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20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
20 May 2019
Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity
Nifty Active Futures 11425.8 India VIX Index 28.07 INDEX FUTURES 311
Nifty Active Futures OI 16026300 Nifty ATM Call IV 33.17 INDEX OPTIONS -841
Change in OI 573150 Nifty ATM Put IV 34.59 STOCK FUTURES 592
Premium / Discount 18.65 PCR Index Options 1.36 STOCK OPTIONS -108
Inference Long Build Up PCR F&O Total 0.71 FII Net Activity -47
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11425.80 on a positive
note with 3.71% decrease in open interest indicating Long
Build Up. Nifty Futures closed at a premium of 19 points
compared to previous day premium of 28 points.
FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 311 crores
and were Sellers in Index Options to the tune of 841 crores,
Stock Futures were Buyers to the tune of 592 crores.
FII's were Net Sellers in derivative segment to the tune of 47
crores.
India VIX index is at 28.07 Nifty ATM call option IV is currently
at 33.17 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 34.59.
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII
Index options PCR is at 1.36 and F&O Total PCR is at 0.71.
Among stock futures BAJAJFINSV, GODREJIND, BAJAJ-
AUTO & BAJFINANCE have witnessed long build up and may
show strength in coming session.
Stock which witnessed short build up are IOC,
AUROPHARMA, CAILAHC & STAR witnessed short build up
may remain weak in coming session.
Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 11000 has highest
OI concentration followed by 10500 & 11500 which may act
as support for current expiry.
Nifty Call strike 12000 followed by 11800 witnessed significant
OI concentration and may act as resistance for current expiry
SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD::
JJEETTAAIIRRWWAAYYSS
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg Open Interest % Chg
BAJAJFINSV 8024.55 4.98% 780500.00 26.99%
GODREJIND 452.55 2.25% 1566000.00 14.60%
BAJAJ-AUTO 3039.15 3.38% 3327750.00 9.78%
BAJFINANCE 3312.95 6.19% 5896750.00 7.53%
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg
Open
Interest
% Chg
IOC 150.00 -0.99% 42917000.00 6.74%
AUROPHARMA 670.80 -7.65% 17817000.00 6.23%
CADILAHC 249.85 -3.33% 13851200.00 4.62%
STAR 411.70 -1.51% 2511400.00 3.12%
0
100
200
300
400
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
x10000
Call Put
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
x10000
Call Put
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Week ended 17 May 2019
NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::
 Nifty Futures has decreased by 1.05% to close at 11,425 from previous week close of 11,307.
 Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has increased to 28.08% from 26.33% up by 6.61%.
 The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 14,457cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 51,357cr.
 The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 18,154Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 87,616Cr.
Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI has gone well above the par
line to close at 1.36 levels.
 PCR OI currently is at 1.36 levels which is
well above the median line indicating that
we might see some cautiousness in Nifty at
current levels.
OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss
 Options Built up Shows that now for
nifty has strong support at 11,000
followed by 11,200 and resistance at
11,800 levels followed by 12,000.
 12,000 & 11,800 strike call and 11,000
put followed by 11,500 put has highest
open interest concentration which
suggests that Nifty is likely to remain
&trade between this levels.
CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
 This week major addition was seen on the
Put front with 11,000 and 11,200 strikes
adding 6.89 and 3.65 lakh in OI
respectively.
 On the Call front we have seen addition at
11,800 strike with increase in OI of 7.08
lakh shares, while addition of 13.55 lakh
shares was witnessed in 12,000 strike.
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6-May
7-May
8-May
9-May
10-
May
13-
May
14-
May
15-
May
16-
May
17-
May
PUTCALLRATIO
OIincr.
Call OI Put OI
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
12000
12100
OpenInterest
Open Interest Put OI Call OI
-1,000,000
-500,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
12000
12100
OpenInterest
Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss
 IV differential between call and put has
substantially increased from last week level
amid results of loksabha election, which
implies that nifty will continue to trade with
current momentum & wide movement will be
seen in the market.
 Call IV’s currently at 32.12%, while Put IV’s are
at 37.08%.
 Implied Volatility of option for the May series is at
34.17% and has seen increasing trajectory this
week.
WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
Participant
FUT IDX
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT IDX
Short
(contracts)
Net Chg
Client 121848 -13783 134595 -12869
DII 38055 7902 43178 -1507
FII 127447 -13354 102431 2285
Pro 26505 7147 33651 3
Participant
FUT STK
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT STK
Short
(contracts)
Net
Chg
Client 820640 -50970 205281 -19310
DII 18884 5170 953383 10681
FII 892804 40338 625774 15661
Pro 164584 4282 112474 -8212
FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in the index futures had been mostly
on sell side during this week.
 FII have been net sellers in Index future to the
tune of 1,073 crore during this week.
FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in Stock futures had been on buy side
during the last week.
 This week FII have been net buyers in stock future
segment to the tune 1,920 crore.
9.00
14.00
19.00
24.00
29.00
34.00
39.00
6-May-
19
7-May-
19
8-May-
19
9-May-
19
10-
May-19
13-
May-19
14-
May-19
15-
May-19
16-
May-19
17-
May-19
Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility
200,000
225,000
250,000
13-May 14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May
-1,000
-500
0
500
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
1,470,000
1,485,000
1,500,000
1,515,000
1,530,000
13-May 14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May
0
400
800
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee
WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
GODREJIND 452.55 -4.65% 1566000 51.52%
BAJAJFINSV 8024.55 7.99% 780500 38.60%
PETRONET 237.65 0.21% 12045000 35.83%
UNIONBANK 70.65 -16.34% 38234000 33.48%
MRPL 61.5 -4.13% 5215000 32.80%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
KAJARIACER 597.6 1.94% 1623700 -40.55%
BATAINDIA 1373.9 1.32% 1612600 -24.39%
ICICIPRULI 337.1 -4.72% 4606500 -24.38%
EQUITAS 128.1 1.63% 8476000 -23.36%
AJANTPHARM 1028.55 -4.10% 494500 -21.88%
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
TATAGLOBAL 234 18.63% 16019550 26.08%
SRF 2809.85 14.16% 830250 29.52%
BAJFINANCE 3312.95 12.95% 5896750 13.31%
JUSTDIAL 623.15 9.76% 2205000 7.58%
BAJAJFINSV 8024.55 7.99% 780500 38.60%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
PCJEWELLER 97.85 -22.83% 11121500 -2.73%
SUZLON 5.25 -18.60% 277172000 -2.54%
YESBANK 134.4 -18.50% 121981800 -8.87%
UNIONBANK 70.65 -16.34% 38234000 33.48%
IDEA 11.9 -15.90% 594003020 6.62%
0.85%
-0.51%
1.20%
1.27%
2.00%
5.23%
1.64%
0.73%
-1.44%
0.74%
-3.08%
-0.85%
-0.86%
-4.95%
-2.88%
-1.79%
0.00%
0.00%
6.36%
Wkly Price change
Textile
Telecom
Technology
Realty
Power
Pharma
Others
Oil_Gas
Metals
Media
Infrastructure
Index
FMCG
Finance
Fertilisers
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Banking
Automobile
0.79%
-5.22%
-5.78%
0.36%
0.83%
6.04%
0.13%
-1.38%
-8.67%
-10.15%
-2.71%
6.03%
0.27%
-5.21%
-4.02%
-0.72%
-0.91%
-5.43%
4.07%
Wkly OI change
Textile
Telecom
Technology
Realty
Power
Pharma
Others
Oil_Gas
Metals
Media
Infrastructure
Index
FMCG
Finance
Fertilisers
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Banking
Automobile
2.35%
3.65%
1.65%
1.27%
1.15%
2.30%
2.32%
3.56%
1.89%
1.11%
2.47%
1.59%
1.89%
2.44%
2.92%
0.96%
2.16%
5.06%
2.54%
Wkly Roll Over change
Textile
Telecom
Technology
Realty
Power
Pharma
Others
Oil_Gas
Metals
Media
Infrastructure
Index
FMCG
Finance
Fertilisers
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Banking
Automobile
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn
HDFCBANK, KOTAKBANK and SBIN can see some POSITIVE move in this week.
Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 29,000 with 29,000 PE strike having highest OI concentration
followed by 29,500 and on the call front 29,000 CE strike has highest OI concentration followed by 29,500.
ALBK
AXISBANK
BANKBARODA
BANKINDIA
CANBK
DCBBANK
FEDERALBNK
HDFCBANK
ICICIBANK
IDBI, 3%
IDFCFIRSTB
INDIANB,
0%
INDUSINDBKKOTAKBANKKTKBANKORIENTBANK
PNB
RBLBANK, 1%
SBIN
SOUTHBANK, 11%
SYNDIBANK, 3%
UNIONBANK YESBANK
36%
64%
Open Interest
Psu Bank Private Bank
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
28500
28600
28700
28800
28900
29000
29100
29200
29300
29400
29500
29600
29700
29800
29900
30000
30100
30200
30300
30400
30500
OpenInterest
Open Interest
Call OI Put OI
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or
other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or
investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any
recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each
other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this
report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in
this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed,
directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is
inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of
the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located
in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia
International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID:
compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the
Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as
defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution
of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s
largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking,
Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities
and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a
corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was,
is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does
not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial
ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research
Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial
ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its
associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-
month period.
Research Team
Sr. No Name Designation E-mail
1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in
2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst hemang.gor@axissecurities.in
4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in
5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in
5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market
making activity for the subject company.
