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A knowledge-based model for identifying and mapping tropical
wetlands and peatlands: areas, depths and volumes
Thomas Gumbricht, Rosa María Roman-Cuesta, Martin Herold, Louis Verchot, Nadine Herold, Daniel Murdiyarso
Rome, Global Symposium on Soil Organic Carbon (GSOC17) , 21-23 March 2017
thomas.gumbricht@gmail.com ; rosa.roman@wur.nl
Source: Gumbricht et al. (GCB) 2017
Dr. Thomas Gumbricht:
Karttur AB, Stockholm, Sweden
thomas.gumbricht@gmail.com
More methodological information and maps available at: http://www.karttur.com/
Data download at SWAMP website: http://www.cifor.org/global-wetlands/
Publications
• Gumbricht et al. (2002) Remote sensing to detect sub-surface peat firs and peat fire scars in
the Okavango Delta, Botswana. South African Journal of Science, 98,351-358.
• Gumbricht T (2015) Hybrid mapping of pantropical wetlands from optical satellite images,
hydrology and geomorphology. In: Remote Sensing of Wetlands: Applications and Advances.
(eds Ralph W. Tiner, Megan W. Lang, Victor V. Klemas), pp 433-452. CRP Press. Taylor and
Francis Group. Boca Raton, Florida.
• Gumbricht T (2016) Soil Moisture Dynamics Estimated from Modis Time Series Images. In:
Multitemporal Remote Sensing. Remote Sensing and Digital Image Processing (ed Y Ban).
Springer International Publishing, Cham, Switzerland. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-47037-5_12.
• Gumbricht et al. (2017) An expert system model for mapping tropical wetlands and
peatlands reveals South America as the largest Contributor. Global Change Biology. DOI:
10.1111/gcb.13689
Index
• Maps produced & validation
• The expert system model
• The biophysical indices
• Known errors, caveats and possible improvements
Tropical maps of wetlands and peatlands
General characteristics:
• 3 maps: wetlands, peatlands, depths
• 9 maps for individual wetland types (1-100%)
• 236m
• 38° N to 56° S; 161° E to 117° W (tropics and
subtropics), includes 146 countries but
excludes small islands.
Peat: ≥50% organic matter (30% carbon content),
≥30cm thick.
Gumbricht et al. 2017 vs Page et al. 2011
Tropical peat area : 3-fold increase
Tropical peat volumes and stocks: 4-fold
increase
The highest continental contribution (area
and volume) corresponds to South America,
Brazil, not to SE-Asia, Indonesia
Source: Gumbricht et al. (2017) An expert system model for mapping
tropical wetlands and peatlands reveals South America as the largest
Contributor. Global Change Biology. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13689
Examples of area and depth
for the two largest peat
deposits in the tropics,
outside Asia
Cuvette Central DRC-Congo
Pastaza-Marañón in Peru
Area (km2)
(other study)
Area (km2)
(this study)
35,600 40,838
145,500 125,440
Volume (km3)
(other study)
Volume (km3)
(this study)
70,7 257
600 915
Depth (m)
(other study)
Depth (m)
(this study)
2,0 6,3
4.2 6.9
Pastaza-Marañón
(Draper et al 2015)
Congo Basin
(Dargie et al 2017)
Pastaza-Marañón
(Draper et al 2015)
Congo Basin
(Dargie et al 2017)
Pastaza-Marañón
(Draper et al 2015)
Congo Basin
(Dargie et al 2017)
Some under-reported
peatlands in the tropics
Latin America (Amazon Basin,
Argentina Río de la Plata, Paraná
River Basins)
Asia (All river deltas, Bangladesh,
Indonesia Papua)
Africa (Cuvette-Central, Niger,
Angola, Zambia, Botswana, Sudan)
Total area (km2) Volume (km3) Depth (m) Stocks** (GtC)
Tropics Page et al. (2011)
0.44 mill
(0.39-0.66)
1,758
(1,585-1,822)
2.3 89
Tropics Gumbricht et al. (2017)* 1.5 x3 mill
6,610 x4
(5,765-7,079)
2.5 352 x4
Indonesia Page et al. (2011)
206,950
(206,950-270,630)
1,138
(1,138-1,157)
5.5 57
Indonesia Gumbricht et al. (2017) 225,420
1,388
(1,089-1,396)
4.9-6.2 70
Brazil Page et al. (2011)
25,000
(15,000-55,000)
50
(3-59)
2.0 3
Brazil Gumbricht et al. (2017)
312,250 1,489 x30
(1,218-1,512)
3.9-4.8
75
Statistics of tropical peatlands
Table 1: Estimates of tropical peat variables. Source: Gumbricht et al. (GCB) 2017.
