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Regulators and Policy Makers Retreat 2012


Transnational Trade of Electricity




         Md. Abul Kalam Azad
            Power Secretary
       Government of Bangladesh


                   Goa, India
                25 August 2012
Outline of Presentation


 Introduction

 Energy Scenario in South Asia

 Proposed Trade Options

 Initiatives for Regional Cooperation for Electricity Trade

 Prospective Areas of cooperation for Electricity Trade

 Recommendations

Conclusion
Introduction

 South Asia: Home of 1.3 b. people – a quarter of the world’s population
 Annual Energy Growth is more than 5% for the last decade
 Per capita consumption: 300 kWh
World average : 2500 kWh
 Large variety of fuel mix
Hydro potential : 300,000 MW
Transnational electricity trades
    Europe through the Union for the Coordination of the Transmission of
      Electricity (UCTE)
    Central America through Sistema de Interconexión Eléctrica de los
      Países de América Central (SIEPAC)
    Central Asia through the Central Asian Republics (CARs)
Energy Scenario in South Asia


 Wide variation of energy resources
 Huge coal reserve
Untapped hydro potential
 Energy base:
 India: Coal (35%)
 Bangladesh: Natural Gas (67%)
 Pakistan: Oil (46%)
 Sri Lanka: Oil (87%)
 Nepal: Imported Oil; Huge potential of hydro exists
 Bhutan: Huge potential of hydro exists
Fuel Mix in SAARC Region
Regional Cooperation


 Regional Power Trade
    Exist between India – Bhutan and India-Nepal
    Infrastructure between Bangladesh and India being developed
    Discussion going on for trade between India and Sri Lanka
 Joint Investment
    Huge investment requirement of SMS
    India needs more than 220 b over the next 5 years
    Bangladesh needs more than 17 b over the next 5 years
    Investment requirement for harnessing hydro potential of Nepal and
      Bhutan
Prevailing Initiatives for
Regional Energy Cooperation
SAARC Inter-governmental Framework Agreement for
                         Energy Cooperation



   Draft prepared in May 2010
   Objective:
-   to allow SMS for unrestricted cross border electricity trade
-   Share and update technical and commercial information
-   Constitute SAARC Regulatory Forum (SRF)




                                                                   8
SAARC Market for Electricity (SAME)



   Adopted resolution in 16th SAARC Summit, Thimphu, April 2010
   Concept Paper has been prepared
   Objective:
-   Optimize regional resources
-   Create additional opportunities of collaboration for member countries




                                                                            9
SAARC Energy Centre (SEC)



   Created through Dhaka Declaration in 2005 as SPV
   Established in Islamabad in March 2006
   Draft prepared in May 2010
   Thematic Areas of involvement:
    -   Development of Hydro power, renewable and non-renewable energy
    -   Technology Transfer
    -   Energy Trade
    -   Energy Conservation and Efficiency Improvement

    The 4th SAARC Energy Ministers’ and Senior Officials meeting was held
       during 14-15 September 2011 in Dhaka. The meeting adopted the SRTETS
                                                                         10
Energy Cooperation through BIMSTEC



   Formed in 2004 to create a link between ASEAN and SAARC
   MOU for establishment of BIMSTEC Grid Interconnection
   MOA for establishment of BIMSTEC Energy Centre (BEC)
   Thematic Areas of involvement:
     - Trans-power Exchange and Grid Interconnection
     - Energy Information Sharing
     - Development of Sustainable Energy




                                                              11
South Asia Regional Initiative for Energy (SARI/E)



 USAID sponsored program
 Focus Areas:
   - Cross Border Power Trade
   - Energy Market Information
   - Regional Clean Energy Development




                                                         12
South Asia Sub-Regional Economic Cooperation (SASEC)



 ADB sponsored program
 Comprises of Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal
 Focus Areas:
   - Sub-regional Energy Trade
   - Sub-regional Energy Market
   - Sub-regional Clean Energy Development
   SRETS prepared under SASEC assistance
   SASEC Energy Working Group meeting was held on 19 October
     2012 in Bangkok

                                                               13
Bilateral Cooperation
 Strong bi-lateral cooperation exist between the countries

 Electricity trade between India and Bhutan

 Electricity trade between India and Nepal
 Bangladesh and India are working together
 India and Sri Lanka initiates bilateral cooperation




                                                              14
Prospective Areas of
Cooperation for Electricity Trade
Prospective Areas of Cooperation
 Cross Border Trade
    - Opportunity to make a combined and diverse approach
 Energy Market Formation
    - Enable flow of foreign investment
    -Market based pricing, stable regulatory framework and market
     structure
 Clean Energy Development
    -Development of renewable energy sources (hydro, solar, wind etc.)
    -Institutional and policy impediments are prevailing
    -Need strong regional partnership
 Infrastructure Development
   - Joint venture investment may facilitate development
Sharing of experience and good practices
                                                                    16
Share the experiences and good practices through SEC and BEC
Proposed Trade Opportunities

