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The Dynamic African Consumer 
Market: Exploring Growth 
Opportunities in Sub-Saharan Africa 
Grant Hatch, Pieter Becker and Michelle van Zyl
Contents 
Introduction 4 
Why is the African consumer an attractive 7 
proposition? 
Where should companies focus? 15 
1 Basic Survivors 19 
2 Working Families 21 
3 Rising Strivers 23 
4 Cosmopolitan Professionals 25 
5 The Affluent 27 
How can companies unlock the potential in 31 
Sub-Saharan Africa? 
Conclusion 41 
Appendix 42 
2
3 
Africa consumer key facts 
• Africa is a diverse continent, 
with an estimated 1,500 languages 
grouped into six linguistic families. 
• In 2010, sub-Saharan Africa 
(SSA) was populated by more 
than 856 million consumers. The 
region will have more than 1.3 
billion consumers by 2030. 
• The most populous country in 
SSA is Nigeria, with a population 
of 151 million, while the smallest, 
Seychelles, has just 100,000 people. 
• While the global economy is 
predicted to grow by two percent to 
three percent between 2011 and 2020, 
SSA is poised to grow by five percent 
to six percent, making it one of the 
world’s fastest-growing regions. 
• African countries received $72 
billion in foreign direct investment 
in 2008, which is five times the 
amount received in 2000. While lower 
than China’s investments ($92.4 
billion), this amount exceeds that 
received by other emerging markets 
such as Brazil ($45.1 billion). 
• Consumer expenditure in SSA 
equaled nearly $600 billion in 
2010, accounting for almost eight 
percent of all emerging-market 
spending, and is expected to reach 
nearly $1 trillion by 2020. 
• Consumer spending in South 
Africa and Nigeria accounts for 51 
percent of SSA's total expenditure. 
• Poverty in SSA is decreasing 
rapidly—from 40 percent in 1980 to 
less than 30 percent in 2008—and is 
expected to fall to 20 percent by 2020. 
• By 2050, almost 60 percent of 
people in SSA will live in cities, 
compared with 40 percent in 2010. 
This means 800 million more people 
will live in urban environments. 
• By 2012, over 50 percent of all 
Africans—or more than 500 million 
people—will own a mobile phone. 
By 2014, this portion is expected to 
increase to 56 percent (more than 600 
million people), giving Africa one of 
the world’s highest mobile usage rates.
For companies looking for growth via 
emerging markets, Sub-Saharan Africa 
looms large. The continent’s sheer size 
merits attention: Since 2000, Sub- 
Saharan Africa has experienced rapid 
growth in consumer spending of four 
percent Compound Annual Growth 
Rate (CAGR), reaching nearly $600 
billion in 2010. Consumer spending is 
expected to rise to nearly $1 trillion 
by 2020. Accompanying the growth 
are rapid improvements in income 
levels, infrastructure and the business 
environment that promise continued 
growth as a consumer market. 
Companies will have to adjust their 
strategies and expectations when 
entering Africa. Logistics can be 
unreliable and infrastructure lags 
much of the developed world. 
Furthermore, understanding the 
4 
diverse nature of opportunities 
in Africa can be challenging. As a 
result, many executives planning on 
entering Africa want to know why 
Africa’s consumers are an attractive 
proposition, which segments they 
should focus on, and how they can 
capture the market’s potential most 
effectively. 
In the pages that follow, Accenture 
presents an in-depth analysis and 
segmentation of the Sub-Saharan 
African consumer market that can 
help guide companies as they consider 
how and where to enter the market. 
We also provide concrete steps and 
recommendations on how companies 
can tailor their strategies to the 
challenges and opportunities in Africa. 
Introduction
5 
Lagos 
Douala 
Kinshasa 
Cape Town 
Addis Ababa 
Nairobi 
Dar es 
Salaam 
Maputo 
Johannesburg 
Dakar 
Accra 
Luanda 
Major African Cities 
Windhoek 
Kampala 
Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa: A Large and Compelling Opportunity
6
7 
Why is the African consumer an attractive 
proposition? 
The new African consumer 
is a force to contend 
with and represents an 
opportunity no company 
can afford to ignore. 
Since 2000, consumer spending in 
Sub-Saharan Africa has grown at a 
steady four percent per year, reaching 
nearly $600 billion in 2010. The 
market is expected to be worth 
$1 trillion by 2020.1 
Figure 2: Sub-Saharan Africa Consumer Expenditure* ($ Billions) 
2001 – 2010 2011 – 2020 
1,000 
900 
800 
700 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
0 
1990 – 2000 
3.2% CAGR 
3.9% CAGR 
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 
Eastern Hub Southern Hub Western/Central Hub 
*Historic / Forecast - US$ mn - Constant 2010 Prices - Fixed 2010 Exchange Rates’ 
Source: Euromonitor 2011 
4.3 % CAGR 
$ Billions 
While mineral resources will 
undoubtedly continue to be important, 
the most significant contributors to 
growth are changing, with less reliance 
on exports and more reliance on 
domestic demand (consumer spending 
and imports). Despite current low 
per capita incomes in Africa, average 
income is growing, giving rise to 
an emerging middle class that will 
become more demanding as income 
levels and spending increase.
Figure 3: Structure of Demand (% of GDP) 
Percentage of GDP 
8 
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 
Consumer Spending Imports Government Spending Exports Business Investment 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Source: EIU 2010 (An average of % GDP figures were taken for the following countries: Algeria, Angola, Egypt, Kenya, Libya, Morocco, Nigeria, 
South Africa and Tunisia)
9 
“At JD Group, we look for two predominant 
characteristics before considering entry into 
any market, inclusive of the African market. 
Firstly, we look at current and projected 
potential in terms of demand forecast in the 
short, medium and long term, assessing the 
sustainability of the underpinning drivers for 
demand carefully. 
Secondly, we closely evaluate the capacity and 
capability of the market to enable core business 
processes such as logistics, infrastructure, 
regulatory and legal policies, financial systems 
and political stability to ensure effective service 
delivery to the envisaged client base.” 
Dr. Henk Greeff, Director: Strategy and Human Resources, JD Group
Figure 4: Africa Population Size (Millions) 
10 
2,000 
1,800 
1,600 
1,400 
1,200 
1,000 
800 
600 
400 
200 
0 
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 
Age 
Source: UN Population Division, 2010 
2010 
416m 40% 
582m 56% 
35m 4% 
1,033m 100% 
2050 
546m 27% 
1,320m 66% 
142m 7% 
1,999m 100% 
0-14 
15-65 
65+ 
Total 
Age (Years) 
Population Size (Millions) 
Figure 5: Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) Poverty 1980 - 2009 
Poverty Rating (Share of population below $1 a day) 
GDP Per Capita (Dollars) 
3000 
2500 
2000 
1500 
1000 
500 
0 
50% 
45% 
40% 
35% 
30% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
1980 1987 1994 2001 2008 
Poverty Rating GDP Per Capita (PPP) 
Source: Maxim Pinkovskiy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Xavier Sala-i-Martin, Columbia 
University and NBER, 2010
11 
100% 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
Urbanisation 
The rapid and sustained rise in 
consumer spending is being fueled by 
three key forces: 
• A population forecast to reach 
almost 2 billion by 2050.2 In 2005, 
Africa had an estimated population 
of more than 920 million, which 
increased to an estimated 1 billion 
in 2010. By 2050 the population is 
expected to increase to almost 2 
billion. Furthermore, between 2010 
and 2050, Africa’s economically active 
population will grow from 56 percent 
of the continent to 66 percent—a 
striking contrast to more mature 
continents whose populations are 
aging and moving into the dependent 
category (i.e., 65 years or older).3 
Expansion of the economically active 
population will lead to increased 
demand for goods and services. 
38% 
62% 
• Significant decrease in poverty.4 
By 2020, Accenture estimates that 
poverty levels in Africa will fall to 20 
percent from nearly 45 percent in the 
1980s. Poverty fell for both landlocked 
as well as coastal countries; for 
mineral‐rich as well as mineral‐poor 
countries; for countries with favourable 
or with unfavourable agricultural 
resources; for countries regardless of 
colonial origin. GDP in Africa is growing 
even faster than the continent’s 
meteoric rise in population.5 
• Rapid urbanization. Africa’s 
growing, increasingly wealthy 
population is becoming more 
urbanised. By 2050 almost two-thirds 
of the population will live in 
cities, compared with 40 percent 
in 2010.6 Urbanisation, in turn, will 
lead African consumers to purchase 
more goods and services, and will 
make it easier for companies to reach 
consumers with products, services, 
and communications. Rapid growth 
in population and urbanization 
will place additional constraints 
on the infrastructure requirements 
of Africa. This will require greater 
planning and urban investment 
which will require both public and 
private sector participation. 
Figure 6: Africa Urbanisation Rate (Percentage) 
0% 
2000 2005 2009 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 
Urban Rural 
Source: UN Population Division, 2010 
Years
Figure 7: Trade Zones 
12 
ECCAS 
($385m Exports 2007) 
Djibouti 
Eritrea 
Ethiopia 
Sudan 
UEMOA 
($1,917 Exports 2007) 
ECOWAS 
($7,341m Exports 2007) 
Mauritius Reunion 
Madagascar 
SADC 
($11,952m Exports 2007) 
CEMAC 
($304 Exports 2007) 
EAC 
($1,587m 2007) 
Comesa 
($4,587m Exports 2007) 
Angola 
Dem. Rep of Congo 
Botswana 
Lesotho 
Namibia 
South Africa 
Mozambique 
Malawi 
Zambia 
Zimbabwe 
Swaziland 
Tanzania 
Comoros 
Seychelles 
Cape Verde 
Liberia 
Gambia 
Ghana 
Guinea 
Nigeria 
Sierra Leone 
IOC 
($204m 2007) 
Burundi 
Rwanda 
Kenya 
Uganda 
Benin 
Burkina Faso 
Coted’voire 
Guinea- 
Bissau 
Mali 
Niger 
Senegal 
Togo 
Cameroon 
Central African Republic 
Chad 
Congo 
Equatorial Guinea 
Gabon 
Source: Unctad, Econonomic Development In Africa, 2009; Worldbank Africa Development Indicators 2010 
Three key trends will further enable 
consumer to buy more and allow 
companies to reach these consumers: 
• Improving access to consumers 
via mobile technologies. Consumers 
in Africa are getting easier to reach 
due to a remarkable uptake of 
mobile services. By 2012 almost 50 
percent of Africans (more than 500 
million people) will own a mobile 
phone, compared with 30 percent 
in 2008.7 This significant mobile 
adoption by consumers has made 
it easier for companies to reach 
consumers through mobile marketing, 
competitions and promotions 
(for example, M-Pesa for mobile 
money). Consumers are more savvy 
because they are now linked to the 
rest of the world through their cell 
phones and no longer isolated. In 
addition to improving access to 
consumers, the mobile revolution 
has created a booming industry that 
employs and provides income for 
large numbers of people. Witness 
the significant drive in Kenya to 
open new business call centres. 
• A healthier and more stable 
business environment. Fewer 
conflicts, more democratic elections, 
higher economic growth rates and 
improved business regulation make 
Africa more business-friendly every 
year. This fact has been recognized by 
the World Bank’s 2009 Ease of Doing 
Business report, which highlighted 
Africa as a continent that is making 
strides toward becoming a business-friendly 
regulatory environment. 
• A loosening of trade restrictions. 
