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1
Presentation
on
Power, Coal and Renewable Energy
-Issues, challenges and imperative
National Council on Energy
Infrastructure Industry and Logistics Federation of India
www.ilfi.in
1
June, 2014, New Delhi
2
Agenda
Indian Power Sector:
1. Where we stand today
2. Issues and challenges; imperatives and suggestions
► Thermal
► Hydro
► Renewable
■ Solar
■ Wind
► Transmission and Distribution
3. Conclusion
www.ilfi.in
2
3
1. Where we stand today
■ Over 1400 BU estimated electricity requirements in next 5-6 years as against the present level of around
900 BU; generation growth rate stands nearly 7-8 % CAGR.
■ Per capita consumption is around 900 units as against world average of over 2800 units; per capita
consumption growth stands nearly 5.5 % CAGR
■ Energy deficit and peak deficit continue to remain high with average 8-9 % and 10-12% respectively
■ Average energy shortfall is around 85000 MU; to meet peak demand average shortfall stands at around
13000 MW
■ 190+ GW of total generation capacity addition is estimated in next 8 years to meet the demand by 13th
plan as against present capacity level of over 228 GW
■ 3500+ MW of existing Solar Power Generation capacity as against the target addition of 20000 MW in
next 6 years
■ Declining hydro share (17%) in generation capacity mix, only 27% of India’s hydro potential is tapped with
present capacity of 40000 MW against 15000 MW potential
■ Disbursements by PFC and REC averages to 40 to 50 % as against sanctioned amounts
www.ilfi.in
3
4
► Thermal Power
 Fuel supply constraints
 Land acquisition
 Procedural delays
 Power equipments and quality EPC players
 Misalignment in energy pricing
 UMPP implementation
2. Issues and challenges
www.ilfi.in
4
5
 Fuel supply constraints
Coal
 Coal linkages and agreement
 Proximity to coal mines and coastal regions to gain efficiencies
 Inadequate availability of domestic coal, dependency on imported coal
 Domestic coal production is estimated to increase by 28% in next 5 years
as against 41% increase in the overall demand in same period
 Coal domestic supply deficit (150 million tonnes) continue to rise leading
to increasing imports
 Dependency on imported coal likely to increase from 18.8% to 22.4% by
end of 12th
and 25.9% by end of 13th
plan
 Uncertainty in overseas coal linkages as alternative
 Changing regulations in source countries (Indonesia / Australia) impacting
availability and price volatility of imported coal;
 Lack of progress in captive coal mines
Gas
 Inadequate availability of gas
leads to unutilized / idle capacity;
Low PLF
 Domestic supply allocation
meets only 60-65% gas demand
for power;
 Import dependency bring in
price volatility
 High cost of R-LNG; and it
transportation to power plant
 High cost of power generation
www.ilfi.in
5
6
 Land acquisition
 Change of use – agriculture land
 Availability with access to water; connectivity and
related site approval
 Delays in clearances and approvals; and public
resistance
 Procedural delays
 Delays in project related clearances
 Environment; Forest; site related approvals
 Project execution risk associated with procedural
delays
 UMPP implementation
 Fuel supply agreement;
 Tariff rationalization - tariff versus cost of coal
 Lack of infrastructure and logistics support for
equipment transfer
 Power equipments and quality EPC players
 Transportation of equipments to project site is a
big challenge
RM and LE of plants;
■ Power supply related issues to shut down of
plants of RM; cost efficiencies for equipment
supply companies for RM
 Misalignment in energy pricing
 Politically sensitive issue leading to untargeted
subsidies
 Widening gap between average tariff and
average cost of supply
 Adverse fluctuations in fuel prices not account for
in competitive bid tariffs; making project unviable
www.ilfi.in
6
7
Imperatives and suggestions
Development of supporting infrastructure in different transport sectors like railway, highways and roads, inland
waterways and gas pipelines.
