TREND OF GERMAN’S NATIONAL BUDGET IN EURO AND DOLLAR AND ITS EFFECT ON GERMANY POLITICAL WEIGHT
http://iilss.net/
http://maynter.com
GERMAN’S MUST WORKING ON MENTAL ELEMENT’S OF POWER (ANALYSIS OF GERMANY GOVERNMENTAL WEIGHT)
A GOOD MODEL FOR INSPIRATION (GERMANY POLITICAL WEIGHT INDEX TREND)
Germany's focus on industrial matters and economics stabilized its political weight
1. A good model for inspiration
)Germany political weight index trend (
1. When we look at the trend of Germany political weight index in last 20
years, their football play skills comes to mind. This expression reason
is that in last 20 years, they played the flexible game in policy and
economy, which almost led to their political weight, had increased
flow. Germany political Society, with three important factors of states
structure (population, land and governance), did a logical play. At now
Germany political weight equal to 350 and it has 5% growth in
comparison with 2000.
MAYNTER
www.maynter.comMaysam araee daronkola
0
275
300
325
350
375
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
PW (Political Weight) index
2. The shares of governmental weight in political weight that the sign of governance
ability in political weight body is equal to 65%. Then we can explain Germany
could save own governmental weight trend in last 20 years. The on-time reaction
of population (by decline of population) in Germany, that fully harmonized with
economic affairs, lead to stay Germany political weight growth after 2010. If
Germany population had increased flow at 2008, nevertheless they political weight
growth continued.
59
62
65
68
2001 2006 2011 2016
shares of GW in PW
3. LPC or land per capita in Germany in last 10 years almost was a fixed number.(
that's it is 8 meter per person) this is shown Germany industrial Society instead of
population growth, working on their economic growth and Efficiency. But it is
obvious German Society has a challenge on the human resource for next
decades. Because the present expert population must shifting with new young
people and human resource, unless they can always control and save the expert
and young people amount by importing of expert or refugee from other countries.
4. Our prospect is that Germany political weight, observantly to the population
decline in last 2 years and continuing of it, lead to save of their growth flow in
next year.( this position in UK and France is invert type) It seems that the freeze
of Germany population and their economic growth rate , lead to more welfare and
sustainability in Germany. it seems that they are Going for leadership of Europe
and know who playing with old and new economics powers. Because the Germany
ability for control of economic crisis is so great and after 2008 economic crisis,
they could save their political weight.
5. Focus of Germany on industrial matters and economics section, and also no
interest for singing to international Adventures with logical view to population
matter, had important rule on their political weight stability.
80,000,000
80,500,000
81,000,000
81,500,000
82,000,000
2000 2005 2010 2015
Population
2. German’s must working on mental element’s of power
(analysis of Germany Governmental Weight)
1. Governmental weight index of Germany in 2018 equal to
44 of 100 and in last 20 years it had mostly growth flow.
GW weight in Germany from 2000 to 2008 had declined
flow but with on time reaction of population and
government in economics sector it was growed up from
2008. In fact they controlled this crisis with population
contraction and fundamental conduct in public economy.
MAYNTER
www.maynter.comMaysam araee daronkola
1
35
40
45
50
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
GW or Governmental Weight index of 100
2. The reason’s of Germany GW index growth flow (that it seems will
continue in next years) shaped of; 1. Population growth has
stopped and even collapsed 2. GDP and BPC (budget per capita)
growth and even B index (budget size in comparison with welfare
state) had grown. They can save their national budget income’s in
dollar, not just in euro, and it’s for high export and international
trade 3. The Δt growth (governance stability index) and its share in
last year's had growing flow. Germany GW index share in PW index
structure was almost between 64-65%. It means that they
government potential and ability almost is very bigger than of their
geopolitical realities.
60
61
62
63
64
65
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
GW shares in PW structure in percent
3. The German’s economy is highly dependent on foreign export’s
and it’s raised from their ability for knowledge management in
industry sector. Then they need’s to raw material for produce and
customer for selling and exports. At now we must seat and waiting
that who they can use of this situation, when china and USA begin
new economic and trade encounter. Germany for save current
position and growth need to the new market size, especially when
UK interesting to leave EU.
3. German’s must working on mental element’s of power
(analysis of Germany Governmental Weight)
4. Although Germany B index (budget size index) had increased flow in last
decade's, and it's sign of their distance in economic welfare with welfare
state, but the B index shares in GW structure had declined flow until 2008.