* Same study area of Page et al., (2011)
** Using standard values for bulk density and carbon content
Highest peat area (km2): Brazil, Indonesia, DRC, China, Colombia, Peru, USA, Bangladesh,
India, Venezuela, PNG, Congo
Highest peat volume (km3): Brazil, Indonesia, DRC, Peru, Congo, Colombia, Venezuela,
PNG, Bangladesh, China, Malaysia, India
Highest peat area Page: Indonesia, Peru, Malaysia, Brazil, Zambia, PNG, Venezuela,
Sudan, Guayana, Panama, Uganda.
Figure S2: Visual validation of our map against
six major tropical peat deposits as reported in
Lawson et al., (2014)
Figure S1: Distribution of the peat points (n= 275) used to
validate the peat maps produced with our expert system
model.
Numeric 65% agreement in the tropics
74% agreement in Indonesia
Validation
Visual
There is not enough ground data
available to properly validate
tropical peatland maps
The expert system model (knowledge-based predictive modeling)
Considers three basic requirements for wetland/peatland development:
1. Water input exceeds the atmospheric water demand (potential evapotransp.)
2. The surface is wet or inundated for prolonged periods
3. The geomorphology allows surface water accumulation
Requires data on:
1. Regional and local water balances:
 Mean monthly precipitation1950-2000 from WorldClim global dataset
 Evapotranspiration from CRU- East Anglia
2. Soil moisture (surface wetness phenology):
 16-day BRDF–corrected MODIS (MCD43A4) for mapping the duration of
wet and inundated soil conditions (ca. 250m) year 2011 (2010-2012)
3. Geomorphology:
 Version 4 of the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital
elevation model (DEM), prepared by CIAT (250m)
Develops and parameterizes three biophysical indices per pixel, at 236m:
1. Hydrological model: Wetland Topographic Convergence Index (wTCI)
topographic wetness
2. Soil moisture, wetness phenology: Transformed Wetness Index (TWI)
3. Geomorphological Index
HydrologySoil wetness phenology
Geomorphology
Surface wetness +
Combined Wetness Index
Hydrological modeling: Wetland Topographic Convergence Index
(wTCI)
Modification of the TCI (Beven and Kirkby 1979) to account for tropical conditions
Outputs: Surface runoff, ground water flow, flooding volumes
The figure shows modeled versus
measured discharge for 435 globally
distributed runoff stations (log scale).
Basic model concept:
1. Monthly vertical water balance from precipitation and reference evapotransp. (rET)
2. Routing of surplus water allowing rET to fill up while considering local slope and
curvature and soil water conditions.
Hydrological modeling: global runoff
Estimated mean global runoff for the period 1950-2000.
Hydrological modeling: flood volumes
Estimated flood volumes for confined valleys (top) and alluvial plains (bottom)
Soil moisture: Transformed Wetness Index (TWI)
The two MODIS composites are made with the same algorithm and the same data, but with the
vegetation signal from photosynthetic vegetation (PV) and non-PV removed from the lower panel using
a unitary matrix transformation.
The TWI- wetness estimates are done from the data illustrated in the lower panel
Spectral unmixing: Photosynthetic Vegetation (PV), NPV, Soil brightness and water
• The axis are the same in both illustrations, represeting soil brightness (x) and water (y)
derived from the unitary matrix transformation of the original MODIS data.
• The PWI = 0 is the iso-soil-wetness line, a perpendicular wetness index that helps define:
 Wetness thresholds for different land covers
 Differenciated TWIs for global mapping, in a linear manner.
