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Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula:
     Leaders and their Networks
        Prepared by Katherine Zimmerman
          Critical Threats Project Analyst
              Gulf of Aden Team Lead

                   September 27, 2012



        Brendan Zegers contributed research to this slide deck.
U.S. Policy: Degrading Terrorist Leadership
“Despite Anwar al-Aulaqi’s death, [AQAP] maintains the intent and capability to conduct
anti-U.S. attacks with little to no warning.”
               – National Counterterrorism Center Director Matthew G. Olsen, September 19, 2012
• American counterterrorism strategy aims to deny terrorist groups space to
  operate, disrupt attempted attacks, and degrade the organization’s
  leadership.
• Despite the targeted killings of Awlaki and other AQAP leaders, however, U.S.
  strategy in Yemen is achieving only partial and reversible success.
    – U.S. strategy in Yemen relies on direct action against AQAP leaders and
      supporting local Yemeni security forces to clear and hold safe-havens.
    – AQAP has exhibited a depth of leadership and resilience to leaders’ deaths. The
      founding leadership also remains intact.
• Targeted killings will weaken AQAP in the short term, but new leaders will
  continue to emerge as long as AQAP has a sanctuary in Yemen.
• American strategy in Yemen is not on track to achieve lasting success against
  the al Qaeda franchise there.                                               2
What is al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula?
• Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) is al Qaeda’s affiliate in
  Yemen that formed as a merger between the Yemeni and Saudi
  branches in January 2009.
• Previously al Qaeda had separate Saudi and Yemeni branches.
   – Saudi Arabia pursued aggressive counter-terrorism actions and effectively
     denied al Qaeda operating space within the Kingdom in the mid-2000s.
   – Yemen absorbed many of the Saudi al Qaeda operatives, who crossed the
     Yemeni-Saudi border and connected with al Qaeda’s Yemeni branch.
   – Al Qaeda’s Yemen branch, which had been weakened between 2002 and
     2006, resurged after 23 operatives escaped from prison in February 2006 and
     benefited from the introduction of Saudi members.
• AQAP has since become al Qaeda’s most operational node and has
  attempted to carry out at least three terrorist attacks on the United
  States.
                                                                                   3
Emergence of AQAP in Yemen
 AQAP leadership announced the                                            Featured:
  group’s formation in a January
  2009 video.                                      al Malahem
                                                 Media Foundation
 The leadership was identified as:
                                            Produced by AQAP’s media arm      Nasser al Wahayshi
  - Commander: Nasser al Wahayshi
  - Deputy Commander: Said al Shihri
  - Military Commander: Qasim al Raymi
  - Field Commander: Mohammed al Awfi*
                                                                                 Said al Shihri
 The leadership draws on key
  figures from al Qaeda’s affiliates
  in Yemen and Saudi Arabia.
                                                                                Qasim al Raymi
 All four featured leaders had
  previously been in American or             We Start from Here…
  Yemeni custody.                           and in al Aqsa We Meet
                                               January 12, 2009
  * Mohammed al Awfi turned himself in to                                     Mohammed al Awfi
  authorities the following month.
                                                                                                   4
Notable AQAP Leaders and Former Leaders
Saudis and Yemenis make up the leading AQAP figures; nearly all key figures had been detained.
    Nasser al Wahayshi                   Said al Shihri                 Anwar al Awlaki
         Leader / Emir                    Deputy Leader                   External Operations
         Yemeni                           Saudi                           Inspirational Cleric
         Escaped from prison              GTMO #372                       Yemeni-American


      Qasim al Raymi                   Uthman al Ghamdi                  Fahd al Quso
         Military Commander               Commander                       Operational Member
         Yemeni                           Saudi                           Yemeni
         Escaped from prison              GTMO #184                       Escaped from prison

       Ibrahim al Asiri                Ibrahim al Rubaish               Nayef al Qahtani
         Explosives Expert                Spiritual Leader                Media Official
         Saudi                            Saudi                           Saudi
         Jailed in Saudi Arabia           GTMO #192

