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14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
14 October 2019
Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity
Nifty Active Futures 11311.7 India VIX Index 17.14 INDEX FUTURES 661
Nifty Active Futures OI 14756775 Nifty ATM Call IV 14.1 INDEX OPTIONS -861
Change in OI 192000 Nifty ATM Put IV 18.24 STOCK FUTURES -681
Premium / Discount 6.65 PCR Index Options 1.14 STOCK OPTIONS 155
Inference Long Build Up PCR F&O Total 0.86 FII Net Activity -725
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11311.70 on a positive
note with 1.32% increase in open interest indicating Long Build
Up. Nifty Futures closed at a premium of 7 points compared to
previous day premium of 20 points.
FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 661 crores
and were Sellers in Index Options to the tune of 861 crores,
Stock Futures were Sellers to the tune of 861 crores. FII's
were Net Sellers in derivative segment to the tune of 725
crores.
India VIX index is at 17.14. Nifty ATM call option IV is currently
at 14.10 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 18.24.
Index options PCR is at 1.14 and F&O Total PCR is at 0.86..
NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII
Among stock futures TATAGLOBAL, BANKBARODA,
IBULHSGFIN & BERGERPAINT have witnessed long build up
and may show strength in coming session. .
Stock which witnessed short build up are CENTURYTEX,
ICICIPRULI, MUTHOOTFIN & UBL may remain weak in
coming session.
Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 11000 has highest
OI concentration followed by 11200 & 10600 which may act as
support for current expiry.
Nifty Call strike 11500 followed by 12000 witnessed significant
OI concentration and may act as resistance for current expiry.
SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD::
NNIILL
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg Open Interest % Chg
TATAGLOBAL 273.30 2.24% 9077400.00 8.73%
BERGEPAINT 454.75 1.43% 6652800.00 8.04%
IBULHSGFIN 206.85 8.41% 28981600.00 7.22%
BANKBARODA 91.15 3.58% 72112500.00 6.71%
Symbol
Fut
Price
% Chg
Open
Interest
% Chg
CENTURYTEX 394.25 0.00% 1410000.00 39.71%
ICICIPRULI 439.00 -1.06% 6984000.00 8.25%
MUTHOOTFIN 666.95 -0.51% 1938000.00 6.78%
UBL 1268.45 -1.37% 1504300.00 6.39%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
x10000
Call_oi Put_oi
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
x10000
Call_chg Put_chg
14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Week ended 11 October 2019
NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::
 Nifty Futures has increased by 0.86% to close at 11,311 from previous week close of 11,215.
 Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has decreased to 17.14% from 17.58% down by 2.50%.
 The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 17,218cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 48,619cr.
 The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 13,050Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 88,506Cr.
Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI had risen from the low of 0.96
to high of 1.20 and closed on weekly
basis at 1.14 levels.
 PCR OI currently is at 1.14 levels which is
marginally above the median line
indicating that we will see Nifty continue
its ongoing momentum from current levels.
OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss
 Options Built up Shows that for now
nifty has strong support at 11,200
followed by 11,000 and resistance at
11,500 levels followed by 11,700.
 11,500 & 11,600 strike call and 11,200
put followed by 11,000 put has highest
open interest concentration which
suggests that Nifty is likely to remain
&trade between this levels.
CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
 This week major addition was seen on the
Put front with 11,200 and 11,000 strikes
adding 4.25 and 2.75 lakh in OI
respectively.
 On the Call front we have seen addition at
11,300 strike with increase in OI of 3.45
lakh shares, while unwinding of 1.20 lakh
shares was witnessed in 11,500 strike.
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
26-Sep
27-Sep
30-Sep
1-Oct
3-Oct
4-Oct
7-Oct
9-Oct
10-Oct
11-Oct
PUTCALLRATIO
OIincr.
Call OI Put OI
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
OpenInterest
Open Interest Put OI Call OI
-1,000,000
-500,000
0
500,000
10700
10800
10900
11000
11100
11200
11300
11400
11500
11600
11700
11800
11900
OpenInterest
Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss
 IV differential between call and put has
significantly increased from last week level,
which implies that nifty, might trade
cautious, with negative bias.
 Call IV’s currently at 16.52%, while Put IV’s are
at 18.12%.
 Implied Volatility of option for the current series is
at 17.26% and has seen a gradual decrease from
higher level in this week.
WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt
Participant
FUT IDX
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT IDX
Short
(contracts)
Net Chg
Client 158,945 -5,058 154,642 -3,219
DII 60,581 -2,583 7,840 -53
FII 56,055 1,932 109,728 -4,981
Pro 20,133 -5,381 23,504 -2,837
Participant
FUT STK
Long
(contracts)
Net Chg
FUT STK
Short
(contracts)
Net
Chg
Client 846,743 6,539 221,276 28,129
DII 13,996 2,622 1,058,840 -7,715
FII 947,394 -932 602,868 -7,334
Pro 167,669 11,447 92,818 6,596
FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in the index futures had been mostly
mixed during this week.
 FII have been net sellers in Index future to the
tune of 305 crore during this week.
FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess
 FII activity in Stock futures had been mostly on
the Buy side during the last week.
 This week FII have been net buyers in stock future
segment to the tune 509 crore.
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00
24.00
26.00
28.00
30.00
32.00
26-Sep-
19
27-Sep-
19
30-Sep-
19
1-Oct-
19
3-Oct-
19
4-Oct-
19
7-Oct-
19
9-Oct-
19
10-Oct-
19
11-Oct-
19
Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility
140,000
145,000
150,000
155,000
160,000
165,000
170,000
175,000
04-Oct 07-Oct 09-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
InCrores
NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT
1,530,000
1,535,000
1,540,000
1,545,000
1,550,000
1,555,000
1,560,000
04-Oct 07-Oct 09-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
InCrores
NETAMT OI IN CONTRACT
14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee
WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
NATIONALUM 39.85 -8.18% 71090000 105.17%
TORNTPHARM 1643.85 0.67% 480000 58.42%
BERGEPAINT 454.75 7.51% 6652800 44.76%
IBULHSGFIN 206.85 -11.70% 28981600 38.50%
SIEMENS 1578.7 3.07% 1575200 28.60%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
CENTURYTEX 394.25 -54.68% 1410000 -55.57%
CESC 757.5 3.14% 1182400 -21.96%
MFSL 409.5 0.39% 2557200 -17.72%
NIITTECH 1402.1 1.73% 627750 -14.77%
EQUITAS 100.1 -0.15% 10264000 -14.69%
WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
IDEA 6.05 19.80% 545076000 2.01%
BHARTIARTL 383.45 12.20% 40653513 2.96%
BRITANNIA 3079.55 7.56% 2041600 -6.81%
BERGEPAINT 454.75 7.51% 6652800 44.76%
BIOCON 246.4 6.48% 12670200 11.46%
Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg
CENTURYTEX 394.25 -54.68% 1410000 -55.57%
AUROPHARMA 440.8 -22.79% 19835000 28.00%
PEL 1324.9 -12.39% 7209948 13.41%
IBULHSGFIN 206.85 -11.70% 28981600 38.50%
RBLBANK 267 -11.50% 16263600 5.58%
0.43%
9.09%
-0.24%
-1.35%
-1.34%
1.40%
1.78%
-0.50%
-0.43%
-2.94%
0.63%
-1.70%
3.29%
0.96%
1.80%
1.09%
1.02%
1.89%
-2.63%
Wkly Price change
Textile
Fertilisers
Oil_Gas
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Media
FMCG
Pharma
Automobile
Infrastructure
Finance
Others
Power
Metals
Technology
Realty
Banking
Telecom
Index
-2.64%
15.29%
-0.94%
8.63%
0.60%
3.46%
-2.62%
3.57%
2.56%
-2.25%
-0.30%
1.51%
4.21%
-0.33%
1.57%
1.99%
1.67%
-5.77%
-26.38%
Wkly OI change
Textile
Fertilisers
Oil_Gas
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Media
FMCG
Pharma
Automobile
Infrastructure
Finance
Others
Power
Metals
Technology
Realty
Banking
Telecom
Index
1.22%
2.45%
1.13%
0.90%
1.02%
1.71%
0.45%
0.36%
0.49%
0.72%
0.62%
1.15%
0.94%
0.09%
1.03%
0.96%
0.70%
0.58%
0.50%
Wkly Roll Over change
Textile
Fertilisers
Oil_Gas
Cement
Capital_Good
s
Media
FMCG
Pharma
Automobile
Infrastructure
Finance
Others
Power
Metals
Technology
Realty
Banking
Telecom
Index
14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss
BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn
ICICIBANK, KOTAKBANK and BANKBARODA can see some POSITIVE move in this week.
Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 28,000 with 28,000 PE strike having highest OI concentration
followed by 27,500 and on the call front 29,000 CE strike has highest OI concentration indicating strong
resistance level followed by 28,500.
