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TECHNICAL TREND ( NIFTY - BANK NIFTY FUTURES )
NIFTY FIFTY : - The Indian Benchmark Index, Nifty fell 2.12% for the week ended 11
Nov 2016. Volatility was the order of the week with the panic gap down low of 8076
being made on Wednesday on 9th Nov. Morning as it suffered from the double whammy
when Indian Prime Minister Modi banned Rs. 500/- and Rs. 1000/- currency note to curb
corruption and black money in India which affected sentiments. On that day US President
candidate Mr. Donald Trump won the elections which shocked global financial markets.
The Nifty open in a negative trend down by 12 points or 0.14 per cent at 8284. The
benchmark Index Nifty fell by 163 points from its high of 8287 on Tuesday Trading
Session. The benchmark index is experiencing a "see saw" between the bulls and the
bears as evident from Nifty oscillating between the range of 8100 to 8600, two times in
last 5 trading sessions. This is the result of Dollar outflows from the country because of
the increased probability of a December Rate hike by US FED. The chances of December
rate hike has increased as confirmed by the upside breakout in the 3 month US treasury
yield. Similar phenomena occurred during FED's last rate hike in Nov-Dec 2015 where
Nifty fell by 500 points. September IIP data is lower than the market estimates. The
uncertainty around immediate outcomes of the demonetization introduced by the PM has
contributed in such a highly volatile markets. Nifty saw relentless selling by FIIs in last 5
trading sessions where shares worth Rs. 8632 Crore have been sold in the cash segment.
After a gap up opening , market fell and could not sustain above 8200 levels. This caused
panic and markets fell further by 50 points in the last hour of trading Session. Nifty major
support of 8076 if breached can put pressure and markets can go to the psychological
level of 7920 mad
BANK NIFTY : - The Banking Stocks Index Bank Nifty open in a Negative note on
Tuesday trading Session down by 70 points or 0.36 per cent at 19808. Banking stocks
continue to outperform their peers globally which makes 19500 a major support for Bank
Nifty and an important resistance at 20300. Broader markets were weak with Bank Nifty
selling off almost 1200 points from its recent high of 20300. With about Rs. 4 lakh crore
coming into the banking system within a week after demonetisation, Moody's Investors
Service today cautioned that banks' deposit base will witness a "sharp decline" as and
when the current restriction on cash withdrawals eases. In a major assault on black
money, counterfeit notes and terror financing. The Bank Nifty Chart showing the
Cautiousness ahead. If Bank Nifty breaks above the level of 19900 the Bank Nifty can
rally 400-600 points in near term. The support for Bank Nifty is at 19211-19166-19080-
18950-18825 and the resistance to the up move is at 19435-19490-19660-19800 levels.
Monday, 21 November 2016
TECHNICAL VIEW (NIFTY- BANK NIFTY FUTURES )
NIFTY
DAILY R2 R1 PP S1 S2
8321 8163 8084 8005 7847
WEEKLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2
8724 8324 8124 7924 7524
MONTHLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2
10239 8913 8250 7587 6261
BANK NIFTY
DAILY R2 R1 PP S1 S2
19850 19300 19025 18750 18200
WEEKLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2
22041 20173 19239 18305 16437
MONTHLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2
25438 21242 19144 17046 12850
MOVING AVERAGE 21 DAYS 50 DAYS 100 DAYS 200 DAYS
NIFTY 8440 8545 8489 8320
BANK NIFTY 19437 19399 18994 1830
PARABOLIC SAR DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
NIFTY 8048 8762 7670
BANK NIFTY 18431 18854 15629
PATTERN FORMATION ( NIFTY )
Detail of Chart - On the above given daily Chart of Nifty has Applied Bollinger Band
along with Parabolic SAR both the indicators are Leading Indicators, and gives signal of
Buying or Selling. Although the Uses of Bollinger Band differ from traders to traders
Some buy when it break the Middle Band from below side and some buy when it break
Upper Band. We assume that the Breaking the Middle Band Usually a down side is bear
Signal as we can see on the above given chart it has break the middle Band. and it was
not able to sustain the Significance Support level of 8150. and give Gap Down opening
below its Lower Band. From this ;level we may see some Panic zone in Nifty for the
Upcoming week. Nifty may witness the furthre downfall towards 7920 level. The
Significance Levels for Nifty is 8150-8180 is up side and 8050-7980 is down side.
PATTERN FORMATION ( BANK NIFTY )
Detail of Chart - On the Above given daily Chart of Bank Nifty has Applied the
Bollinger Band along with Parabolic SAR. Both are the leading Indicators and give
Signal on Breakout of Upper or Lower Band. On the Above given chart of Bank Nifty it
has touch the Upper band but not able to break the Resistance level of 19980. From this
level we are Expecting the Bank Nifty may go Up side further to the level of 20260 for
Next week. The Significance levels for Bank Nifty is 19920-20542 Up side and 19300-
18900 is Down Side.
NSE EQUITY DAILY LEVELS
COMPANY
NAME
R2 R1 PP S1 S2
ACC EQ 1333 1320 1306 1293 1279
ADANI PORTS EQ 270 265 260 255 250
AMBUJACEM EQ 203 200 196 193 189
ASIAN PAINT EQ 936 925 918 907 900
AXISBANK EQ 480 477 474 471 468
BAJAJ-AUTO EQ 2599 2584 2565 2550 2531
BANKBARODA EQ 180 177 175 172 170
BPCL EQ 652 647 640 635 628
BHEL EQ 137 135 134 132 131
BHARTIARTL EQ 310 306 301 297 292
BOSCH LTD EQ 19602 19424 19165 18987 18728
BHARTI INFRATEL EQ 310 306 301 297 292
CIPLA EQ 562 555 548 541 534
COALINDIA EQ 311 309 306 304 301
CAIRN INDIA LTD EQ 245 235 230 220 215
DRREDDY EQ 3318 3263 3202 3147 3086
GAIL EQ 447 436 431 420 415
GRASIM EQ 838 829 815 806 792
HCLTECH EQ 787 775 766 754 745
HDFC EQ 1268 1258 1252 1242 1236
HDFCBANK EQ 1245 1228 1218 1201 1191
HEROMOTOCO EQ 2988 2962 2916 2890 2844
HINDALCO EQ 172 168 166 162 160
HINDUNILVR EQ 823 812 804 794 785
ICICIBANK EQ 272 268 265 261 258
ITC EQ 232 230 228 226 224
INDUSIND BANK EQ 1142 1122 1109 1089 1076
INFY EQ 939 928 923 912 907
IDEA CELLULAR EQ 72 72 70 69 68
KOTAKBANK EQ 791 785 779 773 767
LT EQ 1392 1381 1371 1360 1350
M&M EQ 1262 1251 1236 1225 1210
MRF EQ 50545 49822 49356 48633 48167
MARUTI SUZUKI EQ 5041 4990 4939 4888 4837
ONGC EQ 279 276 275 272 271
NTPC EQ 165 161 157 153 149
RCOM EQ 40 39 38 37 36
RELCAPITAL EQ 445 440 436 431 427
RELIANCE EQ 997 991 987 981 977
RELINFRA EQ 467 462 457 452 447
RPOWER EQ 41 41 40 40 39
SBIN EQ 282 279 276 273 270
SSLT( VEDL) EQ 219 211 206 198 191
SUNPHARMA EQ 710 699 680 669 650
TATA
MOTORSDVR
EQ 305 302 297 294 289
TCS EQ 2173 2149 2127 2103 2081
TATAMOTORS EQ 480 474 468 462 456
TATAPOWER EQ 72 71 70 69 68
TATASTEEL EQ 423 404 392 373 361
UNIONBANK EQ 164 161 154 151 144
YES BANK
LIMITED
EQ 1200 1190 1175 1165 1150
ZEEL EQ 477 461 452 436 427
TOP 15 ACHIEVERS // TOP 15 LOOSERS
NEXT WEEK STARS( AS PER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS )
NSE FUTURE
NSE FUTURE : SELL VOLTAS FUTURE BELOW 290 TGT 280 SL 295
NSE FUTURE : SELL YESBANK FUTURE BELOW 1150 TGT 1110 SL 1170
NSE FUTURE : BUY TORNTPHARMA FUTURE ABOVE 1300 TGT 1350 SL 1280
NSE CASH
NSE CASH : BUY AXISBANK NSE CASH ABOVE 483 TGT 515 SL 468.
