Rabat, Morocco June 2016

1. The 2030 Agenda for
Sustainable Development:
From Commitment to
Delivery
Rabat, June 28, 2016

2. THE 2030 AGENDA FOR SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT
2015 was a year of transition to a new global compact
for development
 Universal agenda embodied in 17 Sustainable Development,
Goals with 169 targets, and 231 indicators.
 These goals revolve around ending poverty, protecting the planet, while
leaving no one behind
 Holistic approach and universal in nature

3. 2
THE 2030 AGENDA FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
September 2015 December 2015 May 2016
April 2015
July 2015
October 2015 April 2016
Extend $400+
billion in
collaboration with
the MDBs over the
next 3 years
HBS in 78 poorest
countries by 2020:
cost $300 million
every 3 years
Increase climate
financing from 21%
to 28% of WBG
portfolio
Donor contributions to
immediately generate $600-$800
million in concessional loans
(MENA Financing Facility)
Humanitarian
financing
commitments

4. 3
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
Experience with the MDGs highlighted the importance of three critical pillars*:
IMPLEMENTATIONDATA FINANCING
Ref: DC Lima paper on
WBG’s role on SDGs
Ref: Spring 2015 DC
paper on Financing
Ref: UN report on “A
World that Counts”;
WBG/MDBs/UN MoU on
Data
WBG action on the SDGs has been articulated along these three focus areas
* Joint Letter of the Heads of the MDBs

5. 4
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
Thought
Leadership
Country-led
uptakeGlobal Convening
CATALYZE

6. 2030 AGENDA: examples of ongoing
and new initiatives
New WDI could expand the
SDG dash board and
feature progress on each
SDG target
The framework for analyzing
trajectories of the SDGs will be
expanded with more countries
and link SDG attainment with
financing options
To achieve transformational
impact in a more consistent
manner by working in
partnership to integrate
technical expertise with on–
the-ground delivery know-
how.
CATALYZE

7.  New highlights booklet featuring the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs)
 The interactive SDG dashboards. For each of the 17 SDGs,
experts from the World Bank’s Development Data Group,
Global Practices, and Cross-Cutting Solution Areas have
selected indicators to identify and analyze important trends
and challenges, and to elicit discussion on measurement
issues.
 Provide the ability to benchmark countries on SDG
attainment and performance
I . World Development Indicators and the SDGS
6

8. I . SDG Dash Board: http://data.worldbank.org/sdgs/
7

9.  A major issue confronted during the MDG era was
how to manage financing and service delivery at the
country level.
 Responding to this, the World Bank Group has
developed a simple and practical approach for first-cut
assessments of the country-level implications of the
2030 Agenda.
 The “Trajectories …” volume presents the approach
and 10 country briefs. An initial and more complete
application of the approach is in “Country
Development Diagnostics Post-2015: Uganda” by the
same authors.
2. Trajectories for the SDGs
8

10. 2. Trajectories for the SDGs
The Country Development Diagnostics 2030
Agenda
• Benchmarks current SDG progress and 2030 projections against
other countries;
o How is the country currently doing compared to its peers?
o What would be a set of likely outcomes for SDG target indicators in 2030 if
the country were to develop according to business-as-usual trends?
• Assesses policies and sources of financing for the 2030 agenda for
individual countries;
o What areas need focused research to pinpoint causes behind weak
outcomes?
o Develop more detailed models to unpack the determinants of selected
SDG outcomes? Could policies affect these determinants?
o How could the country create the fiscal space needed to achieve more
ambitious development outcomes?

11. Income per capita
Y = SDG,
Policy, or
Financing
indicator
2. Trajectories for the SDGs
Is your country lagging behind?
Typical level of Y for
a particular income
per capita level
Y higher than
expected
Y lower than
expected

12. Framework steps
Benchmark current levels of SDGs relative to other
countries, given income per capita.
1
Project SDG levels until 2030 given GNI per capit
a growth projections
2
Benchmark current levels of SDG determinants
relative to other countries, and discuss potential
changes in policies
3
Benchmark current levels of financial indicators
relative to other countries, and discuss ways to
expand fiscal space for SDG accelerating policies
4
2. Trajectories for the SDGs

13. 12
Country-specific
SDG development given
accelerated policies
2. Trajectories for the SDGs

14. Morocco
Secondary Enrollment: ratio of female to male
Secondary Education Expenditure per student
2. Trajectories for the SDGs

