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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Wednesday, 11 March 2015
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
CBQK 70.30 72.00
MARK 47.20 50.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 12,235.92 0.8 4.3
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 12,250 12,350 12,600
Support 12,100 12,000 11,800
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index is coming close to the
upper side of the short-term downtrend
channel. The Index could face resistance
and we could see some profit taking after
four sessions of gains. The MACD and the
RSI are turning down (as seen from the
intraday chart). That indicates a possible
bearish momentum being built up over the
short-term.
Expected Resistance Level: 12,350
Expected Support Level: 12,000
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 10 Mar 15 09 Mar 15 %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 418.7 475.6 -12.0
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 665.5 663.5 0.3
Volume (mn) 9.5 10.1 -6.4
Number of Trans. 4,702 5,271 -10.8
Companies Traded 38 41 -7.3
Market Breadth 28:10 26:12 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 18,778.48 0.4 54.5
All Share Index 3,238.06 0.3 55.1
Banks 3,278.10 0.2 54.2
Industrials 4,046.41 0.3 56.2
Transportation 2,514.60 0.2 69.2
Real Estate 2,434.19 1.0 50.0
Insurance 4,092.97 -0.8 58.3
Telecoms 1,429.80 0.9 54.5
Consumer 7,177.81 0.2 41.5
Al Rayan Islamic 4,428.19 0.5 59.4
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
CBQK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 70.30 0.57 748,512
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 70.50 72.00 73.00
Support 70.00 69.00 67.00
Commentary
Overview:
The bank created an Ascending Triangle
price formation. A break above the upper
side is expected to have positive effects
on the price and could bring more buyers
into the name. It is worth mentioning that
the price is wobbling around the moving
averages which act as a strong support.
Expected Target Price: QR72.00 –
QR73.00
A break above QR70.50 is needed to
trigger the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR70.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
MARK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 47.20 0.43 573,446
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 48.00 50.00 51.00
Support 46.20 45.00 44.00
Commentary
Overview:
The name created a Double-Bottom price
formation, which is bullish in nature. It
should be noted that price is trading below
a short-term resistance line. As a result,
the name should have a sustainable break
above QR48.00 with higher volumes
before taking a valid long position.
Expected Target Price: QR50.00 –
QR51.00
The name needs a sustainable break
above QR48.00 to trigger a buy position.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR46.80
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 12,264.38 12,169.33 12,205.97 12,228.61 12,265.25 12,301.89 12,324.53 12,361.17 12,228.61 12,638.73 12,947.90
Total Return 18,778.48 18,632.95 18,689.05 18,723.71 18,779.82 18,835.92 18,870.58 18,926.69 18,356.92 18,909.57 19,340.76
All Share 3,238.06 3,217.41 3,225.18 3,229.97 3,237.73 3,245.50 3,250.29 3,258.05 3,161.76 3,237.18 3,294.72
Al Rayan Islamic 4,428.19 4,391.89 4,404.25 4,411.88 4,424.24 4,436.60 4,444.23 4,456.59 4,223.26 4,301.43 4,388.50
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 47.20 46.33 46.68 46.89 47.23 47.58 47.79 48.13 46.22 47.42 51.05
CBQK 70.30 69.63 69.86 70.00 70.23 70.46 70.60 70.83 68.34 69.75 69.22
DHBK 53.00 52.20 52.54 52.76 53.10 53.44 53.66 54.00 57.14 57.38 58.63
QIBK 102.50 100.37 101.21 101.73 102.57 103.41 103.93 104.77 104.95 105.42 105.79
QIIK 87.60 86.07 86.53 86.81 87.27 87.73 88.01 88.47 83.11 83.33 84.68
Insurance
QATI 77.00 76.40 76.74 76.96 77.30 77.64 77.86 78.20 77.31 78.76 78.10
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 151.10 149.57 150.14 150.49 151.07 151.64 151.99 152.57 133.26 128.08 117.76
Industrials
IQCD 147.10 145.37 146.17 146.66 147.47 148.27 148.76 149.57 153.97 170.07 176.62
QEWS 188.30 186.83 187.67 188.19 189.03 189.87 190.39 191.23 191.99 189.31 188.09
GISS 96.80 95.40 96.13 96.57 97.30 98.03 98.47 99.20 99.23 104.12 106.84
QIGD 44.00 42.77 43.28 43.60 44.12 44.63 44.95 45.47 40.94 43.15 51.00
Real Estate
BRES 48.55 46.98 47.52 47.85 48.38 48.92 49.25 49.78 45.88 45.38 43.06
UDCD 23.45 22.84 23.04 23.16 23.36 23.56 23.68 23.88 24.17 24.93 26.17
ERES 15.84 15.54 15.64 15.69 15.79 15.89 15.94 16.04 15.55 16.63 19.04
MRDS 19.90 19.46 19.61 19.69 19.84 19.99 20.07 20.22 19.73 20.72 20.88
Telecommunication
ORDS 114.30 113.17 113.63 113.91 114.37 114.83 115.11 115.57 115.89 117.76 126.16
VFQS 18.10 17.83 17.93 17.99 18.08 18.18 18.24 18.33 16.52 17.38 18.76
Transportation
QGTS 24.99 24.34 24.52 24.64 24.83 25.01 25.13 25.32 23.91 23.67 23.74
QNNS 109.00 104.87 106.09 106.84 108.07 109.29 110.04 111.27 101.33 99.55 96.86
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Badar Husain
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Head of Trading
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6547
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa badar.husain@qnbfs.com.qa
Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC
Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025
sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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11 March Daily technical trader

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Wednesday, 11 March 2015 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price Target CBQK 70.30 72.00 MARK 47.20 50.00 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 12,235.92 0.8 4.3 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 12,250 12,350 12,600 Support 12,100 12,000 11,800 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index is coming close to the upper side of the short-term downtrend channel. The Index could face resistance and we could see some profit taking after four sessions of gains. The MACD and the RSI are turning down (as seen from the intraday chart). That indicates a possible bearish momentum being built up over the short-term. Expected Resistance Level: 12,350 Expected Support Level: 12,000 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 10 Mar 15 09 Mar 15 %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 418.7 475.6 -12.0 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 665.5 663.5 0.3 Volume (mn) 9.5 10.1 -6.4 Number of Trans. 4,702 5,271 -10.8 Companies Traded 38 41 -7.3 Market Breadth 28:10 26:12 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 18,778.48 0.4 54.5 All Share Index 3,238.06 0.3 55.1 Banks 3,278.10 0.2 54.2 Industrials 4,046.41 0.3 56.2 Transportation 2,514.60 0.2 69.2 Real Estate 2,434.19 1.0 50.0 Insurance 4,092.97 -0.8 58.3 Telecoms 1,429.80 0.9 54.5 Consumer 7,177.81 0.2 41.5 Al Rayan Islamic 4,428.19 0.5 59.4 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 CBQK Price % Ch. Volume Last 70.30 0.57 748,512 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 70.50 72.00 73.00 Support 70.00 69.00 67.00 Commentary Overview: The bank created an Ascending Triangle price formation. A break above the upper side is expected to have positive effects on the price and could bring more buyers into the name. It is worth mentioning that the price is wobbling around the moving averages which act as a strong support. Expected Target Price: QR72.00 – QR73.00 A break above QR70.50 is needed to trigger the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR70.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 MARK Price % Ch. Volume Last 47.20 0.43 573,446 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 48.00 50.00 51.00 Support 46.20 45.00 44.00 Commentary Overview: The name created a Double-Bottom price formation, which is bullish in nature. It should be noted that price is trading below a short-term resistance line. As a result, the name should have a sustainable break above QR48.00 with higher volumes before taking a valid long position. Expected Target Price: QR50.00 – QR51.00 The name needs a sustainable break above QR48.00 to trigger a buy position. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR46.80 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 12,264.38 12,169.33 12,205.97 12,228.61 12,265.25 12,301.89 12,324.53 12,361.17 12,228.61 12,638.73 12,947.90 Total Return 18,778.48 18,632.95 18,689.05 18,723.71 18,779.82 18,835.92 18,870.58 18,926.69 18,356.92 18,909.57 19,340.76 All Share 3,238.06 3,217.41 3,225.18 3,229.97 3,237.73 3,245.50 3,250.29 3,258.05 3,161.76 3,237.18 3,294.72 Al Rayan Islamic 4,428.19 4,391.89 4,404.25 4,411.88 4,424.24 4,436.60 4,444.23 4,456.59 4,223.26 4,301.43 4,388.50 Banks & Financials Services MARK 47.20 46.33 46.68 46.89 47.23 47.58 47.79 48.13 46.22 47.42 51.05 CBQK 70.30 69.63 69.86 70.00 70.23 70.46 70.60 70.83 68.34 69.75 69.22 DHBK 53.00 52.20 52.54 52.76 53.10 53.44 53.66 54.00 57.14 57.38 58.63 QIBK 102.50 100.37 101.21 101.73 102.57 103.41 103.93 104.77 104.95 105.42 105.79 QIIK 87.60 86.07 86.53 86.81 87.27 87.73 88.01 88.47 83.11 83.33 84.68 Insurance QATI 77.00 76.40 76.74 76.96 77.30 77.64 77.86 78.20 77.31 78.76 78.10 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 151.10 149.57 150.14 150.49 151.07 151.64 151.99 152.57 133.26 128.08 117.76 Industrials IQCD 147.10 145.37 146.17 146.66 147.47 148.27 148.76 149.57 153.97 170.07 176.62 QEWS 188.30 186.83 187.67 188.19 189.03 189.87 190.39 191.23 191.99 189.31 188.09 GISS 96.80 95.40 96.13 96.57 97.30 98.03 98.47 99.20 99.23 104.12 106.84 QIGD 44.00 42.77 43.28 43.60 44.12 44.63 44.95 45.47 40.94 43.15 51.00 Real Estate BRES 48.55 46.98 47.52 47.85 48.38 48.92 49.25 49.78 45.88 45.38 43.06 UDCD 23.45 22.84 23.04 23.16 23.36 23.56 23.68 23.88 24.17 24.93 26.17 ERES 15.84 15.54 15.64 15.69 15.79 15.89 15.94 16.04 15.55 16.63 19.04 MRDS 19.90 19.46 19.61 19.69 19.84 19.99 20.07 20.22 19.73 20.72 20.88 Telecommunication ORDS 114.30 113.17 113.63 113.91 114.37 114.83 115.11 115.57 115.89 117.76 126.16 VFQS 18.10 17.83 17.93 17.99 18.08 18.18 18.24 18.33 16.52 17.38 18.76 Transportation QGTS 24.99 24.34 24.52 24.64 24.83 25.01 25.13 25.32 23.91 23.67 23.74 QNNS 109.00 104.87 106.09 106.84 108.07 109.29 110.04 111.27 101.33 99.55 96.86 Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Badar Husain Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Head of Trading Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6547 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa badar.husain@qnbfs.com.qa Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.