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© 2019 Ipsos 1
ELECTION DAY
POLL
OCTOBER 21, 2019
2019 Federal Election
© 2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
© 2019 Ipsos 2
Methodology
• These are some of the preliminary findings of an Ipsos poll conducted on October 21st, on behalf
of Global News.
• A sample of n = 9437 was interviewed online, via the Ipsos I-Say panel with respondents earning a
nominal incentive for their participation.
• Weighting was employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition
reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to
approximate the sample universe.
• The precision of Ipsos polls which include non-probability sampling is measured using a credibility
interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 1.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had
all Canadians been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population.
• All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to
coverage error, and measurement error. Ipsos abides by the disclosure standards established by
the CRIC, found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/
© 2019 Ipsos 3
A candidate from another
party/Independent
31%
31%
22%
7%
7%
2%
1%
36%
32%
14%
7%
6%
4%
1%
Vote Estimates by Gender
2. Which candidate did you vote for today? Was it your local...
Base: Voters, Spoilers/DK excluded (n=9397)
MALE (n=4038) FEMALE (n=5359)
BY GENDER
© 2019 Ipsos 4
26%
31%
26%
4%
7%
5%
1%
33%
31%
19%
7%
7%
2%
1%
39%
32%
12%
9%
5%
2%
1%
Vote Estimates by Age
2. Which candidate did you vote for today? Was it your local...
Base: Voters, Spoilers/DK excluded (n=9397)
AGE
A candidate from another
party/Independent
18-34 MILLENNIAL (n=668) 35-54 GEN X (n=2062) 55+ BOOMERS (n=6667)
© 2019 Ipsos 5
Is this the first Federal Election you
have ever voted in?
3. Is this the first Federal Election you have ever voted in?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES
8%
© 2019 Ipsos 6
37%
30%
17%
8%
7%
1%
Liberal Party candidate
Conservative Party candidate
New Democratic Party (NDP) candidate
Green Party candidate
People's Party candidate
Bloc Québécois candidate
First Time Voters’ Preference
2. Which candidate did you vote for today? Was it your local...
Base: Voters, Spoilers/DK excluded, First Time Voters (n=219)
TOTAL FIRST-TIME VOTERS
© 2019 Ipsos 7
When did you decide who you were
going to vote for today?
7. When did you decide who you were going to vote for today?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
44%
13%
17%
16%
7%
3%
Before the campaign started
Before the debates
Shortly after the debates
In the last week of the campaign
In the voting booth today
Don't know / Not sure
 
© 2019 Ipsos 8
Vote among those decided in the last week of the
campaign or in the voting booth today
7. When did you decide who you were going to vote for today?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
Vote by “in the last week of the campaign”
26%
21%
21%
17%
14%
11%
13%A candidate from another party/Independent
5%
11%
11%
6%
7%
5%
40%
Vote by “in the voting booth today”
© 2019 Ipsos 9
What was your main reason or reasons
for voting for this party today?
8. What was your main reason or reasons for voting for this party today?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
65%
27%
12%
5%
4%
I like this party the best
I wanted to make sure another party did not win
I wanted to express my disgust with all of the other parties
I wanted to prevent a coalition government
Don't know/ Not sure
© 2019 Ipsos 10
Would you say that your vote today
was mostly for…
9. Would you say that your vote today was mostly for your local candidate, the party leader, or the party's stand on the issues?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
54%
25%
17%
3%
MOSTLY FOR THE LOCAL CANDIDATE
MOSTLY FOR THE PARTY LEADER
MOSTLY FOR THE PARTY'S STAND ON THE ISSUES
DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE
© 2019 Ipsos 11
Which of the following best describes your
thoughts:
9D. Which of the following best describes your thoughts:
Base: Voters (n=9437)
Liberal Party candidate 20% 80%
Conservative Party candidate 19% 81%
New Democratic Party (NDP) candidate 11% 89%
People’s Party candidate 10% 90%
Green Party candidate 9% 91%
[QUEBEC ONLY] Bloc Québécois candidate 7% 93%
A candidate from another party/Independent 19% 81%
When I voted I held my When I voted I felt good about
my vote
© 2019 Ipsos 12
If you had to bet $1,000.00 of your own money on which Party and
leader will win this election nationally, who would you bet on?
10b. If you had to bet $1000.00 of your own money on which Party and leader will win this election nationally, who would you bet
on? Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party 45%
Andrew Scheer and the Conservative Party 30%
Jagmeet Singh and the New Democratic Party (NDP) 4%
Maxime Bernier and the Peoples Party 1%
Yves-François Blanchet and the Bloc Québécois 1%
Elizabeth May and the Green Party 0%
Don't know 19%
$1,000
© 2019 Ipsos 13
Does The Trudeau Government Deserve Re-election?