Trade among African countries in the 
past has been slowed by the hefty 
tariff barriers that countries imposed 
on imports. However, the global 
drive for rapid opening of borders to 
regional and international trade is 
forcing African countries to open up 
their borders for imports. Africa has 
fostered a number of formalized trade 
blocs that have been the catalyst for 
loosening trade restrictions between 
member states and the global 
economy in general. 
As African consumers accumulate 
wealth and steadily gain access to 
global products and services, they 
will form lasting allegiances with 
companies offering these products 
and services. For companies that 
want to benefit from the size and 
growth inherent in the African 
opportunity, the time to act is now.
13
14
15 
Where should companies focus? 
The key to success in 
Sub-Saharan Africa is the 
ability to focus on specific 
opportunity areas and 
develop differentiated, 
relevant offers that 
address substantial, 
unmet needs. 
Figure 8: SSA Estimated Consumer Spend 2020 ($ Billions) 
Eastern Southern Hub (SADC) Hub (EAC & COMESA) Western Hub (ECCOWAS) 
315 23 18 16 15 15 
Regional Champions 
47 
44 38 
30 29 18 
167 29 16 12 9 7 
91 938 
1,000 
900 
800 
700 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
0 
South 
Africa 
Zambia 
Angola 
Mozambique 
Congo 
Dem 
Namibia 
Other 
Ethiopia 
Kenya 
Tanzania 
Uganda 
Other 
Nigeria 
Senegal 
Ghana 
Burkina 
Faso 
Mali 
Niger 
Other 
Total 
$ Billions 
Source: Euromonitor Africa Consumer Spending 2010 
The size and diversity of the 
continent's population makes it 
difficult for companies to use the 
strategies they have successfully 
applied in other parts of the world. 
The first step is determining where 
in Sub-Saharan Africa the greatest 
opportunities lie. Our analysis shows 
that nine countries will account 
for nearly three-quarters of total 
consumer spending in Sub-Saharan 
Africa by 2020. These countries 
are Kenya, Ethiopia and Uganda in 
the eastern part of the continent; 
Angola, Zambia, and South Africa 
in the south; and Senegal, Ghana, 
and Nigeria in the west. 
Within these attractive consumer 
markets there are a wide range of 
consumers for which companies must 
tailor attractive, differentiated offers.
Figure 9: Africa Consumer Markets 
16 
Kenya 
Nigeria 
Zambia 
Ghana 
Ethiopia 
Uganda 
ECOWAS 
EAC & COMESA* 
SADC 
Senegal 
South Africa 
Angola 
Focus Countries Population 2009 2010 Spend 2020 Estimated 
Spend 
EAC & COMESA 
Kenya 40m $23bn $37bn 
Ethiopia 83m $20bn $43bn 
Uganda 33m $15bn $30bn 
ECOWAS 
Nigeria 151m $115bn $167bn 
Ghana 24m $15bn $29bn 
Senegal 13m $10bn $16bn 
SADC 
South Africa 49m $215bn $315bn 
Angola 19m $14bn $18bn 
Zambia 13m $10bn $23bn 
*Eastern Hub includes COMESA countries that are not covered in the Southern Hub 
Source: Euromonitor Africa Consumer Spending 2010
17 
We have constructed a broad 
segmentation of Sub-Saharan 
African consumers to understand 
the consumer segments and 
demand in greater detail. While this 
segmentation is focused on high-level 
groupings rather than granular, 
detailed analysis of consumer types, 
our analysis reveals the specific 
challenges, preferences, behaviors 
and needs of the largest consumer 
groups on the continent (Figure 10). 
While the majority of Sub-Saharan 
African consumers are currently in 
lower-income, more price-sensitive 
groups, many will move up into 
more affluent segments as they 
urbanize and their incomes increase. 
Such movement will create a large, 
growing, and increasingly profitable 
opportunity for companies. We detail 
the needs, preferences, and behaviors 
of each of these segments below. 
Figure 10: Five Key Sub-Saharan African Consumer Segments 
5T 
he Affluent 
1 
Basic Survivors 
2 
Working Families 
3Rising Strivers 
4C 
osmopolitan 
Professionals 
Basic Survivors are the 
largest consumer 
group in Africa and are 
characteristically low 
income consumers. 
They tend to live in 
urban slum areas or 
rural areas and make 
day-to-day decisions 
based on basic needs. 
Working families are 
the second largest 
consumer group. They 
focus their spending 
on their children’s 
needs and they value 
stability and routine 
in their lives. 
Rising Strivers are 
emerging from the 
first two segments, 
having built their 
purchasing power 
through access to 
credit or other 
resources. They value 
upward mobility and 
buy based on 
convenience, quality, 
or even more 
“expressive” factors. 
Cosmopolitan 
Professionals are 
typically located in 
urban areas. They are 
busy with work but 
often have active 
social lives. As a result, 
these consumers value 
pragmatic products but 
are also brand conscious 
and influenced by the 
media. 
The affluent of Africa 
have disproportionately 
high purchasing power, 
and are considered 
wealthy regardless of 
where they travel 
across the globe. This 
group is extremely 
small and very fickle. 
Source: Accenture Analysis
18
19 
Whilst Sub-Saharan African 
consumers’ upward mobility is what 
attracts attention, at present Africa’s 
largest segment is also its poorest. 
Basic Survivors, which we estimate to 
comprise 50% to 60% of Sub-Saharan 
Africa’s population, earn less than 
$100 each month on average and buy 
basic goods with cash from open-air 
markets and street stalls. Living in 
rural areas and urban settlements, 
Basic Survivors pay cash for essentials: 
food, shelter, and clothing. Basic 
Survivors also spend money on alcohol 
and tobacco, telecom products and 
services, and public transportation. 
Basic Survivors’ cash flow are 
unpredictable; they might visit 
markets several times each week 
when they have enough cash on hand 
to purchase the essentials. Basic 
Survivors generally avoid formal retail 
stores and believe they get better 
deals from local, well-known, informal 
vendors even where formal retail is 
available. Local vendors are also more 
convenient to Basic Survivors, who 
typically lack reliable access to public 
or private transportation. 
While the challenges of reaching 
these Basic Survivors and profitably 
doing business with them are many, 
the size of the opportunity makes 
this segment worth the effort. In 
addition, as the African economy 
continues to grow, some Basic 
Survivors will become more affluent 
and their purchasing power will 
increase, by which time their brand 
allegiances will have been formed. 
To exploit the opportunity at the 
bottom of the pyramid, numerous 
companies have managed to adapt 
their products to Basic Survivors’ 
low incomes by reducing pack sizes, 
for example, selling smaller tubes 
of toothpaste or packets of washing 
powder. In addition, foodstuffs such as 
milk and sugar often are sold to Basic 
Survivors in single-use packs that can 
be bought when needed. 
Basic Survivor Profile 
Luis is a single, 32-year-old 
man living in the Angolan 
slum of Cambamba outside 
Luanda, where he splits a 
one-room shack with his 
two brothers. Luis is a street 
vendor who sells trinkets to 
tourists. When he does well, 
he might frequent the local 
pub and have Cuca beer with 
his friends. On slow days he 
will buy a cup of rice as his 
only meal. Luis’ most prized 
possession is his knock-off 
Barcelona FC jersey, which 
took him almost two months 
to save for. 
1 
Basic Survivors
20
21 
2 
Working Families 
Slightly wealthier than Basic Survivors, 
Working Families make up between 
20% and 30% of the continent’s 
population. They generally earn 
between $100 and $250 per month. 
What do Working Families spend 
their money on? Compared with Basic 
Survivors, Working Families are also 
driven by basic needs, but they are 
focused on the needs of the family 
rather than the individual, and are 
strongly driven by African cultural 
values involving the nuclear family. 
The majority of families have three 
or more children and may have elders 
living with them. 
Living in urban outskirts, Working 
Families save their salaries until 
month end and then visit nearby 
open-air markets and street stalls. 
They pay cash for groceries, clothing 
and footwear, toys and games, 
and educational products. Because 
Working Families generally consist of 
more than one salaried individual their 
income is more stable than that of 
Basic Survivors. However, the demands 
of family and work make time precious 
and increase the value of processed 
and conveniently packaged food for 
themselves and their children. 
Overall, the family orientation of 
this segment drives its purchasing 
decisions, boosting the importance of 
values such as security, convenience, 
consistency, personal trust and, of 
course, the survival and upward 
mobility of the family. 
Working Family Profile 
The Biya family resides in 
a small city called Mbouda 
in Cameroon and has four 
children ages seven to 13. 
Francis (the father) works 
as a mechanic servicing 
local farmers’ trucks, while 
Calixthe (the mother) works 
as a housekeeping lady in a 
hotel. Due to both parents’ 
late working hours, they 
often make quick prepared 
noodle dishes for dinner 
and give their children 
small biscuit packets for 
snacks. They spend extra 
on laundry detergent 
for school uniforms.
22
23 
Some Basic Survivors and Working 
Families manage to build purchasing 
power through access to credit and/ 
or by developing in-demand skills and 
become Rising Strivers. With survival 
assured, Rising Strivers now value 
upward mobility as well as intangible 
brand qualities. Comprising an estimated 
10% to 16% percent of Sub-Saharan 
Africa’s population, Rising Strivers can 
earn more than double what Working 
Families earn ($250 to $750 each 
month), which often leaves them with 
a surplus to spend on consumer goods 
such as cigarettes, clothing, and even 
the occasional bottle of perfume or 
cologne. 
Typically either successful migrants to 
urban areas or rural workers who have 
benefited from booming commodities 
industries (for example, mining), Rising 
Strivers represent Africa’s emergence 
from low-income to middle-income 
economies and are the primary drivers 
behind Sub-Saharan Africa’s consumer 
growth. Rising Strivers also represent 
a dichotomy between Africa’s past 
and future as a consumer market. For 
example, while many Rising Strivers have 
bank accounts and use mobile phones, 
they primarily transact using cash and 
visit informal open-air markets preferred 
by less-affluent segments. They also 
occasionally visit supermarkets. 
Most Rising Strivers have recent 
direct experience with a lower-income 
existence and, as such, value durable 
products and transactions based on 
personal trust. Members of this segment 
strive to continue their upward mobility, 
and will invest in their children’s 
education as a means to do so. 
Rising Striver Profile 
Udofia is a 27-year-old father 
of two living in Lagos, Nigeria. 
Though he comes from a 
household of fishermen, he 
now works for a thriving taxi 
business. Udofia moved to 
the city center in his early 
20s, purchasing a used car 
through family support and 
microcredit. He started out 
living in a slum with no 
running water, but with hard 
work, connections, and his 
good English skills, he found 
a job with a dispatch service. 
And while Udofia’s family 
spends most of its income on 
household needs, he also has 
some personal money left over 
for a new smartphone and a 
Guinness beer after work. 
3 
Rising Strivers
24
25 
Working and living in the city, 
Cosmopolitan Professionals earn 
between $700 and $1000 per 
month, which they spend (using 
cash, credit cards and, increasingly, 
mobile services) at supermarkets and 
shopping malls. They also still frequent 
traditional, informal stalls and markets 
for small, low value items such as 
bread. Cosmopolitan Professionals 
often reach these retail locations using 
their own cars and motorcycles. 
Representing between two and three 
percent of Sub-Saharan Africans, 
Cosmopolitan Professionals often 
have worked or studied abroad and 
have a high awareness of global 
brands. They access content and 
entertainment via a wide variety 
of media, including print, radio, 
satellite TV, and the Internet 
(including social media). Growing 
broadband penetration and falling 
access costs are fueling this trend. 
