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Cairo, Egypt
November 4, 2019
Mahmoud Mohieldin
Senior Vice President
World Bank Group
The State of the
Sustainable Development Goals
in the Arab Region
Narrative Summit
Mahmoud Mohieldin
Senior Vice President
World Bank Group
93  Algeria
47 Bahrain
104  Egypt
129  Iraq77  Kuwait
86  Lebanon
98  Morocco
54  Oman
82  West Bank and Gaza
60  Qatar
73  Saudi Arabia
96  Tunisia
49  UAE
145  Yemen79  Jordan
2
Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now?
Human Development & Human Capital
3* Some countries are excluded from analyses due to lack of data
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
HCI (World Bank, 2017) HDI (UNDP, 2017)
Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now?
Human Development & Human Capital
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
China Colombia Korea Singapore Sweden Vietnam
HCI (World Bank, 2017) HDI (UNDP, 2017)
4* Some countries are excluded from analyses due to lack of data
# Country DBI 2020 Ranking
1 United Arab Emirates 16
2 Bahrain 43
3 Morocco 53
4 Saudi Arabia 62
5 Oman 68
6 Jordan 75
7 Qatar 77
8 Tunisia 78
9 Kuwait 83
10 Djibouti 112
11 Egypt 114
12 State of Palestine 117
13 Lebanon 143
14 Mauritania 152
15 Algeria 157
16 Comoros 160
17 Sudan 171
18 Iraq 172
19 Syria 176
20 Libya 186
21 Yemen 187
22 Somalia 190
Country Global Competitiveness
Index Rank 2019
(out of 137)
UAE 17
Qatar 25
Saudi Arabia 30
Bahrain 44
Kuwait 52
Oman 62
Jordan 65
Morocco 71
Algeria 86
Tunisia 95
Egypt 100
Lebanon 105
Mauritania 133
Yemen 137
Comoros N/A
Djibouti N/A
Iraq N/A
Libya N/A
Somalia N/A
Sudan N/A
Syria N/A
Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now?
Business Environment
Top 10 Top 10
Sources:
World Bank Group, 2019 and
World Economic Forum, 2019
5
Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now?
Poverty & Inequality
# Country
National Poverty
Rate
International Poverty
Rate
GINI Index Shared Prosperity
1 Algeria 5.5 0.5 27.6 N/A
2 Bahrain N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 Comoros N/A 17.9 45.3 N/A
4 Djibouti 21.1 16.5 41.6 N/A
5 Egypt 27.8 1.4 30 2.58
6 Iraq 22.5 N/A 29.5 N/A
7 Jordan N/A N/A N/A N/A
8 Kuwait N/A N/A N/A N/A
9 Lebanon 27.4 31.8 N/A
10 Libya N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 Mauritania N/A 6 32.6 N/A
12 Morocco 4.8 0.7 39.5 N/A
13 Oman N/A N/A N/A N/A
14 Palestine N/A N/A 33.7 -0.89
15 Qatar N/A N/A N/A N/A
16 Saudi Arabia N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 Somalia N/A N/A N/A N/A
18 Sudan N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 Syria N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 Tunisia 15.2 0.3 30.9 N/A
21 United Arab Emirates N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 Yemen 48.6 18.8 36.7 N/ASource: WDI and Macro Poverty Outlook, World Bank, 2019
6
Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now?
Poverty & Inequality
The poor lack not only income; poverty is often accompanied by
other critical elements.
60% of the population in the region has little, or
no access, to drinkable water compared to
the global average of 35%
youth unemployment, the highest
in the world
Source: Beyond Scarcity: Water Security in the Middle East and North Africa (2018), World Bank Group
Extreme poverty in MENA is rising
Areas of
deprivation
Personal
security
Education
Social
protection
Health
Food
25%
Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now?
Regional Trends
7
 Political disruptions reduce predictability in the business environment
 Fragility and conflict, war situations including violent conflict contribute to
slowing growth
 A need to increase economic diversification and boost non-oil revenues,
put in place fiscal consolidation measures and reduce macroeconomic risks
 Plunging oil prices and renewed OPEC oil production cuts further dampen
growth recovery
 A need to boost the private sector for production of more and better jobs
Source: Macro Poverty Outlook: Country-by-country Analysis and Projections for the
Developing World, World Bank, Annual Meetings 2019
8
What Context Are We Working in to Achieve the SDGs?
Global Trade
Source: Global Economic Prospects, World Bank Group, 2019
9
Investment Growth
Global Growth
Source: Global Economic Prospects, World Bank Group, 2019
Global Policy Uncertainty
Global Business Confidence
What Context Are We Working in to
Achieve the SDGs?