11. Some people say that the Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected this
year. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your
point of view? Base: Voters (n=9437)
Which of these statements is closest to your point of view? TOTAL
60% 58%
54%
62% 64%
68% 67% 67%
60%
64% 62% 62% 61% 61%
40% 42% 46%
38% 36%
32% 33%
33%
39%
36% 38% 38% 37% 39%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Mar2018
Oct2018
Dec2018
Feb2019
Mar2019
June2019
July2019
Aug2019
Sept16,2019
Sep24,2019
Sept30,2019
Oct7,2019
Oct14,2019
Oct21,2019
ELECTIONDAY
EXITPOLL
Time for another federal party to take over
Trudeau government has done a good job and deserves re-election
© 2019 Ipsos 14
29 30
25
7 4 4
Which of the federal party leaders do you think
would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
12. Which of the federal party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
JUSTIN
TRUDEAU
ANDREW
SCHEER
JAGMEET
SINGH
ELIZABETH
MAY
MAXIME
BERNIER
YVES-FRANCOIS
BLANCHET
[QUEBEC ONLY]
© 2019 Ipsos 15
Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are
heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
13. Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong
track? Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
51% 53% 51% 48%
53%
57% 58%
50%
49% 47% 49%
45%
41% 42%
35%
49% 47% 49% 52%
47%
43% 42%
50%
51% 53% 51%
55%
59% 58%
46%
Q4 '10 Q4 '11 Q4 '12 Q4 '13 Q4 '14 Q4 '15 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q3'19 ELECTION
DAY
EXIT POLL
RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK
© 2019 Ipsos 16
Trudeau Government’s Approval Rating
14. Thinking about the Liberal government under the leadership of Justin Trudeau, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that
you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of their performance?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
64%
62%
59%
56%
60%
55%
52% 51%
44%
50%
55%
48%
51%
42% 42% 40% 38% 36%
39%
36%
44%
40%
43%
41%
42%
44%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
OCT2016
DEC2016
JAN2017
APR2017
JUL2017
SEP2017
OCT2017
DEC2017
MAR2018
JUN2018
JUL2018
OCT2018
DEC2018
FEB2019
MAR4,2019
MAR27,2019
APR27,2019
JUN10,2019
JUL17,2019
AUG19,2019
SEPT16,2019
SEPT24,2019
SEPT30,2019
OCT7,2019
OCT14,2019
OCT21,2019
ELECTIONDAY-EXITPOLL
© 2019 Ipsos 17
To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Federal
Government’s overall management of the Canadian economy?
15. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government’s overall management of the Canadian economy?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
46%
APPROVE
of Federal Government’s overall management
of the Canadian economy
© 2019 Ipsos 18
Best outcome for Canada from this election
16. In your opinion what would be the best outcome for Canada from this election -- a minority government, or, a majority
government? Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
35%
51%
14%
A MINORITY GOVERNMENT A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT DON'T KNOW/NOT SURE
© 2019 Ipsos 19
How satisfied would you be with the
following outcomes of the Federal Election?
17. How satisfied would you be with the following outcomes of the Federal Election?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
26%
6%
22%
11%
18%
12%
16%
38%
20%
40%
24%
37%
16%
29%
18%
22%
24%
22%
42%
28%
40%
27%
34%
29%
Conservative Majority
Conservative Minority
Liberal Majority
Liberal Minority
NDP Majority
NDP Minority
VERY SATISFIED SOMEWHAT SATISFIED NOT VERY SATISFIEDNOT VERY SATISFIED
[NET]
SATISFIED
42%
43%
42%
51%
42%
49%
© 2019 Ipsos 20
5%
5%
5%
4%
21%
6%
26%
31%
19%
31%
18%
The Conservatives governing with support from the Liberals
The Conservatives governing with support from the NDP
The Conservatives governing with support from the Bloc
Québécois
The Liberals governing with support from the Conservatives
The Liberals governing with support from the NDP
The Liberals governing with support from the Bloc Québécois
There is a possibility that the election could result in a
minority government. To what extent do you support or
oppose the following combinations of government?
18. There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the
following combinations of government? Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
% SUPPORT
31%
37%
25%
34%
52%
23%
© 2019 Ipsos 21
Who Governs in Minority
18a. If no single party has enough seats to form a majority government and we are in a minority-government situation, who
should have the first opportunity to form government? Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
25%
53%
22%
THE INCUMBENT PRIME MINISTER, JUSTIN TRUDEAU
WHICHEVER INDIVIDUAL PARTY WINS THE MOST SEATS
WHICHEVER COALITION CAN PUT TOGETHER THE GREATEST NUMBER OF SEATS ACROSS PARTIES
© 2019 Ipsos 22
38%No minimum – defeat them immediately if needed
If a minority government is elected, what is the minimum length of
time you’d like to see them govern before the opposition parties
even consider defeating the government in a House of Commons
vote?
19. If a minority government is elected, what is the minimum length of time you’d like to see them govern before the opposition
parties even consider defeating the government in a House of Commons vote? Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
Mean (excluding zero): 18.5 months
Mean (excluding zero): 11.4 months
© 2019 Ipsos 23
If the Liberals win the most seats in the election but not a majority,
what do you believe should happen?
20. If the Liberals win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
65%
35% THE LIBERALS SHOULD BE GIVEN THE CHANCE
TO TRY AND GOVERN WITH THE SUPPORT OF
ONE OF THE OTHER PARTIES
THE CONSERVATIVES AND THE NDP
SHOULD IMMEDIATELY DEFEAT THE
GOVERNMENT WHEN THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS RETURNS,
AND THE CONSERVATIVES AND NDP
SHOULD COOPERATE TO GOVERN
© 2019 Ipsos 24
If the Conservatives win the most seats in the election but not a
majority, what do you believe should happen?
20a. If the Conservatives win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
59%
41%
THE CONSERVATIVES SHOULD BE GIVEN THE
CHANCE TO TRY AND GOVERN WITH THE
SUPPORT OF ONE OF THE OTHER PARTIES
THE LIBERALS AND THE NDP SHOULD IMMEDIATELY
DEFEAT THE GOVERNMENT WHEN THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS RETURNS, AND THE LIBERALS AND NDP
SHOULD COOPERATE TO GOVERN
© 2019 Ipsos 25
Stay on as Party Leader or Resign If…
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
44%
37%
66%
50%
56%
63%
34%
50%
If the Liberals don't win the most seats,
do you think Justin Trudeau should:
If the Conservatives don’t win the most seats,
do you think Andrew Scheer should:
If the NDP doesn’t win the most seats,
do you think Jagmeet Singh should:
If the Bloc Québécois loses seats in this election
do you think Yves François Blanchet should:
STAY ON AS PARTY LEADER RESIGN AS PARTY LEADER
© 2019 Ipsos 26
Which of the following issues are the three most important in
determining how you voted during the election?
21. Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
36%
31%
29%
24%
24%
HEALTH CARE
CLIMATE CHANGE
THE ECONOMY
AFFORDABILITY AND COST OF LIVING
TAXES
© 2019 Ipsos 27
Which of the following issues are the three most important in
determining how you voted during the election? (By Party)
21. Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
LIBERALS
1st Climate Change 45%
2nd Health care 43%
3rd The economy 26%
4th Affordability and cost of living 21%
5th Taxes/Seniors' issues/Aging population 16%
CONSERVATIVES
1st The economy 37%
2nd Taxes 37%
3rd Government deficits/debt 31%
4th Health care 25%
5th Affordability and cost of living 24%
NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY [NDP]
1st Health care 49%
2nd Affordability and cost of living 38%
3rd Climate Change 37%
4th The economy 20%
5th Poverty and social inequality 18%
BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS
1st Climate Change 41%
2nd Health care 36%
3rd The economy 30%
4th Immigration 24%
5th Taxes 23%
GREEN
1st Climate Change 65%
2nd Health care 34%
3rd Poverty and social inequality 23%
4th Affordability and cost of living 23%
5th Housing (e.g., affordability, availability) 20%
PEOPLE’S PARTY
1st Taxes 50%
2nd The economy 42%
3rd Immigration 35%
4th Government deficits/debt 34%
5th Corruption and ethics in government 23%
OTHER PARTY / INDEPENDENT
1st Taxes 34%
2nd Health care 34%
3rd Affordability and cost of living 26%
4th The economy 25%
5th Gun control 22%
© 2019 Ipsos 28
Which of the following issues are the three most important in
determining how you voted during the election?
21. Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
BY AGE
18-34 MILLENNIAL
1st Climate Change 34%
2nd Health care 31%
3rd Affordability and cost of living 30%
4th The economy 25%
5th Taxes 24%
35-54 GEN X
1st Health care 35%
2nd The economy 31%
3rd Climate Change 29%
4th Affordability and cost of living 28%
5th Taxes 25%
55+ BOOMERS
1st Health care 42%
2nd Climate Change 30%
3rd The economy/Seniors' issues/Aging population 29%
4th Taxes 23%
5th Government deficits/debt 19%
© 2019 Ipsos 29
Agreement with Statements
24. Now, please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statements:
Base: Varies according to question.
43%
38%
13%
33%
24%
20%
38%
15%
11%
43%
46%
62%
39%
47%
39%
21%
42%
37%
86%
84%
76%
72%
71%
59%
59%
57%
48%
I voted for a candidate I believed in (n=8960)
I think it's important that the government maintain a balanced budget (n=9039)
Canadian Mayors have the power to make things happen in their communities
(n=8752)
I hope somebody wins a majority government so that we don't have another election
for a while (n=8633)
It's important to me that my MP be a member of the party that forms the government
after this election (n=8499)
I wish there were different party leaders to choose from in this election (n=8564)
Having Doug Ford as Premier has an impact on how I will vote in this election (n=3455)
What is happening elsewhere in Canada has an impact on how I will vote in this
election (n=8772)
When government gets involved in the economy, it usually does more harm than good
(n=8325)
[NET]
AGREE
TOTAL
STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE
© 2019 Ipsos 30
Agreement with Statements
24. Now, please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statements:
Base: Voters (n=base vary)
13%
8%
9%
9%
7%
8%
7%
3%
5%
30%
28%
25%
21%
18%
14%
13%
14%
10%
42%
36%
34%
30%
25%
22%
20%
17%
15%
The debates around climate change played a major role in how I voted in this election (n=8815)
This election campaign was too long (n=8524)
I don't really like any of the parties in this election. (n=8977)
What is happening in the US has an impact on how I will vote in this election (n=8835)
The debates around secularism played a major role in how I voted in this election (n=7867)
I'm worried about losing my job. (n=8380)
I voted for a candidate I thought could win, but was not my first choice (n=8976)
I don't think what the federal government does has much impact on me. (n=9058)
My religious beliefs were important in deciding how I cast my vote today. (n=8856)
[NET]
AGREE
TOTAL
STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE
© 2019 Ipsos 31
Agreement with Statements
25. Now, please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statements:
Base: Voters (n=base vary)
TOTAL
36%
41%
38%
24%
22%
17%
32%
17%
13%
15%
53%
47%
47%
48%
48%
50%
35%
42%
40%
37%
88%
88%
85%
71%
70%
67%
67%
59%
53%
52%
The economy should be the next government's top priority (n=9076)
Health care should be the next government's top priority (n=9152)
Affordable housing and lowering the cost of living should be the next government's top
priority (n=9097)
Raising people's incomes and wealth should be the next government's top priority (n=8913)
Uniting Canada should be the next government's top priority (n=8797)
Bring civil dialogue back to Canadian politics should be the next government's top priority
(n=8133)
Addressing climate change should be the next government's top priority (n=9046)
Immigration issues should be the next government's top priority (n=8948)
Improving Canada's image around the world should be the next government's top priority
(n=8863)
Indigenous issues should be the next government's top priority (n=8785)
STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE [NET]
AGREE
© 2019 Ipsos 32
Justin Trudeau Advantage
W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits:
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
32% 28% 16% 4% 16%Someone who is best to represent Canada on the world stage
Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet
<3% not labelled
© 2019 Ipsos 33
Andrew Scheer Advantage
W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits:
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
24%
27%
21%
16%
19%
20%
18%
24%
18%
31%
28%
32%
27%
39%
24%
25%
28%
26%
29%
39%
17%
12%
26%
11%
23%
20%
21%
21%
15%
4%
5%
4%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
6%
4%
5%
4%
6%
4%
5%
4%
18%
21%
15%
26%
20%
19%
24%
15%
26%
15%
Someone who will get things done
Someone who is best to manage during tough economic times
Someone who will fight for the middle class
Someone who will tackle Canada’s deficit
Someone who will provide open, responsible, and ethical government'
Someone whose values best represent my own
Someone who will make things more affordable
Someone who has the right temperament and maturity to be Prime Minister
Someone who will spend taxpayers’money wisely
Someone who has a hidden agenda
Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet
<4% not labelled
© 2019 Ipsos 34
Jagmeet Singh Advantage
W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits:
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
23%
22%
16%
22%
34%
27%
4%
5% 4%
18%
19%
Someone who will protect the interests of cultural, religious and other
minorities in Canada...
