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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Sunday, 18 October 2015
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
MCCS 98.60 96.90
IQCD 125.70 129.40
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 11,772.08 0.11 3.2
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 11,900 12,000 12,100
Support 11,760 11,500 11,300
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index could not break through
the 11,900 resistance yet another day. It is
important for the Index to break above the
mentioned level to give us a sign of relief.
Due to the thin trading activity in the
market, we cannot clearly determine
whether the Index will punch through that
level.
Expected Resistance Level: 11,900
Expected Support Level: 11,760
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 15 Oct 14 Oct %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 262.5 157.2 67.0
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 617.9 617.3 0.1
Volume (mn) 8.5 3.9 119.8
Number of Trans. 3,928 2,752 42.7
Companies Traded 42 41 2.4
Market Breadth 20:19 4:31 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 18,298.00 0.1 56.9
All Share Index 3,129.67 0.1 57.0
Banks 3,161.42 0.0 56.5
Industrials 3,545.25 0.6 54.2
Transportation 2,456.90 -0.1 50.3
Real Estate 2,810.22 -0.4 62.8
Insurance 4,559.36 -0.8 44.4
Telecoms 1,065.95 1.5 63.6
Consumer 6,795.07 0.0 52.8
Al Rayan Islamic 4,468.76 0.1 55.8
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QCFS 38.00 0.0 17.7
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
MCCS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 98.60 -0.90 23,216
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 101.00 102.00 103.20
Support 98.60 96.90 95.40
Commentary
Overview:
Based on momentum indicators, MCCS is
expected to show more weakness. In
addition to trading below its SMAs, the
Histogram on the daily chart is losing
ground. The MACD, on both time frames,
is below the zero level.
Expected Target Price: QR96.90 –
QR95.40
A price breach below QR98.60 triggers
the sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
IQCD
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 125.70 0.08 104,564
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 126.80 129.40 131.50
Support 125.00 123.70 120.00
Commentary
Overview:
In the medium term, IQCD has been
trading in a downtrend channel but it is in
a bouncing mode in the short term. In
addition, the two candlesticks created in
the past couple sessions indicate more
selling pressure was exerted on the name.
However, if the name maintains above
QR125.00 and it pushes above
QR126.80, then the rebound might
continue further up.
Expected Target Price: QR129.40 –
QR131.50
A price breakaway above QR126.80
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR125.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 11,772.08 11,700.91 11,722.86 11,736.42 11,758.36 11,780.31 11,793.87 11,815.81 11,534.12 11,778.83 11,936.19
Total Return 18,298.00 18,187.39 18,221.50 18,242.57 18,276.68 18,310.79 18,331.86 18,365.97 17,928.13 18,307.40 18,377.87
All Share 3,129.67 3,112.10 3,117.39 3,120.66 3,125.94 3,131.23 3,134.50 3,139.78 3,072.63 3,143.67 3,160.34
Al Rayan Islamic 4,468.76 4,436.01 4,445.68 4,451.65 4,461.33 4,471.00 4,476.97 4,486.65 4,415.09 4,535.84 4,441.02
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 43.95 43.65 43.76 43.84 43.95 44.06 44.14 44.25 43.22 44.43 45.65
CBQK 56.90 55.77 56.11 56.32 56.67 57.01 57.22 57.57 56.24 55.61 57.73
DHBK 50.00 49.67 49.86 49.98 50.17 50.36 50.48 50.67 51.16 52.29 53.61
QIBK 118.20 116.33 116.98 117.38 118.03 118.68 119.08 119.73 113.15 110.10 106.66
QIIK 76.00 75.27 75.57 75.76 76.07 76.37 76.56 76.87 75.75 77.51 79.57
Insurance
QATI 94.10 92.90 93.59 94.01 94.70 95.39 95.81 96.50 96.51 97.05 87.97
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 167.60 164.93 166.46 167.41 168.93 170.46 171.41 172.93 169.02 176.06 160.63
Industrials
IQCD 125.70 124.30 124.91 125.29 125.90 126.51 126.89 127.50 128.96 133.11 140.45
QEWS 209.20 207.80 208.30 208.60 209.10 209.60 209.90 210.40 212.45 216.54 205.88
GISS 70.50 68.90 69.36 69.64 70.10 70.56 70.84 71.30 63.58 70.65 82.22
QIGD 47.30 45.63 46.13 46.44 46.93 47.43 47.74 48.23 46.96 49.88 46.32
Real Estate
BRES 44.50 43.97 44.20 44.34 44.57 44.80 44.94 45.17 44.56 47.96 47.49
UDCD 24.32 24.20 24.27 24.31 24.38 24.45 24.49 24.56 24.05 24.11 23.67
ERES 19.90 19.63 19.71 19.76 19.83 19.91 19.96 20.03 18.44 18.25 17.17
MRDS 16.16 15.85 16.03 16.13 16.30 16.48 16.58 16.75 16.46 17.58 18.05
Telecommunication
ORDS 78.50 75.77 76.61 77.13 77.97 78.81 79.33 80.17 74.40 80.91 94.73
VFQS 14.89 14.34 14.50 14.61 14.78 14.94 15.05 15.22 14.14 15.32 16.16
Transportation
QGTS 23.11 22.88 22.99 23.06 23.16 23.27 23.34 23.44 22.28 22.29 22.80
QNNS 96.50 96.30 96.41 96.49 96.60 96.71 96.79 96.90 97.21 97.51 99.17
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Saugata Sarkar Sahbi Kasraoui QNB Financial Services SPC
Head of Research Head of HNI Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 PO Box 24025
