We were expecting the QSE Index to move higher but volatility in oil prices subdued confidence and the market inched up marginally. Momentum indicators remain positive; we need the Index to remain above the 9,600 to be on the safe side.

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Wednesday, 17 February 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
ORDS 87.80 85.10
QATI 87.00 89.70
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 9,873.13 0.16 6.8
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,000 10,250 10,350
Support 9,800 9,600 9,400
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
We were expecting the QSE Index to
move higher but volatility in oil prices
subdued confidence and the market
inched up marginally. Momentum
indicators remain positive; we need the
Index to remain above the 9,600 to be on
the safe side.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,000
Expected Support Level: 9,800
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 16 Feb 15 Feb %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 385.2 303.6 26.9
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 525.3 523.5 0.3
Volume (mn) 14.2 8.4 69.7
Number of Trans. 5,694 4,899 16.2
Companies Traded 36 40 -10.0
Market Breadth 19:15 30:9 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 15,398.14 0.2 58.8
All Share Index 2,636.95 0.4 59.1
Banks 2,682.48 0.2 59.5
Industrials 2,857.83 -0.1 53.7
Transportation 2,404.47 1.3 64.0
Real Estate 2,158.55 0.2 56.7
Insurance 4,181.41 0.5 62.1
Telecoms 1,060.41 -0.9 62.5
Consumer Goods 5,772.96 4.1 64.8
Al Rayan Islamic 3,536.39 0.0 57.1
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
SIIS 12.03 4.0 71.6
QFLS 157.00 7.2 71.6
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
DBIS 11.39 -1.0 20.8
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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ORDS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 87.80 -1.13 40,717
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 89.00 90.30 95.00
Support 87.00 85.10 83.20
Commentary
Overview:
The name gave a possible sell signal last
week after the creation of a bearish
Shooting Star candlestick last week. In
addition, the price created another
bearish candlestick, the Hanging Man,
yesterday. These two candlesticks need a
strong confirmation, which is mentioned
below.
Expected Price Retreat: QR85.10 –
QR83.20
A price breach below QR87.00 triggers the
sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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QATI
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 87.00 1.16 56,457
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 87.00 89.70 91.00
Support 81.00 80.00 78.70
Commentary
Overview:
The price broke above the medium-term
downtrend line. It also closed above the
100SMA for the first time since last
October. Momentum indicators are
positive; this could be a sign of a bullish
move.
Expected Target Price: QR89.70 – QR91.00
A price breakaway above QR87.00
triggers the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR81.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 9,873.13 9,787.61 9,819.83 9,839.74 9,871.96 9,904.18 9,924.09 9,956.31 9,666.21 10,458.86 11,166.04
Total Return 15,398.14 15,264.76 15,315.01 15,346.06 15,396.31 15,446.56 15,477.61 15,527.86 15,034.87 16,261.86 17,357.73
All Share 2,636.95 2,615.28 2,623.65 2,628.82 2,637.20 2,645.57 2,650.74 2,659.12 2,576.05 2,785.83 2,978.26
Al Rayan Islamic 3,536.39 3,505.42 3,517.21 3,524.49 3,536.29 3,548.08 3,555.36 3,567.16 3,513.77 3,881.91 4,229.23
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 35.65 34.12 34.63 34.95 35.47 35.98 36.30 36.82 34.66 38.11 41.56
CBQK 43.00 42.53 42.80 42.97 43.23 43.50 43.67 43.93 42.67 47.67 51.66
DHBK 39.90 37.77 38.38 38.76 39.37 39.98 40.36 40.97 40.34 44.49 48.73
QIBK 102.80 97.07 98.75 99.79 101.47 103.15 104.19 105.87 98.30 107.84 108.11
QIIK 67.00 66.20 66.51 66.69 67.00 67.31 67.49 67.80 62.90 68.24 73.28
Insurance
QATI 87.00 84.33 85.10 85.57 86.33 87.10 87.57 88.33 80.83 86.26 91.12
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 100.00 95.67 97.58 98.76 100.67 102.58 103.76 105.67 104.65 130.66 153.48
Industrials
IQCD 104.20 101.80 102.72 103.28 104.20 105.12 105.68 106.60 101.35 109.52 122.82
QEWS 204.00 191.47 195.06 197.28 200.87 204.46 206.68 210.27 199.57 205.09 211.07
GISS 31.35 30.45 30.79 31.01 31.35 31.69 31.91 32.25 43.96 52.66 62.95
QIGD 31.75 30.38 30.92 31.25 31.78 32.32 32.65 33.18 32.33 38.10 44.33
Real Estate
BRES 37.65 36.15 36.74 37.11 37.70 38.29 38.66 39.25 35.87 39.68 44.24
UDCD 20.44 19.88 20.19 20.37 20.68 20.99 21.17 21.48 19.36 21.38 22.71
ERES 14.50 14.27 14.37 14.42 14.51 14.61 14.66 14.75 14.60 16.52 17.29
MRDS 11.50 11.33 11.39 11.43 11.48 11.54 11.58 11.63 12.77 14.39 16.17
Telecommunication
ORDS 87.80 84.73 85.84 86.53 87.63 88.74 89.43 90.53 75.65 75.43 79.67
VFQS 10.36 10.13 10.23 10.30 10.41 10.51 10.58 10.69 11.19 12.39 14.09
Transportation
QGTS 23.40 22.70 22.96 23.11 23.37 23.63 23.78 24.04 22.09 23.08 22.65
QNNS 95.00 93.67 94.05 94.28 94.67 95.05 95.28 95.67 91.41 94.61 96.21
Sources: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
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