NSE CASH : BUY HINDUNILVR NSE CASH ABOVE 870 TGT 930 SL 845.
NSE CASH : BUY ONGC NSE CASH ABOVE 272 TGT 292 SL 264.
SR.NO SCRIPT NAME PREV CLOSE CMP % CHANGE
1 TATA STEEL 426 385 - 9.71 %
2 AMBUJA CEMENT 219 198 - 9.45 %
3 INDUSIND BANK 1,192 1,101 - 8.94 %
4 ZEEL 482 446 -7.36 %
5 TATA MOTORS 504 471 - 7.11 %
6 ULTRATECH CEM 3634 3392 - 6.64 %
7 ACC LIMITED 1400 1309 - 6.48 %
8 AURO PHARMA 772 722 - 6.45 %
9 ITC LIMITED 242 227 - 6.22 %
10 ASIAN PAINTS 962 908 - 5.62 %
11 ADANI PORTS 276 261 - 5.37 %
12 COAL INDIA LTD. 324 306 -5.35 %
13 AXIS BANK LTD. 498 473 - 5.07 %
14 HDFC BANK 1275 1211 - 5.05 %
15 KOTAK BANK 815 779 - 4.46 %
SR.NO SCRIPT NAME PREV
CLOSE
CMP % CHANGE
1 CORP. BANK LTD. 42 48
+ 15.52 %
2
INFEABEAM 923 1060 + 14.85 %
3 BANK BARODA 160 176
+ 10.25 %
4
UNION BANK 143 157 + 9.17 %
5 DELTA CORP LTD. 106 116
+ 9.11 %
6
ENGINEERS IND 268 283 + 5.82 %
7 POWER FINANCE 118 125
+ 5.75 %
8
BHARAT FORGE 862 906 + 5.10 %
9 SWAN ENERGY 134 141
+ 5.09 %
10
KRBL LTD. 238 250 + 5.07 %
11 CYIENT LTD. 458 480
+ 4.91 %
12
NTPC 151 159 + 4.85 %
13 POWERGRID COR 183 191
+ 4.83 %
14
CANARA BANK 311 326 + 4.62 %
15 PETRONET LNG 360 376
+ 4.27 %
NSE - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ TOP NEWS OF THE WEEK
Demonetization to have temporary impact on MFIs, borrowers' - The Center's
decision to demonetize Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 currency notes may impact micro-finance
institutions and their borrowers on short term, with the latter likely to face high overdoes.
The Narendra Modi-led government on November 8 had announced demonetizing notes
of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 in a clampdown on black money and counterfeit notes. "(Post
demonetization) we expect MFI borrowers to face cash flow mismatch, thereby
prioritizing their expenses. As a result, MFIs could witness high over-dues, indicating
lack of diversification in MFIs' borrower profiles," India Ratings and Research associate
director Jindal Haria told reporters. The rating agency today released a report on micro-
finance sector. He expects MFI borrowers to face cash flow mismatch, thereby
reprioritising their expenses which will result into over-dues for MFIs. The report said
demonetization suggests higher core capital requirements for MFIs to withstand systemic
stress. "Most MFIs have liquidity in the form of steady-state unencumbered cash and
unavailed bank lines to meet debt obligations for 30-60 days in the event of business
disruption," the report said.
FM Jaitley rules out demonetization rollback, says no plans for Rs 1,000 note at the
moment - The government tightened over-the-counter currency exchange rules for
invalid Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes, cutting the amount by more than half to ensure that
more people get cash. It also provided relief to the farm sector and households with
weddings. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley ruled out a rollback of demonetization, as
demanded by some political parties, saying the government will "stick to it". The minister
rejected calls for a joint parliamentary committee review of the decision. He also said the
Rs. 1,000 note will not be reintroduced for now. The one-time exchange facility limit has
been lowered to Rs. 2,000 from Rs. 4,500, effective Friday. The weekly cap of Rs. 24,000
on withdrawals from bank accounts remains. Farmers and mandi traders can get up to Rs.
50,000 in cash a week and families celebrating weddings can seek Rs. 2.5 lakh from their
bank accounts. This is the second revision of the exchange limit, which was set at Rs.
4,000 initially and increased to Rs. 4,500 on November 14 to facilitate the issue of new
Rs. 500 notes. "We find that many people are not able to reach the counter and the same
persons are visiting the counter multiple times and other people are not getting the
benefits," Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das told reporters, while also
clarifying that this did not indicate a shortage of funds.
RBI could use proceeds to retire part of govt debt - Economists say the Reserve Bank
of India could help the government settle a part of its debt bilaterally from the mop-up
from demonetization, without going to the market entirely. Since Rs. 2-3 lakh crore of
unaccounted money would not find its way back into the system, there would be a
permanent reduction in currency notes issued by the RBI. This could lead to a decline the
value of its liabilities. In absence of concomitant reduction in value of RBI assets, it
would result in a revaluation gain for RBI mainly through 'Rupee securities' held on its
books. "This could be used by government to retire a part of its debt held on the books of
RBI," said Shubhada Rao, chief economist, Yes Bank. "We estimate on the basis of a Rs
2 lakh crore worth of decline in liabilities, the interest expenses of the government would
alone come down by Rs 16,000-17,000 crore." This is one of the options for the RBI
besides transferring the gains to its profit and loss account and re-transfers it to the
government as dividend. The legalities, however, remain uncertain in order to adjust its
balance sheet for lower liabilities.
Exports up 9.59 per cent at $ 23.5 billion in October; trade deficit at $ 10 billion -
India’s merchandise exports sharply rose in October with 18 of the 30 export sectors
registering a growth in outward shipments. Showing a 9.6% rise, exports in the month
were $ 23.5 billion compared with $ 21.4 billion in the year ago period while imports rose
8.1% to $ 33.7 billion from $ 31.1 billion in the year ago period leaving a trade deficit of
$ 10.1 billion. “Overall the trade balance has improved,” said the commerce and industry
ministry in a release. Gold imports more than doubled to $ 3.5 billion from $ 1.7 billion
in the year ago period. As for services trade, data released by RBI showed exports worth
$ 13.7 billion and imports of $ 8.3 billion in September. India’s bullish exports have
come at a time when Chinese exports fell for the seventh consecutive month in October
due to weak demand.
Advance GDP estimates will be released on Jan 7 - The Central Statistics Office will
release the first advance estimates of economic growth for the current financial year on
January 7 to help the government prepare the Budget, which has been brought forward by
about a month to February 1. The advance gross domestic product numbers are needed to
arrive at estimates of the fiscal deficit and revenue for the next year, assuming a
reasonable growth rate. Previously, the data was released around February 7, almost three
weeks before the Budget. "It has been decided to release first advance estimates of GDP
on January 7 or previous working day if January 7 is a holiday, two months and 24 days
before the end of a financial year," the statistics office said. The office will now squeeze
in the second advance estimates for the current financial year along with the third-quarter
data on February 28 or on the last working day of February. Last month, chief statistician
TCA Anant told ET that the since the inventory of data collection is currently done for a
release to be made on February 7, a separate inventory will have to be made for an earlier
release. Moreover, to get a more accurate estimate of growth, the CSO will use of figures
from the Annual Survey of Industries instead of data from the Index of Industrial
Production for the manufacturing sector.
