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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Monday, 07 March 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
CBQK 43.50 44.50
QEWS 197.90 202.40
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,136.57 1.22 11.1
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,250 10,350 10,500
Support 10,000 9,800 9,600
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The Index broke above the 10,000 and
maintained its course with slightly higher
volumes. Momentum Indicators on both
the daily and the intraday charts show
positive signs. That been said, the Index
remains below the 200 SMA, but it is
getting closer to it.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,250
Expected Support Level: 10,000
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 03 Mar 02 Mar %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 468.4 412.6 13.5
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 536.9 531.5 1.0
Volume (mn) 15.6 12.6 23.8
Number of Trans. 6,081 5,681 7.0
Companies Traded 39 39 0.0
Market Breadth 27:8 25:10 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 16,065.84 1.3 67.2
All Share Index 2,742.15 1.0 66.5
Banks 2,746.02 0.9 62.3
Industrials 3,036.90 0.7 65.4
Transportation 2,425.45 0.9 61.5
Real Estate 2,322.22 2.7 68.2
Insurance 4,221.74 -0.6 55.8
Telecoms 1,052.36 2.7 54.7
Consumer Goods 6,212.02 -1.2 70.6
Al Rayan Islamic 3,771.95 1.6 69.9
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
ZHCD 88.00 0.0 76.5
SIIS 12.95 1.0 73.2
QIIK 71.00 0.9 71.9
NLCS 13.87 10.0 71.8
QIGD 39.30 0.0 70.4
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
CBQK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 43.50 1.16 345,991
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 43.50 44.50 45.30
Support 42.35 41.00 40.00
Commentary
Overview:
We sent out a buy recommendation on
the bank on February the 24
th
. It
stabilized and triggered our previously
mentioned suggested entry price of
QR43.20. We reiterate that call and we
still see a potential to move up. We
update our first expected target from
QR44.00 to QR44.50.
Expected Target Price: QR44.50 – QR45.30
A breakaway above QR43.50 triggers the
buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR42.35
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
QEWS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 197.90 0.61 33,159
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 198.00 202.40 206.00
Support 191.00 187.20 182.40
Commentary
Overview:
We sent a sell recommendation on the
name if it broke below the QR191.00 back
on the 1
st
of this month. That condition
was not met. In addition, the name
stabilized above that price and could be in
a short-term uptrend. We remain cautious
if it breaks below the QR191.00.
Expected Target Price: QR202.40 –
QR206.00
A breakaway above QR198.00 triggers the
buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR191.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,136.57 9,928.36 9,988.01 10,024.86 10,084.52 10,144.17 10,181.02 10,240.68 9,656.48 10,256.94 11,024.88
Total Return 16,065.84 15,735.83 15,830.38 15,888.79 15,983.34 16,077.89 16,136.30 16,230.85 15,066.85 15,971.57 17,150.31
All Share 2,742.15 2,695.31 2,708.73 2,717.02 2,730.44 2,743.86 2,752.15 2,765.57 2,580.18 2,736.41 2,941.98
Al Rayan Islamic 3,771.95 3,695.42 3,717.34 3,730.89 3,752.82 3,774.74 3,788.29 3,810.22 3,496.36 3,787.08 4,164.29
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 35.35 34.82 34.97 35.06 35.22 35.37 35.46 35.62 34.67 37.18 40.83
CBQK 43.50 42.83 43.02 43.14 43.33 43.52 43.64 43.83 42.19 46.09 50.85
DHBK 41.80 41.40 41.55 41.65 41.80 41.95 42.05 42.20 39.67 43.44 47.92
QIBK 99.00 96.47 97.19 97.64 98.37 99.09 99.54 100.27 95.53 105.66 107.76
QIIK 71.00 69.53 70.03 70.34 70.83 71.33 71.64 72.13 64.17 67.38 72.49
Insurance
QATI 78.50 74.63 75.93 76.73 78.03 79.33 80.13 81.43 69.75 72.44 77.37
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 111.10 106.43 108.15 109.21 110.93 112.65 113.71 115.43 99.19 121.24 148.68
Industrials
IQCD 107.60 104.53 105.49 106.08 107.03 107.99 108.58 109.53 102.39 107.42 120.42
QEWS 197.90 190.03 192.29 193.68 195.93 198.19 199.58 201.83 197.45 203.57 210.12
GISS 35.30 33.73 34.29 34.63 35.18 35.74 36.08 36.63 40.41 48.89 59.89
QIGD 39.30 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32.39 37.02 43.53
Real Estate
BRES 37.00 36.73 36.85 36.92 37.03 37.15 37.22 37.33 35.28 38.81 43.43
UDCD 22.05 21.70 21.82 21.89 22.00 22.12 22.19 22.30 19.83 21.11 22.61
ERES 16.16 15.28 15.53 15.69 15.94 16.19 16.35 16.60 14.56 16.00 17.13
MRDS 12.40 11.91 12.06 12.15 12.29 12.44 12.53 12.67 11.69 13.19 15.00
Telecommunication
ORDS 85.00 82.87 83.48 83.86 84.47 85.08 85.46 86.07 79.72 76.57 78.92
VFQS 11.26 10.57 10.79 10.93 11.15 11.37 11.51 11.73 11.02 11.97 13.68
Transportation
QGTS 23.79 23.64 23.68 23.71 23.76 23.80 23.83 23.88 22.19 23.12 22.70
QNNS 95.60 95.40 95.48 95.52 95.60 95.68 95.72 95.80 91.66 94.31 95.93
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any
direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice.