        Adil al Abab                   Mohammed al Awfi               Mohammed al Umdah
         Shari’a Official                 Field Commander                 Commander
         Yemeni                           Saudi                           Yemeni
                                          GTMO #333                       Escaped from prison
                                                                                                 5
                            Deceased    Surrendered          Wanted
AQAP Leadership’s Shared Histories
• AQAP’s founding leaders were operational before January 2009.
• There are clear points of convergence in the leaders’ histories:
   – Nearly all of AQAP’s Saudi leadership was once incarcerated in Guantanamo Bay.
     The individuals were transferred from Guantanamo to Saudi Arabia for a
     rehabilitation program, and from there, resumed terrorist activities. The Saudis
     who joined AQAP are collectively called the “Saudi Eleven.”
   – Nearly all of AQAP’s Yemeni leadership was once incarcerated in a Yemeni
     political security prison. Of those who had been imprisoned, the majority
     participated in a February 2006 prison break. A handful of others either escaped
     or gained release prior to 2006.
• Many of AQAP’s founding leaders traveled to the Afghanistan-Pakistan
  region in 2001 to fight. It is likely that relationships formed during
  their time there persist.

                                                                                   6
AQAP Leadership in al Qaeda in Yemen
• Yemen had made progress against al Qaeda in the immediate
  aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and invasion of Afghanistan; however, a
  February 3, 2006 prison break – allegedly facilitated by an insider –
  freed operatives who would rise to the head of Yemen’s al Qaeda
  branch, and then AQAP.
 23 al Qaeda operatives escaped from a Yemeni Political Security Prison in Sana’a
      Deceased        Surrendered†       Wanted
                                                                     Wahayshi: Named leader of al Qaeda’s
                                     *                               Yemen branch, and is now emir of AQAP.
                      *

                                                                     Raymi: Coordinated terrorist attacks in
                              *                                      Yemen, such as July 2007 car bomb that
                                                                     killed eight tourists. Now he is AQAP’s
                                                                     military commander.

                                                                     Badawi: Coordinated USS Cole bombing
                                                                     and remains at large.
                                                                                                                                7
                                          † Operatives   denounced militancy. Those marked by a * are believed to be incarcerated.
AQAP’s “Saudi Eleven”
• At least 120 Saudi Guantanamo        Deceased
  Bay detainees were transferred       Surrendered
                                       Wanted
  to Saudi Arabia between May
  14, 2003 and June 12, 2009.
• Eleven of these individuals
  appeared on a February 2009
  most-wanted list released by
  Saudi Arabia, indicating their
  return to terrorist activities.
• All eleven had fled to Yemen
  and joined AQAP; two                  Former Saudi Guantanamo Detainees in AQAP
  appeared in AQAP’s January 2009 leadership video.
• One of the transfers of Guantanamo detainees to Saudi Arabia occurred on
  November 9, 2007. Five of the 14 transferred detainees are members of the
  “Saudi Eleven.” They are: Said al Shihri, Yussef al Shihri, Mohammed al
  Awfi, Turki Asiri, and Murtada Magram.                                          8
Osama bin Laden and AQAP Leaders
• AQAP’s leadership members and Osama bin Laden had developed
  trust through shared experiences or associates.
• AQAP leadership relationships developed with bin Laden:
   –   Nasser al Wahayshi had previously served as bin Laden’s personal secretary.
   –   Mohammed al Umdah was purported to have been a body guard for bin Laden.
   –   Ibrahim al Rubaish fought in Tora Bora when bin Laden was known to be there.
   –   Qasim al Raymi claims to have met bin Laden while training at al Farouq camp.
• This personal capital is extremely important to al Qaeda’s network.
   – AQAP leader Nasser al Wahayshi asked bin Laden whether Anwar al Awlaki, who
     did not personally know the al Qaeda leader, should be given AQAP’s lead role.
   – Bin Laden’s response revealed the value he placed on personally knowing an
     individual and on the individual’s displayed commitment to the cause.
   – Bin Laden wrote regarding Awlaki’s credentials: “We here *in Pakistan+ become
     reassured of the people when they go to the line and get examined there.”
     [Declassified letter dated August 27, 2010]                                    9
Revelations from the Abbottabad Raid
   Declassified letters from West Point’s Combating Terrorism Center
• The private communications provide insights into the relationship al Qaeda
  and AQAP, as well as the personal relationship between the two leaderships.
• Osama bin Laden and his deputy, Atiyah Abd al Rahman, were in contact
  with AQAP’s top leadership, including: leader Nasser al Wahayshi, deputy
  leader Said al Shihri, military commander Qasim al Raymi, and senior leader
  Anwar al Awlaki.
• Communications between Wahayshi and the al Qaeda leadership lend
  insight into the al Qaeda leadership’s opinion of the Yemeni government as a
  U.S. counter-terrorism partner.
                                          • Wahayshi writes: “If you want Sana'a, today is the day.”
   – Bin Laden's apparent reluctance to      - Was this written just before the beginning of AQAP’s
     support the overthrow of Ali              territorial offensive in Yemen?
                                          • Bin Laden (possibly written by Atiyah) responds: “We do
     Abdullah Saleh suggests that the       not see escalation as necessary at this point because we
     much-trumpeted counter-terrorism       are in the preparation stage; therefore, it is not in our
                                            interest to rush in bringing down the regime.”
     partnership between Saleh and the       - Did bin Laden’s death affect AQAP’s decision to wage
     U.S. was less effective than many         an insurgency?