CPI inflation may fall below 4 per cent in Nov-Dec period: Citigroup - CPI inflation
could fall below 4 per cent in November-December period before climbing back to 4.5
per cent in March and accordingly there will be some space for further monetary policy
easing, says a Citigroup report. According to the global financial services major, there is
close to 50 bps downside to RBI's March 2017 CPI target of 5 per cent and consequently
some space for further easing. Monetary policy committee, which has three members
nominated by the government and the rest from the RBI, lowered repo rate to 6.25 per
cent from 6.50 per cent at the end of two-day deliberations on October 4. The next
meeting of the MPC is scheduled on December 6 and 7. "We maintain our rate cut view
in December policy for now, but we also acknowledge that the December policy could be
a close call," Citigroup said in a research note.
Overall inflation eases in Oct but rate cut unlikely - Consumer and wholesale inflation
eased in October on the back of cooling food prices but economists do not expect a rate
cut by the Reserve Bank of India at its policy meeting next month. India's headline
inflation rate based on the Consumer Price Index eased to 14 month low of 4.2% in
October compared with 4.39% in September and 5% a year ago, according to official data
released on Tuesday. The country's wholesale inflation softened to 3.39% in October
from 3.57% in September, data showed. Economists, however, ruled out the possibility of
the RBI cutting interest rates in December because demonetization will flush banks with
funds, which will automatically push lending rates down. RBI had cut interest rate by 25
basis points in October. One basis point is one hundredth of a percentage point. "CPI is
higher than our expectations," said Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at CARE Ratings.
"Going ahead, retail inflation will be higher because of the demonetization drive and farm
output may get stalled in some regions due to payment issues. Vegetable prices that
declined recently are already going up. The RBI may not cut interest rate in December
because banks are already flushed with funds and would reduce lending rate," he said.
Industrial output rises 0.7 per cent year-on-year in September - India’s industrial
growth rose 0.7% in September, after falling for two consecutive months. Woollen
carpets, ship building and ready to eat food made industrial output inch up slightly in the
month. Data released by the statistics office on Friday showed a 0.9% increase in
manufacturing production in September and a 3.1% fall in mining output. Manufacturing
as a sector has the highest weight in the Index of Industrial Production. The pace of
electricity generation improved 2.4%. In the first six months of 2016-17, mining output
was flat while manufacturing has contracted 0.8%. August IIP reading was revised to a
0.99% decline compared with the 0.7% decline reported earlier. Capital goods output
nosedived 21.6% in September. It has been falling for the last few months. The improved
pace of industrial activity was evident in 12 out of the 22 industry groups in the
manufacturing sector in September. Consumer goods production rose 6% in September
with the output of consumer non-durables — an indicator of rural demand – rising a mere
0.1% and that of consumer durables, a gauge of urban demand, rising 14%.
✍ TOP ECONOMY NEWS
A mega package for the powerloom sector is in the works, focused on upgrading units.
The package will include social welfare schemes, insurance cover and cluster
development of power looms. This would be the second in a series of incentives for the
textile sector, after a Rs 6,500 crore package announced for garments in June.
Corporate India’s merger and acquisition activity witnessed significant surge in October
with transactions worth $4.5 billion, taking the total deal tally to $ 32.55 billion in the
first 10 months of the year, according to Grant Thornton.
The Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority of India is open to insurers
surpassing the 15% limit on equity holdings in a company under some conditions.
Gross non-performing assets in the domestic steel sector, which accounts for 2% of
India's GDP , are around Rs 1.15 trillion.
Wholesale Price Index-based inflation eased to 3.39% in October from 3.57% in
September as food items became cheaper.
Aided by lower food articles inflation, the Consumer price index -based inflation for
October 2016 came in at 4.20%. (
Merchandise exports grew 9.6% year-on-year to USD 23.50 billion in October, while
imports expanded 8.11% year-on-year to USD 33.67 billion.
Petrol price was cut by Rs. 1.46/l and diesel by Rs. 1.53/l, reversing the rising trend of
the past few weeks. (BS)
Reserve Bank Deputy Governor NS Vishwanathan said the deadline for banks to clean
up their balance sheet 'stands' at March 2017, even as its governor Urjit Patel hinting at
pragmatic approach in dealing with non performing assets.
Private equity and venture capital investments declined 27% to USD1.19bn in October
due to decline in big ticket transactions.
With large amounts of cash currently being deposited in bank accounts by customers, the
RBI is witnessing a deluge of funds through its reverse repo window as banks are parking
their excess liquidity with the central bank.
India and the US have resolved more than 100 tax dispute cases involving Rs. 5000 crore
under the bilateral Mutual Agreement Procedure.
A scheme to construct 100 lakh houses in next three years has been approved by the
government with the objective of 'Housing for All by 2022'.
The Reserve Bank of India allowed foreign portfolio investors to invest in any kind of
debt instrument, provided the residual maturity of the paper is three years and the
proceeds are not used in real estate.
✍ TOP CORPORATE NEWS -
Canada's Niko Resources wants to exit its 10% stake in the KG-D6 gas block off the east
coast which it was developing in partnership with Reliance Industries at a time when the
government has made a claim of about $ 1.55 billion against the contractors.
The Future Group, India's largest retailer, is partnering British wholesaler Booker Group
to open cash and carry stores. The equal joint venture between Future Consumer and
UK’s largest wholesaler, plans to open 60-70 stores in three years to sell merchandise to
local kirana stores, hotels and catering firms.
Reliance Defence and Engineering Limited is planning to manufacture Kalashnikov
class of weapons for Indian armed forces in a joint venture with an Israeli arms maker,
Kalashnikov Israel Company,
Healthcare group Apollo Hospitals has plans to invest Rs. 14 billion over the next couple
of years for expansion, and the company is all set to come up with the modern Proton
therapy at its Chennai facility for the treatment of cancer patients in near future.
Goldstone Infratech Limited has announced its move to assemble electric buses in
partnership with BYD Company Limited, based in China.
LafargeHolcim has increased its stake in Ambuja Cement Limited and ACC by 1.49%
and 4.19%, respectively.
The State Bank of India has cleaned up Non-Performing Assets worth Rs. 70.16 billion
from its books by writing off loans given to 63 wilful defaulters. Of the 63 accounts, 31
have been partially written off and six shown as NPAs.
Axis Bank Limited has cut marginal cost of fund-based lending rate by 0.15-0.20%.
Reliance Communications Limited, through its wholly owned subsidiary Reliance
Globalcom Services has acquired a newly incorporated firm named “Onyx NewCo LLC.
Blackstone Group and Canadian investor Brookfield have joined the race to acquire as
much as 40% in Bharti Infratel Limited, intensifying the contest to own a slice of
India’s second-largest telecom tower company.
Wipro Limited has begun offering solutions to customers from entrepreneurial projects
of its employees in segments such as corporate treasury and software defined
infrastructure.
Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited has assigned an advertising budget
of Rs. 1 billion towards building its brand and has appointed BBDO as its advertising
agency.
Apollo Tyres Limited is planning to set up a new factory in Andhra Pradesh to
manufacture tyres for two-wheelers and pickup trucks.