Driven by the need for convenient, 
fashionable, high-quality products that 
complement their busy, work-driven 
lives, Cosmopolitan Professionals 
spend money on things that reinforce 
their professional image: business-casual 
clothes (often purchased 
abroad), hair care products and 
footwear. Cosmopolitan Professionals, 
often doing well in their careers, 
support poorer family members 
through cash remittances and 
occasional purchases. 
Cosmopolitan 
Professional Profile 
Abuya is a 35-year-old 
married woman in Kenya with 
a degree in economics from 
the University of Nairobi. 
She works as a financial 
controller for a multi-national 
corporation. Abuya and her 
husband recently moved into 
a new apartment and have 
bought several new household 
goods, including a vacuum 
cleaner, a refrigerator and a 
television. When dining out 
for business or leisure, she 
might have an Amarula (a 
liqueur) over ice and check 
Facebook on her mobile 
phone while she waits for 
her colleagues or friends. 
4 
Cosmopolitan 
Professionals
26
27 
5 
The Affluent 
The Affluent have much in common 
with Cosmopolitan Professionals: 
They mainly live in cities, have 
studied or worked abroad, prefer 
malls and upscale retail stores, 
access a wide variety of global 
media, and use credit cards to a 
greater extent than other Africans. 
Their income is substantially higher 
than the Cosmopolitan Professionals 
segment, typically more than $1,200 
per month. They have a pronounced 
preference for luxury brands such as 
BMW, Mercedes & Gucci. This group 
represents just one to two percent 
of Sub-Saharan Africa’s population. 
The Affluent travel often for both 
work and pleasure, and may even 
own homes on other continents. 
Vacations, hotels and flights absorb 
a large proportion of their spending. 
The Affluent also spend money 
on clothing, cosmetics, cars, and 
household goods, seeking items that 
are fashionable and prestigious. 
Affluent Profile 
Osagi is a 45-year-old father 
of two living in Lagos with 
his wife. His two children 
attend universities abroad. 
Osagi is a director of a 
multinational oil company 
and oversees the company’s 
operations in Nigeria. He 
often travels abroad on 
business trips as well as 
within Africa, and spends 
time in hotels and dining 
out for business meetings. 
Osagi owns a lavish five-bedroom 
house in Banana 
Island, an upmarket area of 
Lagos, and employs several 
servants, including a driver 
for his daily commute.
Figure 11: Segment Income Market Value (2000 to 2015 in $ Billions) 
Market Value ($Billions) 
28 
2015 
2000 
2000 
Population Size (Millions) 
900 
800 
700 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
2000 
0 200 400 600 
0 
* Market values equal total segment income and not disposable income 
Source: Canback 2010, Accenture Analysis 
2000 
2000 
2015 
2015 
2015 
2015 
Basic Survivors Working Families Rising Strivers Cosmopolitan Professionals Affluent
29 
What are the opportunities 
by segment? 
How do the opportunities within 
these segments compare with 
each other? 
While the spending power of Basic 
Survivors will grow slightly, the potential 
for doing business with Rising Strivers 
and Working Families will increase 
substantially as the segments grow and 
continue their upward trajectory. 
Accenture estimates that Working 
Families will represent 33% of the total 
Sub-Saharan African market opportunity 
by 2015. The largest group will remain 
Basic Survivors at 45%, followed by 
Rising Strivers (16%), Cosmopolitan 
Professionals (3.1%), and the Affluent 
(2.8%). Even though Cosmopolitan 
Professionals and the Affluent still will 
constitute a relatively small portion 
of the market, their spending power 
translates into a significant opportunity 
for luxury products and services. As the 
African economy continues to mature, 
these segments are likely to grow more 
rapidly. 
Figure 12: Consumer Segment Size Evolution 
100% 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
1.9% 
8.7% 
21.2% 
66.2% 
2000 
2.2% 
2.6% 
12.3% 
29.2% 
53.8% 
2.3% 
2.7% 
13.3% 
30.5% 
51.1% 
2.8% 
3.1% 
15.8% 
33.3% 
44.9% 
2005 2010 2015 
2.1% 
Basic Survivors Working Families 
Rising Strivers Cosmopoliton Professionals 
Affluent 
Source: Accenture analysis based on segment market value
30
How do we ensure 
that there is 
demand for our 
product/service? 
31 
How can companies unlock the potential 
in Sub-Saharan Africa? 
Our consumer 
segmentation clearly 
illustrates the potential 
Africa holds for a variety 
of businesses looking to 
gain a foothold on the 
continent. 
A company’s market entry plan must be 
explicit about the role Africa will play in 
its broader corporate strategy, on which 
African countries it makes sense to 
enter, and in what sequence and with 
what timing they should be entered. 
The market entry plan also should 
illuminate the company’s specific goals 
for market entry and the ways in which 
progress against those goals will be 
measured. 
Regardless of the markets or segments 
on which a company chooses to 
focus, companies need to consider a 
simple framework that can help most 
effectively execute an entry strategy. 
As shown in Figure 13, our framework 
encompasses the full lifecycle of 
doing business in Sub-Saharan Africa, 
from gaining insights on the biggest 
opportunities to deploying effective 
marketing campaigns that support the 
company’s offers. 
Figure 13: Seven key steps to build a business in Sub-Saharan Africa 
Strategy Execution 
1. Market 
Research 
2. Value 
Proposition 
3. Market 
Entry Strategy 
4. Sourcing 5. Manufacturing 6. Distribution 7. Marketing 
and Promotion 
Do we understand 
our target market? 
Develop a deep 
understanding of 
the market, 
competitors and 
consumer by 
using creative, 
cutting-edge 
methods to tap 
into local 
networks and 
local knowledge 
Do we have the 
right product/ 
service to offer? 
Deliver a holistic/ 
innovative 
offering which 
responds to the 
needs of their 
target consumers 
-encompassing 
product/ service, 
price, promotion 
and place 
How do we enter 
the market with 
minimal risk? 
A robust market 
entry strategy is 
essential for 
successful 
operations in 
Africa, based on 
your level of risk 
appetite and 
reward select 
whether to go it 
alone, acquire or 
partner 
Do we source 
locally or import? 
Partner and build 
trusting 
relationships with 
local producers 
who can provide 
intelligence into 
tastes and 
preferences of 
local communities 
and provide a 
stable, less costly 
supply chain 
Do we use local 
manufactures or 
do we do it 
alone? 
Develop close 
partnerships with 
local producers 
or build own 
manufacturing 
capacity close to 
your markets 
vertically 
integrating when 
necessary to 
reinforce your 
supply chain 
How do we reach 
our customers? 
Last Mile 
distribution is 
extremely costly. 
Look for existing 
innovative 
mechanisms in 
the market to 
leverage (e.g. 
Using local 
women and men 
to distribute to 
rural areas) 
Traditional routes 
to market do not 
work, direct 
personal selling 
and visibility in 
the informal 
sector are key
“MXit (Free online mobile chat service) has 
applied three key strategies in accessing 
lower income African consumers. Firstly, 
MXit has kept its product simple, minimizing 
customization. Secondly, MXit has improved 
reach through accessing early adopters in 
communities and ensuring that users are 
constantly educated about new services. And 
lastly, MXit ensures that it understands and 
appeals to its target consumers’ most basic 
needs, which can often be misunderstood if 
there is not sufficient research.” 
Herman Heunis (Founder and MD MXit) 
32
33 
Understand the target 
market 
The first step to entering the 
African market is to develop a 
deep understanding of the market, 
competitors and consumers. Due to 
a large informal economy and the 
prevalence of cash transactions, 
accurate and representative data on 
consumer spending is sparse. 
How can companies bridge this gap? 
They must get creative, tapping into 
local networks to gather insights, 
partnering with academia and 
companies that possess usable 
customer data – for example, banks 
and telcos - and designing market-facing 
pilot “experiments” with risk 
mitigation mechanisms such as “seed 
loans” to test methods for accelerating 
future expansion. Company managers 
need to be prepared to walk the 
markets and gain insights from 
talking to street vendors, watching 
consumers and building a qualitative 
model of how the market operates. 
This approach is very different from 
that used to understand a developed 
market with large volumes of 
quantifiable data. Together, such an 
approach can help companies gain 
the market insights they need to craft 
differentiated, relevant offers for the 
African market. 
CfC Stanbic, a division of 
Johannesburg-based Standard Bank 
Group, provides an example of how 
this is done. One of the key aspects 
of doing business in Africa is the 
predominance of individual, self-employed 
vendors, for instance, 
Nairobi alone has approximately 
100,000 such businesses. For banks 
such as CfC Stanbic, the challenge is 
loaning money to the most promising 
of these entrepreneurs, many of 
whom have little or no credit history. 
To tap into this opportunity while 
reducing its loan default risk, CfC 
Stanbic used a tool that enabled 
portable psychometric testing of 
potential loan recipients, rapidly 
assessing their risk tolerance, ethics 
and honesty, intelligence, and business 
skills. CfC Stanbic also deployed a 
mobile workforce to complement its 
local banking branches, and further 
mitigated risk by using “seed loans” 
with “graduation plans,” which allowed 
the bank’s business with a given 
customer to grow as the customer’s 
credibility was established.8 
Understanding the Target 
Market: CfC Stanbic 
• CfC Stanbic sought to build its 
business with African entrepreneurs, 
but little data was available on their 
creditworthiness. 
• The bank conducted psychometric 
testing of potential loan recipients in 
the field, thereby reducing its risk of 
loan default. 
• CfC Stanbic created a mobile 
workforce to address this market and 
reduced its risk through “seed loans” 
to small businesses.
Develop the right value 
proposition 
With a solid understanding of the 
opportunity, companies seeking to 
do business in Africa must deliver 
a relevant, differentiated offering 
tailored to their target consumers, 
as they must do in any geography. 
African consumers have unique 
requirements that companies must 
take into account. For example, price 
remains the key consideration for 
the majority of African consumers, 
and all offerings should take this into 
consideration. In addition, community 
and family are strong elements of 
African culture, so companies need to 
ensure that branding and promotional 
efforts resonate with these values— 
for example, through corporate 
social responsibility and sustainable 
development programs. As we showed 
in the previous section, distinct 
segments of African consumers have 
unique needs and preferences that 
companies must incorporate into their 
value propositions. 
34 
Consumer goods giants such as Unilever 
and Procter & Gamble have excelled 
in understanding and meeting the 
unique needs of African consumers. 
Unilever, which aims to serve all 
African consumers (including the Basic 
Survivors, those living on less than 
$1 each day), had to find a profitable 
way to make its products available and 
affordable for the poorest of Africans. 
To achieve this goal, Unilever created 
the "small unit packs/low unit price" 
concept: for example, selling small 
sachets of detergent or salt. This strategy 
has allowed Unilever to deliver the 
volumes required to support expansion 
whilst capturing the loyalty of lower-income 
customers. This strategy has also 
prevented the margin-eroding resale of 
its bulk products in smaller portions. 
Unilever collaborates closely with 
local wholesalers who not only assist 
Unilever to supply Africa’s informal 
market but also provide the company 
with market insights and customer 
feedback. Unilever has embedded 
corporate social responsibility in its 
strategy to further boost the brand’s 
relevance with Africans.9 
Develop the Value Proposition: 
Unilever 
• Unilever sought to reach Africa’s 
poorest consumers profitably. 
• To do so it developed small packets 
of product at low prices, worked 
closely with local wholesalers, 
and worked to become relevant to 
Africans. 