6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report,
ASL or any of its associates may have:
i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the
subject company of this research report and / or;
ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or;
iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services
from the subject company of this research report;
ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other
third-party in connection with this report
Term& Conditions:
This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information
contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any
other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on the facts, figures and
information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The
information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently
verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such
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constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients.
Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ASL will not treat
recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
20 May 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or
other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or
investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any
recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each
other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this
report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in
this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed,
directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is
inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of
the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located
in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia
International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID:
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Weekly Derivatives Report :20 May 2019

  • 1. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT 20 May 2019 Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity Nifty Active Futures 11425.8 India VIX Index 28.07 INDEX FUTURES 311 Nifty Active Futures OI 16026300 Nifty ATM Call IV 33.17 INDEX OPTIONS -841 Change in OI 573150 Nifty ATM Put IV 34.59 STOCK FUTURES 592 Premium / Discount 18.65 PCR Index Options 1.36 STOCK OPTIONS -108 Inference Long Build Up PCR F&O Total 0.71 FII Net Activity -47 NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11425.80 on a positive note with 3.71% decrease in open interest indicating Long Build Up. Nifty Futures closed at a premium of 19 points compared to previous day premium of 28 points. FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 311 crores and were Sellers in Index Options to the tune of 841 crores, Stock Futures were Buyers to the tune of 592 crores. FII's were Net Sellers in derivative segment to the tune of 47 crores. India VIX index is at 28.07 Nifty ATM call option IV is currently at 33.17 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 34.59. NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII Index options PCR is at 1.36 and F&O Total PCR is at 0.71. Among stock futures BAJAJFINSV, GODREJIND, BAJAJ- AUTO & BAJFINANCE have witnessed long build up and may show strength in coming session. Stock which witnessed short build up are IOC, AUROPHARMA, CAILAHC & STAR witnessed short build up may remain weak in coming session. Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 11000 has highest OI concentration followed by 10500 & 11500 which may act as support for current expiry. Nifty Call strike 12000 followed by 11800 witnessed significant OI concentration and may act as resistance for current expiry SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD:: JJEETTAAIIRRWWAAYYSS __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg BAJAJFINSV 8024.55 4.98% 780500.00 26.99% GODREJIND 452.55 2.25% 1566000.00 14.60% BAJAJ-AUTO 3039.15 3.38% 3327750.00 9.78% BAJFINANCE 3312.95 6.19% 5896750.00 7.53% Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg IOC 150.00 -0.99% 42917000.00 6.74% AUROPHARMA 670.80 -7.65% 17817000.00 6.23% CADILAHC 249.85 -3.33% 13851200.00 4.62% STAR 411.70 -1.51% 2511400.00 3.12% 0 100 200 300 400 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 x10000 Call Put -40 -20 0 20 40 60 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 x10000 Call Put
  • 2. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Week ended 17 May 2019 NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::  Nifty Futures has decreased by 1.05% to close at 11,425 from previous week close of 11,307.  Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has increased to 28.08% from 26.33% up by 6.61%.  The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 14,457cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 51,357cr.  The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 18,154Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 87,616Cr. Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI has gone well above the par line to close at 1.36 levels.  PCR OI currently is at 1.36 levels which is well above the median line indicating that we might see some cautiousness in Nifty at current levels. OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss  Options Built up Shows that now for nifty has strong support at 11,000 followed by 11,200 and resistance at 11,800 levels followed by 12,000.  12,000 & 11,800 strike call and 11,000 put followed by 11,500 put has highest open interest concentration which suggests that Nifty is likely to remain &trade between this levels. CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt  This week major addition was seen on the Put front with 11,000 and 11,200 strikes adding 6.89 and 3.65 lakh in OI respectively.  On the Call front we have seen addition at 11,800 strike with increase in OI of 7.08 lakh shares, while addition of 13.55 lakh shares was witnessed in 12,000 strike. 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6-May 7-May 8-May 9-May 10- May 13- May 14- May 15- May 16- May 17- May PUTCALLRATIO OIincr. Call OI Put OI 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 12000 12100 OpenInterest Open Interest Put OI Call OI -1,000,000 -500,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 12000 12100 OpenInterest Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 3. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss  IV differential between call and put has substantially increased from last week level amid results of loksabha election, which implies that nifty will continue to trade with current momentum & wide movement will be seen in the market.  Call IV’s currently at 32.12%, while Put IV’s are at 37.08%.  Implied Volatility of option for the May series is at 34.17% and has seen increasing trajectory this week. WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt Participant FUT IDX Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT IDX Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 121848 -13783 134595 -12869 DII 38055 7902 43178 -1507 FII 127447 -13354 102431 2285 Pro 26505 7147 33651 3 Participant FUT STK Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT STK Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 820640 -50970 205281 -19310 DII 18884 5170 953383 10681 FII 892804 40338 625774 15661 Pro 164584 4282 112474 -8212 FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in the index futures had been mostly on sell side during this week.  FII have been net sellers in Index future to the tune of 1,073 crore during this week. FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in Stock futures had been on buy side during the last week.  This week FII have been net buyers in stock future segment to the tune 1,920 crore. 9.00 14.00 19.00 24.00 29.00 34.00 39.00 6-May- 19 7-May- 19 8-May- 19 9-May- 19 10- May-19 13- May-19 14- May-19 15- May-19 16- May-19 17- May-19 Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility 200,000 225,000 250,000 13-May 14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May -1,000 -500 0 500 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT 1,470,000 1,485,000 1,500,000 1,515,000 1,530,000 13-May 14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May 0 400 800 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
  • 4. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg GODREJIND 452.55 -4.65% 1566000 51.52% BAJAJFINSV 8024.55 7.99% 780500 38.60% PETRONET 237.65 0.21% 12045000 35.83% UNIONBANK 70.65 -16.34% 38234000 33.48% MRPL 61.5 -4.13% 5215000 32.80% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg KAJARIACER 597.6 1.94% 1623700 -40.55% BATAINDIA 1373.9 1.32% 1612600 -24.39% ICICIPRULI 337.1 -4.72% 4606500 -24.38% EQUITAS 128.1 1.63% 8476000 -23.36% AJANTPHARM 1028.55 -4.10% 494500 -21.88% WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg TATAGLOBAL 234 18.63% 16019550 26.08% SRF 2809.85 14.16% 830250 29.52% BAJFINANCE 3312.95 12.95% 5896750 13.31% JUSTDIAL 623.15 9.76% 2205000 7.58% BAJAJFINSV 8024.55 7.99% 780500 38.60% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg PCJEWELLER 97.85 -22.83% 11121500 -2.73% SUZLON 5.25 -18.60% 277172000 -2.54% YESBANK 134.4 -18.50% 121981800 -8.87% UNIONBANK 70.65 -16.34% 38234000 33.48% IDEA 11.9 -15.90% 594003020 6.62% 0.85% -0.51% 1.20% 1.27% 2.00% 5.23% 1.64% 0.73% -1.44% 0.74% -3.08% -0.85% -0.86% -4.95% -2.88% -1.79% 0.00% 0.00% 6.36% Wkly Price change Textile Telecom Technology Realty Power Pharma Others Oil_Gas Metals Media Infrastructure Index FMCG Finance Fertilisers Cement Capital_Good s Banking Automobile 0.79% -5.22% -5.78% 0.36% 0.83% 6.04% 0.13% -1.38% -8.67% -10.15% -2.71% 6.03% 0.27% -5.21% -4.02% -0.72% -0.91% -5.43% 4.07% Wkly OI change Textile Telecom Technology Realty Power Pharma Others Oil_Gas Metals Media Infrastructure Index FMCG Finance Fertilisers Cement Capital_Good s Banking Automobile 2.35% 3.65% 1.65% 1.27% 1.15% 2.30% 2.32% 3.56% 1.89% 1.11% 2.47% 1.59% 1.89% 2.44% 2.92% 0.96% 2.16% 5.06% 2.54% Wkly Roll Over change Textile Telecom Technology Realty Power Pharma Others Oil_Gas Metals Media Infrastructure Index FMCG Finance Fertilisers Cement Capital_Good s Banking Automobile
  • 5. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HDFCBANK, KOTAKBANK and SBIN can see some POSITIVE move in this week. Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 29,000 with 29,000 PE strike having highest OI concentration followed by 29,500 and on the call front 29,000 CE strike has highest OI concentration followed by 29,500. ALBK AXISBANK BANKBARODA BANKINDIA CANBK DCBBANK FEDERALBNK HDFCBANK ICICIBANK IDBI, 3% IDFCFIRSTB INDIANB, 0% INDUSINDBKKOTAKBANKKTKBANKORIENTBANK PNB RBLBANK, 1% SBIN SOUTHBANK, 11% SYNDIBANK, 3% UNIONBANK YESBANK 36% 64% Open Interest Psu Bank Private Bank 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 28500 28600 28700 28800 28900 29000 29100 29200 29300 29400 29500 29600 29700 29800 29900 30000 30100 30200 30300 30400 30500 OpenInterest Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 6. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
  • 7. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclosures: The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations). 1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com. 2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business activity. 3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report. 4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12- month period. Research Team Sr. No Name Designation E-mail 1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in 2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in 3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst hemang.gor@axissecurities.in 4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in 5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in 5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. 6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report, ASL or any of its associates may have: i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research report and / or; ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or; iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services from the subject company of this research report; ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other third-party in connection with this report Term& Conditions: This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. 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  • 8. 20 May 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.