Someone who will help improve health care
Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet
<3% not labelled
© 2019 Ipsos 35
Elizabeth May Advantage
W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits:
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet
20% 12% 13% 34%Someone who will take action against climate change
<3% not labelled
© 2019 Ipsos 36
None of the Leaders
W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits:
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
17%
19%
22%
16%
19%
22%
7%
6% 4%
6%
5%
26%
28%
Someone you can trust
Someone who you would like to get a coffee or beer with
Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet
<3% not labelled
© 2019 Ipsos 37
30%
26%
23%
10%
6%
5%
The Conservative Party led by Andrew Scheer
The NDP led by Jagmeet Singh
The Liberal Party led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
The Green Party led by Elizabeth May
The Bloc Québécois led by Yves-François Blanchet
The People's Party of Canada led by Maxime Bernier
In your view, which party and leader is the most seriously
committed to keeping its election promises?
RV11. In your view, which party and leader is the most seriously committed to keeping its election promises?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
TOTAL
© 2019 Ipsos 38
30%
26%
21%
8%
7%
4%
Who Would Vote For If Canada Instead Had a
Proportional Representation Electoral System
TOTAL
E1. As you may know, Canada’s electoral system is first-past-the-post. Which party would you have voted for if Canada instead had a
proportional representation electoral system, in which seats would be allocated to parties based on the percentage of the total vote they won in
the election? Base: Voters (n=9437)
© 2019 Ipsos 39
Belong to a Labour Union
D7. Do you or does someone in your household belong to a labour union?
Base: Voters (n=9437) % yes and how did they vote.
YES, BELONG TO LABOUR UNION
29%
24%
24%
24%
22%
16%
49%
74%
2%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
Don't know/ Not specified
Belong to Labour Union
24%
© 2019 Ipsos 40
Lost a Job in the Last Year
D8. Have you or has someone in your household lost a job in the last year?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, Someone in HHLD Lost Job In Last Year
Someone in Household
Lost Job In Last Year
12%
29%
14%
12%
11%
11%
9%
14%
87%
1%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
Don't know/ Not specified
© 2019 Ipsos 41
Member of the LGBTQ2S+ Community
D9. Are you a member of the LGBTQ2S+ community?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, Member of the LGBTQ2S+ Community
Member of the
LGBTQ2S+ Community
6%
13%
10%
7%
6%
3%
2%
3%
92%
2%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
Don't know/ Not specified
© 2019 Ipsos 42
Own a Gun
D10. Do you or does anyone in your household own a gun?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, You Or Anyone In Your Household Owns A Gun
You Or Anyone In Your
Household Owns A Gun
13%
21%
11%
11%
10%
9%
7%
19%
86%
1%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
Don't know/ Not specified
© 2019 Ipsos 43
Member of a Visible Minority
D11. Are you a member of a visible minority?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, Member Of A Visible Minority
Member Of A
Visible Minority
11%
16%
13%
11%
9%
7%
3%
14%
89%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
© 2019 Ipsos 44
Aboriginal People
D12. Do you consider yourself to be an Aboriginal person?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, Consider Yourself To Be An Aboriginal Person
Consider Yourself To Be
An Aboriginal Person
4%
6%
6%
4%
3%
3%
1%
8%
96%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
© 2019 Ipsos 45
Importance of Religion in Your Life
D15. In your life, would you say religion is VERY important, SOMEWHAT important, NOT VERY important, or NOT IMPORTANT at all?
T2B and how did they vote. Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, Religion Is Important
Religion Is Important
38%
47%
39%
38%
32%
28%
22%
36%
61%
1%
A candidate from another party/Independent
Not important
Don't know
© 2019 Ipsos 46
Person With A Permanent Disability
E2_Dis. Do you consider yourself to be a person with a permanent disability?