• The company has had double-digit 
growth in the region during the past 
decade.
35 
Enter the market with 
minimal risk 
Although Sub-Saharan Africa has 
shown tremendous improvement 
as a consumer market in recent 
years, many barriers to entry, 
ranging from corruption, to a lack 
of infrastructure and local talent, to 
bureaucracy remain. To choose the 
right strategy for overcoming these 
hurdles, companies must assess risk 
and then decide whether to establish 
a stand-alone business, enter via 
an acquisition, seek partnerships or 
joint ventures, or licence its products 
and services to another company. 
Each approach has its pros and cons: 
Entering via a Greenfield (i.e. going 
it alone) investment can result in the 
biggest payoff if entry is successful, 
but also is the riskiest choice for 
companies that lack local market 
knowledge, access to distribution 
channels or political connections. 
Conversely, entering Africa via an 
acquisition can be expensive and 
time consuming, but can provide 
immediate access to existing networks 
and distribution channels and the 
opportunity to gain deep market 
insights that can be scaled. Partnering 
provides a faster way of gaining 
access to local market knowledge and 
distribution channels, but selecting the 
right partner requires careful appraisal 
of ownership, control, pricing and 
local partner capabilities. Licensing 
offers the least risky and lowest cost 
option to expand market reach, but 
carries a high brand risk and limits the 
potential to exploit potential market 
opportunities. 
Ultimately, the right strategy must 
reflect the company’s goals and 
priorities, the state of local market 
development and regulation, and the 
specific nature of the entry barriers 
to be overcome. 
Overcome the challenges of 
sourcing and procurement 
Another key to success in Africa is 
developing a stable, cost-effective 
supply chain that enables a company 
to meet local needs and overcome 
local challenges whilst maintaining 
profitability. This is no small feat: 
Importing raw materials as well as 
finished goods into Africa is hampered 
by many of the same challenges that 
make market entry difficult, including 
corruption, complex regulations, high 
taxes and substantial import fees. 
Companies must choose sourcing 
partners that have strong links with 
the community and a high level of 
intelligence on local preferences and 
challenges. Companies must invest in 
the capacity and capabilities of these 
partners, establishing training and 
incentive programs that enable them 
to fulfill the company’s brand promise. 
Figure 14: Africa Market Entry Mode 
Strengths Challenges 
Acquire 
Gain ready-made 
local market position/ 
share and assets 
Accurate valuations in 
Africa are challenging and 
many contracts might be 
relationship/ or culture 
based 
Risk/ 
Reward 
Partner 
High degree of dependence 
on partner, whose goals 
might not align 
Less risky option, due 
to the ability to leverage 
partner presence and 
local market knowledge 
Low 
Greenfield 
(Go it alone) 
High degree of 
control and no 
reward sharing 
More risky due to lack 
of local market 
knowledge 
High 
Licence 
High degree of brand risk 
due to loss of control, and 
less opportunity to exploit 
market opportunities 
Least risky and low 
cost option to expand 
market reach
One company that has been able to 
overcome the challenges of sourcing 
in Africa is SABMiller, which has set 
up cooperatives with local farmers to 
supply barley and cassava to suit the 
tastes of Basic Survivors and Rising 
Strivers. SABMiller has signed long-term 
36 
contracts to buy crates from 
a local producer, as well as locally 
produced cans. By 2012, the company 
hopes to source from and work with 
up to 45,000 African farmers.10 
Overcoming Sourcing 
Challenges: SABMiller 
• To address the challenges of 
sourcing in Africa, SABMiller set out 
on an aggressive strategy to build 
key relationships with local suppliers. 
• The company is now working 
directly with local farmers and 
producers to source key inputs. 
Develop the right 
manufacturing strategy 
In addition to solving sourcing 
challenges, a company must develop 
a robust and relevant manufacturing 
strategy which should feature strong 
partnerships with local producers 
or the development of in-house 
manufacturing capacity close to a 
company’s targeted markets. 
While the right manufacturing 
strategy must be specific to each 
company’s context, capabilities, and 
goals, a few general guidelines can 
be useful. For instance, companies 
doing business in Africa should 
be sure to improve the stability of 
key resources via term contracts, 
upstream acquisitions, and investment 
in diversified geographical sources 
to minimize supply disruptions and 
improve the quality and availability of 
materials. Trusting relationships with 
local producers are important as well, 
as is the provision of technical support 
and training to local manufacturers 
to ensure high standards for locally 
sourced raw materials. 
DUFIL, the largest manufacturer of 
instant noodles in Nigeria, provides an 
example of how foreign brands can be 
manufactured successfully in Africa. 
Indomie, originally an Indonesian brand 
of instant noodles, has been a runaway 
hit in Africa, and in Nigeria in particular. 
In 2008, the company introduced a 
new flavor tailored to local tastes, 
which was very popular among Nigerian 
consumers. However, challenges 
related to importing key ingredients 
made it difficult for the company to 
meet demand for this new product. 
To overcome these challenges, 
Indomie embarked upon a backward-integration 
strategy. The company 
invested in world-class local 
production facilities and tapped local 
sources and its own manufacturing 
capabilities to source raw materials.
37
Today, the brand is being produced in 
nine ultra-modern factories in two 
key locations in Nigeria, with plans to 
expand aggressively. Due to its ability 
to respond quickly to local demand, 
Indomie has captured 70 percent of 
the Nigerian instant noodle market.11 
Developing Manufacturing 
Strategy: DUFIL 
• Indomie, an Indonesian brand of 
instant noodles, had become very 
popular in Nigeria. 
• Due to challenges associated 
with importing raw materials, the 
company struggled to meet demand. 
• Indomie integrated backward, 
developing local manufacturing 
capabilities for all raw materials. 
38 
Reach customers 
effectively 
Given that more than 60 percent of 
people in Africa live in rural areas and 
have limited access to transportation, 
simply covering “the last mile” to 
reach the final consumer can be 
extremely costly and difficult. Poor 
roads and limited infrastructure can 
make delivering products or services to 
consumers a daunting task. Companies 
must build strong sales and distribution 
networks by leveraging a mix of third-party, 
wholesale, and direct-distribution 
models. The route to market, in our view, 
is the greatest obstacle that companies 
must overcome to build a successful 
business in any African market. 
This is especially the case with Basic 
Survivors and Working Families, whom 
companies can reach most effectively 
by employing locals to act as agents, or 
by partnering with local organizations 
that have links into the rural market. 
Mobile operator, MTN is a seasoned 
veteran of doing business with 
rural consumers, with operations 
in 21 markets across Africa and 
the Middle East (plus Afghanistan). 
To boost its market share among 
rural, low-income Africans, MTN 
has created services tailored to 
their needs through a network of 
local agents, established kiosks in 
rural areas, and has given agents 
motorbikes to reach the most remote 
areas. MTN has also developed lower 
denominations when selling airtime, 
reflecting the low and unpredictable 
income of many African consumers. 
Through such innovative distribution 
and promotional activities, MTN has 
been able to capture a significant 
proportion of the Basic Survivors 
segment, which is a critical entry point 
to the African market.12 
Reaching Customers: MTN 
• To gain market share among 
low-income, rural Africans, MTN 
has made it easier for them to buy 
and use airtime, enabled its agents 
to reach remote areas, and created 
smaller airtime denominations. 
• The company has established a 
leading position within the Basic 
Survivors segment.
39 
Stimulate demand through 
marketing and promotion 
Companies used to supporting demand 
through Western-style marketing 
and promotional approaches must 
adjust their strategies—and their 
expectations—for the African market. 
Traditional media, namely television and 
radio, does not always reach all market 
segments, particularly people living in 
rural areas or urban slums. In much 
of Africa, weak infrastructure limits 
access to electricity, telephones and 
the Internet, making access to media— 
whether TV, websites, or social media— 
erratic. While tailoring messages and 
offerings to specific market segments is 
critical to success, most companies will 
struggle to obtain useful market insights 
on Africa’s largely informal markets. 
Companies must identify strong 
local partners through which they 
can access informal markets and 
obtain information they can use to 
refine their offerings and messages. 
Companies must also spend their 
marketing budget wisely, being 
mindful that TV, radio and print 
campaigns will not have the same 
impact as they would in developed 
markets. In particular, when 
attempting to reach lower-income 
segments such as Basic Survivors and 
Working Families, companies must 
ensure their promotions and marketing 
are focused on the community and are 
visible in the market through relevant 
media such as radio and competitions. 
East African Breweries Limited (EABL) 
has tailored its marketing approach 
to become East Africa's leading 
branded alcohol beverage company. 
Tusker Lager, one of its beers and 
the biggest brand in East Africa, was 
initially perceived as old-fashioned 
by young adults. While EABL was 
determined to rectify this perception, 
the company had a limited marketing 
budget, and knew that the impact 
of traditional TV- or radio-based 
advertising would be limited within 
East Africa. To maximize the return 
on its marketing resources, EABL 
focused on a single, high-impact 
platform that would resonate with 
young adults: Tusker Project Fame, 
a reality show focused on regional 
talent. To overcome limited access 
to TVs, EABL sponsored “viewing 
bars” where the show was screened 
in conjunction with promotions on 
EABL drinks. Competitions were held 
to boost audience engagement. EABL 
provided training and branded material 
to retailers to ensure that the brand 
was delivered successfully to target 
consumers and leveraged mobile and 
Internet technology: the company 
generated more than one million SMS 
votes and Web traffic of approximately 
70,000 hits per week.13 
Effectively Marketing and 
Promoting: Tusker Lager 
• Tusker Lager was perceived as old-fashioned 
by East African Brewery 
Limited’s (EABL) target consumers. 
• EABL had limited marketing 
resources and advertising effectively 
in East Africa would be difficult. 
• EABL focused its resources on 
a reality TV show and brought it 
to viewers without TVs via 
“viewing bars.”
40
41 
Companies are building emerging 
markets into growth strategies as 
consumer demand in more mature 
markets struggles to reach pre-recession 
levels. Perhaps the most 
promising emerging market is 
also one of the least understood: 
Africa. The continent offers the 
last frontier for consumer growth. 
Until recently, doing business on the 
continent has been hampered by 
an unstable political and economic 
environment, a lack of infrastructure, 
and widespread poverty. At the same 
time, the predominance of informal 
markets and cash transactions in 
Africa has prevented companies 
from uncovering the types of 
consumer insights that have helped 
companies penetrate other markets. 
Clearly the African continent 
is now open for business. The 
business environment is improving, 
infrastructure is being strengthened 
albeit slowly, and growing numbers 
of consumers are earning more and 
purchasing products and services 
that support their aspirations. As 
the African opportunity becomes 
more attractive, companies are 
devising creative ways to gather 
important market insights in order 
to craft compelling consumer 
propositions that meet the needs of 
African consumers whilst generating 
robust revenue and profits. 
Focus and discipline are key to this 
goal. Companies must target the 
right consumer segments, from 
Basic Survivors to Rising Strivers 
to the Affluent, and then apply a 
structured approach to understanding 
consumers and how to do business 
with them. It is also critical to 
move quickly. Companies that enter 
early, and even create new product 
categories, stand to gain a significant 
advantage over competitors that 
wait until the African market is 
more mature, when allegiances have 
already been formed and competitive 
pressures are more intense. 
By focusing on the distinctive needs, 
behaviors, and preferences of the 
consumer segments described in 
this point of view, and by applying 
a systematic approach to market 
entry and ongoing success, 
companies can tap into the African 
opportunity in ways that protect 
their margins and grow their 
revenue—thereby accelerating the 
pursuit of high performance. 
