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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Tuesday, 19 April 2016
Today’s Coverage
Ticker Price Target
CBQK 39.40 41.00
IHGS 76.10 73.80
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,231.52 0.42 5.6
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,250 10,400 10,600
Support 10,100 10,000 9,800
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index experienced volatility in
the previous session and it remained in
the trading range. That been said, it is
sustained its levels above the 10,100 level
we mentioned in the previous reports. It
remains unclear where the Index is
heading at this point.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,250
Expected Support Level: 10,100
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 18 Apr 17 Apr %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 285.5 156.1 82.9
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 546.5 546.0 0.1
Volume (mn) 8.6 5.0 73.4
Number of Trans. 4,660 3,309 40.8
Companies Traded 43 38 13.2
Market Breadth 17:23 9:26 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 16,485.48 -0.5 54.2
All Share Index 2,847.36 -0.4 57.2
Banks 2,747.26 0.0 49.8
Industrials 3,146.40 -0.6 56.1
Transportation 2,529.07 -0.2 56.6
Real Estate 2,526.80 -0.9 59.5
Insurance 4,463.52 -0.2 49.4
Telecoms 1,165.65 -0.4 60.7
Consumer Goods 6,707.67 -0.5 66.3
Al Rayan Islamic 4,023.02 -0.8 60.1
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
MRDS 15.21 0.4 70.9
NLCS 18.89 -0.8 70.6
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
SIIS 11.55 -2.9 28.2
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
CBQK
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 39.40 1.16 252,887
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 39.50 41.00 42.00
Support 38.50 38.00 37.00
Commentary
Overview:
There has been price stability above the
QR38.00 level, which could spark a
bounce upwards. The bank, however, is
trading below its moving averages and
thus, buying here is against the main
trend.
Expected Target Price: QR41.00 – QR42.00
A price breakaway above QR39.50
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR38.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
IHGS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 76.10 -2.06 109,110
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 78.00 79.00 82.60
Support 76.00 73.80 72.60
Commentary
Overview:
We sent a buy recommendation back on
the 12
th
of this April; the price almost
reached our second target (shy by one
tick). That translates to an upside of over
5% from our suggested trigger price. Now,
the story might be changing; we see a
possible Tweezers-Top candlestick
formation on the daily chart. This is a
pattern with possible bearish
implications.
Expected Price Retreat: QR73.80 –
QR72.60
A price breach below QR76.00 triggers the
sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,231.52 10,009.75 10,073.28 10,112.54 10,176.08 10,239.61 10,278.87 10,342.41 10,115.59 9,945.70 10,740.65
Total Return 16,553.91 16,195.11 16,297.91 16,361.41 16,464.21 16,567.01 16,630.51 16,733.31 16,100.88 15,649.50 16,789.95
All Share 2,852.46 2,796.81 2,812.75 2,822.60 2,838.55 2,854.49 2,864.34 2,880.29 2,760.72 2,682.85 2,879.35
Al Rayan Islamic 4,014.46 3,942.99 3,963.47 3,976.12 3,996.59 4,017.07 4,029.72 4,050.19 3,808.23 3,691.62 4,054.50
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 34.85 34.12 34.33 34.46 34.67 34.88 35.01 35.22 35.38 35.23 39.23
CBQK 39.40 37.53 38.07 38.40 38.93 39.47 39.80 40.33 42.53 42.92 48.86
DHBK 36.90 36.10 36.33 36.47 36.70 36.93 37.07 37.30 38.59 40.03 45.40
QIBK 100.90 97.17 98.24 98.90 99.97 101.04 101.70 102.77 101.23 101.03 107.22
QIIK 64.00 62.87 63.36 63.67 64.17 64.66 64.97 65.47 68.34 65.78 70.78
Insurance
QATI 84.00 81.60 82.29 82.71 83.40 84.09 84.51 85.20 80.16 74.51 77.69
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 116.10 114.03 114.80 115.27 116.03 116.80 117.27 118.03 107.92 108.25 138.23
Industrials
IQCD 105.80 103.40 104.09 104.51 105.20 105.89 106.31 107.00 106.03 104.04 115.54
QEWS 209.00 197.93 201.26 203.31 206.63 209.96 212.01 215.33 200.03 200.57 207.48
GISS 35.70 34.10 34.56 34.84 35.30 35.76 36.04 36.50 35.53 41.19 53.24
QIGD 49.30 48.43 48.82 49.05 49.43 49.82 50.05 50.43 42.74 38.11 42.64
Real Estate
BRES 34.25 33.65 33.82 33.93 34.10 34.27 34.38 34.55 35.86 36.32 40.98
UDCD 18.99 18.71 18.84 18.91 19.04 19.17 19.24 19.37 20.23 19.90 21.99
ERES 18.20 17.53 17.72 17.84 18.03 18.22 18.34 18.53 16.64 15.77 17.03
MRDS 15.21 14.74 14.89 14.98 15.14 15.29 15.38 15.54 12.76 12.71 14.33
Telecommunication
ORDS 90.50 87.30 88.33 88.97 90.00 91.03 91.67 92.70 88.66 81.07 78.77
VFQS 12.45 11.92 12.07 12.16 12.32 12.47 12.56 12.72 11.63 11.52 12.99
Transportation
QGTS 23.48 22.99 23.13 23.22 23.36 23.50 23.59 23.73 23.27 22.76 22.84
QNNS 90.40 89.13 89.52 89.75 90.13 90.52 90.75 91.13 92.92 92.61 95.06
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any
direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice.
