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Daily Commodity Outlook

                                                                                                                    9th September 2011


                      Gold        Silver      Crude       MCX GOLD (OCT 11)
                    (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Sep-11)

Open                     27246       64401       4124     The Stochastic is placed below its average and moving
High                     27964       66000       4174     downwards. Moreso, the RSI is placed below its average. Both
                                                          these conditions would lead to selling pressure. The ADX, +DI
Low                      27246       64352       4102
                                                          line and –DI line are moving sideways. MCX GOLD faces
Close                    27802       65597       4125
                                                          resistance at 27964, 28284 and 28744 levels, while the
Prev. Close              27182       64366       4125     supports are placed at 27777, 27184, and 26899 levels.
% Change                 2.28%       1.91%      0.00%
Source – MCX                                              MCX SILVER (DEC 11)

                    Volume (In 000's)                     Silver continued to move higher. The RSI is comfortably
                                                          placed above its average, which would lead to regular bouts of
                     8/9/2011     7/9/2011    % Chg.
                                                          buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its
Gold (grms)           85,177.0    120,501.0   -29.31%     average, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels.
Silver (kgs)            2,051.0     2,661.9   -22.95%     MCX Silver faces resistance at 66051, 66625 and 66893
                                                          levels, while the supports are placed at 64925, 62129 and
Crude (bbl)           25,465.9     23,418.2     8.74%
                                                          60839 levels.
Source – MCX


                    Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                          MCX CRUDE (SEP 11)
                     8/9/2011     7/9/2011    % Chg.      MCX Crude continues to move higher. The RSI is comfortably
Gold                2,358,367.4 3,294,199.8   -28.41%     placed above its average. The Stochastic is also placed above
Silver              1,338,369.5 1,696,746.8   -21.12%
                                                          its average, which would lead to further buying support,
                                                          however, it is nearing the over bought zone. It faces resistance
Crude               1,053,316.0   949,519.8    10.93%
                                                          at 4207 and 4449 levels, while the supports are placed at
Source – MCX                                              4084 and 3967 levels.
                                                          .
                    Global Market ($)
                     9/9/2011     8/9/2011    % Chg.

Gold (oz)              1,855.80    1,854.40     0.08%

Silver (oz)              42.24        42.48     -0.56%

Crude (bbl)              89.27        89.05     0.25%
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
    Commodities                   Close        Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
 CRUDE SEP 11                        4125                 4134       4165       4206          4278           4093         4062          3990
 GOLD OCT 11                        27802                27671      28095      28389         29107         27377         26953         26235
 SILVER DEC 11                      65597                65316      66281      66964         68612         64633         63668         62020




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Keynote commodity daily report 090911

  • 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 9th September 2011 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (OCT 11) (5 Oct-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Sep-11) Open 27246 64401 4124 The Stochastic is placed below its average and moving High 27964 66000 4174 downwards. Moreso, the RSI is placed below its average. Both these conditions would lead to selling pressure. The ADX, +DI Low 27246 64352 4102 line and –DI line are moving sideways. MCX GOLD faces Close 27802 65597 4125 resistance at 27964, 28284 and 28744 levels, while the Prev. Close 27182 64366 4125 supports are placed at 27777, 27184, and 26899 levels. % Change 2.28% 1.91% 0.00% Source – MCX MCX SILVER (DEC 11) Volume (In 000's) Silver continued to move higher. The RSI is comfortably placed above its average, which would lead to regular bouts of 8/9/2011 7/9/2011 % Chg. buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its Gold (grms) 85,177.0 120,501.0 -29.31% average, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. Silver (kgs) 2,051.0 2,661.9 -22.95% MCX Silver faces resistance at 66051, 66625 and 66893 levels, while the supports are placed at 64925, 62129 and Crude (bbl) 25,465.9 23,418.2 8.74% 60839 levels. Source – MCX Turnover (In Lacs) MCX CRUDE (SEP 11) 8/9/2011 7/9/2011 % Chg. MCX Crude continues to move higher. The RSI is comfortably Gold 2,358,367.4 3,294,199.8 -28.41% placed above its average. The Stochastic is also placed above Silver 1,338,369.5 1,696,746.8 -21.12% its average, which would lead to further buying support, however, it is nearing the over bought zone. It faces resistance Crude 1,053,316.0 949,519.8 10.93% at 4207 and 4449 levels, while the supports are placed at Source – MCX 4084 and 3967 levels. . Global Market ($) 9/9/2011 8/9/2011 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,855.80 1,854.40 0.08% Silver (oz) 42.24 42.48 -0.56% Crude (bbl) 89.27 89.05 0.25% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE SEP 11 4125 4134 4165 4206 4278 4093 4062 3990 GOLD OCT 11 27802 27671 28095 28389 29107 27377 26953 26235 SILVER DEC 11 65597 65316 66281 66964 68612 64633 63668 62020 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com