     in Washington believed.                                                                            10
Yemen: AQAP’s Safe Haven
• AQAP’s leadership has operated out of established safe havens in Yemen,
  where the group finds sanctuary.
• Historical safe havens in Yemen have existed in the country’s eastern areas.
• These safe havens provide a physical destination for prospective militants.
   – Take the case of Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab as an example.
   – Deeply religious, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab originally followed a Nigerian
     cleric, Sheikh Gumi, who died in 1992. Abdulmutallab later became completely
     committed to Anwar al Awlaki’s teachings.
   – He went to Yemen to find Awlaki in August 2009.
• The safe havens also allow time and space for recruits to be vetted
  before being accepted into AQAP.
   – Abdulmutallab expressed his desire to be a suicide bomber for AQAP.
   – Awlaki texted Abdulmutallab, initiating a conversation that resulted in a promise
     that Awlaki would find a way for Abdulmutallab to be involved in jihad.
                                                                                    11
Operational Freedom in Safe Havens
       Spent 3    Left Awlaki    Received      Awlaki        Asiri     Attempted
      days with    and met       training       gave       provided   to carry out
       Awlaki        Asiri      with AQAP   instructions   the bomb    attack on
                                                                       Flight 253



• AQAP operatives are able to personally introduce recruits to other
  operatives, creating a network of trust.
   ‒ Awlaki hosted Abdulmutallab for three days in Yemen.
   ‒ From there, Abdulmutallab was introduced to Ibrahim al Asiri, who discussed
     with him would become the December 25, 2009 attack.
• AQAP also runs terrorist training camps in its safe havens in Yemen.
   ‒ Awlaki approved of Asiri’s plan.
   ‒ Abdulmutallab then received training at a one of AQAP’s camps.
• The freedom of movement afforded operatives in safe havens
  facilitates preparations for a terrorist attack.
   ‒ After training, Abdulmutallab received instructions from Awlaki to detonate
     the bomb, given to him by Asiri, over the United States.
   ‒ Abdulmutallab then left to carry out the attack.                                12
For more on AQAP and Yemen, visit
  www.criticalthreats.org/yemen

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Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula: Leaders and their Networks