We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources
that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the
accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be
different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to
amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and
opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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Daily Technical Trader - Qatar April 19, 2016

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Tuesday, 19 April 2016 Today’s Coverage Ticker Price Target CBQK 39.40 41.00 IHGS 76.10 73.80 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 10,231.52 0.42 5.6 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 10,250 10,400 10,600 Support 10,100 10,000 9,800 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index experienced volatility in the previous session and it remained in the trading range. That been said, it is sustained its levels above the 10,100 level we mentioned in the previous reports. It remains unclear where the Index is heading at this point. Expected Resistance Level: 10,250 Expected Support Level: 10,100 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 18 Apr 17 Apr %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 285.5 156.1 82.9 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 546.5 546.0 0.1 Volume (mn) 8.6 5.0 73.4 Number of Trans. 4,660 3,309 40.8 Companies Traded 43 38 13.2 Market Breadth 17:23 9:26 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 16,485.48 -0.5 54.2 All Share Index 2,847.36 -0.4 57.2 Banks 2,747.26 0.0 49.8 Industrials 3,146.40 -0.6 56.1 Transportation 2,529.07 -0.2 56.6 Real Estate 2,526.80 -0.9 59.5 Insurance 4,463.52 -0.2 49.4 Telecoms 1,165.65 -0.4 60.7 Consumer Goods 6,707.67 -0.5 66.3 Al Rayan Islamic 4,023.02 -0.8 60.1 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI MRDS 15.21 0.4 70.9 NLCS 18.89 -0.8 70.6 RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI SIIS 11.55 -2.9 28.2 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 CBQK Price % Ch. Volume Last 39.40 1.16 252,887 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 39.50 41.00 42.00 Support 38.50 38.00 37.00 Commentary Overview: There has been price stability above the QR38.00 level, which could spark a bounce upwards. The bank, however, is trading below its moving averages and thus, buying here is against the main trend. Expected Target Price: QR41.00 – QR42.00 A price breakaway above QR39.50 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR38.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 IHGS Price % Ch. Volume Last 76.10 -2.06 109,110 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 78.00 79.00 82.60 Support 76.00 73.80 72.60 Commentary Overview: We sent a buy recommendation back on the 12 th of this April; the price almost reached our second target (shy by one tick). That translates to an upside of over 5% from our suggested trigger price. Now, the story might be changing; we see a possible Tweezers-Top candlestick formation on the daily chart. This is a pattern with possible bearish implications. Expected Price Retreat: QR73.80 – QR72.60 A price breach below QR76.00 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 10,231.52 10,009.75 10,073.28 10,112.54 10,176.08 10,239.61 10,278.87 10,342.41 10,115.59 9,945.70 10,740.65 Total Return 16,553.91 16,195.11 16,297.91 16,361.41 16,464.21 16,567.01 16,630.51 16,733.31 16,100.88 15,649.50 16,789.95 All Share 2,852.46 2,796.81 2,812.75 2,822.60 2,838.55 2,854.49 2,864.34 2,880.29 2,760.72 2,682.85 2,879.35 Al Rayan Islamic 4,014.46 3,942.99 3,963.47 3,976.12 3,996.59 4,017.07 4,029.72 4,050.19 3,808.23 3,691.62 4,054.50 Banks & Financials Services MARK 34.85 34.12 34.33 34.46 34.67 34.88 35.01 35.22 35.38 35.23 39.23 CBQK 39.40 37.53 38.07 38.40 38.93 39.47 39.80 40.33 42.53 42.92 48.86 DHBK 36.90 36.10 36.33 36.47 36.70 36.93 37.07 37.30 38.59 40.03 45.40 QIBK 100.90 97.17 98.24 98.90 99.97 101.04 101.70 102.77 101.23 101.03 107.22 QIIK 64.00 62.87 63.36 63.67 64.17 64.66 64.97 65.47 68.34 65.78 70.78 Insurance QATI 84.00 81.60 82.29 82.71 83.40 84.09 84.51 85.20 80.16 74.51 77.69 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 116.10 114.03 114.80 115.27 116.03 116.80 117.27 118.03 107.92 108.25 138.23 Industrials IQCD 105.80 103.40 104.09 104.51 105.20 105.89 106.31 107.00 106.03 104.04 115.54 QEWS 209.00 197.93 201.26 203.31 206.63 209.96 212.01 215.33 200.03 200.57 207.48 GISS 35.70 34.10 34.56 34.84 35.30 35.76 36.04 36.50 35.53 41.19 53.24 QIGD 49.30 48.43 48.82 49.05 49.43 49.82 50.05 50.43 42.74 38.11 42.64 Real Estate BRES 34.25 33.65 33.82 33.93 34.10 34.27 34.38 34.55 35.86 36.32 40.98 UDCD 18.99 18.71 18.84 18.91 19.04 19.17 19.24 19.37 20.23 19.90 21.99 ERES 18.20 17.53 17.72 17.84 18.03 18.22 18.34 18.53 16.64 15.77 17.03 MRDS 15.21 14.74 14.89 14.98 15.14 15.29 15.38 15.54 12.76 12.71 14.33 Telecommunication ORDS 90.50 87.30 88.33 88.97 90.00 91.03 91.67 92.70 88.66 81.07 78.77 VFQS 12.45 11.92 12.07 12.16 12.32 12.47 12.56 12.72 11.63 11.52 12.99 Transportation QGTS 23.48 22.99 23.13 23.22 23.36 23.50 23.59 23.73 23.27 22.76 22.84 QNNS 90.40 89.13 89.52 89.75 90.13 90.52 90.75 91.13 92.92 92.61 95.06 Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.