Conclusion
Acknowledgements 
The authors wish to thank the 
following people for their contribution: 
Wayne Borchardt, Roze Phillips, 
Clemence Grasset, Lindsay Smith, 
Joelle Kana, Tlangelani Mageza, Jon 
Jaaback, Rolf Moes, Tamara Parker and 
Henry Egan 
Special thanks are owed to the 
following company representatives 
who provided detailed market insights: 
• Stephen Van Coller (Absa Capital) 
• John Gachora (Absa) 
• Dr Dieter Kovar (ABSA or ABSA 
Capital) 
• Baker Magunda (EABL) 
• Dr. Henk Greeff (JD Group) 
• Noah Naidoo (Standard Bank) 
• Mike Conway (Tiger Brands) 
• Herman Heunis (MXit) 
42 
Accenture, its logo, and High 
Performance Delivered are trademarks 
of Accenture. This document is produced 
by consultants at Accenture as general 
guidance. It is not intended to provide 
specific advice on your circumstances. 
If you require advice or further details 
on any matters referred to, please 
contact your Accenture representative. 
About this study 
This study was prepared from 
sources and data which Accenture 
believes to be reliable but it makes no 
representation or warranty, express 
or implied, as to their accuracy 
or completeness. Any figures and 
statistics used in this study were up 
to date at time of writing and are 
subject to change without notice. The 
views and opinions expressed in this 
publication are those of Accenture 
only and do not necessarily reflect 
those of any of the companies 
researched or surveyed or any other 
third party referenced in the report. 
Such opinions should not be construed 
as providing professional advice, 
recommendations or endorsements, or 
relied upon as such. Neither Accenture 
nor its employees accept responsibility 
for any loss or damage arising from 
reliance on the information contained 
in this publication. 
Appendix
43 
References 
1 Euromonitor 2011 
2 UN Population Division, 2010 
3 UN Population Division, 2010 
4 Maxim Pinkovskiy, Massachusetts 
Institute of Technology Xavier Sala‐i‐ 
Martin, Columbia University and NBER, 
2010 
5 Maxim Pinkovskiy, Massachusetts 
Institute of Technology Xavier Sala‐i‐ 
Martin, Columbia University and NBER, 
2010 
6 UN Population Division, 2010 
7Africa Mobile Fact book, 2008 
8 Standard Bank Group – Kenya SME 
Pilot. http://www.hks.harvard.edu/var/ 
ezp_site/storage/fckeditor/file/pdfs/ 
centers-programs/centers/cid/el/gem- 
2010/presentations/Standard_Bank_ 
Group_SME_Pilot.pdf 
9 No whitewash: Unilever's drive to 
dominate Africa, Jasson Nissa, April 
2003 
10 African group brews new 
customers - http://www.ft.com/ 
cms/s/0/c55f7318-f957-11de-80dc- 
00144feab49a.html#axzz1En8JK3ob 
11 Noodles War: Indomie and the 
competitions, stocknewsline, December 
2009 
12 Distribution is the name of the 
game, Mats Thoren, Ericson Business 
Review, February 2007 
13 EABL Annual Report, 2010
Copyright © 2011 Accenture 
All rights reserved. 
Accenture, its logo, and 
High Performance Delivered 
are trademarks of Accenture. 
11-0457_LL / 7-1842 
About Accenture 
Accenture is a global management 
consulting, technology services 
and outsourcing company, with 
more than 223,000 people serving 
clients in more than 120 countries. 
Combining unparalleled experience, 
comprehensive capabilities across all 
industries and business functions, 
and extensive research on the world’s 
most successful companies, Accenture 
collaborates with clients to help 
them become high-performance 
businesses and governments. The 
company generated net revenues 
of US$21.6 billion for the fiscal 
year ended Aug. 31, 2010. Its home 
page is www.accenture.com. 
For further information, please 
contact: 
Grant Hatch 
Accenture South Africa Strategy Lead 
grant.hatch@accenture.com 
+27 21 408 1303 
Wayne Borchardt 
Accenture Global Growth Strategy Lead 
wayne.g.borchardt@accenture.com 
+60 3 2088 4110 
Roze Phillips 
Accenture South Africa – Consumer 
Goods and Services Industry Lead 
rozett.phillips@accenture.com 
+27 11 208 3533

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Accenture the-dynamic-african-consumer-market-exploring-growth-opportunities-in-sub-saharan-africa

  • 1. The Dynamic African Consumer Market: Exploring Growth Opportunities in Sub-Saharan Africa Grant Hatch, Pieter Becker and Michelle van Zyl
  • 2. Contents Introduction 4 Why is the African consumer an attractive 7 proposition? Where should companies focus? 15 1 Basic Survivors 19 2 Working Families 21 3 Rising Strivers 23 4 Cosmopolitan Professionals 25 5 The Affluent 27 How can companies unlock the potential in 31 Sub-Saharan Africa? Conclusion 41 Appendix 42 2
  • 3. 3 Africa consumer key facts • Africa is a diverse continent, with an estimated 1,500 languages grouped into six linguistic families. • In 2010, sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) was populated by more than 856 million consumers. The region will have more than 1.3 billion consumers by 2030. • The most populous country in SSA is Nigeria, with a population of 151 million, while the smallest, Seychelles, has just 100,000 people. • While the global economy is predicted to grow by two percent to three percent between 2011 and 2020, SSA is poised to grow by five percent to six percent, making it one of the world’s fastest-growing regions. • African countries received $72 billion in foreign direct investment in 2008, which is five times the amount received in 2000. While lower than China’s investments ($92.4 billion), this amount exceeds that received by other emerging markets such as Brazil ($45.1 billion). • Consumer expenditure in SSA equaled nearly $600 billion in 2010, accounting for almost eight percent of all emerging-market spending, and is expected to reach nearly $1 trillion by 2020. • Consumer spending in South Africa and Nigeria accounts for 51 percent of SSA's total expenditure. • Poverty in SSA is decreasing rapidly—from 40 percent in 1980 to less than 30 percent in 2008—and is expected to fall to 20 percent by 2020. • By 2050, almost 60 percent of people in SSA will live in cities, compared with 40 percent in 2010. This means 800 million more people will live in urban environments. • By 2012, over 50 percent of all Africans—or more than 500 million people—will own a mobile phone. By 2014, this portion is expected to increase to 56 percent (more than 600 million people), giving Africa one of the world’s highest mobile usage rates.
  • 4. For companies looking for growth via emerging markets, Sub-Saharan Africa looms large. The continent’s sheer size merits attention: Since 2000, Sub- Saharan Africa has experienced rapid growth in consumer spending of four percent Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), reaching nearly $600 billion in 2010. Consumer spending is expected to rise to nearly $1 trillion by 2020. Accompanying the growth are rapid improvements in income levels, infrastructure and the business environment that promise continued growth as a consumer market. Companies will have to adjust their strategies and expectations when entering Africa. Logistics can be unreliable and infrastructure lags much of the developed world. Furthermore, understanding the 4 diverse nature of opportunities in Africa can be challenging. As a result, many executives planning on entering Africa want to know why Africa’s consumers are an attractive proposition, which segments they should focus on, and how they can capture the market’s potential most effectively. In the pages that follow, Accenture presents an in-depth analysis and segmentation of the Sub-Saharan African consumer market that can help guide companies as they consider how and where to enter the market. We also provide concrete steps and recommendations on how companies can tailor their strategies to the challenges and opportunities in Africa. Introduction
  • 5. 5 Lagos Douala Kinshasa Cape Town Addis Ababa Nairobi Dar es Salaam Maputo Johannesburg Dakar Accra Luanda Major African Cities Windhoek Kampala Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa: A Large and Compelling Opportunity
  • 6. 6
  • 7. 7 Why is the African consumer an attractive proposition? The new African consumer is a force to contend with and represents an opportunity no company can afford to ignore. Since 2000, consumer spending in Sub-Saharan Africa has grown at a steady four percent per year, reaching nearly $600 billion in 2010. The market is expected to be worth $1 trillion by 2020.1 Figure 2: Sub-Saharan Africa Consumer Expenditure* ($ Billions) 2001 – 2010 2011 – 2020 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1990 – 2000 3.2% CAGR 3.9% CAGR 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Eastern Hub Southern Hub Western/Central Hub *Historic / Forecast - US$ mn - Constant 2010 Prices - Fixed 2010 Exchange Rates’ Source: Euromonitor 2011 4.3 % CAGR $ Billions While mineral resources will undoubtedly continue to be important, the most significant contributors to growth are changing, with less reliance on exports and more reliance on domestic demand (consumer spending and imports). Despite current low per capita incomes in Africa, average income is growing, giving rise to an emerging middle class that will become more demanding as income levels and spending increase.