Railways to enhance their capacity for coal evacuation from coal fields
Rail connectivity to all ports having coal unloading facilities, all these ports must be given priority in effective
road/rail connectivity.
Augment roads and highways for transportation of over dimensional consignments to support fast
transportation of heavy equipments
Load classification for roads and bridges to be reviewed, changes in Motor vehicle act to accommodate heavy
consignments, and toll plaza building on highways to be designed keeping in view heavy transportations
requirements
Coal handling arrangements at ports to be expanded to handle the larger quantities of imported coal required
for power stations
Increase of draft, creation of roll-on/roll-off berths and mechanisation to improve the load handling capabilities
of ports.
Regulatory body for coal; Delink CIL and CMPDI / subsidiaries as independent companies
Develop and enhance capacity and capabilities of balance of plants construction agencies and construction
equipment/ techniques
Thermal
www.ilfi.in
7
8
► Hydro Power
 Land acquisition problems
 Environment and forest clearances
 Environmental impact, resettlement and rehabilitation issues
 Compensation of forest land – valuation based on net present value
 Compensation issues related to R & R
 Law and order problems in project implementation
 Geological surprises; lack of reliable surveys
 Inter-State Issues – river basin and water sharing issues
 Inadequate power evacuation facilities
 Dearth of good contractors for construction
 Lack of private sector interest
 Access to Site; logistics and transportation issues
 Long gestation period and uncertainty in execution – lack of interests amongst financial
institutions and private sector
 Apportionment of project costs to various agencies and beneficiaries
 Delayed payment by State utilities – discipline / escrow account
2. Issues and challenges
www.ilfi.in
8
9
Hydro Power
Imperatives and suggestions
Developer should be able to make a single application (once) for environment and forest clearances
Do away with separate public hearings for environment; forest etc to avoid project delays
Only one public hearing for all clearances required for the project
TOR once decided and agreed should not be changed; as DPR is developed based on TOR and
submitted with TOR period
Lack of defined guidelines for clearances for example environment flow should be based on scientific
basis and not arbitrary ;
Review guidelines related to project clearances in consultation with all stake holders; with
transparency
Forest land compensations to be reviewed - developer pays for land to owner; for rights and
privileges and for compensatory land
Funds collected by way of forest land compensation should be utilized for the purpose collected
www.ilfi.in
9
10
Hydro Power
Imperatives and suggestions
Government should identify and create land bank for developer to compensate for forest land
Low PLF of hydro plants leads to high transmission costs; National Clean Energy funds
should be made available for evacuation
ROE for hydro projects are 16.5% as against 15.5% of thermal whereas hydro project cost
per MW and implementation periods double then thermal plants, to encourage private sector
interest payment on equity to be considered
To reduce hydro costs, tax incentives to be provided - concession of custom, excise duty on
equipments; construction materials; and services tax exemptions
Developer to be compensated for provision of irrigation and flood moderation in the project
Take up few large projects as fast track projects for speedy implementations
Assess logistics and transportation requirements of fast track projects with developers; and
ensure support from respective ministries - transportation , Railways
www.ilfi.in
10
11
Solar
► Renewable Power
Wind
 Inadequate domestic manufacturing capacity
 Project viability
 Low cost finance availability
 Standard and bankable PPA
 Non-recourse infrastructure financing option
 ADD- import versus local versus 20 GW target
 RPO enforcement
 Slump in REC based projects
 Payout of capital subsidy
 Decentralized generation regulation for micro grid /
smaller plants
 Entrepreneur development
 Repowering of old wind farms for better PLF
 Grid Infrastructure – evacuation and
transmission
 High borrowing cost; availability of low cost
finance
 Availability of potential land and clearances
 Revised tariff implementations
 Accelerated depreciation
2. Issues and challenges
www.ilfi.in
11