  • 1. Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula: Leaders and their Networks Prepared by Katherine Zimmerman Critical Threats Project Analyst Gulf of Aden Team Lead September 27, 2012 Brendan Zegers contributed research to this slide deck.
  • 2. U.S. Policy: Degrading Terrorist Leadership “Despite Anwar al-Aulaqi’s death, [AQAP] maintains the intent and capability to conduct anti-U.S. attacks with little to no warning.” – National Counterterrorism Center Director Matthew G. Olsen, September 19, 2012 • American counterterrorism strategy aims to deny terrorist groups space to operate, disrupt attempted attacks, and degrade the organization’s leadership. • Despite the targeted killings of Awlaki and other AQAP leaders, however, U.S. strategy in Yemen is achieving only partial and reversible success. – U.S. strategy in Yemen relies on direct action against AQAP leaders and supporting local Yemeni security forces to clear and hold safe-havens. – AQAP has exhibited a depth of leadership and resilience to leaders’ deaths. The founding leadership also remains intact. • Targeted killings will weaken AQAP in the short term, but new leaders will continue to emerge as long as AQAP has a sanctuary in Yemen. • American strategy in Yemen is not on track to achieve lasting success against the al Qaeda franchise there. 2
  • 3. What is al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula? • Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) is al Qaeda’s affiliate in Yemen that formed as a merger between the Yemeni and Saudi branches in January 2009. • Previously al Qaeda had separate Saudi and Yemeni branches. – Saudi Arabia pursued aggressive counter-terrorism actions and effectively denied al Qaeda operating space within the Kingdom in the mid-2000s. – Yemen absorbed many of the Saudi al Qaeda operatives, who crossed the Yemeni-Saudi border and connected with al Qaeda’s Yemeni branch. – Al Qaeda’s Yemen branch, which had been weakened between 2002 and 2006, resurged after 23 operatives escaped from prison in February 2006 and benefited from the introduction of Saudi members. • AQAP has since become al Qaeda’s most operational node and has attempted to carry out at least three terrorist attacks on the United States. 3
  • 4. Emergence of AQAP in Yemen  AQAP leadership announced the Featured: group’s formation in a January 2009 video. al Malahem Media Foundation  The leadership was identified as: Produced by AQAP’s media arm Nasser al Wahayshi - Commander: Nasser al Wahayshi - Deputy Commander: Said al Shihri - Military Commander: Qasim al Raymi - Field Commander: Mohammed al Awfi* Said al Shihri  The leadership draws on key figures from al Qaeda’s affiliates in Yemen and Saudi Arabia. Qasim al Raymi  All four featured leaders had previously been in American or We Start from Here… Yemeni custody. and in al Aqsa We Meet January 12, 2009 * Mohammed al Awfi turned himself in to Mohammed al Awfi authorities the following month. 4
  • 5. Notable AQAP Leaders and Former Leaders Saudis and Yemenis make up the leading AQAP figures; nearly all key figures had been detained. Nasser al Wahayshi Said al Shihri Anwar al Awlaki Leader / Emir Deputy Leader External Operations Yemeni Saudi Inspirational Cleric Escaped from prison GTMO #372 Yemeni-American Qasim al Raymi Uthman al Ghamdi Fahd al Quso Military Commander Commander Operational Member Yemeni Saudi Yemeni Escaped from prison GTMO #184 Escaped from prison Ibrahim al Asiri Ibrahim al Rubaish Nayef al Qahtani Explosives Expert Spiritual Leader Media Official Saudi Saudi Saudi Jailed in Saudi Arabia GTMO #192 Adil al Abab Mohammed al Awfi Mohammed al Umdah Shari’a Official Field Commander Commander Yemeni Saudi Yemeni GTMO #333 Escaped from prison 5 Deceased Surrendered Wanted
  • 6. AQAP Leadership’s Shared Histories • AQAP’s founding leaders were operational before January 2009. • There are clear points of convergence in the leaders’ histories: – Nearly all of AQAP’s Saudi leadership was once incarcerated in Guantanamo Bay. The individuals were transferred from Guantanamo to Saudi Arabia for a rehabilitation program, and from there, resumed terrorist activities. The Saudis who joined AQAP are collectively called the “Saudi Eleven.” – Nearly all of AQAP’s Yemeni leadership was once incarcerated in a Yemeni political security prison. Of those who had been imprisoned, the majority participated in a February 2006 prison break. A handful of others either escaped or gained release prior to 2006. • Many of AQAP’s founding leaders traveled to the Afghanistan-Pakistan region in 2001 to fight. It is likely that relationships formed during their time there persist. 6
  • 7. AQAP Leadership in al Qaeda in Yemen • Yemen had made progress against al Qaeda in the immediate aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and invasion of Afghanistan; however, a February 3, 2006 prison break – allegedly facilitated by an insider – freed operatives who would rise to the head of Yemen’s al Qaeda branch, and then AQAP. 23 al Qaeda operatives escaped from a Yemeni Political Security Prison in Sana’a Deceased Surrendered† Wanted Wahayshi: Named leader of al Qaeda’s * Yemen branch, and is now emir of AQAP. * Raymi: Coordinated terrorist attacks in * Yemen, such as July 2007 car bomb that killed eight tourists. Now he is AQAP’s military commander. Badawi: Coordinated USS Cole bombing and remains at large. 7 † Operatives denounced militancy. Those marked by a * are believed to be incarcerated.