Four multi-lateral trade and cooperation options:

1. Electricity Market: Short to long term
2. Regional Refinery : Medium term
3. LNG Terminal: Medium term
4. Regional Power Plant: Medium term
Proposed Trade Opportunity

Option 1: Electricity Market


Benefits:

1. Reduction in generation reserve requirement
2. Increase in economic value
3. Optimal exploitation of energy resources
4. Reduction in cost of supply
5. Lesser environmental impact of fossil based power generation
6. Incentives to resource rich countries to accelerate power
Proposed Trade Opportunity


Option 2: Regional Refinery
Benefits:

1. With a 23 MMTPA refinery around USD 14.8 b would be saved
2. Net revenue of USD 2.75 b accrued on relative demand of petroleum
   products
3. Technology transfer for building refinery
4. Economies of scale
Proposed Trade Opportunity

Option 3: Regional LNG Terminal

Benefits:

1. Meeting the region’s natural gas deficit resulting additional power
2. Diversification of current fuel basket
3. More supply options available to LNG importers
4. Decreasing cost of technology
5. Cleaner fuel for power generation as compared to coal
Proposed Trade Opportunity

Option 4: Regional Power Plant

 Benefits:

 1. Hydropower plants in India, Bhutan and Nepal will provide economies of
    scale
 2. LNG based power generation more economical than diesel based
    generation.
 3. Less dependence on diesel ( particularly Sri Lanka and Maldives)
 4. Cleaner and cheaper fuel for power generation
Recommendation
Recommendations
 Establishment of SAARC Grid and Four Border Transmission
  Interconnections
 Technical coordination through SAARC Energy Working Group
 Utilization of Hydro potential in North-eastern India, Nepal and Bhutan
 Establishment of Regional LNG Port at Mongla, Bangladesh
 Regional Nuclear Collaboration
 Developing a conducive policy support framework
 Building political commitment through SAARC Forum
 Carrying out detail feasibility study including cost optimization
 Concluding outstanding regional river basin agreements
 Identify the win-win options


                                                                       23
Conclusion
An Integrated Energy Market through transnational trade of electricity
through Win-Win options removing unnecessary conflicts can ensure
the Energy Security in the Region




                                                                     24
Thank You

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Transnational Trade of Electricity