10
What Context Are We Working in to
Achieve the SDGs?
Climate change
Geopolitical instability
Social Discontent and Local
Conflicts
Cybersecurity risks
Natural Resources
Management
Artificial Intelligence and Big
Data
Pollution
Pandemics and Infectious Diseases
New Threats to Security
Macroeconomic Risks
Source: AXA-Eurasia Group, 2019
11
What Context Are We Working in to
Achieve the SDGs?
Country
Change Readiness Index
(out of 140; KPMG, 2019)
Algeria 111
Bahrain N/A
Comoros N/A
Djibouti N/A
Egypt 81
Iraq N/A
Jordan 42
Kuwait N/A
Lebanon 77
Mauritania 126
Morocco 67
Oman N/A
Qatar 12
Saudi Arabia 30
Sudan 136
Tunisia 68
UAE 5
Yemen N/A
Source: KPMG, 2019
Change Readiness Index Top 10
12
Leveraging the Potential of Disruptive Changes
Requires a Comprehensive Policy Framework
13
What is Needed to Accelerate Progress?
Investments in Human Capital
•Early childhood education,
secondary and tertiary
•Health
•Technical skills
Investments in Resilience
Social protection
Climate and disaster resilience
Risk identification and
preparedness
Investments in Infrastructure
The new DNA: Data, Networks
and Artificial Intelligence
Physical infrastructure
Internet connectivity
14
What is Needed to Accelerate Progress?
Strong
Institutions
Policies
Effective
Management of
Resources
 Natural Resources
 Human Resources
 Financial Resources
 Regulatory Policy
 Economic and
Financial Policies
 Development
Strategies
 National and Local
Government
 Regional Institutions
 NGOs
 Academic and
Research Institutions
Aspirations of the SDGs become real to
communities, households and individuals
Less program waste and duplication and
respect for diversity culture and traditions
Local institutions understand the needs of
people, hence allowing better public
service delivery by prioritizing
expenditures
15
Localization of the SDGs
Inclusive localism:
“Community ties can
be more efficient than
markets or government
alone…”
Raghuram Rajan, 2019
16Source: Localising the 2030 Agenda in Colombia, Dag Hammarkjold Foundation, 2018 and https://www.ods.gov.co/en/timeline
Localization of the SDGs: Colombia
February 2015
• Creation of the
SDG
Commission
for the
Enlistment and
Effective
Implementation
of the SDGs,
through Decree
280, 2015
June 2015
• Approval of the
National
Development
Plan 2014-
2018. 92 SDG
targetsare
included
September 2015
• Formal
adoption of the
SDGs
February 2016
• Inclusion of the
SDGs in the
Territorial
Development
Plans (PDT) of
Capital Cities
March – April
2016
• Definition of
National SDG
indicators
through
workshops and
consultations
• ECLAC forum
July 2016
• First Voluntary
National
Review by
Colombia at
the High Level
Political Forum
October 2016
• Peace
Agreement
February 2017
• Launch of the
Green Growth
Mission
Initiative led by
the National
Planning
Department
(DNP) - seeks
to define the
inputs and
guidelines of
public policy for
economic
development of
the country
towards
Agenda 2030
March 2017
• SDG Data
congress to
strengthen the
capacities of
the National
Statistical
Systems of the
Andean
Subregion
March 2018
• Launch of the
Strategy for the
Implementation
of the SDGs in
Colombia that
establishes the
goals and
strategies for
compliance with
the 2030
Agenda
April 2018
• Second ECLAC
Forum
May 2018
• Accession to the
OECD
July 2018
• Submission of
Colombia’s
second VNR to
the 2018 High
Level Political
Forum
• Green Growth
Strategy and
Roadmap to
2030
April 2019
• Third ECLAC
Forum on
Sustainable
Development to
coordinate and
monitor the
progress toward
the 2030
Agenda in the
region
May 2019
• National
Development
Plan 2018-2022
“Pact for
Colombia. Pact
for Equity”
Issued through
Law 1955 of
2019
17
Source: Colombia’s HLPF presentation
SDGPeace Agreement
Comprehensive Rural
Reform
Political
participation
End of conflict
Illicit drugs
Victims of the
Conflict
Localization of the SDGs: Colombia
Active national agendas determine actions related to at least 146 SDG targets - 86%
18
Source: Colombia’s HLPF presentation
Localization of the SDGs: Colombia
Medellin City – The Extraordinary transformation of La Comuna 13
Comuna 13 (one of the poorest and dangerous areas in
Medellin) has been transformed from a marginalized
community into a more inclusive and resilient.
