2. Massive transformations in 20 years
20 years of transformations
• Population
• Urbanisation
• Income growth
…and its impacts food systems
3. Massive transformations in 20 years
2000
Total population in West Africa increased 1.8 times
417 million
234 million
2020
4. Urbanisation – the most important transformation in Africa
2000
Urban population increased 2.4 times
85
Urban population
2020
208 million
2000
1 410
Number of urban areas
2020
2 880
“Urbanisation is the single most important
transformation the African continent will
undergo this century.” World Bank 2013
5. Three times richer
3.2 x increase in GDP per capita in West
Africa
GDP per capita (2000 = 100)
6. The central role of food systems in West Africa’s economy (and
policies?)
260bn (2015) - 39% of GDP - 63% of employment – 50% household expend
7. A quiet revolution
“Africa’s rapidly growing
cities and food markets
offer the largest and fastest
growing market opportunity
available to the continent’s
60 million farms.” (AGRA 2020)
8. Implications
• Linking demand & production
• Monitoring and analysing links
(markets, prices)
• Designing food system policies
Before we start the sessions just a couple of slides on the context of diet and food system transformation and its implications on markets we will discuss today.
The diet transformations currently ongoing in West Africa are not special and have been observed across the world – probably most recently in South East Asia. The main drivers are population, in particular urbanisation and income growth. So, I will show a couple of figures to show these and remind us of the massive transformations that occurred and that we would like you to keep mind during our dicussions today for two reasons:
They provide the context and scale of what we will discuss
And second this is the background against which we should think about the need to evaluate the effectiveness of our instruments and policies. A point which has also been highlighted during yesterdays’ opening ceremony by Mdm Fall-Tall
Maybe something that has become less of a surprise is the growth in total population. But, probably worth to just consider the numbers – a doubling in poplation, plus 200 million people in just 20 years.
Even more spectacular and definitely more profound has been the urbanisation dynamic.