  • 1. Regulators and Policy Makers Retreat 2012 Transnational Trade of Electricity Md. Abul Kalam Azad Power Secretary Government of Bangladesh Goa, India 25 August 2012
  • 2. Outline of Presentation  Introduction  Energy Scenario in South Asia  Proposed Trade Options  Initiatives for Regional Cooperation for Electricity Trade  Prospective Areas of cooperation for Electricity Trade  Recommendations Conclusion
  • 3. Introduction  South Asia: Home of 1.3 b. people – a quarter of the world’s population  Annual Energy Growth is more than 5% for the last decade  Per capita consumption: 300 kWh World average : 2500 kWh  Large variety of fuel mix Hydro potential : 300,000 MW Transnational electricity trades  Europe through the Union for the Coordination of the Transmission of Electricity (UCTE)  Central America through Sistema de Interconexión Eléctrica de los Países de América Central (SIEPAC)  Central Asia through the Central Asian Republics (CARs)
  • 4. Energy Scenario in South Asia  Wide variation of energy resources  Huge coal reserve Untapped hydro potential  Energy base:  India: Coal (35%)  Bangladesh: Natural Gas (67%)  Pakistan: Oil (46%)  Sri Lanka: Oil (87%)  Nepal: Imported Oil; Huge potential of hydro exists  Bhutan: Huge potential of hydro exists
  • 5. Fuel Mix in SAARC Region
  • 6. Regional Cooperation  Regional Power Trade  Exist between India – Bhutan and India-Nepal  Infrastructure between Bangladesh and India being developed  Discussion going on for trade between India and Sri Lanka  Joint Investment  Huge investment requirement of SMS  India needs more than 220 b over the next 5 years  Bangladesh needs more than 17 b over the next 5 years  Investment requirement for harnessing hydro potential of Nepal and Bhutan
  • 8. SAARC Inter-governmental Framework Agreement for Energy Cooperation  Draft prepared in May 2010  Objective: - to allow SMS for unrestricted cross border electricity trade - Share and update technical and commercial information - Constitute SAARC Regulatory Forum (SRF) 8
  • 9. SAARC Market for Electricity (SAME)  Adopted resolution in 16th SAARC Summit, Thimphu, April 2010  Concept Paper has been prepared  Objective: - Optimize regional resources - Create additional opportunities of collaboration for member countries 9
  • 10. SAARC Energy Centre (SEC)  Created through Dhaka Declaration in 2005 as SPV  Established in Islamabad in March 2006  Draft prepared in May 2010  Thematic Areas of involvement: - Development of Hydro power, renewable and non-renewable energy - Technology Transfer - Energy Trade - Energy Conservation and Efficiency Improvement The 4th SAARC Energy Ministers’ and Senior Officials meeting was held during 14-15 September 2011 in Dhaka. The meeting adopted the SRTETS 10
  • 11. Energy Cooperation through BIMSTEC  Formed in 2004 to create a link between ASEAN and SAARC  MOU for establishment of BIMSTEC Grid Interconnection  MOA for establishment of BIMSTEC Energy Centre (BEC)  Thematic Areas of involvement: - Trans-power Exchange and Grid Interconnection - Energy Information Sharing - Development of Sustainable Energy 11
  • 12. South Asia Regional Initiative for Energy (SARI/E)  USAID sponsored program  Focus Areas: - Cross Border Power Trade - Energy Market Information - Regional Clean Energy Development 12
  • 13. South Asia Sub-Regional Economic Cooperation (SASEC)  ADB sponsored program  Comprises of Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal  Focus Areas: - Sub-regional Energy Trade - Sub-regional Energy Market - Sub-regional Clean Energy Development SRETS prepared under SASEC assistance SASEC Energy Working Group meeting was held on 19 October 2012 in Bangkok 13
  • 14. Bilateral Cooperation  Strong bi-lateral cooperation exist between the countries  Electricity trade between India and Bhutan  Electricity trade between India and Nepal  Bangladesh and India are working together  India and Sri Lanka initiates bilateral cooperation 14
  • 15. Prospective Areas of Cooperation for Electricity Trade
  • 16. Prospective Areas of Cooperation  Cross Border Trade - Opportunity to make a combined and diverse approach  Energy Market Formation - Enable flow of foreign investment -Market based pricing, stable regulatory framework and market structure  Clean Energy Development -Development of renewable energy sources (hydro, solar, wind etc.) -Institutional and policy impediments are prevailing -Need strong regional partnership  Infrastructure Development - Joint venture investment may facilitate development Sharing of experience and good practices 16 Share the experiences and good practices through SEC and BEC
  • 17. Proposed Trade Opportunities Four multi-lateral trade and cooperation options: 1. Electricity Market: Short to long term 2. Regional Refinery : Medium term 3. LNG Terminal: Medium term 4. Regional Power Plant: Medium term
  • 18. Proposed Trade Opportunity Option 1: Electricity Market Benefits: 1. Reduction in generation reserve requirement 2. Increase in economic value 3. Optimal exploitation of energy resources 4. Reduction in cost of supply 5. Lesser environmental impact of fossil based power generation 6. Incentives to resource rich countries to accelerate power
  • 19. Proposed Trade Opportunity Option 2: Regional Refinery Benefits: 1. With a 23 MMTPA refinery around USD 14.8 b would be saved 2. Net revenue of USD 2.75 b accrued on relative demand of petroleum products 3. Technology transfer for building refinery 4. Economies of scale
  • 20. Proposed Trade Opportunity Option 3: Regional LNG Terminal Benefits: 1. Meeting the region’s natural gas deficit resulting additional power 2. Diversification of current fuel basket 3. More supply options available to LNG importers 4. Decreasing cost of technology 5. Cleaner fuel for power generation as compared to coal
  • 21. Proposed Trade Opportunity Option 4: Regional Power Plant Benefits: 1. Hydropower plants in India, Bhutan and Nepal will provide economies of scale 2. LNG based power generation more economical than diesel based generation. 3. Less dependence on diesel ( particularly Sri Lanka and Maldives) 4. Cleaner and cheaper fuel for power generation
  • 23. Recommendations  Establishment of SAARC Grid and Four Border Transmission Interconnections  Technical coordination through SAARC Energy Working Group  Utilization of Hydro potential in North-eastern India, Nepal and Bhutan  Establishment of Regional LNG Port at Mongla, Bangladesh  Regional Nuclear Collaboration  Developing a conducive policy support framework  Building political commitment through SAARC Forum  Carrying out detail feasibility study including cost optimization  Concluding outstanding regional river basin agreements  Identify the win-win options 23
  • 24. Conclusion An Integrated Energy Market through transnational trade of electricity through Win-Win options removing unnecessary conflicts can ensure the Energy Security in the Region 24