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NATUREVIEW
FARM
CASE STUDY
BY-NAMAN GOYAL
IIT GUWAHATI
Background
 1989
 Founded and manufactured in Cabot, Vermont
 Enter market with 8oz and 32oz with plain and vanilla flavor
 Use natural ingredient and shelf-life of 50 days
 1999
 Company revenue growth from $100,000 to $13 million
 Fruit on the bottom yogurt
 2000
 Expand to 12 yogurt flavor and multipack flavor
Issues
 Venture capitals needed to cash out of its investment
 Need to find a path to grow revenues over 50% before the end of 2001 to
attract other investors
 Which channel to choose for expansion-Supermarket or Natural Food
stores
The 4 Ps
 Product
 Natural yogurt with 8oz pack in 12 flavors and 32oz pack in 4 flavors
 Price
 Affordable price to its channels
 Place
 Natural food channel, wholesale club, national retailer channel, drug-store
 Promotion
 It’s natural flavor with high quality and great taste growth in national
distribution and natural food channel and low-cost guerilla marketing
Product
 8-oz
 32-oz
86%
14%
Revenue
8-oz 32-oz
SWOT Analysis
Strength
 Strong Brand
 Low Cost
 Natural Ingredients used
 Unique, smooth and creamy texture of
yogurt
 Longer shelf-life
Opportunity
 Strong relationship with leading natural food
retailers
Weakness
 No alternative finances available
 Lacks potential of taking higher risks and
costs
 Doubt on sales team’s abilities
Threat
 Accumulation of cash by Horizon from
IPO
 Being dropped out of traditional channel
Yogurt market share by
packaging segment
8oz cup smaller
74%
Children's multipacks
9%
32oz packs
8%
Others
9%
Sales
8oz cup smaller
Children's multipacks
32oz packs
Others
Yogurt market share by region
North-West
26%
Mid-West
22%
South-West
25%
West
27%
SALES
North-West Mid-West South-West West
Yogurt distribution channels
Sales
Supermarkets Natural Food stores
Length of channel to market-
Supermarket
Manufacturer Distributor Retailer Customer
Length of channel to market-
Natural food store
Manufacturer
Natural Food
Wholesaler
Natural foods
distributor
Retailer Customer
Yogurt market share by brand
33%
24%
15%
5%
23%
SALES
Dannon Yoplait Private Label
Columbo Others
24%
15%
19%
7%
35%
SALES
Natural View Farm Brown Cow Horizon Organic
White Wave Others
Yogurt Production Costs and
Retail Prices by Channel
Natural food
Channel
Supermarket Food
Channel
Manufacturing Cost
8-oz cup
$ 0.88 $0.74
$ 0.31
32-oz cup
$3.19 $2.70 $ 0.99
4-oz cup multipack
$3.35 $2.85 $ 1.15
Options and Dilemma
Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
• Expand in
Northeast and
West supermarket
region
• Bring in the 6
SKUs of the 8oz
size
• Expand in
supermarket
nationally
• Bring in the 4
SKUs of the 32-oz
size
• Stay in natural
food channel
• Introduce 2
children’s pack
Option 1:
Expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz
Pros Cons
 Largest dollar and unit share
 2 competitors already got succeeded
 To have significant first mover
advantage
 Highly risky
 Direct competitions with market leader
 Need High initial capital due to large
number of SKUs
Financial Analysis
Beneficiary Cost($) Margin(%) Price($)
Natureview 0.31 63.44 0.51
Distributor 0.51 15 0.56
Retailer 0.58 27 0.74
Financial Analysis
Description Year 2000 Year 2001
No. of Increment 35,000,000 42,000,000
Revenue 17,850,000 21,420,000
Cost of Production 10,850,000 1,302,000
Gross Profit 7,000,000 8,400,000
Other Expenses
Slotting Fees 1,200,000 0
SG&A 200,000 200,000
Marketing 120,000 120,000
Advertising 2.400,000 2,400,000
Broker’s Fees 714,000 856,800
Net Income 2,366,000 5,680,000
Option 2:
Expand 4 SKUs of the 32-oz
Pros Cons
 Largest Gross Profit margin
 Less competition due to larger shelf life