This was made possible through implementing an integrated
and multi-sector approach: a combination of violence
prevention programs and a deep commitment of its people,
youth and business local leaders in close coordination with
municipality officials.
SDGs has become everyone’s business.
19
4. Localization of the SDGs: China
Urban 2030 Aims to Stimulate Better
Urbanization for Higher Quality Growth
Source: Innovative China: New Drivers of Growth, World Bank Group, 2019
Strategic Choices:
1. Striking the Right Balance Between Drivers of Growth
2. Reshaping Industrial Policies
3. Adjusting the Balance between the State and the
Markets
4. Attaining Mutually Beneficial International Trade &
Investment Relations with Global Partners
5. Balancing Supply Side Reforms for Demand Side
Reforms
6. Preparing for Future Impact of Technological Changes
Structural and Institutional Reforms:
1. Reshaping Industrial Policies and Supporting Market Competition
2. Promoting Innovation & the Digital Economy
3. Building Human Capital
4. Allocating Resources Efficiently
5. Leveraging Regional Development & Integration
6. Promoting International Competitiveness & Economic Globalization
7. Governing the Next Transformation
20
4. Localization of the SDGs: Vietnam
GDP Per Capita Growth
Vietnam has successfully transformed itself from one of the poorest countries in the world into a lower-
middle income country
2010
• Law on Efficient Use of
Energy
2012
• The National Strategy on
Environmental Protection
• National Green Growth
Strategy
2013
• National Strategy for
Climate Change
2016
• Cleaner Production
Strategy
 Vietnam developed a National Action Plan (NAP) toward SDGs
 This was used to develop Vietnam SDG targets (VSDGs) and
approved by the government
Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2019
21
Sources: The Rules of Association Football, Melvyn Bragg, Sir Bobby Charlton, 1863
World Development Report, World Bank Group, 2020
Achieving the SDGs through International
Standards and Practices
 GVCs bolster efforts towards achieving the SDGs as
they can continue to boost growth, create better jobs
and reduce poverty
 International standards throughout GVCs provide a
universal language in which to capture value
22
Localization
Captured
untapped
value
Global
impact
Achieving the SDGs through International
Standards and Practices
Cairo, Egypt
November 4, 2019
Mahmoud Mohieldin
Senior Vice President
World Bank Group
Thank You
worldbankgroup.org/sdgs
Follow us on twitter @WBG2030
Mahmoud-Mohieldin on

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The State of the Sustainable Development Goals in the Arab Region

  • 1. Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2019 Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President World Bank Group The State of the Sustainable Development Goals in the Arab Region Narrative Summit Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President World Bank Group
  • 2. 93  Algeria 47 Bahrain 104  Egypt 129  Iraq77  Kuwait 86  Lebanon 98  Morocco 54  Oman 82  West Bank and Gaza 60  Qatar 73  Saudi Arabia 96  Tunisia 49  UAE 145  Yemen79  Jordan 2 Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now? Human Development & Human Capital
  • 3. 3* Some countries are excluded from analyses due to lack of data 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 HCI (World Bank, 2017) HDI (UNDP, 2017) Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now? Human Development & Human Capital 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 China Colombia Korea Singapore Sweden Vietnam HCI (World Bank, 2017) HDI (UNDP, 2017)
  • 4. 4* Some countries are excluded from analyses due to lack of data # Country DBI 2020 Ranking 1 United Arab Emirates 16 2 Bahrain 43 3 Morocco 53 4 Saudi Arabia 62 5 Oman 68 6 Jordan 75 7 Qatar 77 8 Tunisia 78 9 Kuwait 83 10 Djibouti 112 11 Egypt 114 12 State of Palestine 117 13 Lebanon 143 14 Mauritania 152 15 Algeria 157 16 Comoros 160 17 Sudan 171 18 Iraq 172 19 Syria 176 20 Libya 186 21 Yemen 187 22 Somalia 190 Country Global Competitiveness Index Rank 2019 (out of 137) UAE 17 Qatar 25 Saudi Arabia 30 Bahrain 44 Kuwait 52 Oman 62 Jordan 65 Morocco 71 Algeria 86 Tunisia 95 Egypt 100 Lebanon 105 Mauritania 133 Yemen 137 Comoros N/A Djibouti N/A Iraq N/A Libya N/A Somalia N/A Sudan N/A Syria N/A Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now? Business Environment Top 10 Top 10 Sources: World Bank Group, 2019 and World Economic Forum, 2019