  • 8. Figure 3: Structure of Demand (% of GDP) Percentage of GDP 8 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Consumer Spending Imports Government Spending Exports Business Investment 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: EIU 2010 (An average of % GDP figures were taken for the following countries: Algeria, Angola, Egypt, Kenya, Libya, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa and Tunisia)
  • 9. 9 “At JD Group, we look for two predominant characteristics before considering entry into any market, inclusive of the African market. Firstly, we look at current and projected potential in terms of demand forecast in the short, medium and long term, assessing the sustainability of the underpinning drivers for demand carefully. Secondly, we closely evaluate the capacity and capability of the market to enable core business processes such as logistics, infrastructure, regulatory and legal policies, financial systems and political stability to ensure effective service delivery to the envisaged client base.” Dr. Henk Greeff, Director: Strategy and Human Resources, JD Group
  • 10. Figure 4: Africa Population Size (Millions) 10 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Age Source: UN Population Division, 2010 2010 416m 40% 582m 56% 35m 4% 1,033m 100% 2050 546m 27% 1,320m 66% 142m 7% 1,999m 100% 0-14 15-65 65+ Total Age (Years) Population Size (Millions) Figure 5: Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) Poverty 1980 - 2009 Poverty Rating (Share of population below $1 a day) GDP Per Capita (Dollars) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1980 1987 1994 2001 2008 Poverty Rating GDP Per Capita (PPP) Source: Maxim Pinkovskiy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Xavier Sala-i-Martin, Columbia University and NBER, 2010
  • 11. 11 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Urbanisation The rapid and sustained rise in consumer spending is being fueled by three key forces: • A population forecast to reach almost 2 billion by 2050.2 In 2005, Africa had an estimated population of more than 920 million, which increased to an estimated 1 billion in 2010. By 2050 the population is expected to increase to almost 2 billion. Furthermore, between 2010 and 2050, Africa’s economically active population will grow from 56 percent of the continent to 66 percent—a striking contrast to more mature continents whose populations are aging and moving into the dependent category (i.e., 65 years or older).3 Expansion of the economically active population will lead to increased demand for goods and services. 38% 62% • Significant decrease in poverty.4 By 2020, Accenture estimates that poverty levels in Africa will fall to 20 percent from nearly 45 percent in the 1980s. Poverty fell for both landlocked as well as coastal countries; for mineral‐rich as well as mineral‐poor countries; for countries with favourable or with unfavourable agricultural resources; for countries regardless of colonial origin. GDP in Africa is growing even faster than the continent’s meteoric rise in population.5 • Rapid urbanization. Africa’s growing, increasingly wealthy population is becoming more urbanised. By 2050 almost two-thirds of the population will live in cities, compared with 40 percent in 2010.6 Urbanisation, in turn, will lead African consumers to purchase more goods and services, and will make it easier for companies to reach consumers with products, services, and communications. Rapid growth in population and urbanization will place additional constraints on the infrastructure requirements of Africa. This will require greater planning and urban investment which will require both public and private sector participation. Figure 6: Africa Urbanisation Rate (Percentage) 0% 2000 2005 2009 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Urban Rural Source: UN Population Division, 2010 Years
  • 12. Figure 7: Trade Zones 12 ECCAS ($385m Exports 2007) Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Sudan UEMOA ($1,917 Exports 2007) ECOWAS ($7,341m Exports 2007) Mauritius Reunion Madagascar SADC ($11,952m Exports 2007) CEMAC ($304 Exports 2007) EAC ($1,587m 2007) Comesa ($4,587m Exports 2007) Angola Dem. Rep of Congo Botswana Lesotho Namibia South Africa Mozambique Malawi Zambia Zimbabwe Swaziland Tanzania Comoros Seychelles Cape Verde Liberia Gambia Ghana Guinea Nigeria Sierra Leone IOC ($204m 2007) Burundi Rwanda Kenya Uganda Benin Burkina Faso Coted’voire Guinea- Bissau Mali Niger Senegal Togo Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Congo Equatorial Guinea Gabon Source: Unctad, Econonomic Development In Africa, 2009; Worldbank Africa Development Indicators 2010 Three key trends will further enable consumer to buy more and allow companies to reach these consumers: • Improving access to consumers via mobile technologies. Consumers in Africa are getting easier to reach due to a remarkable uptake of mobile services. By 2012 almost 50 percent of Africans (more than 500 million people) will own a mobile phone, compared with 30 percent in 2008.7 This significant mobile adoption by consumers has made it easier for companies to reach consumers through mobile marketing, competitions and promotions (for example, M-Pesa for mobile money). Consumers are more savvy because they are now linked to the rest of the world through their cell phones and no longer isolated. In addition to improving access to consumers, the mobile revolution has created a booming industry that employs and provides income for large numbers of people. Witness the significant drive in Kenya to open new business call centres. • A healthier and more stable business environment. Fewer conflicts, more democratic elections, higher economic growth rates and improved business regulation make Africa more business-friendly every year. This fact has been recognized by the World Bank’s 2009 Ease of Doing Business report, which highlighted Africa as a continent that is making strides toward becoming a business-friendly regulatory environment. • A loosening of trade restrictions. Trade among African countries in the past has been slowed by the hefty tariff barriers that countries imposed on imports. However, the global drive for rapid opening of borders to regional and international trade is forcing African countries to open up their borders for imports. Africa has fostered a number of formalized trade blocs that have been the catalyst for loosening trade restrictions between member states and the global economy in general. As African consumers accumulate wealth and steadily gain access to global products and services, they will form lasting allegiances with companies offering these products and services. For companies that want to benefit from the size and growth inherent in the African opportunity, the time to act is now.
  • 13. 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. 15 Where should companies focus? The key to success in Sub-Saharan Africa is the ability to focus on specific opportunity areas and develop differentiated, relevant offers that address substantial, unmet needs. Figure 8: SSA Estimated Consumer Spend 2020 ($ Billions) Eastern Southern Hub (SADC) Hub (EAC & COMESA) Western Hub (ECCOWAS) 315 23 18 16 15 15 Regional Champions 47 44 38 30 29 18 167 29 16 12 9 7 91 938 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 South Africa Zambia Angola Mozambique Congo Dem Namibia Other Ethiopia Kenya Tanzania Uganda Other Nigeria Senegal Ghana Burkina Faso Mali Niger Other Total $ Billions Source: Euromonitor Africa Consumer Spending 2010 The size and diversity of the continent's population makes it difficult for companies to use the strategies they have successfully applied in other parts of the world. The first step is determining where in Sub-Saharan Africa the greatest opportunities lie. Our analysis shows that nine countries will account for nearly three-quarters of total consumer spending in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2020. These countries are Kenya, Ethiopia and Uganda in the eastern part of the continent; Angola, Zambia, and South Africa in the south; and Senegal, Ghana, and Nigeria in the west. Within these attractive consumer markets there are a wide range of consumers for which companies must tailor attractive, differentiated offers.
  • 16. Figure 9: Africa Consumer Markets 16 Kenya Nigeria Zambia Ghana Ethiopia Uganda ECOWAS EAC & COMESA* SADC Senegal South Africa Angola Focus Countries Population 2009 2010 Spend 2020 Estimated Spend EAC & COMESA Kenya 40m $23bn $37bn Ethiopia 83m $20bn $43bn Uganda 33m $15bn $30bn ECOWAS Nigeria 151m $115bn $167bn Ghana 24m $15bn $29bn Senegal 13m $10bn $16bn SADC South Africa 49m $215bn $315bn Angola 19m $14bn $18bn Zambia 13m $10bn $23bn *Eastern Hub includes COMESA countries that are not covered in the Southern Hub Source: Euromonitor Africa Consumer Spending 2010
  • 17. 17 We have constructed a broad segmentation of Sub-Saharan African consumers to understand the consumer segments and demand in greater detail. While this segmentation is focused on high-level groupings rather than granular, detailed analysis of consumer types, our analysis reveals the specific challenges, preferences, behaviors and needs of the largest consumer groups on the continent (Figure 10). While the majority of Sub-Saharan African consumers are currently in lower-income, more price-sensitive groups, many will move up into more affluent segments as they urbanize and their incomes increase. Such movement will create a large, growing, and increasingly profitable opportunity for companies. We detail the needs, preferences, and behaviors of each of these segments below. Figure 10: Five Key Sub-Saharan African Consumer Segments 5T he Affluent 1 Basic Survivors 2 Working Families 3Rising Strivers 4C osmopolitan Professionals Basic Survivors are the largest consumer group in Africa and are characteristically low income consumers. They tend to live in urban slum areas or rural areas and make day-to-day decisions based on basic needs. Working families are the second largest consumer group. They focus their spending on their children’s needs and they value stability and routine in their lives. Rising Strivers are emerging from the first two segments, having built their purchasing power through access to credit or other resources. They value upward mobility and buy based on convenience, quality, or even more “expressive” factors. Cosmopolitan Professionals are typically located in urban areas. They are busy with work but often have active social lives. As a result, these consumers value pragmatic products but are also brand conscious and influenced by the media. The affluent of Africa have disproportionately high purchasing power, and are considered wealthy regardless of where they travel across the globe. This group is extremely small and very fickle. Source: Accenture Analysis
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 19 Whilst Sub-Saharan African consumers’ upward mobility is what attracts attention, at present Africa’s largest segment is also its poorest. Basic Survivors, which we estimate to comprise 50% to 60% of Sub-Saharan Africa’s population, earn less than $100 each month on average and buy basic goods with cash from open-air markets and street stalls. Living in rural areas and urban settlements, Basic Survivors pay cash for essentials: food, shelter, and clothing. Basic Survivors also spend money on alcohol and tobacco, telecom products and services, and public transportation. Basic Survivors’ cash flow are unpredictable; they might visit markets several times each week when they have enough cash on hand to purchase the essentials. Basic Survivors generally avoid formal retail stores and believe they get better deals from local, well-known, informal vendors even where formal retail is available. Local vendors are also more convenient to Basic Survivors, who typically lack reliable access to public or private transportation. While the challenges of reaching these Basic Survivors and profitably doing business with them are many, the size of the opportunity makes this segment worth the effort. In addition, as the African economy continues to grow, some Basic Survivors will become more affluent and their purchasing power will increase, by which time their brand allegiances will have been formed. To exploit the opportunity at the bottom of the pyramid, numerous companies have managed to adapt their products to Basic Survivors’ low incomes by reducing pack sizes, for example, selling smaller tubes of toothpaste or packets of washing powder. In addition, foodstuffs such as milk and sugar often are sold to Basic Survivors in single-use packs that can be bought when needed. Basic Survivor Profile Luis is a single, 32-year-old man living in the Angolan slum of Cambamba outside Luanda, where he splits a one-room shack with his two brothers. Luis is a street vendor who sells trinkets to tourists. When he does well, he might frequent the local pub and have Cuca beer with his friends. On slow days he will buy a cup of rice as his only meal. Luis’ most prized possession is his knock-off Barcelona FC jersey, which took him almost two months to save for. 1 Basic Survivors
  • 20. 20
  • 21. 21 2 Working Families Slightly wealthier than Basic Survivors, Working Families make up between 20% and 30% of the continent’s population. They generally earn between $100 and $250 per month. What do Working Families spend their money on? Compared with Basic Survivors, Working Families are also driven by basic needs, but they are focused on the needs of the family rather than the individual, and are strongly driven by African cultural values involving the nuclear family. The majority of families have three or more children and may have elders living with them. Living in urban outskirts, Working Families save their salaries until month end and then visit nearby open-air markets and street stalls. They pay cash for groceries, clothing and footwear, toys and games, and educational products. Because Working Families generally consist of more than one salaried individual their income is more stable than that of Basic Survivors. However, the demands of family and work make time precious and increase the value of processed and conveniently packaged food for themselves and their children. Overall, the family orientation of this segment drives its purchasing decisions, boosting the importance of values such as security, convenience, consistency, personal trust and, of course, the survival and upward mobility of the family. Working Family Profile The Biya family resides in a small city called Mbouda in Cameroon and has four children ages seven to 13. Francis (the father) works as a mechanic servicing local farmers’ trucks, while Calixthe (the mother) works as a housekeeping lady in a hotel. Due to both parents’ late working hours, they often make quick prepared noodle dishes for dinner and give their children small biscuit packets for snacks. They spend extra on laundry detergent for school uniforms.