 Less promotion cost
 New costumer would readily enter new
brand
 Lowest in the shelf
 Low interaction with customers
 Slotting fee would be highr
Financial Analysis
Beneficiary Cost($) Margin(%) Price($)
Natureview 0.99 86 1.85
Distributor 1.85 15 2.13
Retailer 2.13 27 2.70
Financial Analysis
Description Year 2000 Year 2001
No. of Increment 5,500,000 5,500,000
Revenue 10,175,000 10,175,000
Cost of Production 5,445,000 5,445,000
Gross Profit 4,730,000 4,730,000
Other Expenses
Slotting Fees 2,560,000 0
SG&A 160,000 160,000
Marketing 480,000 480,000
Advertising 75,000 75,000
Broker’s Fees 407,000 407,000
Net Income 1,048,000 1,048,000
Option 3:
Expand 2 SKUs of the 4-oz
Pros Cons
 Supermarket channel can effect its core
channel
 Its core brand positioning would be
helpful to launch new product
effectively
 Growth rate of natural food channel is
seven times more than supermarket
channel
 Management team believed they could
manage channel conflict
 Natural food channel has less potential
to expand
 Growth rate would not be a key factor
for short term
Financial Analysis
Beneficiary Cost($) Margin(%) Price($)
Natureview 1.15 85 2.13
Wholesaler 2.13 7 2.28
Distributor 2.28 9 2.48
Retailer 2.48 35 3.35
Financial Analysis
Description Year 2000 Year 2001
No. of Increment 1,800,000 2,070,000
Revenue 3,834,000 4,409,100
Cost of Production 2,070,000 2,380,000
Gross Profit 1,764,000 2,028,000
Other Expenses
Slotting Fees 0 0
SG&A 0 0
Marketing 250,000 250,000
Complementary Cases 95,850 0
Broker’s Fees 153,360 176,364
Net Income 1,264,790 1,602,000
Comaprision of Options
Option No. Revenue before
expansion(1999)
Revenue before
expansion(2001)
Result(%)
1 13,000,000 34,420,000 164
2 13,000,000 23,175,000 78
3 13,000,000 16,834,000 29
Conclusions
 Had 3 options
 Option 1 yields the most profit
 So option 1 should be chosen
Thank You

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Nature view

  • 2. Background  1989  Founded and manufactured in Cabot, Vermont  Enter market with 8oz and 32oz with plain and vanilla flavor  Use natural ingredient and shelf-life of 50 days  1999  Company revenue growth from $100,000 to $13 million  Fruit on the bottom yogurt  2000  Expand to 12 yogurt flavor and multipack flavor
  • 3. Issues  Venture capitals needed to cash out of its investment  Need to find a path to grow revenues over 50% before the end of 2001 to attract other investors  Which channel to choose for expansion-Supermarket or Natural Food stores
  • 4. The 4 Ps  Product  Natural yogurt with 8oz pack in 12 flavors and 32oz pack in 4 flavors  Price  Affordable price to its channels  Place  Natural food channel, wholesale club, national retailer channel, drug-store  Promotion  It’s natural flavor with high quality and great taste growth in national distribution and natural food channel and low-cost guerilla marketing
  • 6. SWOT Analysis Strength  Strong Brand  Low Cost  Natural Ingredients used  Unique, smooth and creamy texture of yogurt  Longer shelf-life Opportunity  Strong relationship with leading natural food retailers Weakness  No alternative finances available  Lacks potential of taking higher risks and costs  Doubt on sales team’s abilities Threat  Accumulation of cash by Horizon from IPO  Being dropped out of traditional channel
  • 7. Yogurt market share by packaging segment 8oz cup smaller 74% Children's multipacks 9% 32oz packs 8% Others 9% Sales 8oz cup smaller Children's multipacks 32oz packs Others
  • 8. Yogurt market share by region North-West 26% Mid-West 22% South-West 25% West 27% SALES North-West Mid-West South-West West
  • 10. Length of channel to market- Supermarket Manufacturer Distributor Retailer Customer