Base: Voters (n=9437)
YES, Is a Person With A Permanent Disability
Person With A Permanent Disability
14%
19%
18%
14%
13%
8%
8%
16%
86%
A candidate from another party/Independent
No
© 2019 Ipsos 47
ABOUT IPSOS
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strong presence in 87 countries, Ipsos employs more than
16,000 people and has the ability to conduct research
programs in more than 100 countries. Founded in France in
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www.ipsos.com
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2019 Federal Election Day Poll

  • 1. © 2019 Ipsos 1 ELECTION DAY POLL OCTOBER 21, 2019 2019 Federal Election © 2019 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
  • 2. © 2019 Ipsos 2 Methodology • These are some of the preliminary findings of an Ipsos poll conducted on October 21st, on behalf of Global News. • A sample of n = 9437 was interviewed online, via the Ipsos I-Say panel with respondents earning a nominal incentive for their participation. • Weighting was employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. • The precision of Ipsos polls which include non-probability sampling is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 1.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. • All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. Ipsos abides by the disclosure standards established by the CRIC, found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/
  • 3. © 2019 Ipsos 3 A candidate from another party/Independent 31% 31% 22% 7% 7% 2% 1% 36% 32% 14% 7% 6% 4% 1% Vote Estimates by Gender 2. Which candidate did you vote for today? Was it your local... Base: Voters, Spoilers/DK excluded (n=9397) MALE (n=4038) FEMALE (n=5359) BY GENDER
  • 4. © 2019 Ipsos 4 26% 31% 26% 4% 7% 5% 1% 33% 31% 19% 7% 7% 2% 1% 39% 32% 12% 9% 5% 2% 1% Vote Estimates by Age 2. Which candidate did you vote for today? Was it your local... Base: Voters, Spoilers/DK excluded (n=9397) AGE A candidate from another party/Independent 18-34 MILLENNIAL (n=668) 35-54 GEN X (n=2062) 55+ BOOMERS (n=6667)
  • 5. © 2019 Ipsos 5 Is this the first Federal Election you have ever voted in? 3. Is this the first Federal Election you have ever voted in? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES 8%
  • 6. © 2019 Ipsos 6 37% 30% 17% 8% 7% 1% Liberal Party candidate Conservative Party candidate New Democratic Party (NDP) candidate Green Party candidate People's Party candidate Bloc Québécois candidate First Time Voters’ Preference 2. Which candidate did you vote for today? Was it your local... Base: Voters, Spoilers/DK excluded, First Time Voters (n=219) TOTAL FIRST-TIME VOTERS
  • 7. © 2019 Ipsos 7 When did you decide who you were going to vote for today? 7. When did you decide who you were going to vote for today? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 44% 13% 17% 16% 7% 3% Before the campaign started Before the debates Shortly after the debates In the last week of the campaign In the voting booth today Don't know / Not sure  
  • 8. © 2019 Ipsos 8 Vote among those decided in the last week of the campaign or in the voting booth today 7. When did you decide who you were going to vote for today? Base: Voters (n=9437) Vote by “in the last week of the campaign” 26% 21% 21% 17% 14% 11% 13%A candidate from another party/Independent 5% 11% 11% 6% 7% 5% 40% Vote by “in the voting booth today”
  • 9. © 2019 Ipsos 9 What was your main reason or reasons for voting for this party today? 8. What was your main reason or reasons for voting for this party today? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 65% 27% 12% 5% 4% I like this party the best I wanted to make sure another party did not win I wanted to express my disgust with all of the other parties I wanted to prevent a coalition government Don't know/ Not sure
  • 10. © 2019 Ipsos 10 Would you say that your vote today was mostly for… 9. Would you say that your vote today was mostly for your local candidate, the party leader, or the party's stand on the issues? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 54% 25% 17% 3% MOSTLY FOR THE LOCAL CANDIDATE MOSTLY FOR THE PARTY LEADER MOSTLY FOR THE PARTY'S STAND ON THE ISSUES DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE
  • 11. © 2019 Ipsos 11 Which of the following best describes your thoughts: 9D. Which of the following best describes your thoughts: Base: Voters (n=9437) Liberal Party candidate 20% 80% Conservative Party candidate 19% 81% New Democratic Party (NDP) candidate 11% 89% People’s Party candidate 10% 90% Green Party candidate 9% 91% [QUEBEC ONLY] Bloc Québécois candidate 7% 93% A candidate from another party/Independent 19% 81% When I voted I held my When I voted I felt good about my vote
  • 12. © 2019 Ipsos 12 If you had to bet $1,000.00 of your own money on which Party and leader will win this election nationally, who would you bet on? 10b. If you had to bet $1000.00 of your own money on which Party and leader will win this election nationally, who would you bet on? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party 45% Andrew Scheer and the Conservative Party 30% Jagmeet Singh and the New Democratic Party (NDP) 4% Maxime Bernier and the Peoples Party 1% Yves-François Blanchet and the Bloc Québécois 1% Elizabeth May and the Green Party 0% Don't know 19% $1,000
  • 13. © 2019 Ipsos 13 Does The Trudeau Government Deserve Re-election? 11. Some people say that the Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected this year. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view? Base: Voters (n=9437) Which of these statements is closest to your point of view? TOTAL 60% 58% 54% 62% 64% 68% 67% 67% 60% 64% 62% 62% 61% 61% 40% 42% 46% 38% 36% 32% 33% 33% 39% 36% 38% 38% 37% 39% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Mar2018 Oct2018 Dec2018 Feb2019 Mar2019 June2019 July2019 Aug2019 Sept16,2019 Sep24,2019 Sept30,2019 Oct7,2019 Oct14,2019 Oct21,2019 ELECTIONDAY EXITPOLL Time for another federal party to take over Trudeau government has done a good job and deserves re-election
  • 14. © 2019 Ipsos 14 29 30 25 7 4 4 Which of the federal party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister of Canada? 12. Which of the federal party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister of Canada? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL JUSTIN TRUDEAU ANDREW SCHEER JAGMEET SINGH ELIZABETH MAY MAXIME BERNIER YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET [QUEBEC ONLY]
