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Technological change and Future Skill-shortages
in Engineering and Architecture Education:
Lessons from Lebanon
Nizar Hariri, Raymond Bou Nader, Sarah Haykal
Saint Joseph University
Introduction
• Our article aims to identify the most crucial future skills for architects
and engineers competing within multicultural fluid organizations.
• Our survey suggests substantive recommendations for Higher
Education Institutions, with a view on their implementation.
• Lebanon is an interesting case to study future occupations, career
opportunities and skill-shortages within these professions due to the
booming construction sector in Lebanon and its high level of
integration with neighboring Arab Gulf countries
• This article follows a prospective methodology called PROMENIA, a
qualitative research method that we adjusted to the Lebanese
employment and labor market in order to predict future skill-needs
and skill-shortages in the engineering and architecture professions
• This methodology was first established and implemented by
researchers from the University of Strasbourg and slightly adjusted to
the Lebanese labor market, as part of the European project, PACOME,
funded by the European Commission.
• The project was dedicated to study skill-shortage, future occupations
and future career opportunities in Lebanon, between 2012 and 2016.
3 “factors of influence” affecting architecture and engineering
professions, calling for future educational reforms, were identified :
• technological innovation;
• global outsourcing of construction services; and,
• the organizational shift toward a more fluid work environment, with
more flexibility and less boundaries.
I - The construction sector in Lebanon and its
globalization ;
• The real estate and the construction industry occupy a major position
in the Lebanese economy, since they both account for the fifth of the
Lebanese GDP, on average, since 2004
• The Construction sector alone weighs between 4% and 6% of the
GDP, while the Real estate sector varies between 12% and 14%
between 2004 and 2015
Evolution of the construction sector in Lebanon
(CAS, 2015)
Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
%
GDP 3,8% 3,8% 3,9% 4,4% 4,6% 5,0% 3,8% 4,5% 5,2% 6,2%
Evolution of the Real Estate sector in Lebanon
(CAS, 2015)
Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Added
Value
4,829 5,023 5,127 5,252 5,715 6,271 7,434 8,317 9,276 9,980
% GDP 15% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14%
Growth rates of the construction and real estate
sector and the growth rate of the Lebanese GDP
between 2005 and 2015 – CAS, 2019
II - The occupational effect: New skills and
tasks
• The three identified “factors of influence” change the skill-demand in the
architecture and engineering professions
• Technology and the emergence of new occupations and tasks
• New tasks for architects and engineers in leading positions
• The profile of engineers and architects in leadership positions requires more
specific skill, and leading companies are in need of a greater focus on leadership
skills, especially:
- To apply analytical skills from math and science to concrete specific and unique
situations;
- To reach optimal solutions with the lowest cost and the most feasible and efficient
way;
To identify and develop specific qualities or attitudes required for long-term
leadership
III – Skill-mismatch and educational reforms’
Enrollment in the civil engineering and architecture
education in Lebanon.
Year Civil engineer
students
Architecture
students
Total
2016-2017 5082 3769 8851
2017-2018 5390 3682 9072
2018-2019 4347 3006 7353
Ratio
(2019/2017)
-14.46% -20.24% -16.92%
The skill-supply in Lebanon: the education reforms
needed
When studying the knowledge and skills in architecture and
engineering programs, the competences framework may be divided
into 5 major components:
1- Analytical knowledge and skills such as calculation, simulation and
modeling.
2- Factual knowledge and skills that are required from architects and
engineers for problem-solving.
3- Creative skills.
4- Computing skills.
5- Interpersonal and intercultural communication skills and attitudes.
Ranking of lacking skills of freshly graduates –
PACOME, 2015
Insufficient knowledge of markets
needs
76%
Lack of administrative skills 65%
Insufficient training 59%
Insufficient knowledge of rules 58%
Lack of analytical skills 41%
Lack of language mastering 41%
Lack of presentation skills 35%
IV - HEI ; Higher Education Institutions
• HEI should integrate more creative design in their curricula and
emphasize more on engineering creativity
• New competence frameworks should integrate routine design, with
design engineering, inventive design and inventive engineering
• HEI also need to revise their programs, in order to integrate
computing and programming fundamentals, as well as the
fundamental conceptual understanding of these creative tools and
software
Conclusion and recommendations
• ) On the local level, firms and Higher Education Institutions need to
strengthen cooperation, for them to compete and survive in a highly
integrated regional and global market.
• 2) Since firms are shifting from a vertical organization to a more horizontal,
fluid division of tasks, skills that are largely needed in the future are those
that are most likely to reinforce coordination and trust among teams within
the internal components of the organization, and to deepen the
cooperation with partners’ networks.
• 3) HEI should incorporate in their curricula more creative courses and tools,
such as creative design, computing and programming fundamentals, as
well as courses related to globalization, with a specific emphasis on
intercultural communication skills and attitudes.

