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Session 1_Björn Hasselgren.pdf
1.
2. Climate adoption – Sweden’s
policy and transport
infrastructure
Björn Hasselgren, PhD
Senior Advisor
National Planning Department
Swedish Transport Administration
10 October 2023
2
3. Swedish Transport Administration
- Manages state owned roads and railroads
- Maintenance, reinvestments and new-investments
- Capacity management and traffic management for state railroads
- Planning of transport infrastructure system – short term -> long term
- Traffic safety, climate adoption, urban planning, regional policy,
housing/infrastructure, IT-communication systems
- Budget 50 bill SEK (ca 4,5 bill EUR)
- Ca 10 000 employed
3
4. Sweden’s Climate Policy Framework
- National Climate law – structure of climate emission reduction measures
and activities
- National Climate Adaption targets
- General target – 0 emissions 2045
- Transport sector
- 70 % until 2030 compared to 2010
- Government’s Climate Plan – every fourth year
- Climate Policy Council – independent yearly evaluation
- Specific assignments to Government Agencies and Administrations
- The Swedish Transport Administration – general and specific
4
6. Planning, CBA and own activities
- Use of the existing system – and measures to reduce emissions from
transport
- Emissions of CO2e 7 SEK/tonne (ca 0.60 EUR) – included in all CBA
- Construction machinery and equipment
- Construction concrete emission reduction
- Green steel/H2
6
7. Social cost-curve of measures
2023-10-12
7
Alternative fules
Transport efficiency Electrification
Elektrifierade personbilar (2021-2030)
Elektrifierade tunga lastbilar (2031-2045)
Bränslecellsdrivna tunga lastbilar (2031-2045)
Ammoniak (förbränning) till färjor4 (2030)
Elektrifierade lätta lastbilar (2021-2030) Biometanol till färjor4 (2030)
Bränslecellsdrivna tunga
lastbilar (2021-2030)
Biobränslen för vägfordon (2045)
Biobränslen för flyg (2045)
Synbränslen för flyg (→2045)
Elvägar
Bränslecellsdrivna färjor4 (2030)
Första generationens elflyg (→2030)
Höghastighetsjärnväg RU1 (tidigast 2045)
0 5 10
4 000
15
0
25
7 000
2 000
-1 000
30 35
6 000
5 000
20
8 000
9 000
10 000
3 000
1 000
1 580-
2 370
1 480
>3 000
4 600
170
60
5 100
200
7 600
Social-cost per reduced tCO2e (SEK)
1 820
1 270
1 900
39 500
1 920
-600
>3 000
1 300-2 600
-650
29 500
Utsläppen från vägtrafik beräknas utan
åtgärder uppgå till ~20 Mt1 2045
35
Sjöfartsåtgärder i nationell plan (2040)
Elektrifierade personbilar (2031-2045)
Elektrifierade lätta lastbilar (2031-2045)
Hållbar stadsplanering5 (→2045)
Åtgärder för ett transportsnålt samhälle5 (→2045)
<-10 000
8. 5
2
25
Limited impact
Major impact
Some impact
Transport efficiency Electrification Alternative fuels
78% of potential
16% of potential
6% of potential
Transport Administration primary areas cover ca 2
mton emissions/year (6% of overall emissions)
10. Energy policy and Climate policy revisions are
ongoing
• EU Fit for 55 – adapt national climate reduction targets and
actions to EU-targets and policies
• Electrification of the economy – doubled demand until 2045 and
fossil free production
• Increased focus on cost related to climate adaption actions
• Blending of bio-fuels for road transport vehicles will be drastically
lowered as of Jan 2024
• Other measures have to be implemented – and have been partly
• Government’s updated climate plan is in the making