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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Thursday, 25 February 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
CBQK 43.00 44.00
ERES 14.80 15.15
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 9,917.52 -0.85 6.4
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,000 10,250 10,350
Support 9,800 9,600 9,400
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
In the past session, the QSE Index created
a Doji candlestick, which means that
market participants might have reached
an indecision point at these critical levels.
The Index remains in a short-term
uptrend and the 9,800 support level is
becoming more relevant than ever.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,000
Expected Support Level: 9,800
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 24 Feb 23 Feb %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 334.8 401.4 -16.6
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 528.6 532.4 -0.7
Volume (mn) 9.8 9.8 0.2
Number of Trans. 6,037 6,089 -0.9
Companies Traded 39 38 2.6
Market Breadth 13:24 24:12 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 15,630.50 -0.3 60.7
All Share Index 2,680.59 -0.3 61.4
Banks 2,713.28 -0.4 60.1
Industrials 2,962.09 -0.7 60.2
Transportation 2,408.80 -0.7 61.0
Real Estate 2,187.72 0.3 57.9
Insurance 4,208.99 0.2 62.1
Telecoms 1,062.96 0.5 62.1
Consumer Goods 5,927.67 -0.4 66.6
Al Rayan Islamic 3,600.04 -0.1 59.9
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
SIIS 13.00 3.6 78.2
QIGD 39.30 0.0 70.4
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
CBQK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 43.00 -0.46 406,653
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 43.20 44.00 44.60
Support 42.35 41.00 40.00
Commentary
Overview:
The name continued its positive move
and broke above the downtrend channel
(seen in red on the daily chart). In
addition, we notice the creation of a
possible Flag price formation on the intra-
day chart. The Flag formation, in this
case, is a positive continuation price
formation. But we have to note the risk
taking a position at these levels because
the price bounced to the 61.8% Fibonacci
level of the previous down move.
Expected Target Price: QR44.00 – QR44.60
A price breakaway above QR43.20
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR42.35
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
ERES
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 14.80 1.51 604,666
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 14.80 15.15 15.70
Support 14.20 13.80 13.20
Commentary
Overview:
The name broke above the downtrend
channel that extended from last October
and sustained its levels since then. The
momentum is becoming increasingly
positive. The price is trying to break
above its 50SMA.
Expected Target Price: QR15.15 – QR15.70
A price breakaway above QR14.80
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR14.20
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 9,917.52 9,794.65 9,845.39 9,876.74 9,927.49 9,978.23 10,009.58 10,060.33 9,657.98 10,366.98 11,097.13
Total Return 15,630.50 15,436.85 15,516.82 15,566.23 15,646.21 15,726.18 15,775.59 15,855.57 15,033.50 16,124.77 17,253.58
All Share 2,680.59 2,650.95 2,663.77 2,671.68 2,684.50 2,697.32 2,705.23 2,718.05 2,575.27 2,762.35 2,959.96
Al Rayan Islamic 3,600.04 3,563.55 3,578.32 3,587.45 3,602.23 3,617.00 3,626.13 3,640.91 3,497.07 3,835.04 4,195.46
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 35.40 34.53 34.88 35.09 35.43 35.78 35.99 36.33 34.74 37.73 41.20
CBQK 43.00 42.13 42.40 42.57 42.83 43.10 43.27 43.53 42.42 46.91 51.25
DHBK 42.00 41.07 41.41 41.62 41.97 42.31 42.52 42.87 39.95 43.96 48.33
QIBK 96.00 94.73 95.46 95.91 96.63 97.36 97.81 98.53 96.82 106.92 108.02
QIIK 68.00 67.00 67.38 67.62 68.00 68.38 68.62 69.00 63.24 67.74 72.82
Insurance
QATI 78.50 75.50 76.65 77.35 78.50 79.65 80.35 81.50 74.01 78.09 83.00
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 92.60 86.00 88.41 89.89 92.30 94.71 96.19 98.60 100.84 125.55 150.73
Industrials
IQCD 109.50 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 101.93 108.64 121.59
QEWS 196.00 192.73 194.22 195.14 196.63 198.12 199.04 200.53 199.01 204.62 210.74
GISS 34.25 33.35 33.66 33.84 34.15 34.46 34.64 34.95 41.88 50.83 61.33
QIGD 39.30 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32.09 37.49 43.91
Real Estate
BRES 36.55 36.02 36.25 36.39 36.62 36.85 36.99 37.22 35.51 39.32 43.85
UDCD 21.75 21.56 21.67 21.74 21.84 21.95 22.02 22.12 19.58 21.27 22.66
ERES 14.80 14.25 14.41 14.52 14.69 14.85 14.96 15.13 14.55 16.26 17.21
MRDS 11.77 11.62 11.69 11.73 11.80 11.87 11.91 11.98 12.48 14.13 15.95
Telecommunication
ORDS 88.00 86.73 87.23 87.54 88.03 88.53 88.84 89.33 77.64 76.04 79.30
VFQS 10.39 10.18 10.25 10.29 10.37 10.44 10.48 10.56 11.12 12.21 13.89
Transportation
QGTS 23.90 23.33 23.51 23.61 23.78 23.96 24.06 24.23 22.14 23.12 22.67
QNNS 95.00 93.73 94.46 94.91 95.63 96.36 96.81 97.53 91.40 94.40 96.06
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any
direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice.