12
Imperatives and suggestions
Rationalize / reduce various grid charges for smaller solar plants which do not use medium grid;
Reduce open access charges, cross-subsidy surcharge, transmission charges, transmission
losses, wheeling charges and wheeling losses to encourage small entrepreneurs to set up micro
grids
RPO to be enforcement and monitored strictly; penalty structure to put in place for not meeting RPO
Revive REC mechanism as there is uncertainty in price beyond 2017
Stringent norms to ensure quality of imported cells, modules and equipments
Projects awarded or cleared before imposition of ADD notification should be allowed imports without ADD
Mechanism tom trade off local manufacturing versus imports keeping in view the existing domestic
capacity and generation targets
Mechanism to make available reliable and detailed performance data of the plants
Solar
www.ilfi.in
12
13
► Transmission and Distribution
 Evacuation and transmission capacity to keep pace with disbursed generation including
smaller renewable both grid and off grid projects
 Transmission cost of electricity versus transportation cost of fuel
 Heavy congestion on Transmission corridors
 Lack of up gradation of transmission, distribution network for inter-state connect
 Huge AT&C losses in distribution sector – around 27% at national level
 Financial viability of operation of DISCOMs; rising losses
 Subsidy dependence of distribution utilities and SEBs
 Energy audit of power utilities
 Inefficiencies in metering, billing and collection affecting discosm revenue
2. Issues and challenges
www.ilfi.in
13
14
Imperatives and suggestions
Transmission and distribution
Strengthen the performance of the distribution system to achieve improved financial
viability of Discoms
Distribution reforms to reduce AT&C losses
■ Separate agriculture feeders to non-agriculture
■ Privatisation of distributions circles gradually to achieve management efficiency
■ Use of smart cards; modern technologies to limit power theft
■ Rationalize / lower industrial tariff through open access
Introduction of smart grid to allow effective demand side management (DSM),
www.ilfi.in
14
15
Thank You
15
Reach us at:
INFRASTRUCTURE INDUSTRY AND LOGISTICS FEDERATION OF INDIA
P-95, South Extension Part-II, New Delhi-110049
Tel: +91 11 41007091-92
Telefax: +91 11 41007093
Email: ilfi@ilfi.in, dgoffice@ilfi.in
Website: www.ilfi.in

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ILFI presentation on energy sector by ILFI National Council on Energy

  • 1. 1 Presentation on Power, Coal and Renewable Energy -Issues, challenges and imperative National Council on Energy Infrastructure Industry and Logistics Federation of India www.ilfi.in 1 June, 2014, New Delhi
  • 2. 2 Agenda Indian Power Sector: 1. Where we stand today 2. Issues and challenges; imperatives and suggestions ► Thermal ► Hydro ► Renewable ■ Solar ■ Wind ► Transmission and Distribution 3. Conclusion www.ilfi.in 2
  • 3. 3 1. Where we stand today ■ Over 1400 BU estimated electricity requirements in next 5-6 years as against the present level of around 900 BU; generation growth rate stands nearly 7-8 % CAGR. ■ Per capita consumption is around 900 units as against world average of over 2800 units; per capita consumption growth stands nearly 5.5 % CAGR ■ Energy deficit and peak deficit continue to remain high with average 8-9 % and 10-12% respectively ■ Average energy shortfall is around 85000 MU; to meet peak demand average shortfall stands at around 13000 MW ■ 190+ GW of total generation capacity addition is estimated in next 8 years to meet the demand by 13th plan as against present capacity level of over 228 GW ■ 3500+ MW of existing Solar Power Generation capacity as against the target addition of 20000 MW in next 6 years ■ Declining hydro share (17%) in generation capacity mix, only 27% of India’s hydro potential is tapped with present capacity of 40000 MW against 15000 MW potential ■ Disbursements by PFC and REC averages to 40 to 50 % as against sanctioned amounts www.ilfi.in 3
  • 4. 4 ► Thermal Power  Fuel supply constraints  Land acquisition  Procedural delays  Power equipments and quality EPC players  Misalignment in energy pricing  UMPP implementation 2. Issues and challenges www.ilfi.in 4