Religare Enterprises Limited said its subsidiary will write off a total of Rs. 7.94 billion
on account of non-receipt of dues.
BHEL has expanded its footprint in the international market by securing export orders
for supply of industrial motors to the African nations of Togo and Benin.
Coal India Limited sold 7 MT of coal, or 35% of the quantity on offer in an e-auction, at
a floor price that was 20% higher than listed prices for non-power users. Traders as well
as power producers with or without supply commitments from Coal India were allowed
to bid in the auction.
Welspun India Limited has initiated steps to closely monitor and control its Egyptian
cotton business, which had come under a cloud early this year over quality issues.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited will take 25% equity stake in the proposed
60 MT refinery on the west coast that the state oil companies plan to build.
Jet Airways Limited has expanded its existing code share pact with Kenya Airways
which will allow the African carrier to fly more passengers into India
Reliance Industries Limited and its partners, BP and Niko Resources, have initiated an
arbitration process against the Centre's notice imposing a penalty of USD 1.55 billion on
these companies for allegedly using migrated gas from Oil and Natural Gas Corporation's
asset in KG-D6.
L&T Infotech has been awarded a five-year contract by Hartford Steam Boiler.
Wheels India Limited has signed a technology transfer agreement with Fluitecnik of
Spain for hydraulic components used in wind turbines.
Welspun India Limited has made a one-time provision of Rs. 4.89 billion to meet
expenses and losses arising from export of home textile made of fake Egyptian cotton.
IL&FS Transportation Networks Limited said its joint venture with IL&FS
Engineering & Construction Co has bagged two road projects in Madhya Pradesh worth
Rs. 375 crore.
Lupin Limited said its US arm Gavis has received approval from the US health regulator
to market hydrocodone bitartrate and acetaminophen tablets, a pain relieving drug, in the
American market.
A month after suspending operations at its Bicholim iron ore mine in Goa due to labour
unrest, Vedanta Limited has 'revoked the suspension order' with immediate effect.
Federal Bank Limited has partnered with Oxigen for cash management services through
the bank’s e – collection facility.
No power producer has got in touch with Coal India Limited for supply of imported coal
for plants in the current fiscal.
CPL Biologicals Pvt Ltd, a joint-venture biotechnology company of Cadila
Pharmaceuticals Limited, India and Novavax Inc, USA, has indigenously developed
'Cadiflu-S' becoming the first Indian company to develop a vaccine to treat seasonal
influenza.
IL&FS Financial Services became the first Indian company to raise money through a
masala loan, a rupee-denominated loan from overseas investors, by securing the
equivalent of USD50mn from Export Development Canada (EDC). (BS)
Reliance Industries (RIL) has entered into a global partnership agreement with GE to
enter in the Industrial Internet of Things (IIOT) space by building joint applications on
the latter's Predix platform. (BS)
Tata Motors has become the first company in India to introduce liquefied natural gas-
fuelled bus in Kochi recently. (BL)
✍ TOP BANKING AND FINANCIAL NEWS OF THE WEEK
Post withdrawal of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes, banks have disbursed nearly Rs. 30,000
crore cash in bills of lower denominations and the newly-introduced Rs. 2,000 currency
over the past three days, the apex body for lenders said today. The government on
November 8 demonetised Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes in a step to curb black money.
Following the move, banks were closed on November 9 to stock lower value notes and
exchange the defunct ones. "In the last three days of working, nearly Rs 30,000 crore cash
has been disbursed in currency notes of lower denominations and newly introduced Rs
2,000 notes. The ATMs are being recalibrated to handle new Rs 500 and Rs. 2,000 notes,"
Indian Banks' Association said in a statement.
State Bank of India today said that the central board today approved issuance of 13.63
crore shares to minority shareholders of its three listed subsidiaries and Government of
India, that wholly owns Bharatiya Mahila Bank, as part of consolidation exercises. The
board has "approved issuance of maximum 13,63,65,146 equity shares, of face value of
Rs. 1 each, to the shareholders of State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur, State Bank of Mysore,
State Bank of Travancore and the Government of India for its shareholding in BMB as
on the record date at the agreed swap ratio...," SBI said in a filing to the BSE.
Largest lender State Bank of India has said it has collected around Rs. 38,677 crore in
deposits, while its branches exchanged Rs. 1,666 crore since yesterday after the
government scrapped Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes on Tuesday. On Thursday, cash
deposits were Rs. 21,150 crore while exchanges were Rs. 723 crore. Till 6 pm today, cash
deposited was Rs. 17,527 crore and exchanges stood at Rs. 943 crore," SBI Chairperson
Arundhati Bhattacharya told reporters here.
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank today said it has received final license from Reserve Bank
for small finance bank and is likely to commence banking operation in early 2017.
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank is expected to commence banking operations in the first
quarter of 2017 after receiving necessary approvals, registrations and licensing from
various departments of RBI and other integrated agencies," Ujjivan said in a statement
here today.
The government’s move to pull out Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes from circulation could
result in a windfall gain for the Reserve Bank of India as it will reduce the central bank’s
liabilities to the extent that the old notes do not come back into the system.
The money flooding into banks as people rush to deposit Rs. 500 and Rs 1,000 notes has
resulted in such a massive bonanza that it’s pulling rates down, bankers said. Thus the
longstanding complaint of the Reserve Bank of India that banks weren’t passing on rate
reductions may be addressed soon. Banks ran out of currency in the Capital and
elsewhere, although some cities reported that queues had shortened. In Parliament, the
opposition parties attacked the government over the withdrawal of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000
notes, saying it was insensitive, caused hardship to people and had unleashed “economic
anarchy”.
Yes Bank Limited has partnered with Crownit, amerchant discovery and privileges
platform, to launch digitised meal vouchers. The app based digital meal wallet can be
linked with a Meal Debit MasterCard which enables employees to avail unlimited food,
beverage & grocery redemption options, both online and offline.
Private lender Axis Bank Limited has cut marginal cost of fund-based lending rate by
0.15-0.20 per cent effective Friday. "Axis Bank reviews and reduces the MCLR by 15
basis points or 0.15 per cent across all tenures up to 1 year and by 20 bps for 2-year and
3-year tenure," it said in a regulatory filing. For overnight tenure, the new MCLR will be
8.65 per cent. One-month tenure will attract a rate of 8.70 per cent while those for three
and six months will be 8.90 and 9 per cent, respectively.
With about Rs. 4 lakh crore coming into the banking system within a week after
demonetization, Moody's Investors Service today cautioned that banks' deposit base will
witness a "sharp decline" as and when the current restriction on cash withdrawals eases.
In a major assault on black money, counterfeit notes and terror financing, Prime Minister
Narendra Modi had on November 8 announced demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000
notes and asked holders of such bills to deposit them in banks. Moody's said the trend of
significant inflows will continue for the next 3-4 weeks. "But, as cash availability
increases and the current restrictions on cash withdrawals are lifted, sharp declines in the
deposit base will occur in the near future," Moody's said.
LEGAL DISCLAIMER
This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market
Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained
herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have
been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of
the intended recipient only.
This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research opinion
and is meant for general information only. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research,
its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to be responsible for the contents
stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research expressly disclaims any and
all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions in this connection. This
document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities
or commodities.
All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of
technical & fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do
not accept any liability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have
right to opt the product services of their own choices.
Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss
done on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price
moment. Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any
browsing through website means acceptance of disclaimer.
DISCLOSURE
High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. or its associates does
not do business with companies covered in research report nor is associated in any
manner with any issuer of products/ securities, this ensures that there is no actual
or potential conflicts of interest. To ensure compliance with the regulatory body,
we have resolved that the company and all its representatives will not make any
trades in the market.
