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DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
19th DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
19th DECEMBER 2013
COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

28735.00

28920.00

28672.00

28868.00

+0.31

8687

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44875.00

45475.00

44794.00

45348.00

+0.96

8452

CRUDE

20 JAN. 2013

6065.00

6137.00

6059.00

6114.00

+0.86

9643

NATURAL GAS

26 DEC 2013

263.60

269.00

263.60

266.40

+0.87

13326

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

458.10

461.80

457.20

461.50

+0.45

14511

NICKEL

31 DEC 2013

869.30

879.50

869.00

877.80

+0.99

4787

LEAD

31 DEC 2013

133.00

134.50

133.00

134.35

+0.90

3164

ZINC

31 DEC 2013

123.00

124.50

122.80

123.60

+0.45

4179

ALUMINIUM

31 DEC 2013

109.00

110.10

108.70

109.95

+0.83

1826

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (18- DEC- 2013)
METAL

ALUMINIUM

-7500

COPPER

-1600

LEAD

-1050

NICKEL

-306

TIN

-105

ZINC
YOUR MINTVISORY

TONNES IN STORAGE

-4475
Call us at +91-731-6642300
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
19th DECEMBER 2013

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,218.80

-16.20

-1.31%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,219.63

+1.10

+0.09%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.49

-0.57

-2.86%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

330.45

-1.45

-0.44%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,339.18

+3.78

+0.28%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.75

-0.05

-0.05%

JAN 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.37

-0.26

-0.24%

FEB 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

269.70

-0.03

-0.01%

JAN 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.30

+0.05

+1.13%

JAN 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

300.64

-0.37

-0.12%

JAN 14

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300
INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
19th DECEMBER 2013

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-DEC

107.27

107.98

108.42

109.13

109.57

110.28

110.72

COPPER

28-FEB

452.63

455.37

456.98

459.72

461.33

464.07

465.68

CRUDEOIL

20-JAN

5956

5998

6024

6066

6092

6134

6160

GOLD

5-FEB

28202

28422

28550

28770

28898

29118

29246

LEAD

31-DEC

130.30

131.50

132.20

133.40

134.10

135.30

136.00

NATURALGAS

26-DEC

252.93

256.47

260.03

263.57

267.13

270.67

274.23

NICKEL

31-DEC

852.8

858.6

863.3

869.1

873.8

879.6

884.3

SILVER

5-MAR

43285

43933

44333

44981

45381

46029

46429

ZINC

31-DEC

121.92

122.33

122.62

123.03

123.32

123.73

124.02

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300
MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
19th DECEMBER 2013

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

45178.00

2,60,93,45,746.00

57,757

NATURAL GAS

26-12-2013

265.90

1,36,83,214.00

51,460

CRUDE OIL

20-01-2014

6102.00

19,21,09,266.00

31,483

SILVER M

28-02-2014

45180.00

1,31,59,12,680.00

29,126

COPPER

28-02-2014

460.65

95,44,668.00

20,720

LEADMINI

31-12-2013

134.05

23,09,011.25

17,225

GOLD M

03-01-2014

29632.00

47,71,64,096.00

16,103

GOLD

05-02-2014

28768.00

45,24,34,336.00

15,727

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

460.65

70,31,822.25

15,265

SILVER

05-03-2014

45162.00

67,13,78,292.00

14,866

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
19th DECEMBER 2013

SPECIAL NEWS :
 Reserve Bank of India left repo rate unchanged at 7.75 percent and CRR at 4 percent of net demand and time liability
(NDTL), saying it was willing to wait for more inflation
data before taking an action.

COMMODITY BUZZ :
 Gold and Silver prices dropped as US Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke announced the first cut in bond
buying activity at the end of the Federal Open Market
Committee Meet on Wednesday.



The US housing starts jumped nearly 23% in November to
a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.09 million, the highest rate since February 2008.





