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CPI REPORT FOR THE MONTH OF THE DECEMBER
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CPI REPORT FOR THE MONTH OF THE DECEMBER
1.
©PearlMutual Consulting Ltd
2016 December 2017 CPI Update Year-end high!!! Nigeria’s consumer price index continued its southwards trajectory for the eleventh consecutive time. It declined substantially by 53bps from 15.90% in November to 15.37% in December. According to National Bureau of Statistics, increases were recorded in all Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) division that yield the headline index. This sustained reduction can be attributed to the slight decrease in food prices and relative stability in foreign exchange market. Source: PearlMutual Analytics Minty Flavors In the month of December 2017, all MINT countries except Nigeria and Turkey witnessed increases in their respective inflation rates. Turkey’s CPI reached an all-time low, posting 11.92% (- 138bps) in November attaining the lowest CPI since May 2001. This has been attributed to decreasing prices of food, transport and clothing. On the other hand, the headline index for Mexico climbed to 6.8% (+10bps) in December. This is due to changes in monetary policies. Similarly, Indonesia’s inflation rate rose substantially to 3.6% (+30bps) in December. This increase is caused by slow rise in processed food, electricity and fuel. MINT members are likely to experience increasing pressures on general price levels unless respective governments take appropriate measures to reverse the trend. Source: PearlMutual Analytics Inflation Outlook for Nigeria We expect inflation rate to decline due to availability of forex. However, increase in oil prices can result in higher FAAC disbursement and increased liquidity in system. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Nigerian InflationTrend 0 5 10 15 20 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 MINTTREND Mexico Indonesia Nigeria Turkey
2.
©PearlMutual Consulting Ltd
2016 Analysts Onwuelingo Anthony.T Anthony.onwuelingo@pearlmutual.com Sunday Udoh. sunday.udoh @pearlmutual.com Olufunmi Adepoju, CFA olufunmi.adepoju@pearlmutual.com For economic or industry research and other enquiries please contact consultant@pearlmutual.com or +2348132326547. You can also learn more about us at www.pearlmutual.com DISCLAIMER This service is created for informational purposes only. While we ensure the information provided are reliable, we do not represent it as accurate or complete, and should not be relied on as such. Information in this document should not be interpreted as investment or personal investment advice. Always consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. We do not accept any liability for any loss, damage or other injury resulting from its use. COPYRIGHT This document is, unless otherwise stated, the property of PearlMutual Consulting Ltd. Copyright and other intellectual property laws protect these document. Reproduction or retransmission of the document, in whole or in part, in any manner, without the prior written consent of the copyright holder, is a violation of copyright law. A single copy of the document available through this write-up may be made, solely for personal, noncommercial use. Individuals must preserve any copyright or other notices contained in or associated with them. Users may not distribute such copies to others, whether or not in electronic form, whether or not for a charge or other consideration, without prior written consent of the copyright holder of the document. Contact information for requests for permission to reproduce or distribute information available through this write-up are provided above.
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