Soil moisture: Transformed Wetness Index (TWI)
Soil brightness Soil brightness
(Water)
Illustration of the construction of TWI: Surface wetness estimation by an optimized non-linear
differentiation using soil-brightness and water. DS: dark soil, LS: light soil, W: water, SDS: saturated
dark soil, SLS: saturated light soil, and DMS: dry medium soil
Transformed Wetness Index ------ > Soil moisture
Basic model concept:
1. Unitary matrix transformation (spectral un-mixing) of multispectral image data to
eigen vectors representing soil brightness, photosythetic vegetation (PV), non-PV and
water.
2. Surface wetness estimation by an optimized non-linear differenciation using soil-
brightness and water.
3. Calibration using soil moisture measurements from the the International Soil
Moisture Network (ISMN)
The figure shows modeled versus measured soil moisture: left original TWI, right converted to soil
moisture and assimilated to mean and STD of measured time-series from ISMN.
Soil moisture content
Estimated global soil moisture content for 2011 using the Transformed Wetness Index. The
conversion from the TWI raw index to soil moisture content (%) was done using data from
the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN).
Geomorphology
Digital elevation
model (SRTM)
Runoff and flooding
volumes (note the
Log-scale)
Nile River and Tributary
Final Outputs: geohydromorphologies + depth
1. Topography + Hydrology
Case example of a topographic transect with the Nile River
Geomorphology
2. Topographic Position Index (TPI) and Landform classes (geohydromorphologies)
Topographic Position Index (TPI) at 250 and 750m along the transect
Landform classes derived from multiscale analysis (250 and 750 m pixel scale) using The Topographic
Position Index (TPI)
Geomorphology
3. Landform maps and Terrain relief
Landform maps help to threshold wetland occurrence and assist in wetland categorization.
dome-shaped, valley-shaped, plain and planar surfaces
Landform map
The terrain relief is the drop in elevation between the DEM and the nearest drainage point, with
the latter identified from a combination of the landform map and the runoff map.
Terrain relief
Soil moisture (TWI) + Hydrology (wTCI) + Geomorphology
Topographic
Convergence
Index (wTCI)
(runoff and flooding)
+
local slope and
profile curvatures
Nile River and Tributary
hydrological wetness
Nile River and Tributary
Soil moisture
TWI derived from
MODIS time-series
Response by reeds and Papyrus vegetation along time, depending on flooding and soil surface water
Combined Wetness Index: wTCI + TWI
The green line shows the combined wetness for all regions, whereas the blue line is restricted to
areas that can host wetlands related to landform, terrain relief, and water blance. The index is
arbitrarily scaled
Identified wetlands along the transect, illustrated by showing the assigned depth. The assigned
depth is maximized for different wetland categories and can never exceed the terrain relief.
Identified wetlands
Depth (m)
Combined
Wetness
Index
Depths
1. Depth has been derived from a combination of:
• geomorphological data
• hydrological wetness data
• distance decay functions
2. Depth thresholds max-min
are assigned to each wetland
class
Known errors, caveats and possible improvements
• There are errors associated to the source data used in the three indices:
 Hydrology (Climate data): inaccurate source data for the tropics.
Suggested measure: Use of regional climate and regional calibrations.
 Topography (SRTM): erroneous over dense canopies (artificially heighten)
and over water bodies (artificially lowered): overestimation of soil depths in
forested swamps, leading to overestimation of volumes.
Measured applied: we halved the established max depth thresholds used
to parameterize the different wetland types, offering thresholds of volume.
Depths (m) from peat soil
profiles compiled by Nadine
Herold (unpublished data)
and estimated by our expert
system.
Known errors, caveats and possible improvements
 Soil moisture (MODIS): optical imagery misses floods and inundated soil
conditions during cloud-persistent wet seasons, and overestimates moisture
in areas with strong forest shadows (needle-leaf forests in particular).
Underestimation of wetlands also occur in areas with dense grasses and
papyrus.
Suggested measure: adjustment of TWI by canopy cover, or calibration of
TWI using microwave data.
 Soil moisture (MODIS): temporal scale limited to 2011 (2010-2012) may
have captured anomalous wet La Niña conditions leading to overestimations
of peatland area.
