India Maize Summit 2015 - Session1: Kevin Roepke, USGC

1. India Maize Summit 2015
Session Theme
1

2. 1980
2

3. DEMAND DEVELOPMENT
POPULATION 4.5 BILLION 7.2 BILLION 60%
WHEAT 646 1,070 67%
RICE 333 621 86%
CORN 595 1,275 114%
SOYBEANS 126 495 292%
SOYBEAN MEAL 76 272 258%
MILK, FLUID & DRY 413 571 38%
SOY OIL 17 60 252%
PALM OIL 9 113 1155%
BEEF AND VEAL 48 68 41%
PORK 52 118 127%
BROILER/TURKEY 19 101 431%
TOTAL MEAT 119 287 141%
3
1980 2014 % CHANGE(mmt) SOURCE: PS&D

4. TEN YEAR GROWTH (%)
4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
CORN
WHEAT
RICE
POULTRY
BEEF
PORK
CORN
WHEAT
RICE
POULTRY
BEEF
PORK
CORN
WHEAT
RICE
POULTRY
BEEF
PORK
1980s 1990s 2000s
SOURCE: PS&D, INFOPLEASE

5. SEA Feed Production
US Grains Council - SSEA
-
10,000.00
20,000.00
30,000.00
40,000.00
50,000.00
60,000.00
70,000.00
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
TMT
Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Philippines Malaysia

6. INDIAN CORN PRODUCTION
6 SOURCE: DIY MAPS, NASS

7. CORN YIELDS
7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
INDIA UNITED STATES WORLD AVG
Yield (MT/HA)
Corn
2014/2015

8. DHM BAN
8
DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE IS:
(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)
1. A PRIMARY COMPOUND OF
ACID RAIN

9. DHM BAN
9
DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:
(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)
2. CAN CAUSE SEVERE BURNS

10. DHM BAN
10
DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:
(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)
3. CHEMICALLY ACCELLERATES
CORROSION OF METALS

11. DHM BAN
11
DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:
(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)
4. HAS BEEN FOUND IN
TUMORS AND TERMINAL
CANCER PATIENTS

12. DHM BAN
12
DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:
(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)
5. ACCIDENTAL OVERDOSE
KILLS 10 PEOPLE PER DAY…IN
THE US ALONE!

13. DHM BAN
13
DESPITE THE WARNINGS,
HYDROXYL ACID IS USED IN…
1. A MEANS OF HUMAN
TORTURE

14. DHM BAN
14
DESPITE THE WARNINGS,
HYDROXYL ACID IS USED AS…
2. A COMPONENT OF MANY
POINSONOUS CHEMICALS AND
INDUSTRIAL COOLANTS

15. DHM BAN
15
DESPITE THE WARNINGS,
HYDROXYL ACID IS USED IN…
NEARLY EVERYTHING YOU EAT

16. STOP THE MADNESS!
SAVE OUR CHILDREN!
16
KNOWING THIS…WILL YOU
SUPPORT THE BAN ON DHM?

17. STOP THE MADNESS!
17
KNOWING THIS…WILL YOU
SUPPORT THE BAN ON DHM?

18. BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION
18
“GENETIC MODIFICATION IS ONE OF THE
MOST PROMISING TOOLS FOR FEEDING A
GLOBAL POPULATION.” –THE ECONOMIST
http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21601831-little-state-could-kneecap-biotech-industry-
vermont-v-science?fsrc=scn/tw/te/pe/ed/vermontvscience

19. BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION
• WHY SHOULD I BELIEVE “THE ECONOMIST” ON
SCIENTIFIC MATTERS?
19
NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCE (NAS)
”TO DATE, NO ADVERSE HEALTH EFFECTS
ATTRIBUTED TO GENETIC ENGINEERING
HAVE BEEN DOCUMENTED IN THE HUMAN
POPULATION.”
目前尚无证据证实食用这些作物或由其制成的食品
会出现人类健康问题。”

20. BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION
20
营养与饮食学会（The Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics）是世界上最大
的美食与营养专家组织。
“我们支持将生物技术用作改善植物健康状况、食品安全和植物生产力
可持续增长性的手段。 ”
“AMERICANS
DON’T EAT
GMOS!”

21. BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION
• GMOs—TOO “AMERICAN”…??
21
UNION OF GERMAN
ACADEMIES OF SCIENCE &
HUMANITIES —”FOOD DERIVED
FROM GM PLANTS APPROVED IN THE EU
AND THE USA, THE RISK IS IN NO WAY
HIGHER THAN FOOD FROM
CONVENTIONALLY GROWN PLANTS. ON
THE CONTRARY, GMO PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN TESTED TO A PARTICULARLY HIGH
EXTENT AND SUBJECTED TO RIGID
LEGISLATION CONTROL”
“食用欧盟和美国批准的转基因植物制成的
食品的风险决不高于食用传统种植植物所制
成的食品。相反，在某些情况下，转基因作
物制成的食品似乎更有利于健康。”

22. • EVEN THE EUROPEANS THEMSELVES…!
22
The main conclusion to be drawn from
the efforts of more than 130 research
projects, covering a period of more than
25 years of research, and involving more
than 500 independent research groups, is
that biotechnology, and in particular
GMOs, are not per se more risky than
e.g. conventional plant breeding
technologies.
“历时逾25年、500多个独立科研团体参与
的130多个科研项目工作 （耗资逾3亿欧元）
得出的主要结论是生物技术，特别是转基因
技术与传统作物育种技术安全性相当。”
http://ec.europa.eu/research/biosociety/pdf/a_decade_of_eu-
funded_gmo_research.pdf
BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

23. BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION
• HOW ABOUT DOCTORS??
23
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION—
GM foods currently traded on the
international market have passed risk
assessments in several countries and
are not likely, nor have been shown,
to present risks for human health.
“转基因食品批准国的广大民众食用转
基因食品后
目前未见对人体健康产生了任何影响。
”
http://www.who.int/foodsafety/publications/biotech/
biotech_en.pdf

24. BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION
• DON’T TAKE MY WORD FOR IT…
24
FAO/WFP—The Organizations confirm
that to date they are not aware of
scientifically documented cases in which
the consumption of (GMOs) has had
negative human health effects.
联合国粮农组织 (FAO)
联合国系统内最早的常设专门机构。其宗旨是提高人类的营
养水平和生活标准，改进农产品的生产和分配，改善农村和
农民的经济状况，促进世界经济的发展并保证人类免于饥饿。
世界粮食计划署 (WFP)
是联合国系统中从事粮食援助活动的专门机构
http://www.fao.org/english/newsroom/news/2002/8660-en.html

25. EMBRACE TRADE
25
• AREAS OF FOOD PRODUCTION SURPLUS
• AREAS OF FOOD PROUDTION DEFECIT
• ONLY LOGICAL SOLUTION IS TRADE

26. EMBRACE TRADE
26
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1960- 2012, 2013, 2014
TMT
SOURCE: USDA PS&D
CORN IMPORTS

27. Thank You
Kevin Roepke
@Maizstro
27