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25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
25 March 2019
Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity
Nifty Active Futures 11472.4 India VIX Index 16.27 INDEX FUTURES 550
Nifty Active Futures OI 18466950 Nifty ATM Call IV 11.93 INDEX OPTIONS 800
Change in OI -2085525 Nifty ATM Put IV 11.01 STOCK FUTURES -1885
Premium / Discount 15.50 PCR Index Options 1.60 STOCK OPTIONS -62
Inference Long Unwinding PCR F&O Total 1.10 FII Net Activity -598
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11472.40 on a negative
note with -10.15% increase in open interest indicating Long
Unwinding. Nifty Futures closed at a premium of 16 points
compared to previous day premium of 32 points.
FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 550 crores
and were Buyers in Index Options to the tune of 800 crores,
Stock Futures were Sellers to the tune of 1885 crores. FII's
were Net Sellers in derivative segment to the tune of 598
crores.
India VIX index is at 16.27 Nifty ATM call option IV is currently
at 11.93 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 11.01.
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII
Index options PCR is at 1.60 and F&O Total PCR is at 1.10.
Among stock futures NTPC, COALINDIA, ONGC & SRF have
witnessed long build up and may show strength in coming
session.
Stock which witnessed short build up are MOTHERSUMI, IOC,
ICICIPRU & OIL witnessed short build up may remain weak in
coming session.
Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 11000 has highest
OI concentration followed by 11200 & 11400 which may act
as support for current expiry.
Nifty Call strike 11600 followed by 11500 witnessed significant
OI concentration and may act as resistance for current expiry.
SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD::
AADDAANNIIEENNTT,, AADDAANNIIPPOOWWEERR,, IIDDBBII,, JJEETTAAIIRRWWAAYYSS,, PPNNBB,, RRPPOOWWEERR
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg Open Interest % Chg
NTPC 132.95 0.04 102302400.00 0.35
COALINDIA 230.65 0.01 49775000.00 0.24
ONGC 150.65 0.01 68778750.00 0.18
SRF 2464.65 0.02 935000.00 0.09
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg
Open
Interest
% Chg
MOTHERSUMI 145.15 -0.08 38463600.00 0.28
IOC 153.20 -0.01 82131000.00 0.23
ICICIPRULI 324.50 -0.04 10758000.00 0.16
OIL 172.05 -0.02 12042657.00 0.15
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Week ended 23 Mar 2019
NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::
 Nifty Futures has ended the week on flat note to close at 11,472 from previous week close of 11,470.
 Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has increased to 16.28% from 15.87% up by 2.59%.
 The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 17,874cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 65,897cr.
 The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 26,522Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 94,136Cr.
Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI has gone well above the par
line to close at 1.60 levels.
 PCR OI currently is at 1.60 levels which is
well above the dotted line indicating that we
can see some cautiousness in Nifty from
current levels.
OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss
 Options Built up Shows that now for
nifty has strong support at 11,000
followed by 11,400 and resistance at
11,600 levels.
 11,600 strike call and 11,000 put
followed by 11,400 put has highest open
interest concentration which suggests
that Nifty is likely to remain &trade
between this levels.
CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
 This week major addition was seen on the
Put front with 11,500 and 11,600 strikes
adding 15.97 and 6.74 lakh in OI
respectively.
 On the Call front we have seen addition at
11,600 strike with increase in OI of 24.92
lakh shares, while addition of 10.70 lakh
shares was witnessed in 11,700 strike.
1.50
1.60
1.70
1.80
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
8-Mar
11-Mar
12-Mar
13-Mar
14-Mar
15-Mar
18-Mar
19-Mar
20-Mar
22-Mar
PUTCALLRATIO
OIincr.
Call OI Put OI
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
12000
OpenInterest
Open Interest Put OI Call OI
-1000000
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
12000
OpenInterest
Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss
 IV differential between call and put has
decreased from last week level which implies
that nifty will continue to trade with current
momentum.
 Call IV’s currently at 12.52%, while Put IV’s are
at 13.45%.
 Implied Volatility of option for the March series is
at 13.01% and has seen declining trajectory this
week.
WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
Participant
FUT IDX
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT IDX
Short
(contracts)
Net Chg
Client 188455 -17253 269136 17499
DII 39598 5879 44443 4840
FII 216442 11861 112224 -13017
Pro 29313 912 48005 -7923
Participant
FUT STK
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT STK
Short
(contracts)
Net
Chg
Client 889878 64943 336865 9576
DII 35257 8805 885133 -2540
FII 877141 -14715 614030 61898
Pro 184798 25927 151046 16026
FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in the index futures has seen buying
during this week.
 FII have been buyers in Index future to the tune of
4,079 crore during this week.
FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in Stock futures had been on sell side
during the last week.
 This week FII have been net seller in stock future
segment to the tune 6,911 crore.