  • 15. © 2019 Ipsos 15 Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? 13. Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 51% 53% 51% 48% 53% 57% 58% 50% 49% 47% 49% 45% 41% 42% 35% 49% 47% 49% 52% 47% 43% 42% 50% 51% 53% 51% 55% 59% 58% 46% Q4 '10 Q4 '11 Q4 '12 Q4 '13 Q4 '14 Q4 '15 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q3'19 ELECTION DAY EXIT POLL RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK
  • 16. © 2019 Ipsos 16 Trudeau Government’s Approval Rating 14. Thinking about the Liberal government under the leadership of Justin Trudeau, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of their performance? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 64% 62% 59% 56% 60% 55% 52% 51% 44% 50% 55% 48% 51% 42% 42% 40% 38% 36% 39% 36% 44% 40% 43% 41% 42% 44% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% OCT2016 DEC2016 JAN2017 APR2017 JUL2017 SEP2017 OCT2017 DEC2017 MAR2018 JUN2018 JUL2018 OCT2018 DEC2018 FEB2019 MAR4,2019 MAR27,2019 APR27,2019 JUN10,2019 JUL17,2019 AUG19,2019 SEPT16,2019 SEPT24,2019 SEPT30,2019 OCT7,2019 OCT14,2019 OCT21,2019 ELECTIONDAY-EXITPOLL
  • 17. © 2019 Ipsos 17 To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government’s overall management of the Canadian economy? 15. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government’s overall management of the Canadian economy? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 46% APPROVE of Federal Government’s overall management of the Canadian economy
  • 18. © 2019 Ipsos 18 Best outcome for Canada from this election 16. In your opinion what would be the best outcome for Canada from this election -- a minority government, or, a majority government? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 35% 51% 14% A MINORITY GOVERNMENT A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT DON'T KNOW/NOT SURE
  • 19. © 2019 Ipsos 19 How satisfied would you be with the following outcomes of the Federal Election? 17. How satisfied would you be with the following outcomes of the Federal Election? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 26% 6% 22% 11% 18% 12% 16% 38% 20% 40% 24% 37% 16% 29% 18% 22% 24% 22% 42% 28% 40% 27% 34% 29% Conservative Majority Conservative Minority Liberal Majority Liberal Minority NDP Majority NDP Minority VERY SATISFIED SOMEWHAT SATISFIED NOT VERY SATISFIEDNOT VERY SATISFIED [NET] SATISFIED 42% 43% 42% 51% 42% 49%
  • 20. © 2019 Ipsos 20 5% 5% 5% 4% 21% 6% 26% 31% 19% 31% 18% The Conservatives governing with support from the Liberals The Conservatives governing with support from the NDP The Conservatives governing with support from the Bloc Québécois The Liberals governing with support from the Conservatives The Liberals governing with support from the NDP The Liberals governing with support from the Bloc Québécois There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government? 18. There is a possibility that the election could result in a minority government. To what extent do you support or oppose the following combinations of government? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT % SUPPORT 31% 37% 25% 34% 52% 23%
  • 21. © 2019 Ipsos 21 Who Governs in Minority 18a. If no single party has enough seats to form a majority government and we are in a minority-government situation, who should have the first opportunity to form government? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 25% 53% 22% THE INCUMBENT PRIME MINISTER, JUSTIN TRUDEAU WHICHEVER INDIVIDUAL PARTY WINS THE MOST SEATS WHICHEVER COALITION CAN PUT TOGETHER THE GREATEST NUMBER OF SEATS ACROSS PARTIES
  • 22. © 2019 Ipsos 22 38%No minimum – defeat them immediately if needed If a minority government is elected, what is the minimum length of time you’d like to see them govern before the opposition parties even consider defeating the government in a House of Commons vote? 19. If a minority government is elected, what is the minimum length of time you’d like to see them govern before the opposition parties even consider defeating the government in a House of Commons vote? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL Mean (excluding zero): 18.5 months Mean (excluding zero): 11.4 months
  • 23. © 2019 Ipsos 23 If the Liberals win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen? 20. If the Liberals win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 65% 35% THE LIBERALS SHOULD BE GIVEN THE CHANCE TO TRY AND GOVERN WITH THE SUPPORT OF ONE OF THE OTHER PARTIES THE CONSERVATIVES AND THE NDP SHOULD IMMEDIATELY DEFEAT THE GOVERNMENT WHEN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS RETURNS, AND THE CONSERVATIVES AND NDP SHOULD COOPERATE TO GOVERN
  • 24. © 2019 Ipsos 24 If the Conservatives win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen? 20a. If the Conservatives win the most seats in the election but not a majority, what do you believe should happen? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 59% 41% THE CONSERVATIVES SHOULD BE GIVEN THE CHANCE TO TRY AND GOVERN WITH THE SUPPORT OF ONE OF THE OTHER PARTIES THE LIBERALS AND THE NDP SHOULD IMMEDIATELY DEFEAT THE GOVERNMENT WHEN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS RETURNS, AND THE LIBERALS AND NDP SHOULD COOPERATE TO GOVERN
  • 25. © 2019 Ipsos 25 Stay on as Party Leader or Resign If… Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 44% 37% 66% 50% 56% 63% 34% 50% If the Liberals don't win the most seats, do you think Justin Trudeau should: If the Conservatives don’t win the most seats, do you think Andrew Scheer should: If the NDP doesn’t win the most seats, do you think Jagmeet Singh should: If the Bloc Québécois loses seats in this election do you think Yves François Blanchet should: STAY ON AS PARTY LEADER RESIGN AS PARTY LEADER
  • 26. © 2019 Ipsos 26 Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election? 21. Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 36% 31% 29% 24% 24% HEALTH CARE CLIMATE CHANGE THE ECONOMY AFFORDABILITY AND COST OF LIVING TAXES