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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18 October Daily technical trader

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Sunday, 18 October 2015 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target MCCS 98.60 96.90 IQCD 125.70 129.40 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 11,772.08 0.11 3.2 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 11,900 12,000 12,100 Support 11,760 11,500 11,300 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index could not break through the 11,900 resistance yet another day. It is important for the Index to break above the mentioned level to give us a sign of relief. Due to the thin trading activity in the market, we cannot clearly determine whether the Index will punch through that level. Expected Resistance Level: 11,900 Expected Support Level: 11,760 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 15 Oct 14 Oct %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 262.5 157.2 67.0 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 617.9 617.3 0.1 Volume (mn) 8.5 3.9 119.8 Number of Trans. 3,928 2,752 42.7 Companies Traded 42 41 2.4 Market Breadth 20:19 4:31 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 18,298.00 0.1 56.9 All Share Index 3,129.67 0.1 57.0 Banks 3,161.42 0.0 56.5 Industrials 3,545.25 0.6 54.2 Transportation 2,456.90 -0.1 50.3 Real Estate 2,810.22 -0.4 62.8 Insurance 4,559.36 -0.8 44.4 Telecoms 1,065.95 1.5 63.6 Consumer 6,795.07 0.0 52.8 Al Rayan Islamic 4,468.76 0.1 55.8 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QCFS 38.00 0.0 17.7 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 MCCS Price % Ch. Volume Last 98.60 -0.90 23,216 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 101.00 102.00 103.20 Support 98.60 96.90 95.40 Commentary Overview: Based on momentum indicators, MCCS is expected to show more weakness. In addition to trading below its SMAs, the Histogram on the daily chart is losing ground. The MACD, on both time frames, is below the zero level. Expected Target Price: QR96.90 – QR95.40 A price breach below QR98.60 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 IQCD Price % Ch. Volume Last 125.70 0.08 104,564 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 126.80 129.40 131.50 Support 125.00 123.70 120.00 Commentary Overview: In the medium term, IQCD has been trading in a downtrend channel but it is in a bouncing mode in the short term. In addition, the two candlesticks created in the past couple sessions indicate more selling pressure was exerted on the name. However, if the name maintains above QR125.00 and it pushes above QR126.80, then the rebound might continue further up. Expected Target Price: QR129.40 – QR131.50 A price breakaway above QR126.80 triggers the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR125.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 11,772.08 11,700.91 11,722.86 11,736.42 11,758.36 11,780.31 11,793.87 11,815.81 11,534.12 11,778.83 11,936.19 Total Return 18,298.00 18,187.39 18,221.50 18,242.57 18,276.68 18,310.79 18,331.86 18,365.97 17,928.13 18,307.40 18,377.87 All Share 3,129.67 3,112.10 3,117.39 3,120.66 3,125.94 3,131.23 3,134.50 3,139.78 3,072.63 3,143.67 3,160.34 Al Rayan Islamic 4,468.76 4,436.01 4,445.68 4,451.65 4,461.33 4,471.00 4,476.97 4,486.65 4,415.09 4,535.84 4,441.02 Banks & Financials Services MARK 43.95 43.65 43.76 43.84 43.95 44.06 44.14 44.25 43.22 44.43 45.65 CBQK 56.90 55.77 56.11 56.32 56.67 57.01 57.22 57.57 56.24 55.61 57.73 DHBK 50.00 49.67 49.86 49.98 50.17 50.36 50.48 50.67 51.16 52.29 53.61 QIBK 118.20 116.33 116.98 117.38 118.03 118.68 119.08 119.73 113.15 110.10 106.66 QIIK 76.00 75.27 75.57 75.76 76.07 76.37 76.56 76.87 75.75 77.51 79.57 Insurance QATI 94.10 92.90 93.59 94.01 94.70 95.39 95.81 96.50 96.51 97.05 87.97 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 167.60 164.93 166.46 167.41 168.93 170.46 171.41 172.93 169.02 176.06 160.63 Industrials IQCD 125.70 124.30 124.91 125.29 125.90 126.51 126.89 127.50 128.96 133.11 140.45 QEWS 209.20 207.80 208.30 208.60 209.10 209.60 209.90 210.40 212.45 216.54 205.88 GISS 70.50 68.90 69.36 69.64 70.10 70.56 70.84 71.30 63.58 70.65 82.22 QIGD 47.30 45.63 46.13 46.44 46.93 47.43 47.74 48.23 46.96 49.88 46.32 Real Estate BRES 44.50 43.97 44.20 44.34 44.57 44.80 44.94 45.17 44.56 47.96 47.49 UDCD 24.32 24.20 24.27 24.31 24.38 24.45 24.49 24.56 24.05 24.11 23.67 ERES 19.90 19.63 19.71 19.76 19.83 19.91 19.96 20.03 18.44 18.25 17.17 MRDS 16.16 15.85 16.03 16.13 16.30 16.48 16.58 16.75 16.46 17.58 18.05 Telecommunication ORDS 78.50 75.77 76.61 77.13 77.97 78.81 79.33 80.17 74.40 80.91 94.73 VFQS 14.89 14.34 14.50 14.61 14.78 14.94 15.05 15.22 14.14 15.32 16.16 Transportation QGTS 23.11 22.88 22.99 23.06 23.16 23.27 23.34 23.44 22.28 22.29 22.80 QNNS 96.50 96.30 96.41 96.49 96.60 96.71 96.79 96.90 97.21 97.51 99.17 Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Saugata Sarkar Sahbi Kasraoui QNB Financial Services SPC Head of Research Head of HNI Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 PO Box 24025 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.