We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources
that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the
accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be
different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to
amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and
opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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Daily Technical Trader - Qatar March 07

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Monday, 07 March 2016 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price Target CBQK 43.50 44.50 QEWS 197.90 202.40 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 10,136.57 1.22 11.1 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 10,250 10,350 10,500 Support 10,000 9,800 9,600 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The Index broke above the 10,000 and maintained its course with slightly higher volumes. Momentum Indicators on both the daily and the intraday charts show positive signs. That been said, the Index remains below the 200 SMA, but it is getting closer to it. Expected Resistance Level: 10,250 Expected Support Level: 10,000 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 03 Mar 02 Mar %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 468.4 412.6 13.5 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 536.9 531.5 1.0 Volume (mn) 15.6 12.6 23.8 Number of Trans. 6,081 5,681 7.0 Companies Traded 39 39 0.0 Market Breadth 27:8 25:10 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 16,065.84 1.3 67.2 All Share Index 2,742.15 1.0 66.5 Banks 2,746.02 0.9 62.3 Industrials 3,036.90 0.7 65.4 Transportation 2,425.45 0.9 61.5 Real Estate 2,322.22 2.7 68.2 Insurance 4,221.74 -0.6 55.8 Telecoms 1,052.36 2.7 54.7 Consumer Goods 6,212.02 -1.2 70.6 Al Rayan Islamic 3,771.95 1.6 69.9 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI ZHCD 88.00 0.0 76.5 SIIS 12.95 1.0 73.2 QIIK 71.00 0.9 71.9 NLCS 13.87 10.0 71.8 QIGD 39.30 0.0 70.4 RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 CBQK Price % Ch. Volume Last 43.50 1.16 345,991 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 43.50 44.50 45.30 Support 42.35 41.00 40.00 Commentary Overview: We sent out a buy recommendation on the bank on February the 24 th . It stabilized and triggered our previously mentioned suggested entry price of QR43.20. We reiterate that call and we still see a potential to move up. We update our first expected target from QR44.00 to QR44.50. Expected Target Price: QR44.50 – QR45.30 A breakaway above QR43.50 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR42.35 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 QEWS Price % Ch. Volume Last 197.90 0.61 33,159 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 198.00 202.40 206.00 Support 191.00 187.20 182.40 Commentary Overview: We sent a sell recommendation on the name if it broke below the QR191.00 back on the 1 st of this month. That condition was not met. In addition, the name stabilized above that price and could be in a short-term uptrend. We remain cautious if it breaks below the QR191.00. Expected Target Price: QR202.40 – QR206.00 A breakaway above QR198.00 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR191.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 10,136.57 9,928.36 9,988.01 10,024.86 10,084.52 10,144.17 10,181.02 10,240.68 9,656.48 10,256.94 11,024.88 Total Return 16,065.84 15,735.83 15,830.38 15,888.79 15,983.34 16,077.89 16,136.30 16,230.85 15,066.85 15,971.57 17,150.31 All Share 2,742.15 2,695.31 2,708.73 2,717.02 2,730.44 2,743.86 2,752.15 2,765.57 2,580.18 2,736.41 2,941.98 Al Rayan Islamic 3,771.95 3,695.42 3,717.34 3,730.89 3,752.82 3,774.74 3,788.29 3,810.22 3,496.36 3,787.08 4,164.29 Banks & Financials Services MARK 35.35 34.82 34.97 35.06 35.22 35.37 35.46 35.62 34.67 37.18 40.83 CBQK 43.50 42.83 43.02 43.14 43.33 43.52 43.64 43.83 42.19 46.09 50.85 DHBK 41.80 41.40 41.55 41.65 41.80 41.95 42.05 42.20 39.67 43.44 47.92 QIBK 99.00 96.47 97.19 97.64 98.37 99.09 99.54 100.27 95.53 105.66 107.76 QIIK 71.00 69.53 70.03 70.34 70.83 71.33 71.64 72.13 64.17 67.38 72.49 Insurance QATI 78.50 74.63 75.93 76.73 78.03 79.33 80.13 81.43 69.75 72.44 77.37 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 111.10 106.43 108.15 109.21 110.93 112.65 113.71 115.43 99.19 121.24 148.68 Industrials IQCD 107.60 104.53 105.49 106.08 107.03 107.99 108.58 109.53 102.39 107.42 120.42 QEWS 197.90 190.03 192.29 193.68 195.93 198.19 199.58 201.83 197.45 203.57 210.12 GISS 35.30 33.73 34.29 34.63 35.18 35.74 36.08 36.63 40.41 48.89 59.89 QIGD 39.30 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32.39 37.02 43.53 Real Estate BRES 37.00 36.73 36.85 36.92 37.03 37.15 37.22 37.33 35.28 38.81 43.43 UDCD 22.05 21.70 21.82 21.89 22.00 22.12 22.19 22.30 19.83 21.11 22.61 ERES 16.16 15.28 15.53 15.69 15.94 16.19 16.35 16.60 14.56 16.00 17.13 MRDS 12.40 11.91 12.06 12.15 12.29 12.44 12.53 12.67 11.69 13.19 15.00 Telecommunication ORDS 85.00 82.87 83.48 83.86 84.47 85.08 85.46 86.07 79.72 76.57 78.92 VFQS 11.26 10.57 10.79 10.93 11.15 11.37 11.51 11.73 11.02 11.97 13.68 Transportation QGTS 23.79 23.64 23.68 23.71 23.76 23.80 23.83 23.88 22.19 23.12 22.70 QNNS 95.60 95.40 95.48 95.52 95.60 95.68 95.72 95.80 91.66 94.31 95.93 Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.