Fed tapers purchases by $10 bln a month, keeps rates low.
The central bank said it would reduce its monthly asset
purchases by $10 bln to $75 bln, while it also indicated
that its key interest rate would stay at rock bottom even
longer than previously promised. After months of agonizing, investors took the Fed's decision to trim its bond buying by $10 bln to $75 bn a month as a modest step and one
the U.S. economy could well withstand. Bernanke said that
US economy is now strong enough for start of tapering of
the massive bond-buying stimulus. The measures will be
gradually implemented so as to end QE3 by late 2014, if
the economy progresses as expected. The Fed tapering program is bearish for precious metals complex especially gold
while industrial metals and crude oil should gain on improved outlook for US economy.

Copper has been in a backwardation mode from the initiation of Dec. on the back of rising spot premiums. Although
discount in Copper has declined significantly in last few
days. The prices of three month Copper were at $ 7239 per
tone vs $ 7247 per tonne, which is the cash price.



Nickel prices have been rising as the traders are concerned
of the fate of the Nickel production after Indonesian ban
on unprocessed ores start from January 2014. World Nickel
demand so far in 2013 has improved relative to the same
period of 2012. With new nickel projects recently coming
on stream, Nickel production so far this year has increased
and will likely continue to increase in coming months.
World primary nickel production was 1.76 million tonnes
in 2012 and could reach 1.91 million tonnes in 2013.
World primary nickel usage was 1.66 million tonnes in
2012, and could approach 1.77 in 2013. For 2014 INSG estimates an increase to around 1.85 million tonnes.

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
19th DECEMBER 2013

SILVER MCX:

MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 45348 up Rs 614, or 1.37 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs
45475 and an intraday low of Rs 44794. 16967 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap up and made day low. In
mid session silver traded in narrow range and made night high 45475 . After 11.00 p.m. more buying pressure had been in silver and it
will helpful to break the nearest resistance 45550.
BUY SILVER ABOVE 45550 TGTS 45750/46150 SL 45150
SELL SILVER BELOW 45200 TGTS 45000/44600 SL 45600

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
19th DECEMBER 2013

GOLD MCX:

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28868 UP Rs 190 , or 0.66 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high
of Rs 28920 and an intraday low of Rs 28672. 17266 contracts had been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 28640 and
traded in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest resistance of 28850 and made high of 28920.
BUY GOLD ABOVE 28950 TGTS 29030/29130 SL 28820
SELL GOLD BELOW 28620 TGTS 28540/28440 SL 28740

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300
TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
19th DECEMBER 2013

Time

Counrty

Event

Actual

Forecast Previous

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19
00:30

USD

FOMC ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS

00:30

USD

FOMC STATEMENT

00:30

USD

INTEREST RATE DECISION

01:00

USD

FED CHAIRMAN BERNANKE SPEAKS

15:00

GBP

15:00

0.25%

0.25%

CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

-0.6%

GBP

CORE RETAIL SALES (YOY)

2.5%

2.3%

15:00

GBP

RETAIL SALES (YOY)

2.3%

1.8%

15:00

GBP

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

-0.7%

19:00

USD

FOMC MEMBER FISHER SPEAKS

19:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

334K

368K

20:30

USD

EXISTING HOME SALES

5.03M

5.12M

20:30

USD

EXISTING HOME SALES (MOM)

-1.5%

-3.2%

20:30

USD

PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX

10.0

6.5

YOUR MINTVISORY

0.25%

Call us at +91-731-6642300
DISCLAIMER
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up
on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually
tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and
encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on
the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks
recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of
the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.
Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.

We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any
financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer
to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our
calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then
Serious Legal Actions can be taken.