  • 5. 5  Fuel supply constraints Coal  Coal linkages and agreement  Proximity to coal mines and coastal regions to gain efficiencies  Inadequate availability of domestic coal, dependency on imported coal  Domestic coal production is estimated to increase by 28% in next 5 years as against 41% increase in the overall demand in same period  Coal domestic supply deficit (150 million tonnes) continue to rise leading to increasing imports  Dependency on imported coal likely to increase from 18.8% to 22.4% by end of 12th and 25.9% by end of 13th plan  Uncertainty in overseas coal linkages as alternative  Changing regulations in source countries (Indonesia / Australia) impacting availability and price volatility of imported coal;  Lack of progress in captive coal mines Gas  Inadequate availability of gas leads to unutilized / idle capacity; Low PLF  Domestic supply allocation meets only 60-65% gas demand for power;  Import dependency bring in price volatility  High cost of R-LNG; and it transportation to power plant  High cost of power generation www.ilfi.in 5
  • 6. 6  Land acquisition  Change of use – agriculture land  Availability with access to water; connectivity and related site approval  Delays in clearances and approvals; and public resistance  Procedural delays  Delays in project related clearances  Environment; Forest; site related approvals  Project execution risk associated with procedural delays  UMPP implementation  Fuel supply agreement;  Tariff rationalization - tariff versus cost of coal  Lack of infrastructure and logistics support for equipment transfer  Power equipments and quality EPC players  Transportation of equipments to project site is a big challenge RM and LE of plants; ■ Power supply related issues to shut down of plants of RM; cost efficiencies for equipment supply companies for RM  Misalignment in energy pricing  Politically sensitive issue leading to untargeted subsidies  Widening gap between average tariff and average cost of supply  Adverse fluctuations in fuel prices not account for in competitive bid tariffs; making project unviable www.ilfi.in 6
  • 7. 7 Imperatives and suggestions Development of supporting infrastructure in different transport sectors like railway, highways and roads, inland waterways and gas pipelines. Railways to enhance their capacity for coal evacuation from coal fields Rail connectivity to all ports having coal unloading facilities, all these ports must be given priority in effective road/rail connectivity. Augment roads and highways for transportation of over dimensional consignments to support fast transportation of heavy equipments Load classification for roads and bridges to be reviewed, changes in Motor vehicle act to accommodate heavy consignments, and toll plaza building on highways to be designed keeping in view heavy transportations requirements Coal handling arrangements at ports to be expanded to handle the larger quantities of imported coal required for power stations Increase of draft, creation of roll-on/roll-off berths and mechanisation to improve the load handling capabilities of ports. Regulatory body for coal; Delink CIL and CMPDI / subsidiaries as independent companies Develop and enhance capacity and capabilities of balance of plants construction agencies and construction equipment/ techniques Thermal www.ilfi.in 7
  • 8. 8 ► Hydro Power  Land acquisition problems  Environment and forest clearances  Environmental impact, resettlement and rehabilitation issues  Compensation of forest land – valuation based on net present value  Compensation issues related to R & R  Law and order problems in project implementation  Geological surprises; lack of reliable surveys  Inter-State Issues – river basin and water sharing issues  Inadequate power evacuation facilities  Dearth of good contractors for construction  Lack of private sector interest  Access to Site; logistics and transportation issues  Long gestation period and uncertainty in execution – lack of interests amongst financial institutions and private sector  Apportionment of project costs to various agencies and beneficiaries  Delayed payment by State utilities – discipline / escrow account 2. Issues and challenges www.ilfi.in 8
  • 9. 9 Hydro Power Imperatives and suggestions Developer should be able to make a single application (once) for environment and forest clearances Do away with separate public hearings for environment; forest etc to avoid project delays Only one public hearing for all clearances required for the project TOR once decided and agreed should not be changed; as DPR is developed based on TOR and submitted with TOR period Lack of defined guidelines for clearances for example environment flow should be based on scientific basis and not arbitrary ; Review guidelines related to project clearances in consultation with all stake holders; with transparency Forest land compensations to be reviewed - developer pays for land to owner; for rights and privileges and for compensatory land Funds collected by way of forest land compensation should be utilized for the purpose collected www.ilfi.in 9