Clients are advised to consider information provided in the report as opinion only
& make investment decision of their own. Clients are also advised to read &
understand terms & conditions of services published on website. No litigations
have been filed against the company since the incorporation of the company.
Disclosure Appendix:
The reports are prepared by analysts who are employed by High Brow Market
Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. All the views expressed in this report
herein accurately reflects personal views about the subject company or companies
& their securities and no part of compensation was, is or will be directly or
indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this
research report.
Disclosure in terms of Conflict of Interest:
(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or his associate or his relative has no
financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(b) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates or relatives, have no
actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more in the securities of the subject
company,
(c) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associate has no other material
conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of
public appearance;
Disclosure in terms of Compensation:
High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. policy prohibits its
analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any
company in the analyst's area of coverage.
Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of High
Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
Disclosure in terms of Public Appearance:
(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates have not received any
compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months
preceding the date of distribution of the research report.
(c) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates has never served as an
officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(d) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. has never been engaged in market
making activity for the subject company.

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Equity Research Report 21 November 2016 Ways2Capital

  • 1.
  • 2. TECHNICAL TREND ( NIFTY - BANK NIFTY FUTURES ) NIFTY FIFTY : - The Indian Benchmark Index, Nifty fell 2.12% for the week ended 11 Nov 2016. Volatility was the order of the week with the panic gap down low of 8076 being made on Wednesday on 9th Nov. Morning as it suffered from the double whammy when Indian Prime Minister Modi banned Rs. 500/- and Rs. 1000/- currency note to curb corruption and black money in India which affected sentiments. On that day US President candidate Mr. Donald Trump won the elections which shocked global financial markets. The Nifty open in a negative trend down by 12 points or 0.14 per cent at 8284. The benchmark Index Nifty fell by 163 points from its high of 8287 on Tuesday Trading Session. The benchmark index is experiencing a "see saw" between the bulls and the bears as evident from Nifty oscillating between the range of 8100 to 8600, two times in last 5 trading sessions. This is the result of Dollar outflows from the country because of the increased probability of a December Rate hike by US FED. The chances of December rate hike has increased as confirmed by the upside breakout in the 3 month US treasury yield. Similar phenomena occurred during FED's last rate hike in Nov-Dec 2015 where Nifty fell by 500 points. September IIP data is lower than the market estimates. The uncertainty around immediate outcomes of the demonetization introduced by the PM has contributed in such a highly volatile markets. Nifty saw relentless selling by FIIs in last 5 trading sessions where shares worth Rs. 8632 Crore have been sold in the cash segment. After a gap up opening , market fell and could not sustain above 8200 levels. This caused panic and markets fell further by 50 points in the last hour of trading Session. Nifty major support of 8076 if breached can put pressure and markets can go to the psychological level of 7920 mad BANK NIFTY : - The Banking Stocks Index Bank Nifty open in a Negative note on Tuesday trading Session down by 70 points or 0.36 per cent at 19808. Banking stocks continue to outperform their peers globally which makes 19500 a major support for Bank Nifty and an important resistance at 20300. Broader markets were weak with Bank Nifty selling off almost 1200 points from its recent high of 20300. With about Rs. 4 lakh crore coming into the banking system within a week after demonetisation, Moody's Investors Service today cautioned that banks' deposit base will witness a "sharp decline" as and when the current restriction on cash withdrawals eases. In a major assault on black money, counterfeit notes and terror financing. The Bank Nifty Chart showing the Cautiousness ahead. If Bank Nifty breaks above the level of 19900 the Bank Nifty can rally 400-600 points in near term. The support for Bank Nifty is at 19211-19166-19080- 18950-18825 and the resistance to the up move is at 19435-19490-19660-19800 levels. Monday, 21 November 2016
  • 3. TECHNICAL VIEW (NIFTY- BANK NIFTY FUTURES ) NIFTY DAILY R2 R1 PP S1 S2 8321 8163 8084 8005 7847 WEEKLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2 8724 8324 8124 7924 7524 MONTHLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2 10239 8913 8250 7587 6261 BANK NIFTY DAILY R2 R1 PP S1 S2 19850 19300 19025 18750 18200 WEEKLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2 22041 20173 19239 18305 16437 MONTHLY R2 R1 PP S1 S2 25438 21242 19144 17046 12850 MOVING AVERAGE 21 DAYS 50 DAYS 100 DAYS 200 DAYS NIFTY 8440 8545 8489 8320 BANK NIFTY 19437 19399 18994 1830 PARABOLIC SAR DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY NIFTY 8048 8762 7670 BANK NIFTY 18431 18854 15629
  • 4. PATTERN FORMATION ( NIFTY ) Detail of Chart - On the above given daily Chart of Nifty has Applied Bollinger Band along with Parabolic SAR both the indicators are Leading Indicators, and gives signal of Buying or Selling. Although the Uses of Bollinger Band differ from traders to traders Some buy when it break the Middle Band from below side and some buy when it break Upper Band. We assume that the Breaking the Middle Band Usually a down side is bear Signal as we can see on the above given chart it has break the middle Band. and it was not able to sustain the Significance Support level of 8150. and give Gap Down opening below its Lower Band. From this ;level we may see some Panic zone in Nifty for the Upcoming week. Nifty may witness the furthre downfall towards 7920 level. The Significance Levels for Nifty is 8150-8180 is up side and 8050-7980 is down side.
  • 5. PATTERN FORMATION ( BANK NIFTY ) Detail of Chart - On the Above given daily Chart of Bank Nifty has Applied the Bollinger Band along with Parabolic SAR. Both are the leading Indicators and give Signal on Breakout of Upper or Lower Band. On the Above given chart of Bank Nifty it has touch the Upper band but not able to break the Resistance level of 19980. From this level we are Expecting the Bank Nifty may go Up side further to the level of 20260 for Next week. The Significance levels for Bank Nifty is 19920-20542 Up side and 19300- 18900 is Down Side.