Suggested measure: Adopt a larger MODIS period for analysing soil
moisture.
• Lack of ground data for organic soils, as well as unstandardized definitions of
wetlands and peatland jeopardizes map validation.
• Peatland area estimates are higher than previously reported due to better spatial
resolution (236m), multi-source method improving optical limitations, inclusion of
all land covers and uses (paddy rice not excluded if swamp conditions are
detected). However, hydro-geomorphological predicted areas might not
accumulate peat. Fire and river dynamics are not included. Tectonics and
parental material are only indirectly accounted for.
Next steps for peatland monitoring
• Regional parameterizations in the tropics to improve the accuracy of the
estimates (i.e. South America, Asia, Africa). The expert system currently offers
one model and one tropical parameterization (although different for each
wetland).
•
• Inclusion of boreal peatlands: new regional parameterization
• Inclusion of montane peatlands: new regional parameterization
• Peatland area forecasting and sensitivity tests: the expert system can be
used to forecast wetland areas under future climatic conditions.
Questions?

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A knowledge-based model for identifying and mapping tropical wetlands and peatlands: areas, depths, and volumes

  • 1. A knowledge-based model for identifying and mapping tropical wetlands and peatlands: areas, depths and volumes Thomas Gumbricht, Rosa María Roman-Cuesta, Martin Herold, Louis Verchot, Nadine Herold, Daniel Murdiyarso Rome, Global Symposium on Soil Organic Carbon (GSOC17) , 21-23 March 2017 thomas.gumbricht@gmail.com ; rosa.roman@wur.nl Source: Gumbricht et al. (GCB) 2017
  • 2. Dr. Thomas Gumbricht: Karttur AB, Stockholm, Sweden thomas.gumbricht@gmail.com More methodological information and maps available at: http://www.karttur.com/ Data download at SWAMP website: http://www.cifor.org/global-wetlands/ Publications • Gumbricht et al. (2002) Remote sensing to detect sub-surface peat firs and peat fire scars in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. South African Journal of Science, 98,351-358. • Gumbricht T (2015) Hybrid mapping of pantropical wetlands from optical satellite images, hydrology and geomorphology. In: Remote Sensing of Wetlands: Applications and Advances. (eds Ralph W. Tiner, Megan W. Lang, Victor V. Klemas), pp 433-452. CRP Press. Taylor and Francis Group. Boca Raton, Florida. • Gumbricht T (2016) Soil Moisture Dynamics Estimated from Modis Time Series Images. In: Multitemporal Remote Sensing. Remote Sensing and Digital Image Processing (ed Y Ban). Springer International Publishing, Cham, Switzerland. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-47037-5_12. • Gumbricht et al. (2017) An expert system model for mapping tropical wetlands and peatlands reveals South America as the largest Contributor. Global Change Biology. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13689
  • 3. Index • Maps produced & validation • The expert system model • The biophysical indices • Known errors, caveats and possible improvements
  • 4. Tropical maps of wetlands and peatlands General characteristics: • 3 maps: wetlands, peatlands, depths • 9 maps for individual wetland types (1-100%) • 236m • 38° N to 56° S; 161° E to 117° W (tropics and subtropics), includes 146 countries but excludes small islands. Peat: ≥50% organic matter (30% carbon content), ≥30cm thick. Gumbricht et al. 2017 vs Page et al. 2011 Tropical peat area : 3-fold increase Tropical peat volumes and stocks: 4-fold increase The highest continental contribution (area and volume) corresponds to South America, Brazil, not to SE-Asia, Indonesia Source: Gumbricht et al. (2017) An expert system model for mapping tropical wetlands and peatlands reveals South America as the largest Contributor. Global Change Biology. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13689
