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Developers are digging their own graves?
Edward Tsang - CEO
OnDemandWorld
Contents
• Mobile app sales growth continues to slow
down…
• Why is it happening?
• Can it be avoided?
• How can indie App firms sustain the next 18
months?
• Which App market to follow?
• A few strategies to consider…
The Slowdown – Why is it happening?
• 8 years of iPhones, 10 models, many colours.
• Starting at $649 each, not cheap.
The Slowdown – Why is it happening?
• Hardware:
• Motorola & Nokia both leapfrogged by newcomers.
• Samsung is now losing market share.
• Software & Internet:
• Mobile app industry already 7 years old.
Microsoft(40), Apple(39), Google(16), BAT(15-16),
Facebook (11).
• Software & Internet are not “young”.
The Slowdown – Can it be avoided?
The Slowdown – Can it be avoided?
• Continuous maturity of the market is normal.
• “IT Doesn’t Matter” (Nicholas Carr - HBR 2003)
on commoditisation of IT, started Cloud
Computing.
• Just Crossing the Chasm is not enough.
• Keep Innovating and get on next big wave
“early”. Wearable? VR/AR goggles? Robots?
Automated Cars?
Bucking the trend
• How can indie App firms sustain the next 18
months?
• Which App market to follow?
• A few strategies to consider… from my new book.
Driving Revenue Reducing Cost
Localisation New Programming
Languages
Diversification Buying Source Code
Bucking the trend – Which App market?
Wearable Average Weak Weak
Mobile Phone Strong Strong Weak
Tablet Strong Average Average
Laptop Strong Weak Strong
Desktop Weak Weak Strong
Server/Enterprise Weak Weak Strong
?
Bucking the trend – Strategy 1
Localisation
• Many apps not fully localised. Missing revenue.
• Localisation is not just translation.
• Get native speakers to help.
• New languages are added to OS releases, follow
them.
Bucking the trend – Strategy 2
Diversification
• Don’t spam.
• Define your sector.
• Target right market segment with specific
products.
• Microsoft and Google both have 50+ apps on
Apple App Store.
Bucking the trend – Strategy 3
New Programming Languages
• Apple Swift, Google Go, Facebook Hack and
others.
• Designed for coding efficiency.
• Easy to learn.
• Active Open Source communities.
• Impressive adoption rate with Swift.
Bucking the trend – Strategy 4
Buying in Source Code
• Github, Bitbucket, Stack Overflow - great sites
for free sample source code.
• New market places to buy source code cheaply.
• Improving effectiveness of development teams.
• e.g. Chupamobile, Apptopia, Binpress,
codecanyon…
Conclusion – Lessons Learnt So Far
• Mobile Apps can be seen as just miniaturisation.
• UI/UX better than desktop apps.
• Optimise features, grow content.
• Freemium, IAP, Ads are mostly B2C until now,
B2B and O2O will follow.
• Highly competitive, but still exciting!
Developers are digging their own graves? 开发者在自掘坟墓吗?

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Developers are digging their own graves? 开发者在自掘坟墓吗?

  • 1. Developers are digging their own graves? Edward Tsang - CEO OnDemandWorld
  • 2. Contents • Mobile app sales growth continues to slow down… • Why is it happening? • Can it be avoided? • How can indie App firms sustain the next 18 months? • Which App market to follow? • A few strategies to consider…
  • 3. The Slowdown – Why is it happening? • 8 years of iPhones, 10 models, many colours. • Starting at $649 each, not cheap.
  • 4. The Slowdown – Why is it happening? • Hardware: • Motorola & Nokia both leapfrogged by newcomers. • Samsung is now losing market share. • Software & Internet: • Mobile app industry already 7 years old. Microsoft(40), Apple(39), Google(16), BAT(15-16), Facebook (11). • Software & Internet are not “young”.
  • 5. The Slowdown – Can it be avoided?
  • 6. The Slowdown – Can it be avoided? • Continuous maturity of the market is normal. • “IT Doesn’t Matter” (Nicholas Carr - HBR 2003) on commoditisation of IT, started Cloud Computing. • Just Crossing the Chasm is not enough. • Keep Innovating and get on next big wave “early”. Wearable? VR/AR goggles? Robots? Automated Cars?
  • 7. Bucking the trend • How can indie App firms sustain the next 18 months? • Which App market to follow? • A few strategies to consider… from my new book. Driving Revenue Reducing Cost Localisation New Programming Languages Diversification Buying Source Code
  • 8. Bucking the trend – Which App market? Wearable Average Weak Weak Mobile Phone Strong Strong Weak Tablet Strong Average Average Laptop Strong Weak Strong Desktop Weak Weak Strong Server/Enterprise Weak Weak Strong ?
  • 9. Bucking the trend – Strategy 1 Localisation • Many apps not fully localised. Missing revenue. • Localisation is not just translation. • Get native speakers to help. • New languages are added to OS releases, follow them.
  • 10. Bucking the trend – Strategy 2 Diversification • Don’t spam. • Define your sector. • Target right market segment with specific products. • Microsoft and Google both have 50+ apps on Apple App Store.
  • 11. Bucking the trend – Strategy 3 New Programming Languages • Apple Swift, Google Go, Facebook Hack and others. • Designed for coding efficiency. • Easy to learn. • Active Open Source communities. • Impressive adoption rate with Swift.
  • 12. Bucking the trend – Strategy 4 Buying in Source Code • Github, Bitbucket, Stack Overflow - great sites for free sample source code. • New market places to buy source code cheaply. • Improving effectiveness of development teams. • e.g. Chupamobile, Apptopia, Binpress, codecanyon…
  • 13. Conclusion – Lessons Learnt So Far • Mobile Apps can be seen as just miniaturisation. • UI/UX better than desktop apps. • Optimise features, grow content. • Freemium, IAP, Ads are mostly B2C until now, B2B and O2O will follow. • Highly competitive, but still exciting!