We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources
that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the
accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be
different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to
amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and
opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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Daily Technical Trader - Qatar February 25

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Thursday, 25 February 2016 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price Target CBQK 43.00 44.00 ERES 14.80 15.15 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 9,917.52 -0.85 6.4 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 10,000 10,250 10,350 Support 9,800 9,600 9,400 QSE Index Commentary Overview: In the past session, the QSE Index created a Doji candlestick, which means that market participants might have reached an indecision point at these critical levels. The Index remains in a short-term uptrend and the 9,800 support level is becoming more relevant than ever. Expected Resistance Level: 10,000 Expected Support Level: 9,800 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 24 Feb 23 Feb %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 334.8 401.4 -16.6 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 528.6 532.4 -0.7 Volume (mn) 9.8 9.8 0.2 Number of Trans. 6,037 6,089 -0.9 Companies Traded 39 38 2.6 Market Breadth 13:24 24:12 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 15,630.50 -0.3 60.7 All Share Index 2,680.59 -0.3 61.4 Banks 2,713.28 -0.4 60.1 Industrials 2,962.09 -0.7 60.2 Transportation 2,408.80 -0.7 61.0 Real Estate 2,187.72 0.3 57.9 Insurance 4,208.99 0.2 62.1 Telecoms 1,062.96 0.5 62.1 Consumer Goods 5,927.67 -0.4 66.6 Al Rayan Islamic 3,600.04 -0.1 59.9 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI SIIS 13.00 3.6 78.2 QIGD 39.30 0.0 70.4 RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 CBQK Price % Ch. Volume Last 43.00 -0.46 406,653 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 43.20 44.00 44.60 Support 42.35 41.00 40.00 Commentary Overview: The name continued its positive move and broke above the downtrend channel (seen in red on the daily chart). In addition, we notice the creation of a possible Flag price formation on the intra- day chart. The Flag formation, in this case, is a positive continuation price formation. But we have to note the risk taking a position at these levels because the price bounced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the previous down move. Expected Target Price: QR44.00 – QR44.60 A price breakaway above QR43.20 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR42.35 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 ERES Price % Ch. Volume Last 14.80 1.51 604,666 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 14.80 15.15 15.70 Support 14.20 13.80 13.20 Commentary Overview: The name broke above the downtrend channel that extended from last October and sustained its levels since then. The momentum is becoming increasingly positive. The price is trying to break above its 50SMA. Expected Target Price: QR15.15 – QR15.70 A price breakaway above QR14.80 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR14.20 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 9,917.52 9,794.65 9,845.39 9,876.74 9,927.49 9,978.23 10,009.58 10,060.33 9,657.98 10,366.98 11,097.13 Total Return 15,630.50 15,436.85 15,516.82 15,566.23 15,646.21 15,726.18 15,775.59 15,855.57 15,033.50 16,124.77 17,253.58 All Share 2,680.59 2,650.95 2,663.77 2,671.68 2,684.50 2,697.32 2,705.23 2,718.05 2,575.27 2,762.35 2,959.96 Al Rayan Islamic 3,600.04 3,563.55 3,578.32 3,587.45 3,602.23 3,617.00 3,626.13 3,640.91 3,497.07 3,835.04 4,195.46 Banks & Financials Services MARK 35.40 34.53 34.88 35.09 35.43 35.78 35.99 36.33 34.74 37.73 41.20 CBQK 43.00 42.13 42.40 42.57 42.83 43.10 43.27 43.53 42.42 46.91 51.25 DHBK 42.00 41.07 41.41 41.62 41.97 42.31 42.52 42.87 39.95 43.96 48.33 QIBK 96.00 94.73 95.46 95.91 96.63 97.36 97.81 98.53 96.82 106.92 108.02 QIIK 68.00 67.00 67.38 67.62 68.00 68.38 68.62 69.00 63.24 67.74 72.82 Insurance QATI 78.50 75.50 76.65 77.35 78.50 79.65 80.35 81.50 74.01 78.09 83.00 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 92.60 86.00 88.41 89.89 92.30 94.71 96.19 98.60 100.84 125.55 150.73 Industrials IQCD 109.50 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 101.93 108.64 121.59 QEWS 196.00 192.73 194.22 195.14 196.63 198.12 199.04 200.53 199.01 204.62 210.74 GISS 34.25 33.35 33.66 33.84 34.15 34.46 34.64 34.95 41.88 50.83 61.33 QIGD 39.30 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32.09 37.49 43.91 Real Estate BRES 36.55 36.02 36.25 36.39 36.62 36.85 36.99 37.22 35.51 39.32 43.85 UDCD 21.75 21.56 21.67 21.74 21.84 21.95 22.02 22.12 19.58 21.27 22.66 ERES 14.80 14.25 14.41 14.52 14.69 14.85 14.96 15.13 14.55 16.26 17.21 MRDS 11.77 11.62 11.69 11.73 11.80 11.87 11.91 11.98 12.48 14.13 15.95 Telecommunication ORDS 88.00 86.73 87.23 87.54 88.03 88.53 88.84 89.33 77.64 76.04 79.30 VFQS 10.39 10.18 10.25 10.29 10.37 10.44 10.48 10.56 11.12 12.21 13.89 Transportation QGTS 23.90 23.33 23.51 23.61 23.78 23.96 24.06 24.23 22.14 23.12 22.67 QNNS 95.00 93.73 94.46 94.91 95.63 96.36 96.81 97.53 91.40 94.40 96.06 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.