  • 5. Examples of area and depth for the two largest peat deposits in the tropics, outside Asia Cuvette Central DRC-Congo Pastaza-Marañón in Peru Area (km2) (other study) Area (km2) (this study) 35,600 40,838 145,500 125,440 Volume (km3) (other study) Volume (km3) (this study) 70,7 257 600 915 Depth (m) (other study) Depth (m) (this study) 2,0 6,3 4.2 6.9 Pastaza-Marañón (Draper et al 2015) Congo Basin (Dargie et al 2017) Pastaza-Marañón (Draper et al 2015) Congo Basin (Dargie et al 2017) Pastaza-Marañón (Draper et al 2015) Congo Basin (Dargie et al 2017)
  • 6. Some under-reported peatlands in the tropics Latin America (Amazon Basin, Argentina Río de la Plata, Paraná River Basins) Asia (All river deltas, Bangladesh, Indonesia Papua) Africa (Cuvette-Central, Niger, Angola, Zambia, Botswana, Sudan)
  • 7. Total area (km2) Volume (km3) Depth (m) Stocks** (GtC) Tropics Page et al. (2011) 0.44 mill (0.39-0.66) 1,758 (1,585-1,822) 2.3 89 Tropics Gumbricht et al. (2017)* 1.5 x3 mill 6,610 x4 (5,765-7,079) 2.5 352 x4 Indonesia Page et al. (2011) 206,950 (206,950-270,630) 1,138 (1,138-1,157) 5.5 57 Indonesia Gumbricht et al. (2017) 225,420 1,388 (1,089-1,396) 4.9-6.2 70 Brazil Page et al. (2011) 25,000 (15,000-55,000) 50 (3-59) 2.0 3 Brazil Gumbricht et al. (2017) 312,250 1,489 x30 (1,218-1,512) 3.9-4.8 75 Statistics of tropical peatlands Table 1: Estimates of tropical peat variables. Source: Gumbricht et al. (GCB) 2017. * Same study area of Page et al., (2011) ** Using standard values for bulk density and carbon content Highest peat area (km2): Brazil, Indonesia, DRC, China, Colombia, Peru, USA, Bangladesh, India, Venezuela, PNG, Congo Highest peat volume (km3): Brazil, Indonesia, DRC, Peru, Congo, Colombia, Venezuela, PNG, Bangladesh, China, Malaysia, India Highest peat area Page: Indonesia, Peru, Malaysia, Brazil, Zambia, PNG, Venezuela, Sudan, Guayana, Panama, Uganda.
  • 8. Figure S2: Visual validation of our map against six major tropical peat deposits as reported in Lawson et al., (2014) Figure S1: Distribution of the peat points (n= 275) used to validate the peat maps produced with our expert system model. Numeric 65% agreement in the tropics 74% agreement in Indonesia Validation Visual There is not enough ground data available to properly validate tropical peatland maps
  • 9. The expert system model (knowledge-based predictive modeling) Considers three basic requirements for wetland/peatland development: 1. Water input exceeds the atmospheric water demand (potential evapotransp.) 2. The surface is wet or inundated for prolonged periods 3. The geomorphology allows surface water accumulation Requires data on: 1. Regional and local water balances:  Mean monthly precipitation1950-2000 from WorldClim global dataset  Evapotranspiration from CRU- East Anglia 2. Soil moisture (surface wetness phenology):  16-day BRDF–corrected MODIS (MCD43A4) for mapping the duration of wet and inundated soil conditions (ca. 250m) year 2011 (2010-2012) 3. Geomorphology:  Version 4 of the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital elevation model (DEM), prepared by CIAT (250m) Develops and parameterizes three biophysical indices per pixel, at 236m: 1. Hydrological model: Wetland Topographic Convergence Index (wTCI) topographic wetness 2. Soil moisture, wetness phenology: Transformed Wetness Index (TWI) 3. Geomorphological Index
  • 10. HydrologySoil wetness phenology Geomorphology Surface wetness + Combined Wetness Index
  • 11. Hydrological modeling: Wetland Topographic Convergence Index (wTCI) Modification of the TCI (Beven and Kirkby 1979) to account for tropical conditions Outputs: Surface runoff, ground water flow, flooding volumes The figure shows modeled versus measured discharge for 435 globally distributed runoff stations (log scale). Basic model concept: 1. Monthly vertical water balance from precipitation and reference evapotransp. (rET) 2. Routing of surplus water allowing rET to fill up while considering local slope and curvature and soil water conditions.