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Presentation

  • 1. Technological change and Future Skill-shortages in Engineering and Architecture Education: Lessons from Lebanon Nizar Hariri, Raymond Bou Nader, Sarah Haykal Saint Joseph University
  • 2. Introduction • Our article aims to identify the most crucial future skills for architects and engineers competing within multicultural fluid organizations. • Our survey suggests substantive recommendations for Higher Education Institutions, with a view on their implementation. • Lebanon is an interesting case to study future occupations, career opportunities and skill-shortages within these professions due to the booming construction sector in Lebanon and its high level of integration with neighboring Arab Gulf countries
  • 3. • This article follows a prospective methodology called PROMENIA, a qualitative research method that we adjusted to the Lebanese employment and labor market in order to predict future skill-needs and skill-shortages in the engineering and architecture professions • This methodology was first established and implemented by researchers from the University of Strasbourg and slightly adjusted to the Lebanese labor market, as part of the European project, PACOME, funded by the European Commission. • The project was dedicated to study skill-shortage, future occupations and future career opportunities in Lebanon, between 2012 and 2016.
  • 4. 3 “factors of influence” affecting architecture and engineering professions, calling for future educational reforms, were identified : • technological innovation; • global outsourcing of construction services; and, • the organizational shift toward a more fluid work environment, with more flexibility and less boundaries.
  • 5. I - The construction sector in Lebanon and its globalization ; • The real estate and the construction industry occupy a major position in the Lebanese economy, since they both account for the fifth of the Lebanese GDP, on average, since 2004 • The Construction sector alone weighs between 4% and 6% of the GDP, while the Real estate sector varies between 12% and 14% between 2004 and 2015
  • 6. Evolution of the construction sector in Lebanon (CAS, 2015) Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 % GDP 3,8% 3,8% 3,9% 4,4% 4,6% 5,0% 3,8% 4,5% 5,2% 6,2%
  • 7. Evolution of the Real Estate sector in Lebanon (CAS, 2015) Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Added Value 4,829 5,023 5,127 5,252 5,715 6,271 7,434 8,317 9,276 9,980 % GDP 15% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14%
  • 8. Growth rates of the construction and real estate sector and the growth rate of the Lebanese GDP between 2005 and 2015 – CAS, 2019
  • 9. II - The occupational effect: New skills and tasks • The three identified “factors of influence” change the skill-demand in the architecture and engineering professions • Technology and the emergence of new occupations and tasks • New tasks for architects and engineers in leading positions • The profile of engineers and architects in leadership positions requires more specific skill, and leading companies are in need of a greater focus on leadership skills, especially: - To apply analytical skills from math and science to concrete specific and unique situations; - To reach optimal solutions with the lowest cost and the most feasible and efficient way; To identify and develop specific qualities or attitudes required for long-term leadership
  • 10. III – Skill-mismatch and educational reforms’ Enrollment in the civil engineering and architecture education in Lebanon. Year Civil engineer students Architecture students Total 2016-2017 5082 3769 8851 2017-2018 5390 3682 9072 2018-2019 4347 3006 7353 Ratio (2019/2017) -14.46% -20.24% -16.92%
  • 11. The skill-supply in Lebanon: the education reforms needed When studying the knowledge and skills in architecture and engineering programs, the competences framework may be divided into 5 major components: 1- Analytical knowledge and skills such as calculation, simulation and modeling. 2- Factual knowledge and skills that are required from architects and engineers for problem-solving. 3- Creative skills. 4- Computing skills. 5- Interpersonal and intercultural communication skills and attitudes.
  • 12. Ranking of lacking skills of freshly graduates – PACOME, 2015 Insufficient knowledge of markets needs 76% Lack of administrative skills 65% Insufficient training 59% Insufficient knowledge of rules 58% Lack of analytical skills 41% Lack of language mastering 41% Lack of presentation skills 35%
  • 13. IV - HEI ; Higher Education Institutions • HEI should integrate more creative design in their curricula and emphasize more on engineering creativity • New competence frameworks should integrate routine design, with design engineering, inventive design and inventive engineering • HEI also need to revise their programs, in order to integrate computing and programming fundamentals, as well as the fundamental conceptual understanding of these creative tools and software
  • 14. Conclusion and recommendations • ) On the local level, firms and Higher Education Institutions need to strengthen cooperation, for them to compete and survive in a highly integrated regional and global market. • 2) Since firms are shifting from a vertical organization to a more horizontal, fluid division of tasks, skills that are largely needed in the future are those that are most likely to reinforce coordination and trust among teams within the internal components of the organization, and to deepen the cooperation with partners’ networks. • 3) HEI should incorporate in their curricula more creative courses and tools, such as creative design, computing and programming fundamentals, as well as courses related to globalization, with a specific emphasis on intercultural communication skills and attitudes.