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Baseline studies for
Strategic Coastal protection
Long Island, Bahamas
Content
1. Introduction
2. Background
3. Motivation and Objectives of the assignment
4. Project sites and boundaries
5. Methodology
6. SFINCS Modelling & Implementation
7. Co-Creation
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
2
Team
CDR International
Subconsultants:
• Island by Design
• IHE Delft
• Rebel Group
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
3
+ DELTARES
SUPPORT
Hurricane Joaquin
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Hurricane Joaquin
• Total damage by Hurricane Joaquin for Bahamas is
estimated to be $104,788,224
• Long Island suffered the greatest percentage of
damage across all Family Islands from Hurricane
Joaquin, with an estimated $35,693,528 of damage
and $ 3,542,833 of losses
• The hurricane affected over 60% of the population of
Long Island, equivalent to 3,094 people. It is estimated
that 60% of dwellings were destroyed or damaged on
Long Island, with a total damage associated with
dwellings to be $18,908,500.
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
5
Objectives of this assignment
Development of sustainable coastal protection and flood mitigation
for Central Long Island
• Sustainable coastal protection
• Reduce flood risk
• Hurricanes and Climate Change
• Nature Based Solutions and bio diversity
• Critical infrastructure
• Environmental and Socio-economic context
• Stakeholder participation, awareness and commitment
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Phase II - Baseline Data Collection
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Phase II - Baseline Data Collection
• Purchased data sets:
• FABDEM: Forrest And Buildings removed DTM
• IEEE: Satellite Derived Bathymetry (SDB)
• Local SDB developed by IHE
• Field survey data
• Ground truthing
• Special attention to composition of DEM
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Phase III – Disaster Risk Assessment
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS
Hazard assessment
• Sources of flooding
• Tide
• Storm surge
• Sea level rise
• Run-off
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS!
Hurricane and flood modelling
• Modelling of surge levels and wave action by
Hurricanes
• Modelling and tools
• TCWiSE (synthetic tracks)
• SFINCS (surge and inundation modelling)
• Objective to determine return periods of
hurricane events and their impact
TC’s generated by Deltares for three projection
years:
2020, 2050, 2100
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Flood modelling
Global Model
• Tidal boundary condition
• Sea Level Rise
• TC’s (wind & rainfall) as forcing
Land Model
• Water level time series from Global Model
• TC’s (wind & rainfall) as forcing
Multiple filtering steps to keep reducing number of conditions with
increasing complexity and computational effort
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS Modelling
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Cuba
*grid not to scale
500m depth contour
SFINCS Modelling
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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x 175
x 1000
(random)
SFINCS Modelling
Implementation
• Coastal road as weir
structure
• Culverts
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS Modelling - Calibration
• Flood duration focus
• Infiltration coefficient
• Emergency response
• Accessibility
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS Modelling - Validation
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS Modelling - Results
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Proposed Interventions
• Rehabilitate and increase culvert capacity
• Trenches
• Levees with Mangrove restoration
• Bypass road
• Saline resistant vegetation
Additional measures and non-physical:
Flood zoning policies, updating building codes, relocation of shelters, landfill cleaning and
relocation, Flood Early Warning System, Emergency Response Plan, psychological support,
additional levee structures
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Implementation interventions
• Trenches not yet possible in SFINCS, therefore separate
analysis with DFLOW 1D2D for drainage channels and
culverts
→ Workaround in SFINCS by implementing multiple
elongated “culverts” that ensure connection of depressions
in DEM and provided proper resistance to flow.
• Levee resolution; Special attention to the exact grid cells
that are covered by the thin dam.
→ Plot grid cells and draw levee on top
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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DFLOW 1D2D
SFINCS Modelling – Co-Creation
• Support from Deltares
• Initial model setup by Deltares
• Short lines, regular check-ins
• Feedback loops, updating SFINCS
executable
• CDR testing features for application
within project
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Focus in this project on duration of
flooding (thus infiltration important)
and drainage structures. → different
aspects from previous SFINCS models
by Deltares
Improvements
• For translating hazards to expected damages, another output parameter was requested:
Depth x Velocity. This translates to the impact of the surge wave on buildings
• Due to our focus on flood duration, the importance of the (bulk) infiltration parameter
became eminent
• Tested and improved the functioning of both the culvert and the valve structure in the
SFINCS model.
• Debugging in general. By deploying the model to a new case study, new errors popped up
and some malfunctions came to surface.
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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SFINCS Modelling – Co-Creation
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
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Friday night 22:34!
Thank you for your attention
Any questions?