AXISBANK
BANKBARODA
BANKINDIA
CANBK
FEDERALBNK
HDFCBANK
ICICIBANK
IDFCFIRSTB
INDUSINDBK
KOTAKBANK, 1%
PNB
RBLBANK, 2%
SBIN
UNIONBANK
YESBANK
35%
65%
Open Interest
Psu Bank PrivateBank
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
27000
27100
27200
27300
27400
27500
27600
27700
27800
27900
28000
28100
28200
28300
28400
28500
28600
28700
28800
28900
29000
OpenInterest
Open Interest
Call OI Put OI
14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the
Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as
defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution
of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s
largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking,
Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities
and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a
corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was,
is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does
not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial
ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research
Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial
ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its
associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-
month period.
Research Team
Sr. No Name Designation E-mail
1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in
2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst hemang.gor@axissecurities.in
4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in
5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in
5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market
making activity for the subject company.
6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report,
ASL or any of its associates may have:
i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the
subject company of this research report and / or;
ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or;
iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services
from the subject company of this research report;
ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other
third-party in connection with this report
Term& Conditions:
This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information
contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any
other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on the facts, figures and
information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The
information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently
verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such
information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not
constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients.
Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ASL will not treat
recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
14 October 2019 For private circulation only
WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable
or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial
positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should
make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies
referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any
responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this
report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs,
reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily
a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in
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ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell
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other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a
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may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be
treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI-
Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market
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Weekly Derivatives Report :14 October 2019

  • 1. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT 14 October 2019 Nifty Futures View Volatility FII Activity Nifty Active Futures 11311.7 India VIX Index 17.14 INDEX FUTURES 661 Nifty Active Futures OI 14756775 Nifty ATM Call IV 14.1 INDEX OPTIONS -861 Change in OI 192000 Nifty ATM Put IV 18.24 STOCK FUTURES -681 Premium / Discount 6.65 PCR Index Options 1.14 STOCK OPTIONS 155 Inference Long Build Up PCR F&O Total 0.86 FII Net Activity -725 NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss OOII DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn HIGHLIGHTS: Nifty futures closed at 11311.70 on a positive note with 1.32% increase in open interest indicating Long Build Up. Nifty Futures closed at a premium of 7 points compared to previous day premium of 20 points. FII's were Buyers in Index Futures to the tune of 661 crores and were Sellers in Index Options to the tune of 861 crores, Stock Futures were Sellers to the tune of 861 crores. FII's were Net Sellers in derivative segment to the tune of 725 crores. India VIX index is at 17.14. Nifty ATM call option IV is currently at 14.10 whereas Nifty ATM put option IV is quoting at 18.24. Index options PCR is at 1.14 and F&O Total PCR is at 0.86.. NNiiffttyy OOppttiioonnss --CChhaannggee iinn OOII Among stock futures TATAGLOBAL, BANKBARODA, IBULHSGFIN & BERGERPAINT have witnessed long build up and may show strength in coming session. . Stock which witnessed