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300

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Daily commodity report_19_dec_2013 by epic research

  • 1. DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 19th DECEMBER 2013 Our Presence Epic Research India Toll Free Number Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 1-800-200-9454 Phone.: +61 422 063855 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia All queries should be directed to 2 RNT Marg. Opp Cental Mall Indore (M.P.) Info@epicresearch.co Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 YOUR MINTVISORY HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 19th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE %CHANGE OI (in lots) GOLD 05 FEB 2014 28735.00 28920.00 28672.00 28868.00 +0.31 8687 SILVER 05 MAR 2014 44875.00 45475.00 44794.00 45348.00 +0.96 8452 CRUDE 20 JAN. 2013 6065.00 6137.00 6059.00 6114.00 +0.86 9643 NATURAL GAS 26 DEC 2013 263.60 269.00 263.60 266.40 +0.87 13326 COPPER 28 FEB 2014 458.10 461.80 457.20 461.50 +0.45 14511 NICKEL 31 DEC 2013 869.30 879.50 869.00 877.80 +0.99 4787 LEAD 31 DEC 2013 133.00 134.50 133.00 134.35 +0.90 3164 ZINC 31 DEC 2013 123.00 124.50 122.80 123.60 +0.45 4179 ALUMINIUM 31 DEC 2013 109.00 110.10 108.70 109.95 +0.83 1826 LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (18- DEC- 2013) METAL ALUMINIUM -7500 COPPER -1600 LEAD -1050 NICKEL -306 TIN -105 ZINC YOUR MINTVISORY TONNES IN STORAGE -4475 Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 3. INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 19th DECEMBER 2013 PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT COMEX GOLD USD/T OZ. 1,218.80 -16.20 -1.31% FEB 14 GOLD SPOT USD/T OZ. 1,219.63 +1.10 +0.09% N/A COMEX SILVER USD/T OZ. 19.49 -0.57 -2.86% MAR 14 COMEX COPPER USD/LB. 330.45 -1.45 -0.44% MAR 14 PLATINUM SPOT USD/T OZ. 1,339.18 +3.78 +0.28% N/A ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY UNITS PRICE CHANGE % CHANGE CONTRACT CRUDE OIL (WTI) USD/BBL. 97.75 -0.05 -0.05% JAN 14 CRUDE OIL (BRENT) USD/BBL. 109.37 -0.26 -0.24% FEB 14 RBOB GASOLINE USD/GAL. 269.70 -0.03 -0.01% JAN 14 NYMEX NATURAL GAS USD/MMBTU 4.30 +0.05 +1.13% JAN 14 NYMEX HEATING OIL USD/GAL. 300.64 -0.37 -0.12% JAN 14 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 4. INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 19th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY EXPIRY SUP.3 SUP.2 SUP.1 PIVOT RES.1 RES.2 RES.3 ALUMINIUM 31-DEC 107.27 107.98 108.42 109.13 109.57 110.28 110.72 COPPER 28-FEB 452.63 455.37 456.98 459.72 461.33 464.07 465.68 CRUDEOIL 20-JAN 5956 5998 6024 6066 6092 6134 6160 GOLD 5-FEB 28202 28422 28550 28770 28898 29118 29246 LEAD 31-DEC 130.30 131.50 132.20 133.40 134.10 135.30 136.00 NATURALGAS 26-DEC 252.93 256.47 260.03 263.57 267.13 270.67 274.23 NICKEL 31-DEC 852.8 858.6 863.3 869.1 873.8 879.6 884.3 SILVER 5-MAR 43285 43933 44333 44981 45381 46029 46429 ZINC 31-DEC 121.92 122.33 122.62 123.03 123.32 123.73 124.02 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 5. MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 19th DECEMBER 2013 Symbol Expiry Date LTP Value (In Lacs) Volume (In Lots) SILVERMICRO 28-02-2014 45178.00 2,60,93,45,746.00 57,757 NATURAL GAS 26-12-2013 265.90 1,36,83,214.00 51,460 CRUDE OIL 20-01-2014 6102.00 19,21,09,266.00 31,483 SILVER M 28-02-2014 45180.00 1,31,59,12,680.00 29,126 COPPER 28-02-2014 460.65 95,44,668.00 20,720 LEADMINI 31-12-2013 134.05 23,09,011.25 17,225 GOLD M 03-01-2014 29632.00 47,71,64,096.00 16,103 GOLD 05-02-2014 28768.00 45,24,34,336.00 15,727 COPPERMINI 28-02-2014 460.65 70,31,822.25 15,265 SILVER 05-03-2014 45162.00 67,13,78,292.00 14,866 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 6. COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 19th DECEMBER 2013 SPECIAL NEWS :  Reserve Bank of India left repo rate unchanged at 7.75 percent and CRR at 4 percent of net demand and time liability (NDTL), saying it was willing to wait for more inflation data before taking an action. COMMODITY BUZZ :  Gold and Silver prices dropped as US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced the first cut in bond buying activity at the end of the Federal Open Market Committee Meet on Wednesday.  