15. Morocco: Current SDG performance
14
Green = Over performing
Black = Performing as expected
Red = Under performing
2. Trajectories for the SDGs
Indicator ExpectedProjection
2000Recent Recent 2030
Poverty and shared prosperity
Poverty, at $1.25 a day (PPP) (% of population) 6.8 2.6 3.9 0.0
Shared prosperity: Income share for lowest 40% 17.1 17.0 15.9
Education
Primary completion (% gross) 57.7 98.9 89.8 100.0
Secondary enrollment (% gross) 38.1 68.9 73.0 100.0
Primary completion, ratio of females to males (%) 80.3 99.0 98.3
Secondary enrollment, ratio of females to males (%) 79.9 85.6 97.7 110.0
Health
Under-5 mortality (per 1,000 live births) 50.8 30.4 25.4 0.0
Maternal mortality (per 100,000 live births) 200.0 120.0 77.3 0.0
Malaria cases (% of population) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIV Prevalence (% of population ages 15-49) 0.1 0.2 0.6
Infrastructure
Access to improved sanitation facilities (% of population)63.9 75.4 62.3 100.0
Access to improved water source (% of population) 78.1 83.6 86.4 100.0
Road density (km per 100 sq. km of land) 12.9 13.1 21.5 330.0
Access to electricity (% of population) 71.1 98.9 63.9 100.0
Internet Users (per 1000 people) 0.7 56.0 23.8
Environment
CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita) 1.2 1.6 1.5 100.0
Memorandum item
GNI per capita (constant 2005 US$) 1567 2384 3898
Actual

16. Morocco: Fiscal space indicators
15
Green = Over performing
Black = Performing as expected
Red = Under performing
2. Trajectories for the SDGs
Indicator Expected
2000Recent Recent
Government spending
Consumption (% of GDP) 18.4 19.0 14.8
Primary education (% of GDP) 2.3 2.1 1.6
Secondary education (% of GDP) 2.4 2.3 1.4
Primary education, per student (% of GDP per capita)18.1 16.7 14.1
Secondary education, per student (% of GDP per capita)44.7 30.7 17.3
Health (% of GDP) 1.2 2.1 3.3
Fuel subsidy (% of GDP) 0.7 0.9
Government receipts and debts
Tax revenue (% of GDP) 24.5 15.2
Net ODA (% of GNI) 1.2 1.6 1.3
External debt (% of GNI) 57.7 38.7 37.8
Governance and government efficiency
Government Effectiveness: Percentile Rank 54.6 51.7 32.1
Grigoli education efficiency score 0.4 0.6
Grigoli health efficiency score 0.96 0.95
Memorandum item
GNI per capita (constant 2005 US$) 1567 2384
Actual

17. • The framework provides a starting point for country-focused
studies that, in light of global ambitions and likely
macroeconomic developments, develop:
o country-tailored, ambitious but realistic SDG targets; and
o strategies for how to achieve those targets.
• Compared to the current framework, which is based on
cross-country comparisons, such studies would be able to
draw on a richer set of country-specific databases and
studies.
16
2. Trajectories for the SDGs

18. Vision
17
To achieve transformational impact in a
more consistent manner by working in
partnership to integrate technical expertise
with on–the-ground delivery know-how.
Systematically identifying, classifying,
understanding and solving the most
common delivery challenges to provide
practitioners with additional means to
achieve scale up interventions and reach
the SDGs.

19. Understanding Development Challenges and
Delivery Challenges: A Few Examples
Scaling up of rural sanitation to
end open defecation is hindered
by focusing on subsidies and
missing out on socially
acceptable norms.
Delivery Challenge:
Culture, Religion & Ethnicity
Maternal mortality
interventions are affected by
political pressure in
appointments of hospital staff.
Delivery Challenge:
Political Interference
Addressing road safety
concerns by reducing road
crash fatalities is failing
because of multiple
uncoordinated initiatives that
lack follow-up.
Delivery Challenge:
Poor Engagement &
Communication

20. DeCODE
Problem Identification
DeCODE was used to build a taxonomy
based on wide literature review, mining of
project data, and extensive stakeholder
consultations.
Predicting Challenges
DeCODE uses historical project data to
predict the occurrence of delivery
challenges in future projects using a
Bayesian approach.
Bridging Resources
DeCODE filters knowledge products
and identifies practitioners with
experience of addressing delivery
challenges in a closely related context.

21. 20
ENGAGEMENT WITH 2016 HLPF COUNTRIES
Africa:
• Madagascar
• Sierra Leone
• Togo
• Uganda
East Asia Pacific:
• China
• Philippines
• Samoa
Middle East and North Africa:
• Egypt
• Morocco
Europe and Central Asia:
• Georgia
• Montenegro
• Turkey
• Estonia
Latin America and Caribbean:
• Mexico
• Venezuela
• Colombia
22
Europe:
• Germany
• Finland
• Norway
• France
• Switzerland
Asia:
• Republic of
Korea
Donors/non-clientClient countries: VOLUNTARY REVIEWS
Proposed template:
i) opening statement
ii) synthesis of the process and
findings
iii) introduction, setting the
context and objectives
iv) methodology and process used
v) policy and enabling
environment
vi) means of implementation
vii) next steps planned to enhance
implementation of the 2030
Agenda; and
viii) conclusion presenting a
summary of the analysis,
findings and policy
implications
ix) statistical annex with data,
with priority SDG indicators
identified at the regional and
national levels
11-20 July 2016
countries volunteered in 2016

22. Thank You
21
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/23122