  • 12. Hydrological modeling: global runoff Estimated mean global runoff for the period 1950-2000.
  • 13. Hydrological modeling: flood volumes Estimated flood volumes for confined valleys (top) and alluvial plains (bottom)
  • 14. Soil moisture: Transformed Wetness Index (TWI) The two MODIS composites are made with the same algorithm and the same data, but with the vegetation signal from photosynthetic vegetation (PV) and non-PV removed from the lower panel using a unitary matrix transformation. The TWI- wetness estimates are done from the data illustrated in the lower panel Spectral unmixing: Photosynthetic Vegetation (PV), NPV, Soil brightness and water
  • 15. • The axis are the same in both illustrations, represeting soil brightness (x) and water (y) derived from the unitary matrix transformation of the original MODIS data. • The PWI = 0 is the iso-soil-wetness line, a perpendicular wetness index that helps define:  Wetness thresholds for different land covers  Differenciated TWIs for global mapping, in a linear manner. Soil moisture: Transformed Wetness Index (TWI) Soil brightness Soil brightness (Water) Illustration of the construction of TWI: Surface wetness estimation by an optimized non-linear differentiation using soil-brightness and water. DS: dark soil, LS: light soil, W: water, SDS: saturated dark soil, SLS: saturated light soil, and DMS: dry medium soil
  • 16. Transformed Wetness Index ------ > Soil moisture Basic model concept: 1. Unitary matrix transformation (spectral un-mixing) of multispectral image data to eigen vectors representing soil brightness, photosythetic vegetation (PV), non-PV and water. 2. Surface wetness estimation by an optimized non-linear differenciation using soil- brightness and water. 3. Calibration using soil moisture measurements from the the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN) The figure shows modeled versus measured soil moisture: left original TWI, right converted to soil moisture and assimilated to mean and STD of measured time-series from ISMN.
  • 17. Soil moisture content Estimated global soil moisture content for 2011 using the Transformed Wetness Index. The conversion from the TWI raw index to soil moisture content (%) was done using data from the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN).
  • 18. Geomorphology Digital elevation model (SRTM) Runoff and flooding volumes (note the Log-scale) Nile River and Tributary Final Outputs: geohydromorphologies + depth 1. Topography + Hydrology Case example of a topographic transect with the Nile River
  • 19. Geomorphology 2. Topographic Position Index (TPI) and Landform classes (geohydromorphologies) Topographic Position Index (TPI) at 250 and 750m along the transect Landform classes derived from multiscale analysis (250 and 750 m pixel scale) using The Topographic Position Index (TPI)
  • 20. Geomorphology 3. Landform maps and Terrain relief Landform maps help to threshold wetland occurrence and assist in wetland categorization. dome-shaped, valley-shaped, plain and planar surfaces Landform map The terrain relief is the drop in elevation between the DEM and the nearest drainage point, with the latter identified from a combination of the landform map and the runoff map. Terrain relief
  • 21. Soil moisture (TWI) + Hydrology (wTCI) + Geomorphology Topographic Convergence Index (wTCI) (runoff and flooding) + local slope and profile curvatures Nile River and Tributary hydrological wetness Nile River and Tributary Soil moisture TWI derived from MODIS time-series Response by reeds and Papyrus vegetation along time, depending on flooding and soil surface water
  • 22. Combined Wetness Index: wTCI + TWI The green line shows the combined wetness for all regions, whereas the blue line is restricted to areas that can host wetlands related to landform, terrain relief, and water blance. The index is arbitrarily scaled Identified wetlands along the transect, illustrated by showing the assigned depth. The assigned depth is maximized for different wetland categories and can never exceed the terrain relief. Identified wetlands Depth (m) Combined Wetness Index
  • 23. Depths 1. Depth has been derived from a combination of: • geomorphological data • hydrological wetness data • distance decay functions 2. Depth thresholds max-min are assigned to each wetland class
  • 24. Known errors, caveats and possible improvements • There are errors associated to the source data used in the three indices:  Hydrology (Climate data): inaccurate source data for the tropics. Suggested measure: Use of regional climate and regional calibrations.  Topography (SRTM): erroneous over dense canopies (artificially heighten) and over water bodies (artificially lowered): overestimation of soil depths in forested swamps, leading to overestimation of volumes. Measured applied: we halved the established max depth thresholds used to parameterize the different wetland types, offering thresholds of volume. Depths (m) from peat soil profiles compiled by Nadine Herold (unpublished data) and estimated by our expert system.