The US housing starts jumped nearly 23% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.09 million, the highest rate since February 2008.   Fed tapers purchases by $10 bln a month, keeps rates low. The central bank said it would reduce its monthly asset purchases by $10 bln to $75 bln, while it also indicated that its key interest rate would stay at rock bottom even longer than previously promised. After months of agonizing, investors took the Fed's decision to trim its bond buying by $10 bln to $75 bn a month as a modest step and one the U.S. economy could well withstand. Bernanke said that US economy is now strong enough for start of tapering of the massive bond-buying stimulus. The measures will be gradually implemented so as to end QE3 by late 2014, if the economy progresses as expected. The Fed tapering program is bearish for precious metals complex especially gold while industrial metals and crude oil should gain on improved outlook for US economy. Copper has been in a backwardation mode from the initiation of Dec. on the back of rising spot premiums. Although discount in Copper has declined significantly in last few days. The prices of three month Copper were at $ 7239 per tone vs $ 7247 per tonne, which is the cash price.  Nickel prices have been rising as the traders are concerned of the fate of the Nickel production after Indonesian ban on unprocessed ores start from January 2014. World Nickel demand so far in 2013 has improved relative to the same period of 2012. With new nickel projects recently coming on stream, Nickel production so far this year has increased and will likely continue to increase in coming months. World primary nickel production was 1.76 million tonnes in 2012 and could reach 1.91 million tonnes in 2013. World primary nickel usage was 1.66 million tonnes in 2012, and could approach 1.77 in 2013. For 2014 INSG estimates an increase to around 1.85 million tonnes. YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 7. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 19th DECEMBER 2013 SILVER MCX: MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 45348 up Rs 614, or 1.37 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45475 and an intraday low of Rs 44794. 16967 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap up and made day low. In mid session silver traded in narrow range and made night high 45475 . After 11.00 p.m. more buying pressure had been in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest resistance 45550. BUY SILVER ABOVE 45550 TGTS 45750/46150 SL 45150 SELL SILVER BELOW 45200 TGTS 45000/44600 SL 45600 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 8. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 19th DECEMBER 2013 GOLD MCX: MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28868 UP Rs 190 , or 0.66 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 28920 and an intraday low of Rs 28672. 17266 contracts had been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 28640 and traded in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest resistance of 28850 and made high of 28920. BUY GOLD ABOVE 28950 TGTS 29030/29130 SL 28820 SELL GOLD BELOW 28620 TGTS 28540/28440 SL 28740 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 9. TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 19th DECEMBER 2013 Time Counrty Event Actual Forecast Previous THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19 00:30 USD FOMC ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS 00:30 USD FOMC STATEMENT 00:30 USD INTEREST RATE DECISION 01:00 USD FED CHAIRMAN BERNANKE SPEAKS 15:00 GBP 15:00 0.25% 0.25% CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM) 0.3% -0.6% GBP CORE RETAIL SALES (YOY) 2.5% 2.3% 15:00 GBP RETAIL SALES (YOY) 2.3% 1.8% 15:00 GBP RETAIL SALES (MOM) 0.3% -0.7% 19:00 USD FOMC MEMBER FISHER SPEAKS 19:00 USD INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS 334K 368K 20:30 USD EXISTING HOME SALES 5.03M 5.12M 20:30 USD EXISTING HOME SALES (MOM) -1.5% -3.2% 20:30 USD PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX 10.0 6.5 YOUR MINTVISORY 0.25% Call us at +91-731-6642300
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