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FEBRUARY CPI UPDATE
1.
©PearlMutual Consulting Ltd
2016 February 2018 CPI Update Strong Decline!!! Nigeria’s consumer price index continued its southwards trajectory for the thirteenth consecutive time. It declined substantially by - 80bps from 15.13% in January to 14.33% in February. According to National Bureau of Statistics, increases were recorded in all Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP) divisions that yield the headline index. This sustained reduction can be attributed to the significant fall in food prices, non-alcoholic beverage, housing and utility Source: PearlMutual Analytics Minty Flavors In the month of February 2018, all MINT countries witnessed decreases in their respective inflation rates. Turkey’s CPI reached an all-time low, posting 10.26% (-9bps) in February, thus attaining the lowest CPI since July. This was attributed to decreasing prices of utilities, clothing, and transport. Similarly, the headline index for Mexico eased to 5.34% (-21bps) in February. This was as result of decrease in prices of food, housing and energy. In the same vein, Indonesia’s inflation rate decreased to 3.18% (-7bps) in February, making it the lowest inflation since December 2016. This northward movement was due to decreases in education, health and transportation prices. Source: PearlMutual Analytics Inflation Outlook for Nigeria We expect inflation rate to decline in the short run due to stability in foreign exchange. However, inflows from maturing Open Market Operations can result in increased liquidity in system. . 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 INFLATIONTREND 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 MINTTREND
2.
This product focuses
on the Nigerian Economy ©PearlMutual Consulting Ltd 2016 Analysts Busayo Inuojo Busayo.inuojo@pearlmutual.com Sunday Udoh. sunday.udoh @pearlmutual.com Olufunmi Adepoju, CFA olufunmi.adepoju@pearlmutual.com For economic or industry research and other enquiries please contact consultant@pearlmutual.com or +2348132326547. You can also learn more about us at www.pearlmutual.com DISCLAIMER This service is created for informational purposes only. While we ensure the information provided are reliable, we do not represent it as accurate or complete, and should not be relied on as such. Information in this document should not be interpreted as investment or personal investment advice. Always consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. We do not accept any liability for any loss, damage or other injury resulting from its use. COPYRIGHT This document is, unless otherwise stated, the property of PearlMutual Consulting Ltd. Copyright and other intellectual property laws protect these document. Reproduction or retransmission of the document, in whole or in part, in any manner, without the prior written consent of the copyright holder, is a violation of copyright law. A single copy of the document available through this write-up may be made, solely for personal, noncommercial use. Individuals must preserve any copyright or other notices contained in or associated with them. Users may not distribute such copies to others, whether or not in electronic form, whether or not for a charge or other consideration, without prior written consent of the copyright holder of the document. Contact information for requests for permission to reproduce or distribute information available through this write-up are provided above.
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