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October CPI update
1.
©PearlMutual Consulting Ltd
2016 October 2017 CPI Update Credible Gains!!! Nigeria’s consumer price index continued its southwards trajectory for the ninth consecutive time. It declined marginally by 7bps from 15.98% in September to 15.91% in October. It is the lowest figure recorded in the last 17 months. According to National Bureau of Statistics, increases were recorded in all Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) division that yield the headline index. This sustained reduction can be attributed to the effect of monetary authorities actions in the system, and relative stability in foreign exchange market.. Source: PearlMutual Analytics Minty Flavors In the month of October 2017, all MINT countries except Indonesia and Nigeria witnessed declines in inflation rate. Turkey’s inflation rate rose for the sixth consecutive time to 11.90% (+70bps) from 11.20% in August attaining the highest CPI since May 2001. This has been attributed to increasing prices of food, transport and clothing. On the other hand, the headline index for Mexico climbed to 6.37% (+2bps) in august. This is because of changes in monetary policies. Similarly, Indonesia’s inflation rate fell marginally to 3.58% (-12bps) in october. This decrease is caused by slow rise in processed food, electricity and fuel. MINT members are likely to experience increasing pressures on general price levels unless respective governments take appropriate measures to reverse the trend. Source: PearlMutual Analytics Inflation Outlook for Nigeria The MPC maintained the MPR for the seventh consecutive time. We expect inflation rate to decline due to a slight appreciation of the naira and availability of forex in the market during the period under review. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MINTTREND Mexico Indonesia Nigeria Turkey 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nigeria InflationTrend
2.
©PearlMutual Consulting Ltd
2016 Analysts Onwuelingo Anthony.T Anthony.onwuelingo@pearlmutual.com Sunday Udoh. sunday.udoh @pearlmutual.com Olufunmi Adepoju, CFA olufunmi.adepoju@pearlmutual.com For economic or industry research and other enquiries please contact consultant@pearlmutual.com or +2348132326547. You can also learn more about us at www.pearlmutual.com DISCLAIMER This service is created for informational purposes only. While we ensure the information provided are reliable, we do not represent it as accurate or complete, and should not be relied on as such. Information in this document should not be interpreted as investment or personal investment advice. Always consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. We do not accept any liability for any loss, damage or other injury resulting from its use. COPYRIGHT This document is, unless otherwise stated, the property of PearlMutual Consulting Ltd. Copyright and other intellectual property laws protect these document. Reproduction or retransmission of the document, in whole or in part, in any manner, without the prior written consent of the copyright holder, is a violation of copyright law. A single copy of the document available through this write-up may be made, solely for personal, noncommercial use. Individuals must preserve any copyright or other notices contained in or associated with them. Users may not distribute such copies to others, whether or not in electronic form, whether or not for a charge or other consideration, without prior written consent of the copyright holder of the document. Contact information for requests for permission to reproduce or distribute information available through this write-up are provided above.
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