Presentation by Stijn Dijsselbloem (CDR International B.V., Netherlands) at the Delft3D User Days, during the Delft Software Days - Edition 2023 (DSD-INT 2023). Wednesday, 15 November 2023, Delft.
2. Content
1. Introduction
2. Background
3. Motivation and Objectives of the assignment
4. Project sites and boundaries
5. Methodology
6. SFINCS Modelling & Implementation
7. Co-Creation
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5. Hurricane Joaquin
• Total damage by Hurricane Joaquin for Bahamas is
estimated to be $104,788,224
• Long Island suffered the greatest percentage of
damage across all Family Islands from Hurricane
Joaquin, with an estimated $35,693,528 of damage
and $ 3,542,833 of losses
• The hurricane affected over 60% of the population of
Long Island, equivalent to 3,094 people. It is estimated
that 60% of dwellings were destroyed or damaged on
Long Island, with a total damage associated with
dwellings to be $18,908,500.
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6. Objectives of this assignment
Development of sustainable coastal protection and flood mitigation
for Central Long Island
• Sustainable coastal protection
• Reduce flood risk
• Hurricanes and Climate Change
• Nature Based Solutions and bio diversity
• Critical infrastructure
• Environmental and Socio-economic context
• Stakeholder participation, awareness and commitment
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11. Phase II - Baseline Data Collection
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12. Phase II - Baseline Data Collection
• Purchased data sets:
• FABDEM: Forrest And Buildings removed DTM
• IEEE: Satellite Derived Bathymetry (SDB)
• Local SDB developed by IHE
• Field survey data
• Ground truthing
• Special attention to composition of DEM
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13. Phase III – Disaster Risk Assessment
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SFINCS
14. Hazard assessment
• Sources of flooding
• Tide
• Storm surge
• Sea level rise
• Run-off
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SFINCS!
15. Hurricane and flood modelling
• Modelling of surge levels and wave action by
Hurricanes
• Modelling and tools
• TCWiSE (synthetic tracks)
• SFINCS (surge and inundation modelling)
• Objective to determine return periods of
hurricane events and their impact
TC’s generated by Deltares for three projection
years:
2020, 2050, 2100
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17. Flood modelling
Global Model
• Tidal boundary condition
• Sea Level Rise
• TC’s (wind & rainfall) as forcing
Land Model
• Water level time series from Global Model
• TC’s (wind & rainfall) as forcing
Multiple filtering steps to keep reducing number of conditions with
increasing complexity and computational effort
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18. SFINCS Modelling
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Cuba
*grid not to scale
500m depth contour
21. SFINCS Modelling - Calibration
• Flood duration focus
• Infiltration coefficient
• Emergency response
• Accessibility
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22. SFINCS Modelling - Validation
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23. SFINCS Modelling - Results
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24. Proposed Interventions
• Rehabilitate and increase culvert capacity
• Trenches
• Levees with Mangrove restoration
• Bypass road
• Saline resistant vegetation
Additional measures and non-physical:
Flood zoning policies, updating building codes, relocation of shelters, landfill cleaning and
relocation, Flood Early Warning System, Emergency Response Plan, psychological support,
additional levee structures
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25. Implementation interventions
• Trenches not yet possible in SFINCS, therefore separate
analysis with DFLOW 1D2D for drainage channels and
culverts
→ Workaround in SFINCS by implementing multiple
elongated “culverts” that ensure connection of depressions
in DEM and provided proper resistance to flow.
• Levee resolution; Special attention to the exact grid cells
that are covered by the thin dam.
→ Plot grid cells and draw levee on top
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DFLOW 1D2D
26. SFINCS Modelling – Co-Creation
• Support from Deltares
• Initial model setup by Deltares
• Short lines, regular check-ins
• Feedback loops, updating SFINCS
executable
• CDR testing features for application
within project
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Focus in this project on duration of
flooding (thus infiltration important)
and drainage structures. → different
aspects from previous SFINCS models
by Deltares
27. Improvements
• For translating hazards to expected damages, another output parameter was requested:
Depth x Velocity. This translates to the impact of the surge wave on buildings
• Due to our focus on flood duration, the importance of the (bulk) infiltration parameter
became eminent
• Tested and improved the functioning of both the culvert and the valve structure in the
SFINCS model.
• Debugging in general. By deploying the model to a new case study, new errors popped up
and some malfunctions came to surface.
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28. SFINCS Modelling – Co-Creation
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Friday night 22:34!