  • 27. © 2019 Ipsos 27 Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election? (By Party) 21. Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election? Base: Voters (n=9437) LIBERALS 1st Climate Change 45% 2nd Health care 43% 3rd The economy 26% 4th Affordability and cost of living 21% 5th Taxes/Seniors' issues/Aging population 16% CONSERVATIVES 1st The economy 37% 2nd Taxes 37% 3rd Government deficits/debt 31% 4th Health care 25% 5th Affordability and cost of living 24% NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY [NDP] 1st Health care 49% 2nd Affordability and cost of living 38% 3rd Climate Change 37% 4th The economy 20% 5th Poverty and social inequality 18% BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS 1st Climate Change 41% 2nd Health care 36% 3rd The economy 30% 4th Immigration 24% 5th Taxes 23% GREEN 1st Climate Change 65% 2nd Health care 34% 3rd Poverty and social inequality 23% 4th Affordability and cost of living 23% 5th Housing (e.g., affordability, availability) 20% PEOPLE’S PARTY 1st Taxes 50% 2nd The economy 42% 3rd Immigration 35% 4th Government deficits/debt 34% 5th Corruption and ethics in government 23% OTHER PARTY / INDEPENDENT 1st Taxes 34% 2nd Health care 34% 3rd Affordability and cost of living 26% 4th The economy 25% 5th Gun control 22%
  • 28. © 2019 Ipsos 28 Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election? 21. Which of the following issues are the three most important in determining how you voted during the election? Base: Voters (n=9437) BY AGE 18-34 MILLENNIAL 1st Climate Change 34% 2nd Health care 31% 3rd Affordability and cost of living 30% 4th The economy 25% 5th Taxes 24% 35-54 GEN X 1st Health care 35% 2nd The economy 31% 3rd Climate Change 29% 4th Affordability and cost of living 28% 5th Taxes 25% 55+ BOOMERS 1st Health care 42% 2nd Climate Change 30% 3rd The economy/Seniors' issues/Aging population 29% 4th Taxes 23% 5th Government deficits/debt 19%
  • 29. © 2019 Ipsos 29 Agreement with Statements 24. Now, please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statements: Base: Varies according to question. 43% 38% 13% 33% 24% 20% 38% 15% 11% 43% 46% 62% 39% 47% 39% 21% 42% 37% 86% 84% 76% 72% 71% 59% 59% 57% 48% I voted for a candidate I believed in (n=8960) I think it's important that the government maintain a balanced budget (n=9039) Canadian Mayors have the power to make things happen in their communities (n=8752) I hope somebody wins a majority government so that we don't have another election for a while (n=8633) It's important to me that my MP be a member of the party that forms the government after this election (n=8499) I wish there were different party leaders to choose from in this election (n=8564) Having Doug Ford as Premier has an impact on how I will vote in this election (n=3455) What is happening elsewhere in Canada has an impact on how I will vote in this election (n=8772) When government gets involved in the economy, it usually does more harm than good (n=8325) [NET] AGREE TOTAL STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE
  • 30. © 2019 Ipsos 30 Agreement with Statements 24. Now, please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statements: Base: Voters (n=base vary) 13% 8% 9% 9% 7% 8% 7% 3% 5% 30% 28% 25% 21% 18% 14% 13% 14% 10% 42% 36% 34% 30% 25% 22% 20% 17% 15% The debates around climate change played a major role in how I voted in this election (n=8815) This election campaign was too long (n=8524) I don't really like any of the parties in this election. (n=8977) What is happening in the US has an impact on how I will vote in this election (n=8835) The debates around secularism played a major role in how I voted in this election (n=7867) I'm worried about losing my job. (n=8380) I voted for a candidate I thought could win, but was not my first choice (n=8976) I don't think what the federal government does has much impact on me. (n=9058) My religious beliefs were important in deciding how I cast my vote today. (n=8856) [NET] AGREE TOTAL STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE
  • 31. © 2019 Ipsos 31 Agreement with Statements 25. Now, please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statements: Base: Voters (n=base vary) TOTAL 36% 41% 38% 24% 22% 17% 32% 17% 13% 15% 53% 47% 47% 48% 48% 50% 35% 42% 40% 37% 88% 88% 85% 71% 70% 67% 67% 59% 53% 52% The economy should be the next government's top priority (n=9076) Health care should be the next government's top priority (n=9152) Affordable housing and lowering the cost of living should be the next government's top priority (n=9097) Raising people's incomes and wealth should be the next government's top priority (n=8913) Uniting Canada should be the next government's top priority (n=8797) Bring civil dialogue back to Canadian politics should be the next government's top priority (n=8133) Addressing climate change should be the next government's top priority (n=9046) Immigration issues should be the next government's top priority (n=8948) Improving Canada's image around the world should be the next government's top priority (n=8863) Indigenous issues should be the next government's top priority (n=8785) STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE [NET] AGREE
  • 32. © 2019 Ipsos 32 Justin Trudeau Advantage W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits: Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 32% 28% 16% 4% 16%Someone who is best to represent Canada on the world stage Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet <3% not labelled
  • 33. © 2019 Ipsos 33 Andrew Scheer Advantage W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits: Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 24% 27% 21% 16% 19% 20% 18% 24% 18% 31% 28% 32% 27% 39% 24% 25% 28% 26% 29% 39% 17% 12% 26% 11% 23% 20% 21% 21% 15% 4% 5% 4% 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 6% 4% 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 4% 18% 21% 15% 26% 20% 19% 24% 15% 26% 15% Someone who will get things done Someone who is best to manage during tough economic times Someone who will fight for the middle class Someone who will tackle Canada’s deficit Someone who will provide open, responsible, and ethical government' Someone whose values best represent my own Someone who will make things more affordable Someone who has the right temperament and maturity to be Prime Minister Someone who will spend taxpayers’money wisely Someone who has a hidden agenda Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet <4% not labelled