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
16.00
17.00
8-Mar-
19
11-Mar-
19
12-Mar-
19
13-Mar-
19
14-Mar-
19
15-Mar-
19
18-Mar-
19
19-Mar-
19
20-Mar-
19
22-Mar-
19
Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility
300,000
400,000
15-Mar 18-Mar 19-Mar 20-Mar 22-Mar
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
1,420,000
1,430,000
1,440,000
1,450,000
1,460,000
1,470,000
1,480,000
1,490,000
1,500,000
15-Mar 18-Mar 19-Mar 20-Mar 22-Mar
-2,800
-2,400
-2,000
-1,600
-1,200
-800
-400
0
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee
WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
NTPC 132.95 2.93% 102302400 109.40%
COALINDIA 230.65 -2.58% 49775000 91.90%
IOC 153.2 -0.16% 82131000 84.02%
ONGC 150.65 -2.21% 68778750 60.21%
RAMCOCEM 711.85 0.57% 1327200 41.67%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
ARVIND 87.2 -8.50% 6210000 -15.35%
BERGEPAINT 314.4 1.60% 3614600 -14.47%
CHOLAFIN 1352.4 -2.81% 764500 -13.76%
NMDC 107.4 -1.33% 13014000 -12.72%
BALKRISIND 913.5 -2.44% 1649600 -11.31%
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
INDIGO 1429.75 9.73% 2952000 16.86%
JUBLFOOD 1433.95 6.36% 3684000 11.00%
PNB 91.75 6.32% 122773000 8.05%
ORIENTBANK 105.15 5.73% 16723000 18.33%
BANKINDIA 98.7 5.67% 26166000 9.13%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
MOTHERSUMI 145.15 -12.27% 38463600 26.82%
ARVIND 87.2 -8.50% 6210000 -15.35%
BHARATFORG 495.3 -7.65% 10735200 9.34%
MARUTI 6578.9 -7.63% 3203400 13.03%
DISHTV 36.9 -7.29% 64096000 -1.04%
-0.42
-2.23
-0.11
0.29
0.23
0.39
-0.48
0.33
0.72
0.42
-2.31
-1.15
3.10
-3.23
2.36
-0.37
-0.98
1.16
-0.44
Weekly Price Change
Infrastructure
FMCG
Reality
Finance
Cement
Automobile
Others
Telecom
Media
Capital goods
Banking
Fertilisers
Technology
Oil & Gas
Index
Metals
Textile
Power
Pharma
0.19
16.29
-6.27
5.01
3.03
32.75
1.54
-0.77
4.48
11.72
2.11
12.91
14.18
6.10
-0.81
2.82
-1.98
5.16
7.62
Weekly OI change
Infrastructure
FMCG
Reality
Finance
Cement
Automobile
Others
Telecom
Media
Capital goods
Banking
Fertilisers
Technology
Oil & Gas
Index
Metals
Textile
Power
Pharma
-9.09
2.28
-25.68
-6.06
-12.49
-22.42
-3.05
7.43
-10.37
-18.94
-15.07
-25.99
4.94
-19.01
14.75
-4.16
-14.09
-5.29
-10.45
Wkly PCR OI change
Infrastructure
FMCG
Reality
Finance
Cement
Automobile
Others
Telecom
Media
Capital goods
Banking
Fertilisers
Technology
Oil & Gas
Index
Metals
Textile
Power
Pharma
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn
BANKBARODA, RBLBANK and YESBANK can see some NEGATIVE move in this week.
Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 29,500 with 29,500 PE strike having highest OI concentration
followed by 29,000 and on the call front 30,000 CE strike has highest OI concentration indicating strong
resistance level.
ALBK AXISBANK
BANKBARODA
BANKINDIA
CANBK
DCBBANK
FEDERALBNK
HDFCBANK
ICICIBANK
IDBI, 2%
IDFCFIRSTB
INDIANB, 0%
INDUSINDBK
KOTAKBANK
KTKBANKORIENTBANK
PNB
RBLBANK, 1%
SBIN
SOUTHBANK, 12%
SYNDIBANK, 3%
UNIONBANK
YESBANK
37%
63%
Open Interest
Psu Bank Private Bank
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
28600
28700
28800
28900
29000
29100
29200
29300
29400
29500
29600
29700
29800
29900
30000
30100
30200
30300
30400
30500
30600
OpenInterest
Open Interest
Call OI Put OI
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or
other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or
investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any
recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each
other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this
report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in
this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed,
directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is
inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of
the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located
in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia
International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID:
compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the
Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as
defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution
of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s
largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking,
Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities
and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a
corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was,
is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does
not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial
ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research
Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial
ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its
associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-
month period.
Research Team
Sr. No Name Designation E-mail
1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in
2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst Hemang.gor@axissecurities.in
4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in
5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in
5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market
making activity for the subject company.
