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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Sunday, 31 January 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
GISS 42.80 44.60
MARK 33.75 35.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 9,272.01 3.26 5.5
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 9,400 9,600 9,800
Support 9,150 9,000 8,500
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The Index concluded last week with a big
rally and was supported by higher
volumes. The Index broke above two
resistance levels in one session. We
expect this relief rally to continue in the
short term, backed by the positive moves
seen in the oil and international markets
last Friday. That been said, we stress the
fact that this is a relief rally and the major
trend remains down.
Expected Resistance Level: 9,400
Expected Support Level: 9,150
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 28 Jan 27 Jan %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 396.8 213.1 86.2
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 495.3 478.6 3.5
Volume (mn) 12.1 7.1 71.3
Number of Trans. 5,260 4,091 28.6
Companies Traded 41 39 5.1
Market Breadth 28:10 34:2 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 2,458.99 3.0 46.5
All Share Index 2,520.39 3.1 48.5
Banks 2,775.04 2.7 46.5
Industrials 2,138.48 0.1 40.8
Transportation 1,942.99 3.4 42.2
Real Estate 4,032.31 8.0 57.3
Insurance 972.96 2.2 56.2
Telecoms 4,952.25 1.3 38.5
Consumer 3,263.23 2.1 42.6
Al Rayan Islamic 3,196.71 2.6 38.7
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
DBIS 13.00 2.8 22.2
MCGS 79.90 3.2 27.7
QCFS 28.30 0.0 28.1
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
GISS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 42.80 -0.70 1,618,810
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 43.90 44.60 45.80
Support 40.00 37.60 36.00
Commentary
Overview:
GISS could use some of the expected
rally in the general market and bounce
above the lower side of the down-trending
channel. The RSI showed positive
divergence against the price and the
momentum is correcting up, slightly.
Expected Target Price: QR44.60 –
QR45.80
A price breakaway above QR43.90
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR40.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
MARK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 33.75 1.81 711,579
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 33.95 35.00 35.50
Support 32.00 31.00 28.60
Commentary
Overview:
MARK created a positive failure swing
with its price movement on the daily frame
and the hourly frame. Momentum is
picking up but the trend still down. The
expected move can be used for a short-
term trade because the main trend
remains down.
Expected Target Price: QR35.00 –
QR35.50
A price breakaway above QR33.95
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR31.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 9,272.01 8,864.73 8,981.42 9,053.50 9,170.19 9,286.88 9,358.96 9,475.65 9,889.06 10,683.30 11,308.95
Total Return 14,412.01 13,778.94 13,960.32 14,072.37 14,253.74 14,435.12 14,547.17 14,728.54 15,371.12 16,605.65 17,577.05
All Share 2,458.99 2,362.16 2,389.90 2,407.04 2,434.78 2,462.52 2,479.66 2,507.40 2,635.79 2,844.46 3,016.75
Al Rayan Islamic 3,263.23 3,183.18 3,206.11 3,220.28 3,243.22 3,266.15 3,280.32 3,303.26 3,637.54 3,992.74 4,295.45
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 33.75 32.62 32.98 33.20 33.57 33.93 34.15 34.52 35.56 39.16 42.43
CBQK 39.70 37.43 38.08 38.48 39.13 39.78 40.18 40.83 44.09 49.31 52.56
DHBK 36.50 35.83 36.18 36.39 36.73 37.08 37.29 37.63 42.42 46.04 49.68
QIBK 85.00 82.73 83.38 83.78 84.43 85.08 85.48 86.13 103.20 110.12 108.45
QIIK 64.50 63.10 63.71 64.09 64.70 65.31 65.69 66.30 63.78 69.26 74.07
Insurance
QATI 83.90 74.70 77.34 78.96 81.60 84.24 85.86 88.50 81.45 87.58 90.81
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 79.90 78.03 78.76 79.21 79.93 80.66 81.11 81.83 113.05 138.14 157.06
Industrials
IQCD 102.00 94.00 96.29 97.71 100.00 102.29 103.71 106.00 102.70 112.68 125.30
QEWS 184.00 178.67 180.19 181.14 182.67 184.19 185.14 186.67 202.96 207.47 211.48
GISS 42.80 41.93 42.39 42.67 43.13 43.59 43.87 44.33 48.30 55.64 66.02
QIGD 28.45 26.65 27.36 27.79 28.50 29.21 29.64 30.35 34.70 40.14 45.33
Real Estate
BRES 32.10 31.13 31.46 31.66 31.98 32.31 32.51 32.83 37.78 40.78 45.15
UDCD 18.40 17.67 17.91 18.07 18.32 18.56 18.72 18.97 19.95 21.87 22.87
ERES 13.30 12.39 12.65 12.81 13.07 13.33 13.49 13.75 15.14 16.99 17.43
MRDS 11.34 11.18 11.26 11.30 11.38 11.46 11.50 11.58 13.67 14.92 16.61
Telecommunication
ORDS 78.50 75.57 76.41 76.93 77.77 78.61 79.13 79.97 72.34 73.80 80.52
VFQS 10.45 10.15 10.25 10.30 10.40 10.50 10.55 10.65 11.57 12.75 14.49
Transportation
QGTS 20.70 19.26 19.67 19.93 20.34 20.75 21.01 21.42 22.54 23.07 22.67
QNNS 85.50 84.50 85.07 85.43 86.00 86.57 86.93 87.50 93.21 95.57 96.76