  • 8. AQAP’s “Saudi Eleven” • At least 120 Saudi Guantanamo Deceased Bay detainees were transferred Surrendered Wanted to Saudi Arabia between May 14, 2003 and June 12, 2009. • Eleven of these individuals appeared on a February 2009 most-wanted list released by Saudi Arabia, indicating their return to terrorist activities. • All eleven had fled to Yemen and joined AQAP; two Former Saudi Guantanamo Detainees in AQAP appeared in AQAP’s January 2009 leadership video. • One of the transfers of Guantanamo detainees to Saudi Arabia occurred on November 9, 2007. Five of the 14 transferred detainees are members of the “Saudi Eleven.” They are: Said al Shihri, Yussef al Shihri, Mohammed al Awfi, Turki Asiri, and Murtada Magram. 8
  • 9. Osama bin Laden and AQAP Leaders • AQAP’s leadership members and Osama bin Laden had developed trust through shared experiences or associates. • AQAP leadership relationships developed with bin Laden: – Nasser al Wahayshi had previously served as bin Laden’s personal secretary. – Mohammed al Umdah was purported to have been a body guard for bin Laden. – Ibrahim al Rubaish fought in Tora Bora when bin Laden was known to be there. – Qasim al Raymi claims to have met bin Laden while training at al Farouq camp. • This personal capital is extremely important to al Qaeda’s network. – AQAP leader Nasser al Wahayshi asked bin Laden whether Anwar al Awlaki, who did not personally know the al Qaeda leader, should be given AQAP’s lead role. – Bin Laden’s response revealed the value he placed on personally knowing an individual and on the individual’s displayed commitment to the cause. – Bin Laden wrote regarding Awlaki’s credentials: “We here *in Pakistan+ become reassured of the people when they go to the line and get examined there.” [Declassified letter dated August 27, 2010] 9
  • 10. Revelations from the Abbottabad Raid Declassified letters from West Point’s Combating Terrorism Center • The private communications provide insights into the relationship al Qaeda and AQAP, as well as the personal relationship between the two leaderships. • Osama bin Laden and his deputy, Atiyah Abd al Rahman, were in contact with AQAP’s top leadership, including: leader Nasser al Wahayshi, deputy leader Said al Shihri, military commander Qasim al Raymi, and senior leader Anwar al Awlaki. • Communications between Wahayshi and the al Qaeda leadership lend insight into the al Qaeda leadership’s opinion of the Yemeni government as a U.S. counter-terrorism partner. • Wahayshi writes: “If you want Sana'a, today is the day.” – Bin Laden's apparent reluctance to - Was this written just before the beginning of AQAP’s support the overthrow of Ali territorial offensive in Yemen? • Bin Laden (possibly written by Atiyah) responds: “We do Abdullah Saleh suggests that the not see escalation as necessary at this point because we much-trumpeted counter-terrorism are in the preparation stage; therefore, it is not in our interest to rush in bringing down the regime.” partnership between Saleh and the - Did bin Laden’s death affect AQAP’s decision to wage U.S. was less effective than many an insurgency? in Washington believed. 10
  • 11. Yemen: AQAP’s Safe Haven • AQAP’s leadership has operated out of established safe havens in Yemen, where the group finds sanctuary. • Historical safe havens in Yemen have existed in the country’s eastern areas. • These safe havens provide a physical destination for prospective militants. – Take the case of Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab as an example. – Deeply religious, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab originally followed a Nigerian cleric, Sheikh Gumi, who died in 1992. Abdulmutallab later became completely committed to Anwar al Awlaki’s teachings. – He went to Yemen to find Awlaki in August 2009. • The safe havens also allow time and space for recruits to be vetted before being accepted into AQAP. – Abdulmutallab expressed his desire to be a suicide bomber for AQAP. – Awlaki texted Abdulmutallab, initiating a conversation that resulted in a promise that Awlaki would find a way for Abdulmutallab to be involved in jihad. 11
  • 12. Operational Freedom in Safe Havens Spent 3 Left Awlaki Received Awlaki Asiri Attempted days with and met training gave provided to carry out Awlaki Asiri with AQAP instructions the bomb attack on Flight 253 • AQAP operatives are able to personally introduce recruits to other operatives, creating a network of trust. ‒ Awlaki hosted Abdulmutallab for three days in Yemen. ‒ From there, Abdulmutallab was introduced to Ibrahim al Asiri, who discussed with him would become the December 25, 2009 attack. • AQAP also runs terrorist training camps in its safe havens in Yemen. ‒ Awlaki approved of Asiri’s plan. ‒ Abdulmutallab then received training at a one of AQAP’s camps. • The freedom of movement afforded operatives in safe havens facilitates preparations for a terrorist attack. ‒ After training, Abdulmutallab received instructions from Awlaki to detonate the bomb, given to him by Asiri, over the United States. ‒ Abdulmutallab then left to carry out the attack. 12
  • 13. For more on AQAP and Yemen, visit www.criticalthreats.org/yemen