6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report,
ASL or any of its associates may have:
i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the
subject company of this research report and / or;
ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or;
iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services
from the subject company of this research report;
ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other
third-party in connection with this report
Term& Conditions:
This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information
contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any
other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on the facts, figures and
information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The
information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently
verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such
information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not
constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients.
Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ASL will not treat
recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
25 March 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not
predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or
other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or
investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any
recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each
other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this
report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in
this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed,
directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is
inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of
the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located
in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia
International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID:
compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.

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Weekly Derivatives Report :25 March 2019

  • 1. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT 25 March 2019 Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity Nifty Active Futures 11472.4 India VIX Index 16.27 INDEX FUTURES 550 Nifty Active Futures OI 18466950 Nifty ATM Call IV 11.93 INDEX OPTIONS 800 Change in OI -2085525 Nifty ATM Put IV 11.01 STOCK FUTURES -1885 Premium / Discount 15.50 PCR Index Options 1.60 STOCK OPTIONS -62 Inference Long Unwinding PCR F&O Total 1.10 FII Net Activity -598 NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11472.40 on a negative note with -10.15% increase in open interest indicating Long Unwinding. Nifty Futures closed at a premium of 16 points compared to previous day premium of 32 points. FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 550 crores and were Buyers in Index Options to the tune of 800 crores, Stock Futures were Sellers to the tune of 1885 crores. FII's were Net Sellers in derivative segment to the tune of 598 crores. India VIX index is at 16.27 Nifty ATM call option IV is currently at 11.93 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 11.01. NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII Index options PCR is at 1.60 and F&O Total PCR is at 1.10. Among stock futures NTPC, COALINDIA, ONGC & SRF have witnessed long build up and may show strength in coming session. Stock which witnessed short build up are MOTHERSUMI, IOC, ICICIPRU & OIL witnessed short build up may remain weak in coming session. Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 11000 has highest OI concentration followed by 11200 & 11400 which may act as support for current expiry. Nifty Call strike 11600 followed by 11500 witnessed significant OI concentration and may act as resistance for current expiry. SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD:: AADDAANNIIEENNTT,, AADDAANNIIPPOOWWEERR,, IIDDBBII,, JJEETTAAIIRRWWAAYYSS,, PPNNBB,, RRPPOOWWEERR __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg NTPC 132.95 0.04 102302400.00 0.35 COALINDIA 230.65 0.01 49775000.00 0.24 ONGC 150.65 0.01 68778750.00 0.18 SRF 2464.65 0.02 935000.00 0.09 Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg MOTHERSUMI 145.15 -0.08 38463600.00 0.28 IOC 153.20 -0.01 82131000.00 0.23 ICICIPRULI 324.50 -0.04 10758000.00 0.16 OIL 172.05 -0.02 12042657.00 0.15
  • 2. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Week ended 23 Mar 2019 NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::  Nifty Futures has ended the week on flat note to close at 11,472 from previous week close of 11,470.  Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has increased to 16.28% from 15.87% up by 2.59%.  The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 17,874cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 65,897cr.  The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 26,522Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 94,136Cr. Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI has gone well above the par line to close at 1.60 levels.  PCR OI currently is at 1.60 levels which is well above the dotted line indicating that we can see some cautiousness in Nifty from current levels. OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss  Options Built up Shows that now for nifty has strong support at 11,000 followed by 11,400 and resistance at 11,600 levels.  11,600 strike call and 11,000 put followed by 11,400 put has highest open interest concentration which suggests that Nifty is likely to remain &trade between this levels. CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt  This week major addition was seen on the Put front with 11,500 and 11,600 strikes adding 15.97 and 6.74 lakh in OI respectively.  On the Call front we have seen addition at 11,600 strike with increase in OI of 24.92 lakh shares, while addition of 10.70 lakh shares was witnessed in 11,700 strike. 