  • 10. 10 Hydro Power Imperatives and suggestions Government should identify and create land bank for developer to compensate for forest land Low PLF of hydro plants leads to high transmission costs; National Clean Energy funds should be made available for evacuation ROE for hydro projects are 16.5% as against 15.5% of thermal whereas hydro project cost per MW and implementation periods double then thermal plants, to encourage private sector interest payment on equity to be considered To reduce hydro costs, tax incentives to be provided - concession of custom, excise duty on equipments; construction materials; and services tax exemptions Developer to be compensated for provision of irrigation and flood moderation in the project Take up few large projects as fast track projects for speedy implementations Assess logistics and transportation requirements of fast track projects with developers; and ensure support from respective ministries - transportation , Railways www.ilfi.in 10
  • 11. 11 Solar ► Renewable Power Wind  Inadequate domestic manufacturing capacity  Project viability  Low cost finance availability  Standard and bankable PPA  Non-recourse infrastructure financing option  ADD- import versus local versus 20 GW target  RPO enforcement  Slump in REC based projects  Payout of capital subsidy  Decentralized generation regulation for micro grid / smaller plants  Entrepreneur development  Repowering of old wind farms for better PLF  Grid Infrastructure – evacuation and transmission  High borrowing cost; availability of low cost finance  Availability of potential land and clearances  Revised tariff implementations  Accelerated depreciation 2. Issues and challenges www.ilfi.in 11
  • 12. 12 Imperatives and suggestions Rationalize / reduce various grid charges for smaller solar plants which do not use medium grid; Reduce open access charges, cross-subsidy surcharge, transmission charges, transmission losses, wheeling charges and wheeling losses to encourage small entrepreneurs to set up micro grids RPO to be enforcement and monitored strictly; penalty structure to put in place for not meeting RPO Revive REC mechanism as there is uncertainty in price beyond 2017 Stringent norms to ensure quality of imported cells, modules and equipments Projects awarded or cleared before imposition of ADD notification should be allowed imports without ADD Mechanism tom trade off local manufacturing versus imports keeping in view the existing domestic capacity and generation targets Mechanism to make available reliable and detailed performance data of the plants Solar www.ilfi.in 12
  • 13. 13 ► Transmission and Distribution  Evacuation and transmission capacity to keep pace with disbursed generation including smaller renewable both grid and off grid projects  Transmission cost of electricity versus transportation cost of fuel  Heavy congestion on Transmission corridors  Lack of up gradation of transmission, distribution network for inter-state connect  Huge AT&C losses in distribution sector – around 27% at national level  Financial viability of operation of DISCOMs; rising losses  Subsidy dependence of distribution utilities and SEBs  Energy audit of power utilities  Inefficiencies in metering, billing and collection affecting discosm revenue 2. Issues and challenges www.ilfi.in 13
  • 14. 14 Imperatives and suggestions Transmission and distribution Strengthen the performance of the distribution system to achieve improved financial viability of Discoms Distribution reforms to reduce AT&C losses ■ Separate agriculture feeders to non-agriculture ■ Privatisation of distributions circles gradually to achieve management efficiency ■ Use of smart cards; modern technologies to limit power theft ■ Rationalize / lower industrial tariff through open access Introduction of smart grid to allow effective demand side management (DSM), www.ilfi.in 14
  • 15. 15 Thank You 15 Reach us at: INFRASTRUCTURE INDUSTRY AND LOGISTICS FEDERATION OF INDIA P-95, South Extension Part-II, New Delhi-110049 Tel: +91 11 41007091-92 Telefax: +91 11 41007093 Email: ilfi@ilfi.in, dgoffice@ilfi.in Website: www.ilfi.in