short build up are CENTURYTEX, ICICIPRULI, MUTHOOTFIN & UBL may remain weak in coming session. Nifty Put options OI distribution shows that 11000 has highest OI concentration followed by 11200 & 10600 which may act as support for current expiry. Nifty Call strike 11500 followed by 12000 witnessed significant OI concentration and may act as resistance for current expiry. SSEECCUURRIITTIIEESS IINN BBAANN PPEERRIIOODD:: NNIILL __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- LLoonngg BBuuiilldd ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess -- SShhoorrtt BBuuiilldd UUpp Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg TATAGLOBAL 273.30 2.24% 9077400.00 8.73% BERGEPAINT 454.75 1.43% 6652800.00 8.04% IBULHSGFIN 206.85 8.41% 28981600.00 7.22% BANKBARODA 91.15 3.58% 72112500.00 6.71% Symbol Fut Price % Chg Open Interest % Chg CENTURYTEX 394.25 0.00% 1410000.00 39.71% ICICIPRULI 439.00 -1.06% 6984000.00 8.25% MUTHOOTFIN 666.95 -0.51% 1938000.00 6.78% UBL 1268.45 -1.37% 1504300.00 6.39% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 x10000 Call_oi Put_oi -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 x10000 Call_chg Put_chg
  • 2. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Week ended 11 October 2019 NNIIFFTTYY HHIIGGHHLLIIGGHHTTSS::  Nifty Futures has increased by 0.86% to close at 11,311 from previous week close of 11,215.  Nifty annualized volatility index India Vix has decreased to 17.14% from 17.58% down by 2.50%.  The total open interest (OI) in the Nifty stood at Rs 17,218cr.Where as stock futures OI is at 48,619cr.  The open interest position of FII in Index Futures is at Rs 13,050Cr and in Stock futures is at Rs 88,506Cr. Nifty PCR OI  PCR OI had risen from the low of 0.96 to high of 1.20 and closed on weekly basis at 1.14 levels.  PCR OI currently is at 1.14 levels which is marginally above the median line indicating that we will see Nifty continue its ongoing momentum from current levels. OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnnaallyyssiiss  Options Built up Shows that for now nifty has strong support at 11,200 followed by 11,000 and resistance at 11,500 levels followed by 11,700.  11,500 & 11,600 strike call and 11,200 put followed by 11,000 put has highest open interest concentration which suggests that Nifty is likely to remain &trade between this levels. CChhaannggee iinn OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt  This week major addition was seen on the Put front with 11,200 and 11,000 strikes adding 4.25 and 2.75 lakh in OI respectively.  On the Call front we have seen addition at 11,300 strike with increase in OI of 3.45 lakh shares, while unwinding of 1.20 lakh shares was witnessed in 11,500 strike. 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 26-Sep 27-Sep 30-Sep 1-Oct 3-Oct 4-Oct 7-Oct 9-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct PUTCALLRATIO OIincr. Call OI Put OI 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 OpenInterest Open Interest Put OI Call OI -1,000,000 -500,000 0 500,000 10700 10800 10900 11000 11100 11200 11300 11400 11500 11600 11700 11800 11900 OpenInterest Change in Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 3. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT VVoollaattiilliittyy AAnnaallyyssiiss  IV differential between call and put has significantly increased from last week level, which implies that nifty, might trade cautious, with negative bias.  Call IV’s currently at 16.52%, while Put IV’s are at 18.12%.  Implied Volatility of option for the current series is at 17.26% and has seen a gradual decrease from higher level in this week. WWeeeekkllyy PPaarrttiicciippaanntt WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt Participant FUT IDX Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT IDX Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 158,945 -5,058 154,642 -3,219 DII 60,581 -2,583 7,840 -53 FII 56,055 1,932 109,728 -4,981 Pro 20,133 -5,381 23,504 -2,837 Participant FUT STK Long (contracts) Net Chg FUT STK Short (contracts) Net Chg Client 846,743 6,539 221,276 28,129 DII 13,996 2,622 1,058,840 -7,715 FII 947,394 -932 602,868 -7,334 Pro 167,669 11,447 92,818 6,596 FFIIII IInnddeexx FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in the index futures had been mostly mixed during this week.  FII have been net sellers in Index future to the tune of 305 crore during this week. FFIIII SSttoocckk FFuuttuurreess  FII activity in Stock futures had been mostly on the Buy side during the last week.  This week FII have been net buyers in stock future segment to the tune 509 crore. 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 22.00 24.00 26.00 28.00 30.00 32.00 26-Sep- 19 27-Sep- 19 30-Sep- 19 1-Oct- 19 3-Oct- 19 4-Oct- 19 7-Oct- 19 9-Oct- 19 10-Oct- 19 11-Oct- 19 Implied volatility(IV) IV Call Iv Put Historic volatility 140,000 145,000 150,000 155,000 160,000 165,000 170,000 175,000 04-Oct 07-Oct 09-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 InCrores NET AMT OI IN CONTRACT 1,530,000 1,535,000 1,540,000 1,545,000 1,550,000 1,555,000 1,560,000 04-Oct 07-Oct 09-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 InCrores NETAMT OI IN CONTRACT