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.80 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 8-Mar 11-Mar 12-Mar 13-Mar 14-Mar 15-Mar 18-Mar 19-Mar 20-Mar 22-Mar PUTCALLRATIO OIincr. Call OI Put OI 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 12000 OpenInterest Open Interest Put OI Call OI -1000000 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 12000 OpenInterest Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 3. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss  IV differential between call and put has decreased from last week level which implies that nifty will continue to trade with current momentum.  Call IV’s currently at 12.52%, while Put IV’s are at 13.45%.  Implied Volatility of option for the March series is at 13.01% and has seen declining trajectory this week. WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt Participant FUT IDX Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT IDX Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 188455 -17253 269136 17499 DII 39598 5879 44443 4840 FII 216442 11861 112224 -13017 Pro 29313 912 48005 -7923 Participant FUT STK Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT STK Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 889878 64943 336865 9576 DII 35257 8805 885133 -2540 FII 877141 -14715 614030 61898 Pro 184798 25927 151046 16026 FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in the index futures has seen buying during this week.  FII have been buyers in Index future to the tune of 4,079 crore during this week. FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in Stock futures had been on sell side during the last week.  This week FII have been net seller in stock future segment to the tune 6,911 crore. 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00 17.00 8-Mar- 19 11-Mar- 19 12-Mar- 19 13-Mar- 19 14-Mar- 19 15-Mar- 19 18-Mar- 19 19-Mar- 19 20-Mar- 19 22-Mar- 19 Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility 300,000 400,000 15-Mar 18-Mar 19-Mar 20-Mar 22-Mar 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT 1,420,000 1,430,000 1,440,000 1,450,000 1,460,000 1,470,000 1,480,000 1,490,000 1,500,000 15-Mar 18-Mar 19-Mar 20-Mar 22-Mar -2,800 -2,400 -2,000 -1,600 -1,200 -800 -400 0 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
  • 4. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg NTPC 132.95 2.93% 102302400 109.40% COALINDIA 230.65 -2.58% 49775000 91.90% IOC 153.2 -0.16% 82131000 84.02% ONGC 150.65 -2.21% 68778750 60.21% RAMCOCEM 711.85 0.57% 1327200 41.67% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg ARVIND 87.2 -8.50% 6210000 -15.35% BERGEPAINT 314.4 1.60% 3614600 -14.47% CHOLAFIN 1352.4 -2.81% 764500 -13.76% NMDC 107.4 -1.33% 13014000 -12.72% BALKRISIND 913.5 -2.44% 1649600 -11.31% WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg INDIGO 1429.75 9.73% 2952000 16.86% JUBLFOOD 1433.95 6.36% 3684000 11.00% PNB 91.75 6.32% 122773000 8.05% ORIENTBANK 105.15 5.73% 16723000 18.33% BANKINDIA 98.7 5.67% 26166000 9.13% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg MOTHERSUMI 145.15 -12.27% 38463600 26.82% ARVIND 87.2 -8.50% 6210000 -15.35% BHARATFORG 495.3 -7.65% 10735200 9.34% MARUTI 6578.9 -7.63% 3203400 13.03% DISHTV 36.9 -7.29% 64096000 -1.04% -0.42 -2.23 -0.11 0.29 0.23 0.39 -0.48 0.33 0.72 0.42 -2.31 -1.15 3.10 -3.23 2.36 -0.37 -0.98 1.16 -0.44 Weekly Price Change Infrastructure FMCG Reality Finance Cement Automobile Others Telecom Media Capital goods Banking Fertilisers Technology Oil & Gas Index Metals Textile Power Pharma 0.19 16.29 -6.27 5.01 3.03 32.75 1.54 -0.77 4.48 11.72 2.11 12.91 14.18 6.10 -0.81 2.82 -1.98 5.16 7.62 Weekly OI change Infrastructure FMCG Reality Finance Cement Automobile Others Telecom Media Capital goods Banking Fertilisers Technology Oil & Gas Index Metals Textile Power Pharma -9.09 2.28 -25.68 -6.06 -12.49 -22.42 -3.05 7.43 -10.37 -18.94 -15.07 -25.99 4.94 -19.01 14.75 -4.16 -14.09 -5.29 -10.45 Wkly PCR OI change Infrastructure FMCG Reality Finance Cement Automobile Others Telecom Media Capital goods Banking Fertilisers Technology Oil & Gas Index Metals Textile Power Pharma
  • 5. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn BANKBARODA, RBLBANK and YESBANK can see some NEGATIVE move in this week. Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 29,500 with 29,500 PE strike having highest OI concentration followed by 29,000 and on the call front 30,000 CE strike has highest OI concentration indicating strong resistance level. ALBK AXISBANK BANKBARODA BANKINDIA CANBK DCBBANK FEDERALBNK HDFCBANK ICICIBANK IDBI, 2% IDFCFIRSTB INDIANB, 0% INDUSINDBK KOTAKBANK KTKBANKORIENTBANK PNB RBLBANK, 1% SBIN SOUTHBANK, 12% SYNDIBANK, 3% UNIONBANK YESBANK 37% 63% Open Interest Psu Bank Private Bank 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 28600 28700 28800 28900 29000 29100 29200 29300 29400 29500 29600 29700 29800 29900 30000 30100 30200 30300 30400 30500 30600 OpenInterest Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 6. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.
  • 7. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclosures: The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations). 1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com. 2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business activity. 3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report. 4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12- month period. Research Team Sr. No Name Designation E-mail 1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in 2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in 3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst Hemang.gor@axissecurities.in 4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in 5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in 5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. 6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report, ASL or any of its associates may have: i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research report and / or; ii. 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  • 8. 25 March 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.