  • 6. NSE EQUITY DAILY LEVELS COMPANY NAME R2 R1 PP S1 S2 ACC EQ 1333 1320 1306 1293 1279 ADANI PORTS EQ 270 265 260 255 250 AMBUJACEM EQ 203 200 196 193 189 ASIAN PAINT EQ 936 925 918 907 900 AXISBANK EQ 480 477 474 471 468 BAJAJ-AUTO EQ 2599 2584 2565 2550 2531 BANKBARODA EQ 180 177 175 172 170 BPCL EQ 652 647 640 635 628 BHEL EQ 137 135 134 132 131 BHARTIARTL EQ 310 306 301 297 292 BOSCH LTD EQ 19602 19424 19165 18987 18728 BHARTI INFRATEL EQ 310 306 301 297 292 CIPLA EQ 562 555 548 541 534 COALINDIA EQ 311 309 306 304 301 CAIRN INDIA LTD EQ 245 235 230 220 215 DRREDDY EQ 3318 3263 3202 3147 3086 GAIL EQ 447 436 431 420 415 GRASIM EQ 838 829 815 806 792 HCLTECH EQ 787 775 766 754 745 HDFC EQ 1268 1258 1252 1242 1236 HDFCBANK EQ 1245 1228 1218 1201 1191 HEROMOTOCO EQ 2988 2962 2916 2890 2844 HINDALCO EQ 172 168 166 162 160 HINDUNILVR EQ 823 812 804 794 785 ICICIBANK EQ 272 268 265 261 258 ITC EQ 232 230 228 226 224 INDUSIND BANK EQ 1142 1122 1109 1089 1076 INFY EQ 939 928 923 912 907 IDEA CELLULAR EQ 72 72 70 69 68 KOTAKBANK EQ 791 785 779 773 767 LT EQ 1392 1381 1371 1360 1350 M&M EQ 1262 1251 1236 1225 1210 MRF EQ 50545 49822 49356 48633 48167 MARUTI SUZUKI EQ 5041 4990 4939 4888 4837 ONGC EQ 279 276 275 272 271 NTPC EQ 165 161 157 153 149 RCOM EQ 40 39 38 37 36 RELCAPITAL EQ 445 440 436 431 427 RELIANCE EQ 997 991 987 981 977 RELINFRA EQ 467 462 457 452 447 RPOWER EQ 41 41 40 40 39 SBIN EQ 282 279 276 273 270 SSLT( VEDL) EQ 219 211 206 198 191 SUNPHARMA EQ 710 699 680 669 650 TATA MOTORSDVR EQ 305 302 297 294 289 TCS EQ 2173 2149 2127 2103 2081 TATAMOTORS EQ 480 474 468 462 456 TATAPOWER EQ 72 71 70 69 68 TATASTEEL EQ 423 404 392 373 361 UNIONBANK EQ 164 161 154 151 144 YES BANK LIMITED EQ 1200 1190 1175 1165 1150 ZEEL EQ 477 461 452 436 427
  • 7. TOP 15 ACHIEVERS // TOP 15 LOOSERS NEXT WEEK STARS( AS PER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ) NSE FUTURE NSE FUTURE : SELL VOLTAS FUTURE BELOW 290 TGT 280 SL 295 NSE FUTURE : SELL YESBANK FUTURE BELOW 1150 TGT 1110 SL 1170 NSE FUTURE : BUY TORNTPHARMA FUTURE ABOVE 1300 TGT 1350 SL 1280 NSE CASH NSE CASH : BUY AXISBANK NSE CASH ABOVE 483 TGT 515 SL 468. NSE CASH : BUY HINDUNILVR NSE CASH ABOVE 870 TGT 930 SL 845. NSE CASH : BUY ONGC NSE CASH ABOVE 272 TGT 292 SL 264. SR.NO SCRIPT NAME PREV CLOSE CMP % CHANGE 1 TATA STEEL 426 385 - 9.71 % 2 AMBUJA CEMENT 219 198 - 9.45 % 3 INDUSIND BANK 1,192 1,101 - 8.94 % 4 ZEEL 482 446 -7.36 % 5 TATA MOTORS 504 471 - 7.11 % 6 ULTRATECH CEM 3634 3392 - 6.64 % 7 ACC LIMITED 1400 1309 - 6.48 % 8 AURO PHARMA 772 722 - 6.45 % 9 ITC LIMITED 242 227 - 6.22 % 10 ASIAN PAINTS 962 908 - 5.62 % 11 ADANI PORTS 276 261 - 5.37 % 12 COAL INDIA LTD. 324 306 -5.35 % 13 AXIS BANK LTD. 498 473 - 5.07 % 14 HDFC BANK 1275 1211 - 5.05 % 15 KOTAK BANK 815 779 - 4.46 % SR.NO SCRIPT NAME PREV CLOSE CMP % CHANGE 1 CORP. BANK LTD. 42 48 + 15.52 % 2 INFEABEAM 923 1060 + 14.85 % 3 BANK BARODA 160 176 + 10.25 % 4 UNION BANK 143 157 + 9.17 % 5 DELTA CORP LTD. 106 116 + 9.11 % 6 ENGINEERS IND 268 283 + 5.82 % 7 POWER FINANCE 118 125 + 5.75 % 8 BHARAT FORGE 862 906 + 5.10 % 9 SWAN ENERGY 134 141 + 5.09 % 10 KRBL LTD. 238 250 + 5.07 % 11 CYIENT LTD. 458 480 + 4.91 % 12 NTPC 151 159 + 4.85 % 13 POWERGRID COR 183 191 + 4.83 % 14 CANARA BANK 311 326 + 4.62 % 15 PETRONET LNG 360 376 + 4.27 %
  • 8. NSE - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS ✍ TOP NEWS OF THE WEEK Demonetization to have temporary impact on MFIs, borrowers' - The Center's decision to demonetize Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 currency notes may impact micro-finance institutions and their borrowers on short term, with the latter likely to face high overdoes. The Narendra Modi-led government on November 8 had announced demonetizing notes of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 in a clampdown on black money and counterfeit notes. "(Post demonetization) we expect MFI borrowers to face cash flow mismatch, thereby prioritizing their expenses. As a result, MFIs could witness high over-dues, indicating lack of diversification in MFIs' borrower profiles," India Ratings and Research associate director Jindal Haria told reporters. The rating agency today released a report on micro- finance sector. He expects MFI borrowers to face cash flow mismatch, thereby reprioritising their expenses which will result into over-dues for MFIs. The report said demonetization suggests higher core capital requirements for MFIs to withstand systemic stress. "Most MFIs have liquidity in the form of steady-state unencumbered cash and unavailed bank lines to meet debt obligations for 30-60 days in the event of business disruption," the report said. FM Jaitley rules out demonetization rollback, says no plans for Rs 1,000 note at the moment - The government tightened over-the-counter currency exchange rules for invalid Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes, cutting the amount by more than half to ensure that more people get cash. It also provided relief to the farm sector and households with weddings. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley ruled out a rollback of demonetization, as demanded by some political parties, saying the government will "stick to it". The minister rejected calls for a joint parliamentary committee review of the decision. He also said the Rs. 1,000 note will not be reintroduced for now. The one-time exchange facility limit has been lowered to Rs. 2,000 from Rs. 4,500, effective Friday. The weekly cap of Rs. 24,000 on withdrawals from bank accounts remains. Farmers and mandi traders can get up to Rs. 50,000 in cash a week and families celebrating weddings can seek Rs. 2.5 lakh from their bank accounts. This is the second revision of the exchange limit, which was set at Rs. 4,000 initially and increased to Rs. 4,500 on November 14 to facilitate the issue of new Rs. 500 notes. "We find that many people are not able to reach the counter and the same persons are visiting the counter multiple times and other people are not getting the benefits," Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das told reporters, while also clarifying that this did not indicate a shortage of funds.