  • 34. © 2019 Ipsos 34 Jagmeet Singh Advantage W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits: Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 23% 22% 16% 22% 34% 27% 4% 5% 4% 18% 19% Someone who will protect the interests of cultural, religious and other minorities in Canada... Someone who will help improve health care Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet <3% not labelled
  • 35. © 2019 Ipsos 35 Elizabeth May Advantage W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits: Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet 20% 12% 13% 34%Someone who will take action against climate change <3% not labelled
  • 36. © 2019 Ipsos 36 None of the Leaders W7. Which major federal party leader is best described by the following traits: Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL 17% 19% 22% 16% 19% 22% 7% 6% 4% 6% 5% 26% 28% Someone you can trust Someone who you would like to get a coffee or beer with Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Elizabeth MayJagmeet Singh Maxime Bernier NoneYves-François Blanchet <3% not labelled
  • 37. © 2019 Ipsos 37 30% 26% 23% 10% 6% 5% The Conservative Party led by Andrew Scheer The NDP led by Jagmeet Singh The Liberal Party led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau The Green Party led by Elizabeth May The Bloc Québécois led by Yves-François Blanchet The People's Party of Canada led by Maxime Bernier In your view, which party and leader is the most seriously committed to keeping its election promises? RV11. In your view, which party and leader is the most seriously committed to keeping its election promises? Base: Voters (n=9437) TOTAL
  • 38. © 2019 Ipsos 38 30% 26% 21% 8% 7% 4% Who Would Vote For If Canada Instead Had a Proportional Representation Electoral System TOTAL E1. As you may know, Canada’s electoral system is first-past-the-post. Which party would you have voted for if Canada instead had a proportional representation electoral system, in which seats would be allocated to parties based on the percentage of the total vote they won in the election? Base: Voters (n=9437)
  • 39. © 2019 Ipsos 39 Belong to a Labour Union D7. Do you or does someone in your household belong to a labour union? Base: Voters (n=9437) % yes and how did they vote. YES, BELONG TO LABOUR UNION 29% 24% 24% 24% 22% 16% 49% 74% 2% A candidate from another party/Independent No Don't know/ Not specified Belong to Labour Union 24%
  • 40. © 2019 Ipsos 40 Lost a Job in the Last Year D8. Have you or has someone in your household lost a job in the last year? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, Someone in HHLD Lost Job In Last Year Someone in Household Lost Job In Last Year 12% 29% 14% 12% 11% 11% 9% 14% 87% 1% A candidate from another party/Independent No Don't know/ Not specified
  • 41. © 2019 Ipsos 41 Member of the LGBTQ2S+ Community D9. Are you a member of the LGBTQ2S+ community? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, Member of the LGBTQ2S+ Community Member of the LGBTQ2S+ Community 6% 13% 10% 7% 6% 3% 2% 3% 92% 2% A candidate from another party/Independent No Don't know/ Not specified
  • 42. © 2019 Ipsos 42 Own a Gun D10. Do you or does anyone in your household own a gun? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, You Or Anyone In Your Household Owns A Gun You Or Anyone In Your Household Owns A Gun 13% 21% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 19% 86% 1% A candidate from another party/Independent No Don't know/ Not specified
  • 43. © 2019 Ipsos 43 Member of a Visible Minority D11. Are you a member of a visible minority? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, Member Of A Visible Minority Member Of A Visible Minority 11% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 3% 14% 89% A candidate from another party/Independent No
  • 44. © 2019 Ipsos 44 Aboriginal People D12. Do you consider yourself to be an Aboriginal person? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, Consider Yourself To Be An Aboriginal Person Consider Yourself To Be An Aboriginal Person 4% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 1% 8% 96% A candidate from another party/Independent No
  • 45. © 2019 Ipsos 45 Importance of Religion in Your Life D15. In your life, would you say religion is VERY important, SOMEWHAT important, NOT VERY important, or NOT IMPORTANT at all? T2B and how did they vote. Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, Religion Is Important Religion Is Important 38% 47% 39% 38% 32% 28% 22% 36% 61% 1% A candidate from another party/Independent Not important Don't know
  • 46. © 2019 Ipsos 46 Person With A Permanent Disability E2_Dis. Do you consider yourself to be a person with a permanent disability? Base: Voters (n=9437) YES, Is a Person With A Permanent Disability Person With A Permanent Disability 14% 19% 18% 14% 13% 8% 8% 16% 86% A candidate from another party/Independent No
  • 47. © 2019 Ipsos 47 ABOUT IPSOS Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry. With a strong presence in 87 countries, Ipsos employs more than 16,000 people and has the ability to conduct research programs in more than 100 countries. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is controlled and managed by research professionals. They have built a solid Group around a multi- specialist positioning – Media and advertising research; Marketing research; Client and employee relationship management; Opinion & social research; Mobile, Online, Offline data collection and delivery. Ipsos is listed on Eurolist – NYSE – Euronext. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD). ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP www.ipsos.com GAME CHANGERS At Ipsos we are passionately curious about people, markets, brands and society. We deliver information and analysis that makes our complex world easier and faster to navigate and inspires our clients to make smarter decisions. We believe that our work is important. Security, simplicity, speed and substance applies to everything we do. Through specialisation, we offer our clients a unique depth of knowledge and expertise. Learning from different experiences gives us perspective and inspires us to boldly call things into question, to be creative. By nurturing a culture of collaboration and curiosity, we attract the highest calibre of people who have the ability and desire to influence and shape the future. “GAME CHANGERS” – our tagline – summarises our ambition.