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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Thursday, 12 March 2015
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
BRES 48.15 47.00
GISS 95.30 92.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 12,127.98 -1.1 6.9
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 12,250 12,350 12,600
Support 12,100 12,000 11,800
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index could not hold its ground
and declined in the last session, possibly
heading towards the 12,000 level. On the
daily and the intraday charts, both the
MACD and the RSI are pointing down.
The only good news we have thus far is
that the drop was coupled with lower
traded volumes. Hence, we could see
strong support around 12,000 level.
Expected Resistance Level: 12,350
Expected Support Level: 12,000
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 11 Mar 15 10 Mar 15 %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 293.4 418.7 -29.9
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 659.0 665.5 -1.0
Volume (mn) 6.1 9.5 -35.9
Number of Trans. 4,051 4,702 -13.8
Companies Traded 41 38 7.9
Market Breadth 11:29 28:10 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 18,603.14 -0.9 48.6
All Share Index 3,212.30 -0.8 49.5
Banks 3,260.28 -0.5 50.9
Industrials 4,012.97 -0.8 50.7
Transportation 2,497.69 -0.7 63.5
Real Estate 2,412.87 -0.9 47.1
Insurance 4,070.24 -0.6 54.8
Telecoms 1,385.77 -3.1 40.2
Consumer 7,147.38 -0.4 39.3
Al Rayan Islamic 4,404.41 -0.5 56.0
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
DHBK 52.30 -1.3 27.0
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
BRES
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 48.15 -0.82 524,210
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 48.70 50.00 51.00
Support 47.90 47.00 46.40
Commentary
Overview:
The name has been in a trading range for
the past month. This range is tilting
downwards and the price could reach the
lower bound of that range, and possibly
lower. Technical indicators are mostly
flattish on the daily chart but more bearish
on the intraday chart.
Expected Target Retreat: QR47.00 –
QR46.40
Price to breach below QR48.00 to trigger
the sell idea.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
GISS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 95.30 -1.55 190,733
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 97.00 99.00 104.00
Support 95.00 92.00 90.00
Commentary
Overview:
The name created a bearish Tombstone
Doji candlestick. It was further augmented
by another bearish candlestick. The
MACD on the daily chart carries bearish
momentum while the RSI, although
flattish, is pointing down. Thus, a drop
below QR95.00 could soften the buying
pressure and could push the price down.
Expected Target Retreat: QR92.00 –
QR90.00
A price breach below QR95.00 would
trigger the sell idea.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 12,127.98 12,073.81 12,104.85 12,124.03 12,155.06 12,186.10 12,205.28 12,236.31 12,218.54 12,630.59 12,943.44
Total Return 18,603.14 18,520.05 18,567.66 18,597.07 18,644.68 18,692.29 18,721.70 18,769.31 18,352.19 18,902.58 19,336.69
All Share 3,212.30 3,199.49 3,206.83 3,211.37 3,218.70 3,226.04 3,230.58 3,237.91 3,161.64 3,236.48 3,294.22
Al Rayan Islamic 4,404.41 4,379.47 4,391.82 4,399.45 4,411.80 4,424.15 4,431.78 4,444.13 4,225.95 4,301.83 4,388.93
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 46.80 46.43 46.64 46.77 46.98 47.19 47.32 47.53 46.21 47.38 51.03
CBQK 69.60 68.73 69.15 69.41 69.83 70.25 70.51 70.93 68.36 69.76 69.23
DHBK 52.30 51.97 52.16 52.28 52.47 52.66 52.78 52.97 57.03 57.34 58.57
QIBK 102.50 101.50 101.88 102.12 102.50 102.88 103.12 103.50 104.89 105.36 105.82
QIIK 88.00 86.67 87.05 87.28 87.67 88.05 88.28 88.67 83.19 83.38 84.69
Insurance
QATI 75.20 74.00 74.69 75.11 75.80 76.49 76.91 77.60 77.25 78.67 78.14
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 151.00 147.87 148.94 149.60 150.67 151.74 152.40 153.47 133.84 128.36 118.07
Industrials
IQCD 145.30 143.77 144.53 145.00 145.77 146.53 147.00 147.77 153.36 169.74 176.41
QEWS 189.00 182.33 184.78 186.29 188.73 191.18 192.69 195.13 191.94 189.40 188.11
GISS 95.30 93.57 94.33 94.80 95.57 96.33 96.80 97.57 99.20 103.97 106.82
QIGD 43.60 43.07 43.30 43.44 43.67 43.90 44.04 44.27 40.93 43.06 50.88
Real Estate
BRES 48.15 47.52 47.78 47.95 48.22 48.48 48.65 48.92 45.90 45.47 43.10
UDCD 23.30 22.92 23.04 23.11 23.23 23.35 23.42 23.54 24.15 24.90 26.15
ERES 15.69 15.54 15.62 15.66 15.73 15.81 15.85 15.92 15.54 16.60 18.97
MRDS 19.70 19.23 19.42 19.54 19.73 19.92 20.04 20.23 19.72 20.71 20.88
Telecommunication
ORDS 110.00 105.13 107.08 108.29 110.23 112.18 113.39 115.33 115.67 117.60 125.99
VFQS 17.90 17.81 17.86 17.89 17.95 18.00 18.03 18.09 16.53 17.36 18.75
Transportation
QGTS 23.59 22.64 22.96 23.16 23.48 23.80 24.00 24.32 23.95 23.70 23.74
QNNS 108.80 107.00 107.73 108.17 108.90 109.63 110.07 110.80 101.57 99.70 96.92
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Badar Husain
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Head of Trading
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6547
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa badar.husain@qnbfs.com.qa
Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC
Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025
sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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12 March Daily technical trader

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Thursday, 12 March 2015 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price Target BRES 48.15 47.00 GISS 95.30 92.00 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 12,127.98 -1.1 6.9 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 12,250 12,350 12,600 Support 12,100 12,000 11,800 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index could not hold its ground and declined in the last session, possibly heading towards the 12,000 level. On the daily and the intraday charts, both the MACD and the RSI are pointing down. The only good news we have thus far is that the drop was coupled with lower traded volumes. Hence, we could see strong support around 12,000 level. Expected Resistance Level: 12,350 Expected Support Level: 12,000 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 11 Mar 15 10 Mar 15 %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 293.4 418.7 -29.9 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 659.0 665.5 -1.0 Volume (mn) 6.1 9.5 -35.9 Number of Trans. 4,051 4,702 -13.8 Companies Traded 41 38 7.9 Market Breadth 11:29 28:10 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 18,603.14 -0.9 48.6 All Share Index 3,212.30 -0.8 49.5 Banks 3,260.28 -0.5 50.9 Industrials 4,012.97 -0.8 50.7 Transportation 2,497.69 -0.7 63.5 Real Estate 2,412.87 -0.9 47.1 Insurance 4,070.24 -0.6 54.8 Telecoms 1,385.77 -3.1 40.2 Consumer 7,147.38 -0.4 39.3 Al Rayan Islamic 4,404.41 -0.5 56.0 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI DHBK 52.30 -1.3 27.0 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 BRES Price % Ch. Volume Last 48.15 -0.82 524,210 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 48.70 50.00 51.00 Support 47.90 47.00 46.40 Commentary Overview: The name has been in a trading range for the past month. This range is tilting downwards and the price could reach the lower bound of that range, and possibly lower. Technical indicators are mostly flattish on the daily chart but more bearish on the intraday chart. Expected Target Retreat: QR47.00 – QR46.40 Price to breach below QR48.00 to trigger the sell idea. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 GISS Price % Ch. Volume Last 95.30 -1.55 190,733 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 97.00 99.00 104.00 Support 95.00 92.00 90.00 Commentary Overview: The name created a bearish Tombstone Doji candlestick. It was further augmented by another bearish candlestick. The MACD on the daily chart carries bearish momentum while the RSI, although flattish, is pointing down. Thus, a drop below QR95.00 could soften the buying pressure and could push the price down. Expected Target Retreat: QR92.00 – QR90.00 A price breach below QR95.00 would trigger the sell idea. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 12,127.98 12,073.81 12,104.85 12,124.03 12,155.06 12,186.10 12,205.28 12,236.31 12,218.54 12,630.59 12,943.44 Total Return 18,603.14 18,520.05 18,567.66 18,597.07 18,644.68 18,692.29 18,721.70 18,769.31 18,352.19 18,902.58 19,336.69 All Share 3,212.30 3,199.49 3,206.83 3,211.37 3,218.70 3,226.04 3,230.58 3,237.91 3,161.64 3,236.48 3,294.22 Al Rayan Islamic 4,404.41 4,379.47 4,391.82 4,399.45 4,411.80 4,424.15 4,431.78 4,444.13 4,225.95 4,301.83 4,388.93 Banks & Financials Services MARK 46.80 46.43 46.64 46.77 46.98 47.19 47.32 47.53 46.21 47.38 51.03 CBQK 69.60 68.73 69.15 69.41 69.83 70.25 70.51 70.93 68.36 69.76 69.23 DHBK 52.30 51.97 52.16 52.28 52.47 52.66 52.78 52.97 57.03 57.34 58.57 QIBK 102.50 101.50 101.88 102.12 102.50 102.88 103.12 103.50 104.89 105.36 105.82 QIIK 88.00 86.67 87.05 87.28 87.67 88.05 88.28 88.67 83.19 83.38 84.69 Insurance QATI 75.20 74.00 74.69 75.11 75.80 76.49 76.91 77.60 77.25 78.67 78.14 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 151.00 147.87 148.94 149.60 150.67 151.74 152.40 153.47 133.84 128.36 118.07 Industrials IQCD 145.30 143.77 144.53 145.00 145.77 146.53 147.00 147.77 153.36 169.74 176.41 QEWS 189.00 182.33 184.78 186.29 188.73 191.18 192.69 195.13 191.94 189.40 188.11 GISS 95.30 93.57 94.33 94.80 95.57 96.33 96.80 97.57 99.20 103.97 106.82 QIGD 43.60 43.07 43.30 43.44 43.67 43.90 44.04 44.27 40.93 43.06 50.88 Real Estate BRES 48.15 47.52 47.78 47.95 48.22 48.48 48.65 48.92 45.90 45.47 43.10 UDCD 23.30 22.92 23.04 23.11 23.23 23.35 23.42 23.54 24.15 24.90 26.15 ERES 15.69 15.54 15.62 15.66 15.73 15.81 15.85 15.92 15.54 16.60 18.97 MRDS 19.70 19.23 19.42 19.54 19.73 19.92 20.04 20.23 19.72 20.71 20.88 Telecommunication ORDS 110.00 105.13 107.08 108.29 110.23 112.18 113.39 115.33 115.67 117.60 125.99 VFQS 17.90 17.81 17.86 17.89 17.95 18.00 18.03 18.09 16.53 17.36 18.75 Transportation QGTS 23.59 22.64 22.96 23.16 23.48 23.80 24.00 24.32 23.95 23.70 23.74 QNNS 108.80 107.00 107.73 108.17 108.90 109.63 110.07 110.80 101.57 99.70 96.92 Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Badar Husain Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Head of Trading Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6547 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa badar.husain@qnbfs.com.qa Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.