schelling
• Herman Kahn
• Albert Wohlstetter

6. Prerequisite of Successful Deterrence
Communication
CapabilityCredibility

7. Types of Deterrence
Active or
Extended
Deterrence
Passive
Deterrence

8. MUSHROOM CLOUD

9. Triad
If 2 delivery system damaged, one will be still there to destroy
1. Strategic Air Command
2. ICBM
3. SLBM

10. Some Other Launching system
• SRBM
• MRBM
• IRBM
• ABM

12. Success or Failure of Deterrence?

13. Massive retaliation
• All or nothing but a strategy
• Used threat to nuke for the 1st time
• Taken by EisenHower administration
• this speech delivered by John Foster Dulles
• Here also Crediblity missing

14. Doctrine of Flexible Response(DFR)
• U.S defense strategy
• Taken by JFK adminstration
• The term ‘flexible response’ first appeared in U.S. General Maxwell D. Taylor’s
book The Uncertain Trumpet (1960)
• Alternative to President Dwight D. Eisenhower’s New Look national security
policy
• Intra war deterrence introduced
• Tactical nuclear weapon can be used in time of war
• For further reading
http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/history/cold-
war/strategy/strategy-flexible-response.htm

15. Cont.
• Emerge new term. “ Mutual Vulnerability”
• Signed ABM treaty in 1960s
• Mutual Assured Destruction(MAD)
• Failed. As it also couldn’t ensure Credibility

16. Cont.
• Robert McNamar’s idea : attack USSR & killed 30% civilian, destroy
75% industrial capability
it also failed because of the lack of Credibility
• James R. Schlesinger: Sclesinger’s Doctrine (NSDM-242)
oCounter value targeting
oCounter force targeting
This idea was Credible.

17. Cont.
• “Counter Vailing Strategy” by Harold Brown
• Also known as Decapitation
• Means assassination of the leader of opponent.

18. For more about this topic
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zui89Uag1xw
• http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-
weapons/history/cold-war/strategy/strategy-
massive%20retaliation.htm
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LgYI50PLVm8