  • 22. 22
  • 23. 23 Some Basic Survivors and Working Families manage to build purchasing power through access to credit and/ or by developing in-demand skills and become Rising Strivers. With survival assured, Rising Strivers now value upward mobility as well as intangible brand qualities. Comprising an estimated 10% to 16% percent of Sub-Saharan Africa’s population, Rising Strivers can earn more than double what Working Families earn ($250 to $750 each month), which often leaves them with a surplus to spend on consumer goods such as cigarettes, clothing, and even the occasional bottle of perfume or cologne. Typically either successful migrants to urban areas or rural workers who have benefited from booming commodities industries (for example, mining), Rising Strivers represent Africa’s emergence from low-income to middle-income economies and are the primary drivers behind Sub-Saharan Africa’s consumer growth. Rising Strivers also represent a dichotomy between Africa’s past and future as a consumer market. For example, while many Rising Strivers have bank accounts and use mobile phones, they primarily transact using cash and visit informal open-air markets preferred by less-affluent segments. They also occasionally visit supermarkets. Most Rising Strivers have recent direct experience with a lower-income existence and, as such, value durable products and transactions based on personal trust. Members of this segment strive to continue their upward mobility, and will invest in their children’s education as a means to do so. Rising Striver Profile Udofia is a 27-year-old father of two living in Lagos, Nigeria. Though he comes from a household of fishermen, he now works for a thriving taxi business. Udofia moved to the city center in his early 20s, purchasing a used car through family support and microcredit. He started out living in a slum with no running water, but with hard work, connections, and his good English skills, he found a job with a dispatch service. And while Udofia’s family spends most of its income on household needs, he also has some personal money left over for a new smartphone and a Guinness beer after work. 3 Rising Strivers
  • 24. 24
  • 25. 25 Working and living in the city, Cosmopolitan Professionals earn between $700 and $1000 per month, which they spend (using cash, credit cards and, increasingly, mobile services) at supermarkets and shopping malls. They also still frequent traditional, informal stalls and markets for small, low value items such as bread. Cosmopolitan Professionals often reach these retail locations using their own cars and motorcycles. Representing between two and three percent of Sub-Saharan Africans, Cosmopolitan Professionals often have worked or studied abroad and have a high awareness of global brands. They access content and entertainment via a wide variety of media, including print, radio, satellite TV, and the Internet (including social media). Growing broadband penetration and falling access costs are fueling this trend. Driven by the need for convenient, fashionable, high-quality products that complement their busy, work-driven lives, Cosmopolitan Professionals spend money on things that reinforce their professional image: business-casual clothes (often purchased abroad), hair care products and footwear. Cosmopolitan Professionals, often doing well in their careers, support poorer family members through cash remittances and occasional purchases. Cosmopolitan Professional Profile Abuya is a 35-year-old married woman in Kenya with a degree in economics from the University of Nairobi. She works as a financial controller for a multi-national corporation. Abuya and her husband recently moved into a new apartment and have bought several new household goods, including a vacuum cleaner, a refrigerator and a television. When dining out for business or leisure, she might have an Amarula (a liqueur) over ice and check Facebook on her mobile phone while she waits for her colleagues or friends. 4 Cosmopolitan Professionals
  • 26. 26
  • 27. 27 5 The Affluent The Affluent have much in common with Cosmopolitan Professionals: They mainly live in cities, have studied or worked abroad, prefer malls and upscale retail stores, access a wide variety of global media, and use credit cards to a greater extent than other Africans. Their income is substantially higher than the Cosmopolitan Professionals segment, typically more than $1,200 per month. They have a pronounced preference for luxury brands such as BMW, Mercedes & Gucci. This group represents just one to two percent of Sub-Saharan Africa’s population. The Affluent travel often for both work and pleasure, and may even own homes on other continents. Vacations, hotels and flights absorb a large proportion of their spending. The Affluent also spend money on clothing, cosmetics, cars, and household goods, seeking items that are fashionable and prestigious. Affluent Profile Osagi is a 45-year-old father of two living in Lagos with his wife. His two children attend universities abroad. Osagi is a director of a multinational oil company and oversees the company’s operations in Nigeria. He often travels abroad on business trips as well as within Africa, and spends time in hotels and dining out for business meetings. Osagi owns a lavish five-bedroom house in Banana Island, an upmarket area of Lagos, and employs several servants, including a driver for his daily commute.
  • 28. Figure 11: Segment Income Market Value (2000 to 2015 in $ Billions) Market Value ($Billions) 28 2015 2000 2000 Population Size (Millions) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 2000 0 200 400 600 0 * Market values equal total segment income and not disposable income Source: Canback 2010, Accenture Analysis 2000 2000 2015 2015 2015 2015 Basic Survivors Working Families Rising Strivers Cosmopolitan Professionals Affluent
  • 29. 29 What are the opportunities by segment? How do the opportunities within these segments compare with each other? While the spending power of Basic Survivors will grow slightly, the potential for doing business with Rising Strivers and Working Families will increase substantially as the segments grow and continue their upward trajectory. Accenture estimates that Working Families will represent 33% of the total Sub-Saharan African market opportunity by 2015. The largest group will remain Basic Survivors at 45%, followed by Rising Strivers (16%), Cosmopolitan Professionals (3.1%), and the Affluent (2.8%). Even though Cosmopolitan Professionals and the Affluent still will constitute a relatively small portion of the market, their spending power translates into a significant opportunity for luxury products and services. As the African economy continues to mature, these segments are likely to grow more rapidly. Figure 12: Consumer Segment Size Evolution 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1.9% 8.7% 21.2% 66.2% 2000 2.2% 2.6% 12.3% 29.2% 53.8% 2.3% 2.7% 13.3% 30.5% 51.1% 2.8% 3.1% 15.8% 33.3% 44.9% 2005 2010 2015 2.1% Basic Survivors Working Families Rising Strivers Cosmopoliton Professionals Affluent Source: Accenture analysis based on segment market value
  • 30. 30
  • 31. How do we ensure that there is demand for our product/service? 31 How can companies unlock the potential in Sub-Saharan Africa? Our consumer segmentation clearly illustrates the potential Africa holds for a variety of businesses looking to gain a foothold on the continent. A company’s market entry plan must be explicit about the role Africa will play in its broader corporate strategy, on which African countries it makes sense to enter, and in what sequence and with what timing they should be entered. The market entry plan also should illuminate the company’s specific goals for market entry and the ways in which progress against those goals will be measured. Regardless of the markets or segments on which a company chooses to focus, companies need to consider a simple framework that can help most effectively execute an entry strategy. As shown in Figure 13, our framework encompasses the full lifecycle of doing business in Sub-Saharan Africa, from gaining insights on the biggest opportunities to deploying effective marketing campaigns that support the company’s offers. Figure 13: Seven key steps to build a business in Sub-Saharan Africa Strategy Execution 1. Market Research 2. Value Proposition 3. Market Entry Strategy 4. Sourcing 5. Manufacturing 6. Distribution 7. Marketing and Promotion Do we understand our target market? Develop a deep understanding of the market, competitors and consumer by using creative, cutting-edge methods to tap into local networks and local knowledge Do we have the right product/ service to offer? Deliver a holistic/ innovative offering which responds to the needs of their target consumers -encompassing product/ service, price, promotion and place How do we enter the market with minimal risk? A robust market entry strategy is essential for successful operations in Africa, based on your level of risk appetite and reward select whether to go it alone, acquire or partner Do we source locally or import? Partner and build trusting relationships with local producers who can provide intelligence into tastes and preferences of local communities and provide a stable, less costly supply chain Do we use local manufactures or do we do it alone? Develop close partnerships with local producers or build own manufacturing capacity close to your markets vertically integrating when necessary to reinforce your supply chain How do we reach our customers? Last Mile distribution is extremely costly. Look for existing innovative mechanisms in the market to leverage (e.g. Using local women and men to distribute to rural areas) Traditional routes to market do not work, direct personal selling and visibility in the informal sector are key
  • 32. “MXit (Free online mobile chat service) has applied three key strategies in accessing lower income African consumers. Firstly, MXit has kept its product simple, minimizing customization. Secondly, MXit has improved reach through accessing early adopters in communities and ensuring that users are constantly educated about new services. And lastly, MXit ensures that it understands and appeals to its target consumers’ most basic needs, which can often be misunderstood if there is not sufficient research.” Herman Heunis (Founder and MD MXit) 32
  • 33. 33 Understand the target market The first step to entering the African market is to develop a deep understanding of the market, competitors and consumers. Due to a large informal economy and the prevalence of cash transactions, accurate and representative data on consumer spending is sparse. How can companies bridge this gap? They must get creative, tapping into local networks to gather insights, partnering with academia and companies that possess usable customer data – for example, banks and telcos - and designing market-facing pilot “experiments” with risk mitigation mechanisms such as “seed loans” to test methods for accelerating future expansion. Company managers need to be prepared to walk the markets and gain insights from talking to street vendors, watching consumers and building a qualitative model of how the market operates. This approach is very different from that used to understand a developed market with large volumes of quantifiable data. Together, such an approach can help companies gain the market insights they need to craft differentiated, relevant offers for the African market. CfC Stanbic, a division of Johannesburg-based Standard Bank Group, provides an example of how this is done. One of the key aspects of doing business in Africa is the predominance of individual, self-employed vendors, for instance, Nairobi alone has approximately 100,000 such businesses. For banks such as CfC Stanbic, the challenge is loaning money to the most promising of these entrepreneurs, many of whom have little or no credit history. To tap into this opportunity while reducing its loan default risk, CfC Stanbic used a tool that enabled portable psychometric testing of potential loan recipients, rapidly assessing their risk tolerance, ethics and honesty, intelligence, and business skills. CfC Stanbic also deployed a mobile workforce to complement its local banking branches, and further mitigated risk by using “seed loans” with “graduation plans,” which allowed the bank’s business with a given customer to grow as the customer’s credibility was established.8 Understanding the Target Market: CfC Stanbic • CfC Stanbic sought to build its business with African entrepreneurs, but little data was available on their creditworthiness. • The bank conducted psychometric testing of potential loan recipients in the field, thereby reducing its risk of loan default. • CfC Stanbic created a mobile workforce to address this market and reduced its risk through “seed loans” to small businesses.
  • 34. Develop the right value proposition With a solid understanding of the opportunity, companies seeking to do business in Africa must deliver a relevant, differentiated offering tailored to their target consumers, as they must do in any geography. African consumers have unique requirements that companies must take into account. For example, price remains the key consideration for the majority of African consumers, and all offerings should take this into consideration. In addition, community and family are strong elements of African culture, so companies need to ensure that branding and promotional efforts resonate with these values— for example, through corporate social responsibility and sustainable development programs. As we showed in the previous section, distinct segments of African consumers have unique needs and preferences that companies must incorporate into their value propositions. 34 Consumer goods giants such as Unilever and Procter & Gamble have excelled in understanding and meeting the unique needs of African consumers. Unilever, which aims to serve all African consumers (including the Basic Survivors, those living on less than $1 each day), had to find a profitable way to make its products available and affordable for the poorest of Africans. To achieve this goal, Unilever created the "small unit packs/low unit price" concept: for example, selling small sachets of detergent or salt. This strategy has allowed Unilever to deliver the volumes required to support expansion whilst capturing the loyalty of lower-income customers. This strategy has also prevented the margin-eroding resale of its bulk products in smaller portions. Unilever collaborates closely with local wholesalers who not only assist Unilever to supply Africa’s informal market but also provide the company with market insights and customer feedback. Unilever has embedded corporate social responsibility in its strategy to further boost the brand’s relevance with Africans.9 Develop the Value Proposition: Unilever • Unilever sought to reach Africa’s poorest consumers profitably. • To do so it developed small packets of product at low prices, worked closely with local wholesalers, and worked to become relevant to Africans. • The company has had double-digit growth in the region during the past decade.