  • 25. Known errors, caveats and possible improvements  Soil moisture (MODIS): optical imagery misses floods and inundated soil conditions during cloud-persistent wet seasons, and overestimates moisture in areas with strong forest shadows (needle-leaf forests in particular). Underestimation of wetlands also occur in areas with dense grasses and papyrus. Suggested measure: adjustment of TWI by canopy cover, or calibration of TWI using microwave data.  Soil moisture (MODIS): temporal scale limited to 2011 (2010-2012) may have captured anomalous wet La Niña conditions leading to overestimations of peatland area. Suggested measure: Adopt a larger MODIS period for analysing soil moisture. • Lack of ground data for organic soils, as well as unstandardized definitions of wetlands and peatland jeopardizes map validation. • Peatland area estimates are higher than previously reported due to better spatial resolution (236m), multi-source method improving optical limitations, inclusion of all land covers and uses (paddy rice not excluded if swamp conditions are detected). However, hydro-geomorphological predicted areas might not accumulate peat. Fire and river dynamics are not included. Tectonics and parental material are only indirectly accounted for.
  • 26. Next steps for peatland monitoring • Regional parameterizations in the tropics to improve the accuracy of the estimates (i.e. South America, Asia, Africa). The expert system currently offers one model and one tropical parameterization (although different for each wetland). • • Inclusion of boreal peatlands: new regional parameterization • Inclusion of montane peatlands: new regional parameterization • Peatland area forecasting and sensitivity tests: the expert system can be used to forecast wetland areas under future climatic conditions.

Editor's Notes

  1. Soil wetness phenology: soil moisture Hydrology: topographic wetness Them combined offer a measure of surface wetness
  2. . We have applied the following modifications to the original definition of the TCI (Beven & Kirkby, 1979): 1) inclusion of local (cell) vertical water balances, 2) consideration of full atmospheric evapotranspiration potential, 3) lateral water inflow (Merot et al., 2003), 4) estimation of flood volumes, 5) separation of lateral ground water flow and surface water flow, and 6) definition of local topographic conditions including profile curvature and hydraulic head (Hjerdt, 2004). By eliminating different components of the local water balance, specific wTCIs were calculated for identifying different categories of wetlands, including for dome shape peat swamps (omitting surface runoff and groundwater flow), fens (omitting all lateral flow except groundwater), riverine and floodplains (omitting all lateral flow except flooding). In addition a general wTCI including all lateral flow components from the hydrological model was used for identifying other wetland categories, including most sub-categories of swamps and marshes.
  3. Illustration of the construction of TWI. The axis are the same in both illustrations, represeting soil brightness (x) and water (y) derived from the unitary matrix transformation of the original MODIS band data (previous slide). The left panel illustrates a perpendicular wetness index and estimated wetness for different types of landcover. The line indicated as PWI = 0 is the iso-soil-wetness line, that was used for formulating the differenciated TWI illustrated in the right panel. The colors of the right panel corresponds to the colors in the TWI map (next slide).
  4. Topographic Position Index (TPI) at 250 and 750 m along the transect. Positive values Indicate convex surfaces and negative concave. Coinciding positive values (at 250 and 750 m) denote a height, whereas coinciding negative denote a depression. Dependent on the values and the signs of the TPI the terrains is classified into different landform categories. The Nile channel is seen as the most concave region in the graph.
  5. TWI:The stems dry periodically out but remain standing, and the wetness signal captured by MODIS is depressed Topographic Convergence(Wetness) Index (TCI) combining estimated runoff and flooding with local slope and profile curvature for estimating hydrological wetness. The Nile valley is clearly seen, and as the hydrological model assigns reference evapotranspiration to open water bodies there is no difference between the green (orignal model) and the blue (exhausted evapotranspiration) lines.