  • 11. Length of channel to market- Natural food store Manufacturer Natural Food Wholesaler Natural foods distributor Retailer Customer
  • 12. Yogurt market share by brand 33% 24% 15% 5% 23% SALES Dannon Yoplait Private Label Columbo Others 24% 15% 19% 7% 35% SALES Natural View Farm Brown Cow Horizon Organic White Wave Others
  • 13. Yogurt Production Costs and Retail Prices by Channel Natural food Channel Supermarket Food Channel Manufacturing Cost 8-oz cup $ 0.88 $0.74 $ 0.31 32-oz cup $3.19 $2.70 $ 0.99 4-oz cup multipack $3.35 $2.85 $ 1.15
  • 14. Options and Dilemma Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 • Expand in Northeast and West supermarket region • Bring in the 6 SKUs of the 8oz size • Expand in supermarket nationally • Bring in the 4 SKUs of the 32-oz size • Stay in natural food channel • Introduce 2 children’s pack
  • 15. Option 1: Expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz Pros Cons  Largest dollar and unit share  2 competitors already got succeeded  To have significant first mover advantage  Highly risky  Direct competitions with market leader  Need High initial capital due to large number of SKUs
  • 16. Financial Analysis Beneficiary Cost($) Margin(%) Price($) Natureview 0.31 63.44 0.51 Distributor 0.51 15 0.56 Retailer 0.58 27 0.74
  • 17. Financial Analysis Description Year 2000 Year 2001 No. of Increment 35,000,000 42,000,000 Revenue 17,850,000 21,420,000 Cost of Production 10,850,000 1,302,000 Gross Profit 7,000,000 8,400,000 Other Expenses Slotting Fees 1,200,000 0 SG&A 200,000 200,000 Marketing 120,000 120,000 Advertising 2.400,000 2,400,000 Broker’s Fees 714,000 856,800 Net Income 2,366,000 5,680,000
  • 18. Option 2: Expand 4 SKUs of the 32-oz Pros Cons  Largest Gross Profit margin  Less competition due to larger shelf life  Less promotion cost  New costumer would readily enter new brand  Lowest in the shelf  Low interaction with customers  Slotting fee would be highr
  • 19. Financial Analysis Beneficiary Cost($) Margin(%) Price($) Natureview 0.99 86 1.85 Distributor 1.85 15 2.13 Retailer 2.13 27 2.70
  • 20. Financial Analysis Description Year 2000 Year 2001 No. of Increment 5,500,000 5,500,000 Revenue 10,175,000 10,175,000 Cost of Production 5,445,000 5,445,000 Gross Profit 4,730,000 4,730,000 Other Expenses Slotting Fees 2,560,000 0 SG&A 160,000 160,000 Marketing 480,000 480,000 Advertising 75,000 75,000 Broker’s Fees 407,000 407,000 Net Income 1,048,000 1,048,000
  • 21. Option 3: Expand 2 SKUs of the 4-oz Pros Cons  Supermarket channel can effect its core channel  Its core brand positioning would be helpful to launch new product effectively  Growth rate of natural food channel is seven times more than supermarket channel  Management team believed they could manage channel conflict  Natural food channel has less potential to expand  Growth rate would not be a key factor for short term
  • 22. Financial Analysis Beneficiary Cost($) Margin(%) Price($) Natureview 1.15 85 2.13 Wholesaler 2.13 7 2.28 Distributor 2.28 9 2.48 Retailer 2.48 35 3.35
  • 23. Financial Analysis Description Year 2000 Year 2001 No. of Increment 1,800,000 2,070,000 Revenue 3,834,000 4,409,100 Cost of Production 2,070,000 2,380,000 Gross Profit 1,764,000 2,028,000 Other Expenses Slotting Fees 0 0 SG&A 0 0 Marketing 250,000 250,000 Complementary Cases 95,850 0 Broker’s Fees 153,360 176,364 Net Income 1,264,790 1,602,000
  • 24. Comaprision of Options Option No. Revenue before expansion(1999) Revenue before expansion(2001) Result(%) 1 13,000,000 34,420,000 164 2 13,000,000 23,175,000 78 3 13,000,000 16,834,000 29
  • 25. Conclusions  Had 3 options  Option 1 yields the most profit  So option 1 should be chosen