  • 35. 35 Enter the market with minimal risk Although Sub-Saharan Africa has shown tremendous improvement as a consumer market in recent years, many barriers to entry, ranging from corruption, to a lack of infrastructure and local talent, to bureaucracy remain. To choose the right strategy for overcoming these hurdles, companies must assess risk and then decide whether to establish a stand-alone business, enter via an acquisition, seek partnerships or joint ventures, or licence its products and services to another company. Each approach has its pros and cons: Entering via a Greenfield (i.e. going it alone) investment can result in the biggest payoff if entry is successful, but also is the riskiest choice for companies that lack local market knowledge, access to distribution channels or political connections. Conversely, entering Africa via an acquisition can be expensive and time consuming, but can provide immediate access to existing networks and distribution channels and the opportunity to gain deep market insights that can be scaled. Partnering provides a faster way of gaining access to local market knowledge and distribution channels, but selecting the right partner requires careful appraisal of ownership, control, pricing and local partner capabilities. Licensing offers the least risky and lowest cost option to expand market reach, but carries a high brand risk and limits the potential to exploit potential market opportunities. Ultimately, the right strategy must reflect the company’s goals and priorities, the state of local market development and regulation, and the specific nature of the entry barriers to be overcome. Overcome the challenges of sourcing and procurement Another key to success in Africa is developing a stable, cost-effective supply chain that enables a company to meet local needs and overcome local challenges whilst maintaining profitability. This is no small feat: Importing raw materials as well as finished goods into Africa is hampered by many of the same challenges that make market entry difficult, including corruption, complex regulations, high taxes and substantial import fees. Companies must choose sourcing partners that have strong links with the community and a high level of intelligence on local preferences and challenges. Companies must invest in the capacity and capabilities of these partners, establishing training and incentive programs that enable them to fulfill the company’s brand promise. Figure 14: Africa Market Entry Mode Strengths Challenges Acquire Gain ready-made local market position/ share and assets Accurate valuations in Africa are challenging and many contracts might be relationship/ or culture based Risk/ Reward Partner High degree of dependence on partner, whose goals might not align Less risky option, due to the ability to leverage partner presence and local market knowledge Low Greenfield (Go it alone) High degree of control and no reward sharing More risky due to lack of local market knowledge High Licence High degree of brand risk due to loss of control, and less opportunity to exploit market opportunities Least risky and low cost option to expand market reach
  • 36. One company that has been able to overcome the challenges of sourcing in Africa is SABMiller, which has set up cooperatives with local farmers to supply barley and cassava to suit the tastes of Basic Survivors and Rising Strivers. SABMiller has signed long-term 36 contracts to buy crates from a local producer, as well as locally produced cans. By 2012, the company hopes to source from and work with up to 45,000 African farmers.10 Overcoming Sourcing Challenges: SABMiller • To address the challenges of sourcing in Africa, SABMiller set out on an aggressive strategy to build key relationships with local suppliers. • The company is now working directly with local farmers and producers to source key inputs. Develop the right manufacturing strategy In addition to solving sourcing challenges, a company must develop a robust and relevant manufacturing strategy which should feature strong partnerships with local producers or the development of in-house manufacturing capacity close to a company’s targeted markets. While the right manufacturing strategy must be specific to each company’s context, capabilities, and goals, a few general guidelines can be useful. For instance, companies doing business in Africa should be sure to improve the stability of key resources via term contracts, upstream acquisitions, and investment in diversified geographical sources to minimize supply disruptions and improve the quality and availability of materials. Trusting relationships with local producers are important as well, as is the provision of technical support and training to local manufacturers to ensure high standards for locally sourced raw materials. DUFIL, the largest manufacturer of instant noodles in Nigeria, provides an example of how foreign brands can be manufactured successfully in Africa. Indomie, originally an Indonesian brand of instant noodles, has been a runaway hit in Africa, and in Nigeria in particular. In 2008, the company introduced a new flavor tailored to local tastes, which was very popular among Nigerian consumers. However, challenges related to importing key ingredients made it difficult for the company to meet demand for this new product. To overcome these challenges, Indomie embarked upon a backward-integration strategy. The company invested in world-class local production facilities and tapped local sources and its own manufacturing capabilities to source raw materials.
  • 37. 37
  • 38. Today, the brand is being produced in nine ultra-modern factories in two key locations in Nigeria, with plans to expand aggressively. Due to its ability to respond quickly to local demand, Indomie has captured 70 percent of the Nigerian instant noodle market.11 Developing Manufacturing Strategy: DUFIL • Indomie, an Indonesian brand of instant noodles, had become very popular in Nigeria. • Due to challenges associated with importing raw materials, the company struggled to meet demand. • Indomie integrated backward, developing local manufacturing capabilities for all raw materials. 38 Reach customers effectively Given that more than 60 percent of people in Africa live in rural areas and have limited access to transportation, simply covering “the last mile” to reach the final consumer can be extremely costly and difficult. Poor roads and limited infrastructure can make delivering products or services to consumers a daunting task. Companies must build strong sales and distribution networks by leveraging a mix of third-party, wholesale, and direct-distribution models. The route to market, in our view, is the greatest obstacle that companies must overcome to build a successful business in any African market. This is especially the case with Basic Survivors and Working Families, whom companies can reach most effectively by employing locals to act as agents, or by partnering with local organizations that have links into the rural market. Mobile operator, MTN is a seasoned veteran of doing business with rural consumers, with operations in 21 markets across Africa and the Middle East (plus Afghanistan). To boost its market share among rural, low-income Africans, MTN has created services tailored to their needs through a network of local agents, established kiosks in rural areas, and has given agents motorbikes to reach the most remote areas. MTN has also developed lower denominations when selling airtime, reflecting the low and unpredictable income of many African consumers. Through such innovative distribution and promotional activities, MTN has been able to capture a significant proportion of the Basic Survivors segment, which is a critical entry point to the African market.12 Reaching Customers: MTN • To gain market share among low-income, rural Africans, MTN has made it easier for them to buy and use airtime, enabled its agents to reach remote areas, and created smaller airtime denominations. • The company has established a leading position within the Basic Survivors segment.
  • 39. 39 Stimulate demand through marketing and promotion Companies used to supporting demand through Western-style marketing and promotional approaches must adjust their strategies—and their expectations—for the African market. Traditional media, namely television and radio, does not always reach all market segments, particularly people living in rural areas or urban slums. In much of Africa, weak infrastructure limits access to electricity, telephones and the Internet, making access to media— whether TV, websites, or social media— erratic. While tailoring messages and offerings to specific market segments is critical to success, most companies will struggle to obtain useful market insights on Africa’s largely informal markets. Companies must identify strong local partners through which they can access informal markets and obtain information they can use to refine their offerings and messages. Companies must also spend their marketing budget wisely, being mindful that TV, radio and print campaigns will not have the same impact as they would in developed markets. In particular, when attempting to reach lower-income segments such as Basic Survivors and Working Families, companies must ensure their promotions and marketing are focused on the community and are visible in the market through relevant media such as radio and competitions. East African Breweries Limited (EABL) has tailored its marketing approach to become East Africa's leading branded alcohol beverage company. Tusker Lager, one of its beers and the biggest brand in East Africa, was initially perceived as old-fashioned by young adults. While EABL was determined to rectify this perception, the company had a limited marketing budget, and knew that the impact of traditional TV- or radio-based advertising would be limited within East Africa. To maximize the return on its marketing resources, EABL focused on a single, high-impact platform that would resonate with young adults: Tusker Project Fame, a reality show focused on regional talent. To overcome limited access to TVs, EABL sponsored “viewing bars” where the show was screened in conjunction with promotions on EABL drinks. Competitions were held to boost audience engagement. EABL provided training and branded material to retailers to ensure that the brand was delivered successfully to target consumers and leveraged mobile and Internet technology: the company generated more than one million SMS votes and Web traffic of approximately 70,000 hits per week.13 Effectively Marketing and Promoting: Tusker Lager • Tusker Lager was perceived as old-fashioned by East African Brewery Limited’s (EABL) target consumers. • EABL had limited marketing resources and advertising effectively in East Africa would be difficult. • EABL focused its resources on a reality TV show and brought it to viewers without TVs via “viewing bars.”
  • 40. 40
  • 41. 41 Companies are building emerging markets into growth strategies as consumer demand in more mature markets struggles to reach pre-recession levels. Perhaps the most promising emerging market is also one of the least understood: Africa. The continent offers the last frontier for consumer growth. Until recently, doing business on the continent has been hampered by an unstable political and economic environment, a lack of infrastructure, and widespread poverty. At the same time, the predominance of informal markets and cash transactions in Africa has prevented companies from uncovering the types of consumer insights that have helped companies penetrate other markets. Clearly the African continent is now open for business. The business environment is improving, infrastructure is being strengthened albeit slowly, and growing numbers of consumers are earning more and purchasing products and services that support their aspirations. As the African opportunity becomes more attractive, companies are devising creative ways to gather important market insights in order to craft compelling consumer propositions that meet the needs of African consumers whilst generating robust revenue and profits. Focus and discipline are key to this goal. Companies must target the right consumer segments, from Basic Survivors to Rising Strivers to the Affluent, and then apply a structured approach to understanding consumers and how to do business with them. It is also critical to move quickly. Companies that enter early, and even create new product categories, stand to gain a significant advantage over competitors that wait until the African market is more mature, when allegiances have already been formed and competitive pressures are more intense. By focusing on the distinctive needs, behaviors, and preferences of the consumer segments described in this point of view, and by applying a systematic approach to market entry and ongoing success, companies can tap into the African opportunity in ways that protect their margins and grow their revenue—thereby accelerating the pursuit of high performance. Conclusion
  • 42. Acknowledgements The authors wish to thank the following people for their contribution: Wayne Borchardt, Roze Phillips, Clemence Grasset, Lindsay Smith, Joelle Kana, Tlangelani Mageza, Jon Jaaback, Rolf Moes, Tamara Parker and Henry Egan Special thanks are owed to the following company representatives who provided detailed market insights: • Stephen Van Coller (Absa Capital) • John Gachora (Absa) • Dr Dieter Kovar (ABSA or ABSA Capital) • Baker Magunda (EABL) • Dr. Henk Greeff (JD Group) • Noah Naidoo (Standard Bank) • Mike Conway (Tiger Brands) • Herman Heunis (MXit) 42 Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture. This document is produced by consultants at Accenture as general guidance. It is not intended to provide specific advice on your circumstances. If you require advice or further details on any matters referred to, please contact your Accenture representative. About this study This study was prepared from sources and data which Accenture believes to be reliable but it makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to their accuracy or completeness. Any figures and statistics used in this study were up to date at time of writing and are subject to change without notice. The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of Accenture only and do not necessarily reflect those of any of the companies researched or surveyed or any other third party referenced in the report. Such opinions should not be construed as providing professional advice, recommendations or endorsements, or relied upon as such. Neither Accenture nor its employees accept responsibility for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information contained in this publication. Appendix
  • 43. 43 References 1 Euromonitor 2011 2 UN Population Division, 2010 3 UN Population Division, 2010 4 Maxim Pinkovskiy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Xavier Sala‐i‐ Martin, Columbia University and NBER, 2010 5 Maxim Pinkovskiy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Xavier Sala‐i‐ Martin, Columbia University and NBER, 2010 6 UN Population Division, 2010 7Africa Mobile Fact book, 2008 8 Standard Bank Group – Kenya SME Pilot. http://www.hks.harvard.edu/var/ ezp_site/storage/fckeditor/file/pdfs/ centers-programs/centers/cid/el/gem- 2010/presentations/Standard_Bank_ Group_SME_Pilot.pdf 9 No whitewash: Unilever's drive to dominate Africa, Jasson Nissa, April 2003 10 African group brews new customers - http://www.ft.com/ cms/s/0/c55f7318-f957-11de-80dc- 00144feab49a.html#axzz1En8JK3ob 11 Noodles War: Indomie and the competitions, stocknewsline, December 2009 12 Distribution is the name of the game, Mats Thoren, Ericson Business Review, February 2007 13 EABL Annual Report, 2010
  • 44. Copyright © 2011 Accenture All rights reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture. 11-0457_LL / 7-1842 About Accenture Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, with more than 223,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries. Combining unparalleled experience, comprehensive capabilities across all industries and business functions, and extensive research on the world’s most successful companies, Accenture collaborates with clients to help them become high-performance businesses and governments. The company generated net revenues of US$21.6 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 2010. Its home page is www.accenture.com. For further information, please contact: Grant Hatch Accenture South Africa Strategy Lead grant.hatch@accenture.com +27 21 408 1303 Wayne Borchardt Accenture Global Growth Strategy Lead wayne.g.borchardt@accenture.com +60 3 2088 4110 Roze Phillips Accenture South Africa – Consumer Goods and Services Industry Lead rozett.phillips@accenture.com +27 11 208 3533