From 2008, B shares in GW body controlled and with gentle slope had
increased flow. At now B share in GW index body is 34%. We must know
Germany B index and other component of GW had not big fluctuated and
they can save their stability. B share in Germany GW index body is normal
but other component of GW index in Germany is not normal situation.
They worked excellent in economic sector and must work on policy and
democracy as they did in economy and Industry. It is obvious that nobody
can buy mental parts of governance and sovereignty.
5. Δt or governance stability index had increased flow in Germany and it
has happened for all developed countrie’s. But important matter in Δt is
its amount in comparison with other state and its share in the GW body.
Germany Δt index is 18 and in comparison with UK and USA and even
such EU country it's low, but in comparison with France, Russia and many
of country that had some kind of changing in their political system after
WWII, it has a good condition. Also it's important, Germany Δt shares in
GW index has a growth flow and at now it's equal to 25/5% of GW index
structure. In UK it's 35% and in France it's 24% of GW. we can say WWII
and it's consequence’s led to this situation. Current political Society and
political system must define new Germany political personality in the new
world. on that day, Germany can to handle most part of bureaucracy
based on governance legitimacy, not money, and changing to political
power in the new world with new global player’s. Germany has a long way,
but exactly with current situation they are moving to forward.
6. CP or concentration of power almost has a more of 40% share in GW
index of Germany. Obviously, when any country has not long age in
governance, they must use of more Force and security tools for Society
management. In UK share of CP at GW index is 36% and in Russia it's 57
%.( Italy and France has a same share of CP in GW index like Germany). It's
important that we know this index has not relevant with economic factors
and for decline its share, Germany need to cultural and political matter,
and also much of patient. Germany political system and governance must
save current stability in next decade for achieve to High GW index.
MAYNTER
www.maynter.comMaysam araee daronkola
2
20
23
26
29
32
35
38
41
44
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Share of B or budget sizeShare of Δt or Governance stabilityShare of CP or concentration of power
4. Trend of German’s national budget in euro and dollar
And its effect on Germany political weight
1. The trend of Germany national budget shown us one of the Succeeded
state after international economic crisis (after 2008) in economic sector
was Germany governance. They could control USD and euro balance in
their economy and also controlled GDP and national income. In fact they
saved their economic growth on international economy arena, not just
Eurozone. These is important factor for explaining their GW (governmental
weight) index growth.
MAYNTER
www.maynter.comMaysam araee daronkola
0
2. Germany had increased flow in budget revenue, GDP, BPC (budget per capita) and B
(budget size index). In 2018, their budget in Euro had 60% growth in comparison with
2000 and in dollar; their budget had 105% growth in comparison with 2000. Although,
they have notable downfall in their budget at 2009, 2010, 2012 and 2015.
3. Germany budget in euro at 2000 equal to 965 billion euro and in 2018 it’s 1,570 billion
euro. in last 20 years only in 3 years they had contraction budget (2001, 2009 and 2010).
But in rest, they had incremental euro budget. In dollar budget, they have multiple
fluctuations in the trend and it’s raised from Fluctuation of the euro against the dollar.
800,000,000,000
1,000,000,000,000
1,200,000,000,000
1,400,000,000,000
1,600,000,000,000
1,800,000,000,000
2,000,000,000,000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
4. According to the budget growth and population decline in Germany, BPC (budget per
capita) in Germany from $10,000 in 2000 increased to $22600 in 2108. It's shown us they
had 126 % growth in BPC. Population contraction and budget growth in dollar (that, it's
the sign of euro and USD equilibrium in Germans economy) lead to governmental weight
growth in Germany. These situations lead to more welfare in Germany and decrease of
their distance with welfare States. Maybe their BPC in 2019 shift to more than of $24,000.
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
5. In Germany, B index, which it’s sign of welfare distance of under review country with best
BPC in welfare state, is 46 of 100, that in comparison with 2000 downfall 8/6%, but in
comparison with 2008-2010 increase about 15%. In UK it was fixed around 27 of 100 in
last 2 decades and in France it was decreased 15% in comparison to 2000. In France, at
now it’s 46 of 100.
30
40
50
60
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Budget in euroBudget in dollar
BPCGDP per capita