  • 9. RBI could use proceeds to retire part of govt debt - Economists say the Reserve Bank of India could help the government settle a part of its debt bilaterally from the mop-up from demonetization, without going to the market entirely. Since Rs. 2-3 lakh crore of unaccounted money would not find its way back into the system, there would be a permanent reduction in currency notes issued by the RBI. This could lead to a decline the value of its liabilities. In absence of concomitant reduction in value of RBI assets, it would result in a revaluation gain for RBI mainly through 'Rupee securities' held on its books. "This could be used by government to retire a part of its debt held on the books of RBI," said Shubhada Rao, chief economist, Yes Bank. "We estimate on the basis of a Rs 2 lakh crore worth of decline in liabilities, the interest expenses of the government would alone come down by Rs 16,000-17,000 crore." This is one of the options for the RBI besides transferring the gains to its profit and loss account and re-transfers it to the government as dividend. The legalities, however, remain uncertain in order to adjust its balance sheet for lower liabilities. Exports up 9.59 per cent at $ 23.5 billion in October; trade deficit at $ 10 billion - India’s merchandise exports sharply rose in October with 18 of the 30 export sectors registering a growth in outward shipments. Showing a 9.6% rise, exports in the month were $ 23.5 billion compared with $ 21.4 billion in the year ago period while imports rose 8.1% to $ 33.7 billion from $ 31.1 billion in the year ago period leaving a trade deficit of $ 10.1 billion. “Overall the trade balance has improved,” said the commerce and industry ministry in a release. Gold imports more than doubled to $ 3.5 billion from $ 1.7 billion in the year ago period. As for services trade, data released by RBI showed exports worth $ 13.7 billion and imports of $ 8.3 billion in September. India’s bullish exports have come at a time when Chinese exports fell for the seventh consecutive month in October due to weak demand. Advance GDP estimates will be released on Jan 7 - The Central Statistics Office will release the first advance estimates of economic growth for the current financial year on January 7 to help the government prepare the Budget, which has been brought forward by about a month to February 1. The advance gross domestic product numbers are needed to arrive at estimates of the fiscal deficit and revenue for the next year, assuming a reasonable growth rate. Previously, the data was released around February 7, almost three weeks before the Budget. "It has been decided to release first advance estimates of GDP on January 7 or previous working day if January 7 is a holiday, two months and 24 days before the end of a financial year," the statistics office said. The office will now squeeze in the second advance estimates for the current financial year along with the third-quarter data on February 28 or on the last working day of February. Last month, chief statistician
  • 10. TCA Anant told ET that the since the inventory of data collection is currently done for a release to be made on February 7, a separate inventory will have to be made for an earlier release. Moreover, to get a more accurate estimate of growth, the CSO will use of figures from the Annual Survey of Industries instead of data from the Index of Industrial Production for the manufacturing sector. CPI inflation may fall below 4 per cent in Nov-Dec period: Citigroup - CPI inflation could fall below 4 per cent in November-December period before climbing back to 4.5 per cent in March and accordingly there will be some space for further monetary policy easing, says a Citigroup report. According to the global financial services major, there is close to 50 bps downside to RBI's March 2017 CPI target of 5 per cent and consequently some space for further easing. Monetary policy committee, which has three members nominated by the government and the rest from the RBI, lowered repo rate to 6.25 per cent from 6.50 per cent at the end of two-day deliberations on October 4. The next meeting of the MPC is scheduled on December 6 and 7. "We maintain our rate cut view in December policy for now, but we also acknowledge that the December policy could be a close call," Citigroup said in a research note. Overall inflation eases in Oct but rate cut unlikely - Consumer and wholesale inflation eased in October on the back of cooling food prices but economists do not expect a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India at its policy meeting next month. India's headline inflation rate based on the Consumer Price Index eased to 14 month low of 4.2% in October compared with 4.39% in September and 5% a year ago, according to official data released on Tuesday. The country's wholesale inflation softened to 3.39% in October from 3.57% in September, data showed. Economists, however, ruled out the possibility of the RBI cutting interest rates in December because demonetization will flush banks with funds, which will automatically push lending rates down. RBI had cut interest rate by 25 basis points in October. One basis point is one hundredth of a percentage point. "CPI is higher than our expectations," said Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at CARE Ratings. "Going ahead, retail inflation will be higher because of the demonetization drive and farm output may get stalled in some regions due to payment issues. Vegetable prices that declined recently are already going up. The RBI may not cut interest rate in December because banks are already flushed with funds and would reduce lending rate," he said. Industrial output rises 0.7 per cent year-on-year in September - India’s industrial growth rose 0.7% in September, after falling for two consecutive months. Woollen carpets, ship building and ready to eat food made industrial output inch up slightly in the month. Data released by the statistics office on Friday showed a 0.9% increase in
  • 11. manufacturing production in September and a 3.1% fall in mining output. Manufacturing as a sector has the highest weight in the Index of Industrial Production. The pace of electricity generation improved 2.4%. In the first six months of 2016-17, mining output was flat while manufacturing has contracted 0.8%. August IIP reading was revised to a 0.99% decline compared with the 0.7% decline reported earlier. Capital goods output nosedived 21.6% in September. It has been falling for the last few months. The improved pace of industrial activity was evident in 12 out of the 22 industry groups in the manufacturing sector in September. Consumer goods production rose 6% in September with the output of consumer non-durables — an indicator of rural demand – rising a mere 0.1% and that of consumer durables, a gauge of urban demand, rising 14%. ✍ TOP ECONOMY NEWS A mega package for the powerloom sector is in the works, focused on upgrading units. The package will include social welfare schemes, insurance cover and cluster development of power looms. This would be the second in a series of incentives for the textile sector, after a Rs 6,500 crore package announced for garments in June. Corporate India’s merger and acquisition activity witnessed significant surge in October with transactions worth $4.5 billion, taking the total deal tally to $ 32.55 billion in the first 10 months of the year, according to Grant Thornton. The Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority of India is open to insurers surpassing the 15% limit on equity holdings in a company under some conditions. Gross non-performing assets in the domestic steel sector, which accounts for 2% of India's GDP , are around Rs 1.15 trillion. Wholesale Price Index-based inflation eased to 3.39% in October from 3.57% in September as food items became cheaper. Aided by lower food articles inflation, the Consumer price index -based inflation for October 2016 came in at 4.20%. ( Merchandise exports grew 9.6% year-on-year to USD 23.50 billion in October, while imports expanded 8.11% year-on-year to USD 33.67 billion.
  • 12. Petrol price was cut by Rs. 1.46/l and diesel by Rs. 1.53/l, reversing the rising trend of the past few weeks. (BS) Reserve Bank Deputy Governor NS Vishwanathan said the deadline for banks to clean up their balance sheet 'stands' at March 2017, even as its governor Urjit Patel hinting at pragmatic approach in dealing with non performing assets. Private equity and venture capital investments declined 27% to USD1.19bn in October due to decline in big ticket transactions. With large amounts of cash currently being deposited in bank accounts by customers, the RBI is witnessing a deluge of funds through its reverse repo window as banks are parking their excess liquidity with the central bank. India and the US have resolved more than 100 tax dispute cases involving Rs. 5000 crore under the bilateral Mutual Agreement Procedure. A scheme to construct 100 lakh houses in next three years has been approved by the government with the objective of 'Housing for All by 2022'. The Reserve Bank of India allowed foreign portfolio investors to invest in any kind of debt instrument, provided the residual maturity of the paper is three years and the proceeds are not used in real estate. ✍ TOP CORPORATE NEWS - Canada's Niko Resources wants to exit its 10% stake in the KG-D6 gas block off the east coast which it was developing in partnership with Reliance Industries at a time when the government has made a claim of about $ 1.55 billion against the contractors. The Future Group, India's largest retailer, is partnering British wholesaler Booker Group to open cash and carry stores. The equal joint venture between Future Consumer and UK’s largest wholesaler, plans to open 60-70 stores in three years to sell merchandise to local kirana stores, hotels and catering firms. Reliance Defence and Engineering Limited is planning to manufacture Kalashnikov
  • 13. class of weapons for Indian armed forces in a joint venture with an Israeli arms maker, Kalashnikov Israel Company, Healthcare group Apollo Hospitals has plans to invest Rs. 14 billion over the next couple of years for expansion, and the company is all set to come up with the modern Proton therapy at its Chennai facility for the treatment of cancer patients in near future. Goldstone Infratech Limited has announced its move to assemble electric buses in partnership with BYD Company Limited, based in China. LafargeHolcim has increased its stake in Ambuja Cement Limited and ACC by 1.49% and 4.19%, respectively. The State Bank of India has cleaned up Non-Performing Assets worth Rs. 70.16 billion from its books by writing off loans given to 63 wilful defaulters. Of the 63 accounts, 31 have been partially written off and six shown as NPAs. Axis Bank Limited has cut marginal cost of fund-based lending rate by 0.15-0.20%. Reliance Communications Limited, through its wholly owned subsidiary Reliance Globalcom Services has acquired a newly incorporated firm named “Onyx NewCo LLC. Blackstone Group and Canadian investor Brookfield have joined the race to acquire as much as 40% in Bharti Infratel Limited, intensifying the contest to own a slice of India’s second-largest telecom tower company. Wipro Limited has begun offering solutions to customers from entrepreneurial projects of its employees in segments such as corporate treasury and software defined infrastructure. Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Limited has assigned an advertising budget of Rs. 1 billion towards building its brand and has appointed BBDO as its advertising agency. Apollo Tyres Limited is planning to set up a new factory in Andhra Pradesh to manufacture tyres for two-wheelers and pickup trucks. Religare Enterprises Limited said its subsidiary will write off a total of Rs. 7.94 billion on account of non-receipt of dues.