  • 5. 5 Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now? Poverty & Inequality # Country National Poverty Rate International Poverty Rate GINI Index Shared Prosperity 1 Algeria 5.5 0.5 27.6 N/A 2 Bahrain N/A N/A N/A N/A 3 Comoros N/A 17.9 45.3 N/A 4 Djibouti 21.1 16.5 41.6 N/A 5 Egypt 27.8 1.4 30 2.58 6 Iraq 22.5 N/A 29.5 N/A 7 Jordan N/A N/A N/A N/A 8 Kuwait N/A N/A N/A N/A 9 Lebanon 27.4 31.8 N/A 10 Libya N/A N/A N/A N/A 11 Mauritania N/A 6 32.6 N/A 12 Morocco 4.8 0.7 39.5 N/A 13 Oman N/A N/A N/A N/A 14 Palestine N/A N/A 33.7 -0.89 15 Qatar N/A N/A N/A N/A 16 Saudi Arabia N/A N/A N/A N/A 17 Somalia N/A N/A N/A N/A 18 Sudan N/A N/A N/A N/A 19 Syria N/A N/A N/A N/A 20 Tunisia 15.2 0.3 30.9 N/A 21 United Arab Emirates N/A N/A N/A N/A 22 Yemen 48.6 18.8 36.7 N/ASource: WDI and Macro Poverty Outlook, World Bank, 2019
  • 6. 6 Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now? Poverty & Inequality The poor lack not only income; poverty is often accompanied by other critical elements. 60% of the population in the region has little, or no access, to drinkable water compared to the global average of 35% youth unemployment, the highest in the world Source: Beyond Scarcity: Water Security in the Middle East and North Africa (2018), World Bank Group Extreme poverty in MENA is rising Areas of deprivation Personal security Education Social protection Health Food 25%
  • 7. Where Does the Arab Region Stand Now? Regional Trends 7  Political disruptions reduce predictability in the business environment  Fragility and conflict, war situations including violent conflict contribute to slowing growth  A need to increase economic diversification and boost non-oil revenues, put in place fiscal consolidation measures and reduce macroeconomic risks  Plunging oil prices and renewed OPEC oil production cuts further dampen growth recovery  A need to boost the private sector for production of more and better jobs Source: Macro Poverty Outlook: Country-by-country Analysis and Projections for the Developing World, World Bank, Annual Meetings 2019
  • 8. 8 What Context Are We Working in to Achieve the SDGs? Global Trade Source: Global Economic Prospects, World Bank Group, 2019
  • 9. 9 Investment Growth Global Growth Source: Global Economic Prospects, World Bank Group, 2019 Global Policy Uncertainty Global Business Confidence What Context Are We Working in to Achieve the SDGs?
  • 10. 10 What Context Are We Working in to Achieve the SDGs? Climate change Geopolitical instability Social Discontent and Local Conflicts Cybersecurity risks Natural Resources Management Artificial Intelligence and Big Data Pollution Pandemics and Infectious Diseases New Threats to Security Macroeconomic Risks Source: AXA-Eurasia Group, 2019
  • 11. 11 What Context Are We Working in to Achieve the SDGs? Country Change Readiness Index (out of 140; KPMG, 2019) Algeria 111 Bahrain N/A Comoros N/A Djibouti N/A Egypt 81 Iraq N/A Jordan 42 Kuwait N/A Lebanon 77 Mauritania 126 Morocco 67 Oman N/A Qatar 12 Saudi Arabia 30 Sudan 136 Tunisia 68 UAE 5 Yemen N/A Source: KPMG, 2019 Change Readiness Index Top 10
  • 12. 12 Leveraging the Potential of Disruptive Changes Requires a Comprehensive Policy Framework
  • 13. 13 What is Needed to Accelerate Progress? Investments in Human Capital •Early childhood education, secondary and tertiary •Health •Technical skills Investments in Resilience Social protection Climate and disaster resilience Risk identification and preparedness Investments in Infrastructure The new DNA: Data, Networks and Artificial Intelligence Physical infrastructure Internet connectivity
  • 14. 14 What is Needed to Accelerate Progress? Strong Institutions Policies Effective Management of Resources  Natural Resources  Human Resources  Financial Resources  Regulatory Policy  Economic and Financial Policies  Development Strategies  National and Local Government  Regional Institutions  NGOs  Academic and Research Institutions
  • 15. Aspirations of the SDGs become real to communities, households and individuals Less program waste and duplication and respect for diversity culture and traditions Local institutions understand the needs of people, hence allowing better public service delivery by prioritizing expenditures 15 Localization of the SDGs Inclusive localism: “Community ties can be more efficient than markets or government alone…” Raghuram Rajan, 2019