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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Daily Technical Trader - Qatar January 31

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Sunday, 31 January 2016 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target GISS 42.80 44.60 MARK 33.75 35.00 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 9,272.01 3.26 5.5 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 9,400 9,600 9,800 Support 9,150 9,000 8,500 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The Index concluded last week with a big rally and was supported by higher volumes. The Index broke above two resistance levels in one session. We expect this relief rally to continue in the short term, backed by the positive moves seen in the oil and international markets last Friday. That been said, we stress the fact that this is a relief rally and the major trend remains down. Expected Resistance Level: 9,400 Expected Support Level: 9,150 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 28 Jan 27 Jan %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 396.8 213.1 86.2 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 495.3 478.6 3.5 Volume (mn) 12.1 7.1 71.3 Number of Trans. 5,260 4,091 28.6 Companies Traded 41 39 5.1 Market Breadth 28:10 34:2 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 2,458.99 3.0 46.5 All Share Index 2,520.39 3.1 48.5 Banks 2,775.04 2.7 46.5 Industrials 2,138.48 0.1 40.8 Transportation 1,942.99 3.4 42.2 Real Estate 4,032.31 8.0 57.3 Insurance 972.96 2.2 56.2 Telecoms 4,952.25 1.3 38.5 Consumer 3,263.23 2.1 42.6 Al Rayan Islamic 3,196.71 2.6 38.7 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI DBIS 13.00 2.8 22.2 MCGS 79.90 3.2 27.7 QCFS 28.30 0.0 28.1 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 GISS Price % Ch. Volume Last 42.80 -0.70 1,618,810 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 43.90 44.60 45.80 Support 40.00 37.60 36.00 Commentary Overview: GISS could use some of the expected rally in the general market and bounce above the lower side of the down-trending channel. The RSI showed positive divergence against the price and the momentum is correcting up, slightly. Expected Target Price: QR44.60 – QR45.80 A price breakaway above QR43.90 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR40.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 MARK Price % Ch. Volume Last 33.75 1.81 711,579 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 33.95 35.00 35.50 Support 32.00 31.00 28.60 Commentary Overview: MARK created a positive failure swing with its price movement on the daily frame and the hourly frame. Momentum is picking up but the trend still down. The expected move can be used for a short- term trade because the main trend remains down. Expected Target Price: QR35.00 – QR35.50 A price breakaway above QR33.95 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR31.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 9,272.01 8,864.73 8,981.42 9,053.50 9,170.19 9,286.88 9,358.96 9,475.65 9,889.06 10,683.30 11,308.95 Total Return 14,412.01 13,778.94 13,960.32 14,072.37 14,253.74 14,435.12 14,547.17 14,728.54 15,371.12 16,605.65 17,577.05 All Share 2,458.99 2,362.16 2,389.90 2,407.04 2,434.78 2,462.52 2,479.66 2,507.40 2,635.79 2,844.46 3,016.75 Al Rayan Islamic 3,263.23 3,183.18 3,206.11 3,220.28 3,243.22 3,266.15 3,280.32 3,303.26 3,637.54 3,992.74 4,295.45 Banks & Financials Services MARK 33.75 32.62 32.98 33.20 33.57 33.93 34.15 34.52 35.56 39.16 42.43 CBQK 39.70 37.43 38.08 38.48 39.13 39.78 40.18 40.83 44.09 49.31 52.56 DHBK 36.50 35.83 36.18 36.39 36.73 37.08 37.29 37.63 42.42 46.04 49.68 QIBK 85.00 82.73 83.38 83.78 84.43 85.08 85.48 86.13 103.20 110.12 108.45 QIIK 64.50 63.10 63.71 64.09 64.70 65.31 65.69 66.30 63.78 69.26 74.07 Insurance QATI 83.90 74.70 77.34 78.96 81.60 84.24 85.86 88.50 81.45 87.58 90.81 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 79.90 78.03 78.76 79.21 79.93 80.66 81.11 81.83 113.05 138.14 157.06 Industrials IQCD 102.00 94.00 96.29 97.71 100.00 102.29 103.71 106.00 102.70 112.68 125.30 QEWS 184.00 178.67 180.19 181.14 182.67 184.19 185.14 186.67 202.96 207.47 211.48 GISS 42.80 41.93 42.39 42.67 43.13 43.59 43.87 44.33 48.30 55.64 66.02 QIGD 28.45 26.65 27.36 27.79 28.50 29.21 29.64 30.35 34.70 40.14 45.33 Real Estate BRES 32.10 31.13 31.46 31.66 31.98 32.31 32.51 32.83 37.78 40.78 45.15 UDCD 18.40 17.67 17.91 18.07 18.32 18.56 18.72 18.97 19.95 21.87 22.87 ERES 13.30 12.39 12.65 12.81 13.07 13.33 13.49 13.75 15.14 16.99 17.43 MRDS 11.34 11.18 11.26 11.30 11.38 11.46 11.50 11.58 13.67 14.92 16.61 Telecommunication ORDS 78.50 75.57 76.41 76.93 77.77 78.61 79.13 79.97 72.34 73.80 80.52 VFQS 10.45 10.15 10.25 10.30 10.40 10.50 10.55 10.65 11.57 12.75 14.49 Transportation QGTS 20.70 19.26 19.67 19.93 20.34 20.75 21.01 21.42 22.54 23.07 22.67 QNNS 85.50 84.50 85.07 85.43 86.00 86.57 86.93 87.50 93.21 95.57 96.76 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.