  • 14. BHEL has expanded its footprint in the international market by securing export orders for supply of industrial motors to the African nations of Togo and Benin. Coal India Limited sold 7 MT of coal, or 35% of the quantity on offer in an e-auction, at a floor price that was 20% higher than listed prices for non-power users. Traders as well as power producers with or without supply commitments from Coal India were allowed to bid in the auction. Welspun India Limited has initiated steps to closely monitor and control its Egyptian cotton business, which had come under a cloud early this year over quality issues. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited will take 25% equity stake in the proposed 60 MT refinery on the west coast that the state oil companies plan to build. Jet Airways Limited has expanded its existing code share pact with Kenya Airways which will allow the African carrier to fly more passengers into India Reliance Industries Limited and its partners, BP and Niko Resources, have initiated an arbitration process against the Centre's notice imposing a penalty of USD 1.55 billion on these companies for allegedly using migrated gas from Oil and Natural Gas Corporation's asset in KG-D6. L&T Infotech has been awarded a five-year contract by Hartford Steam Boiler. Wheels India Limited has signed a technology transfer agreement with Fluitecnik of Spain for hydraulic components used in wind turbines. Welspun India Limited has made a one-time provision of Rs. 4.89 billion to meet expenses and losses arising from export of home textile made of fake Egyptian cotton. IL&FS Transportation Networks Limited said its joint venture with IL&FS Engineering & Construction Co has bagged two road projects in Madhya Pradesh worth Rs. 375 crore. Lupin Limited said its US arm Gavis has received approval from the US health regulator to market hydrocodone bitartrate and acetaminophen tablets, a pain relieving drug, in the American market.
  • 15. A month after suspending operations at its Bicholim iron ore mine in Goa due to labour unrest, Vedanta Limited has 'revoked the suspension order' with immediate effect. Federal Bank Limited has partnered with Oxigen for cash management services through the bank’s e – collection facility. No power producer has got in touch with Coal India Limited for supply of imported coal for plants in the current fiscal. CPL Biologicals Pvt Ltd, a joint-venture biotechnology company of Cadila Pharmaceuticals Limited, India and Novavax Inc, USA, has indigenously developed 'Cadiflu-S' becoming the first Indian company to develop a vaccine to treat seasonal influenza. IL&FS Financial Services became the first Indian company to raise money through a masala loan, a rupee-denominated loan from overseas investors, by securing the equivalent of USD50mn from Export Development Canada (EDC). (BS) Reliance Industries (RIL) has entered into a global partnership agreement with GE to enter in the Industrial Internet of Things (IIOT) space by building joint applications on the latter's Predix platform. (BS) Tata Motors has become the first company in India to introduce liquefied natural gas- fuelled bus in Kochi recently. (BL) ✍ TOP BANKING AND FINANCIAL NEWS OF THE WEEK Post withdrawal of Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes, banks have disbursed nearly Rs. 30,000 crore cash in bills of lower denominations and the newly-introduced Rs. 2,000 currency over the past three days, the apex body for lenders said today. The government on November 8 demonetised Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes in a step to curb black money. Following the move, banks were closed on November 9 to stock lower value notes and exchange the defunct ones. "In the last three days of working, nearly Rs 30,000 crore cash has been disbursed in currency notes of lower denominations and newly introduced Rs 2,000 notes. The ATMs are being recalibrated to handle new Rs 500 and Rs. 2,000 notes," Indian Banks' Association said in a statement.
  • 16. State Bank of India today said that the central board today approved issuance of 13.63 crore shares to minority shareholders of its three listed subsidiaries and Government of India, that wholly owns Bharatiya Mahila Bank, as part of consolidation exercises. The board has "approved issuance of maximum 13,63,65,146 equity shares, of face value of Rs. 1 each, to the shareholders of State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur, State Bank of Mysore, State Bank of Travancore and the Government of India for its shareholding in BMB as on the record date at the agreed swap ratio...," SBI said in a filing to the BSE. Largest lender State Bank of India has said it has collected around Rs. 38,677 crore in deposits, while its branches exchanged Rs. 1,666 crore since yesterday after the government scrapped Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes on Tuesday. On Thursday, cash deposits were Rs. 21,150 crore while exchanges were Rs. 723 crore. Till 6 pm today, cash deposited was Rs. 17,527 crore and exchanges stood at Rs. 943 crore," SBI Chairperson Arundhati Bhattacharya told reporters here. Ujjivan Small Finance Bank today said it has received final license from Reserve Bank for small finance bank and is likely to commence banking operation in early 2017. Ujjivan Small Finance Bank is expected to commence banking operations in the first quarter of 2017 after receiving necessary approvals, registrations and licensing from various departments of RBI and other integrated agencies," Ujjivan said in a statement here today. The government’s move to pull out Rs. 500 and Rs. 1,000 notes from circulation could result in a windfall gain for the Reserve Bank of India as it will reduce the central bank’s liabilities to the extent that the old notes do not come back into the system. The money flooding into banks as people rush to deposit Rs. 500 and Rs 1,000 notes has resulted in such a massive bonanza that it’s pulling rates down, bankers said. Thus the longstanding complaint of the Reserve Bank of India that banks weren’t passing on rate reductions may be addressed soon. Banks ran out of currency in the Capital and elsewhere, although some cities reported that queues had shortened. In Parliament, the opposition parties attacked the government over the withdrawal of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes, saying it was insensitive, caused hardship to people and had unleashed “economic anarchy”. Yes Bank Limited has partnered with Crownit, amerchant discovery and privileges platform, to launch digitised meal vouchers. The app based digital meal wallet can be
  • 17. linked with a Meal Debit MasterCard which enables employees to avail unlimited food, beverage & grocery redemption options, both online and offline. Private lender Axis Bank Limited has cut marginal cost of fund-based lending rate by 0.15-0.20 per cent effective Friday. "Axis Bank reviews and reduces the MCLR by 15 basis points or 0.15 per cent across all tenures up to 1 year and by 20 bps for 2-year and 3-year tenure," it said in a regulatory filing. For overnight tenure, the new MCLR will be 8.65 per cent. One-month tenure will attract a rate of 8.70 per cent while those for three and six months will be 8.90 and 9 per cent, respectively. With about Rs. 4 lakh crore coming into the banking system within a week after demonetization, Moody's Investors Service today cautioned that banks' deposit base will witness a "sharp decline" as and when the current restriction on cash withdrawals eases. In a major assault on black money, counterfeit notes and terror financing, Prime Minister Narendra Modi had on November 8 announced demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes and asked holders of such bills to deposit them in banks. Moody's said the trend of significant inflows will continue for the next 3-4 weeks. "But, as cash availability increases and the current restrictions on cash withdrawals are lifted, sharp declines in the deposit base will occur in the near future," Moody's said.
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