  • 16. 16Source: Localising the 2030 Agenda in Colombia, Dag Hammarkjold Foundation, 2018 and https://www.ods.gov.co/en/timeline Localization of the SDGs: Colombia February 2015 • Creation of the SDG Commission for the Enlistment and Effective Implementation of the SDGs, through Decree 280, 2015 June 2015 • Approval of the National Development Plan 2014- 2018. 92 SDG targetsare included September 2015 • Formal adoption of the SDGs February 2016 • Inclusion of the SDGs in the Territorial Development Plans (PDT) of Capital Cities March – April 2016 • Definition of National SDG indicators through workshops and consultations • ECLAC forum July 2016 • First Voluntary National Review by Colombia at the High Level Political Forum October 2016 • Peace Agreement February 2017 • Launch of the Green Growth Mission Initiative led by the National Planning Department (DNP) - seeks to define the inputs and guidelines of public policy for economic development of the country towards Agenda 2030 March 2017 • SDG Data congress to strengthen the capacities of the National Statistical Systems of the Andean Subregion March 2018 • Launch of the Strategy for the Implementation of the SDGs in Colombia that establishes the goals and strategies for compliance with the 2030 Agenda April 2018 • Second ECLAC Forum May 2018 • Accession to the OECD July 2018 • Submission of Colombia’s second VNR to the 2018 High Level Political Forum • Green Growth Strategy and Roadmap to 2030 April 2019 • Third ECLAC Forum on Sustainable Development to coordinate and monitor the progress toward the 2030 Agenda in the region May 2019 • National Development Plan 2018-2022 “Pact for Colombia. Pact for Equity” Issued through Law 1955 of 2019
  • 17. 17 Source: Colombia’s HLPF presentation SDGPeace Agreement Comprehensive Rural Reform Political participation End of conflict Illicit drugs Victims of the Conflict Localization of the SDGs: Colombia Active national agendas determine actions related to at least 146 SDG targets - 86%
  • 18. 18 Source: Colombia’s HLPF presentation Localization of the SDGs: Colombia Medellin City – The Extraordinary transformation of La Comuna 13 Comuna 13 (one of the poorest and dangerous areas in Medellin) has been transformed from a marginalized community into a more inclusive and resilient. This was made possible through implementing an integrated and multi-sector approach: a combination of violence prevention programs and a deep commitment of its people, youth and business local leaders in close coordination with municipality officials. SDGs has become everyone’s business.
  • 19. 19 4. Localization of the SDGs: China Urban 2030 Aims to Stimulate Better Urbanization for Higher Quality Growth Source: Innovative China: New Drivers of Growth, World Bank Group, 2019 Strategic Choices: 1. Striking the Right Balance Between Drivers of Growth 2. Reshaping Industrial Policies 3. Adjusting the Balance between the State and the Markets 4. Attaining Mutually Beneficial International Trade & Investment Relations with Global Partners 5. Balancing Supply Side Reforms for Demand Side Reforms 6. Preparing for Future Impact of Technological Changes Structural and Institutional Reforms: 1. Reshaping Industrial Policies and Supporting Market Competition 2. Promoting Innovation & the Digital Economy 3. Building Human Capital 4. Allocating Resources Efficiently 5. Leveraging Regional Development & Integration 6. Promoting International Competitiveness & Economic Globalization 7. Governing the Next Transformation
  • 20. 20 4. Localization of the SDGs: Vietnam GDP Per Capita Growth Vietnam has successfully transformed itself from one of the poorest countries in the world into a lower- middle income country 2010 • Law on Efficient Use of Energy 2012 • The National Strategy on Environmental Protection • National Green Growth Strategy 2013 • National Strategy for Climate Change 2016 • Cleaner Production Strategy  Vietnam developed a National Action Plan (NAP) toward SDGs  This was used to develop Vietnam SDG targets (VSDGs) and approved by the government Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2019
  • 21. 21 Sources: The Rules of Association Football, Melvyn Bragg, Sir Bobby Charlton, 1863 World Development Report, World Bank Group, 2020 Achieving the SDGs through International Standards and Practices  GVCs bolster efforts towards achieving the SDGs as they can continue to boost growth, create better jobs and reduce poverty  International standards throughout GVCs provide a universal language in which to capture value
  • 22. 22 Localization Captured untapped value Global impact Achieving the SDGs through International Standards and Practices
  • 23. Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2019 Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President World Bank Group Thank You worldbankgroup.org/sdgs Follow us on twitter @WBG2030 Mahmoud-Mohieldin on