SFINCS Modelling
• Hazard Assessment
• Derivation of return
period maps
15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day
30
BACKUP

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DSD-INT 2023 Baseline studies for Strategic Coastal protection for Long Island, the Bahamas - Dijsselbloem

  • 1. Baseline studies for Strategic Coastal protection Long Island, Bahamas
  • 2. Content 1. Introduction 2. Background 3. Motivation and Objectives of the assignment 4. Project sites and boundaries 5. Methodology 6. SFINCS Modelling & Implementation 7. Co-Creation 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 2
  • 3. Team CDR International Subconsultants: • Island by Design • IHE Delft • Rebel Group 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 3 + DELTARES SUPPORT
  • 4. Hurricane Joaquin 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 4
  • 5. Hurricane Joaquin • Total damage by Hurricane Joaquin for Bahamas is estimated to be $104,788,224 • Long Island suffered the greatest percentage of damage across all Family Islands from Hurricane Joaquin, with an estimated $35,693,528 of damage and $ 3,542,833 of losses • The hurricane affected over 60% of the population of Long Island, equivalent to 3,094 people. It is estimated that 60% of dwellings were destroyed or damaged on Long Island, with a total damage associated with dwellings to be $18,908,500. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 5
  • 6. Objectives of this assignment Development of sustainable coastal protection and flood mitigation for Central Long Island • Sustainable coastal protection • Reduce flood risk • Hurricanes and Climate Change • Nature Based Solutions and bio diversity • Critical infrastructure • Environmental and Socio-economic context • Stakeholder participation, awareness and commitment 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 6
  • 7. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 7
  • 8. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 8
  • 9. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 9
  • 10. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 10
  • 11. Phase II - Baseline Data Collection 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 11
  • 12. Phase II - Baseline Data Collection • Purchased data sets: • FABDEM: Forrest And Buildings removed DTM • IEEE: Satellite Derived Bathymetry (SDB) • Local SDB developed by IHE • Field survey data • Ground truthing • Special attention to composition of DEM 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 12
  • 13. Phase III – Disaster Risk Assessment 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 13 SFINCS
  • 14. Hazard assessment • Sources of flooding • Tide • Storm surge • Sea level rise • Run-off 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 14 SFINCS!
  • 15. Hurricane and flood modelling • Modelling of surge levels and wave action by Hurricanes • Modelling and tools • TCWiSE (synthetic tracks) • SFINCS (surge and inundation modelling) • Objective to determine return periods of hurricane events and their impact TC’s generated by Deltares for three projection years: 2020, 2050, 2100 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 15
  • 16. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 16
  • 17. Flood modelling Global Model • Tidal boundary condition • Sea Level Rise • TC’s (wind & rainfall) as forcing Land Model • Water level time series from Global Model • TC’s (wind & rainfall) as forcing Multiple filtering steps to keep reducing number of conditions with increasing complexity and computational effort 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 17
  • 18. SFINCS Modelling 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 18 Cuba *grid not to scale 500m depth contour
  • 19. SFINCS Modelling 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 19 x 175 x 1000 (random)
  • 20. SFINCS Modelling Implementation • Coastal road as weir structure • Culverts 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 20
  • 21. SFINCS Modelling - Calibration • Flood duration focus • Infiltration coefficient • Emergency response • Accessibility 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 21
  • 22. SFINCS Modelling - Validation 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 22
  • 23. SFINCS Modelling - Results 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 23
  • 24. Proposed Interventions • Rehabilitate and increase culvert capacity • Trenches • Levees with Mangrove restoration • Bypass road • Saline resistant vegetation Additional measures and non-physical: Flood zoning policies, updating building codes, relocation of shelters, landfill cleaning and relocation, Flood Early Warning System, Emergency Response Plan, psychological support, additional levee structures 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 24
  • 25. Implementation interventions • Trenches not yet possible in SFINCS, therefore separate analysis with DFLOW 1D2D for drainage channels and culverts → Workaround in SFINCS by implementing multiple elongated “culverts” that ensure connection of depressions in DEM and provided proper resistance to flow. • Levee resolution; Special attention to the exact grid cells that are covered by the thin dam. → Plot grid cells and draw levee on top 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 25 DFLOW 1D2D
  • 26. SFINCS Modelling – Co-Creation • Support from Deltares • Initial model setup by Deltares • Short lines, regular check-ins • Feedback loops, updating SFINCS executable • CDR testing features for application within project 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 26 Focus in this project on duration of flooding (thus infiltration important) and drainage structures. → different aspects from previous SFINCS models by Deltares
  • 27. Improvements • For translating hazards to expected damages, another output parameter was requested: Depth x Velocity. This translates to the impact of the surge wave on buildings • Due to our focus on flood duration, the importance of the (bulk) infiltration parameter became eminent • Tested and improved the functioning of both the culvert and the valve structure in the SFINCS model. • Debugging in general. By deploying the model to a new case study, new errors popped up and some malfunctions came to surface. 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 27
  • 28. SFINCS Modelling – Co-Creation 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 28 Friday night 22:34!
  • 29. Thank you for your attention Any questions?
  • 30. SFINCS Modelling • Hazard Assessment • Derivation of return period maps 15 November 2023 B2111-05-Long Island-SFINCS User Day 30 BACKUP