  • 4. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSeeccttoorr WWiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt AAnndd PPrriiccee DDaattaa WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOII CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy PPCCRR CChhaannggee WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg NATIONALUM 39.85 -8.18% 71090000 105.17% TORNTPHARM 1643.85 0.67% 480000 58.42% BERGEPAINT 454.75 7.51% 6652800 44.76% IBULHSGFIN 206.85 -11.70% 28981600 38.50% SIEMENS 1578.7 3.07% 1575200 28.60% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg CENTURYTEX 394.25 -54.68% 1410000 -55.57% CESC 757.5 3.14% 1182400 -21.96% MFSL 409.5 0.39% 2557200 -17.72% NIITTECH 1402.1 1.73% 627750 -14.77% EQUITAS 100.1 -0.15% 10264000 -14.69% WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee GGaaiinneerr WWeeeekkllyy PPrriiccee LLoosseerr Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg IDEA 6.05 19.80% 545076000 2.01% BHARTIARTL 383.45 12.20% 40653513 2.96% BRITANNIA 3079.55 7.56% 2041600 -6.81% BERGEPAINT 454.75 7.51% 6652800 44.76% BIOCON 246.4 6.48% 12670200 11.46% Script ID Price % Chg OI Futures % Chg CENTURYTEX 394.25 -54.68% 1410000 -55.57% AUROPHARMA 440.8 -22.79% 19835000 28.00% PEL 1324.9 -12.39% 7209948 13.41% IBULHSGFIN 206.85 -11.70% 28981600 38.50% RBLBANK 267 -11.50% 16263600 5.58% 0.43% 9.09% -0.24% -1.35% -1.34% 1.40% 1.78% -0.50% -0.43% -2.94% 0.63% -1.70% 3.29% 0.96% 1.80% 1.09% 1.02% 1.89% -2.63% Wkly Price change Textile Fertilisers Oil_Gas Cement Capital_Good s Media FMCG Pharma Automobile Infrastructure Finance Others Power Metals Technology Realty Banking Telecom Index -2.64% 15.29% -0.94% 8.63% 0.60% 3.46% -2.62% 3.57% 2.56% -2.25% -0.30% 1.51% 4.21% -0.33% 1.57% 1.99% 1.67% -5.77% -26.38% Wkly OI change Textile Fertilisers Oil_Gas Cement Capital_Good s Media FMCG Pharma Automobile Infrastructure Finance Others Power Metals Technology Realty Banking Telecom Index 1.22% 2.45% 1.13% 0.90% 1.02% 1.71% 0.45% 0.36% 0.49% 0.72% 0.62% 1.15% 0.94% 0.09% 1.03% 0.96% 0.70% 0.58% 0.50% Wkly Roll Over change Textile Fertilisers Oil_Gas Cement Capital_Good s Media FMCG Pharma Automobile Infrastructure Finance Others Power Metals Technology Realty Banking Telecom Index
  • 5. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT SSttoocckk wwiissee OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt DDiissttrriibbuuttiioonn iinn BBaannkkiinngg SSeeccttoorr BBaannkk NNiiffttyy OOppeenn IInntteerreesstt ffoorr PPSSUU BBaannkkss VV//ss PPrriivvaattee BBaannkkss BBaannkk NNiiffttyy SSttrriikkee wwiissee ooppeenn iinntteerreesstt ddiissttrriibbuuttiioonn ICICIBANK, KOTAKBANK and BANKBARODA can see some POSITIVE move in this week. Bank Nifty has a very strong support at 28,000 with 28,000 PE strike having highest OI concentration followed by 27,500 and on the call front 29,000 CE strike has highest OI concentration indicating strong resistance level followed by 28,500. AXISBANK BANKBARODA BANKINDIA CANBK FEDERALBNK HDFCBANK ICICIBANK IDFCFIRSTB INDUSINDBK KOTAKBANK, 1% PNB RBLBANK, 2% SBIN UNIONBANK YESBANK 35% 65% Open Interest Psu Bank PrivateBank 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 27000 27100 27200 27300 27400 27500 27600 27700 27800 27900 28000 28100 28200 28300 28400 28500 28600 28700 28800 28900 29000 OpenInterest Open Interest Call OI Put OI
  • 6. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclosures: The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations). 1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com. 2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business activity. 3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report. 4. I/We, authors (Research team) and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We also certify that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12- month period. Research Team Sr. No Name Designation E-mail 1 Rajesh Palviya Technical & DerivativeAnalyst - (Head) rajesh.palviya@axissecurities.in 2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in 3 Hemang Gor Derivative Analyst hemang.gor@axissecurities.in 4 Hiren Trivedi Research Associate hiren.trivedi@axissecurities.in 5 Kiran Gawle Associate kiran.gawle@axissecurities.in 5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. 6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report, ASL or any of its associates may have: i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research report and / or; ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or; iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services from the subject company of this research report; ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other third-party in connection with this report Term& Conditions: This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. 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  • 7. 14 October 2019 For private circulation only WEEKLY DERIVATIVE REPORT Disclaimer: Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances. The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advise necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document. ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s) and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited. Axis Securities Limited, SEBI Single Reg. No.- NSE, BSE & MSEI – INZ000161633, ARN No. 64610, CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-693-2013, SEBI- Research Analyst Reg. No. INH 000000297, SEBI Portfolio Manager Reg. No.- INP000000654, Main/Dealing off.- Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808, Reg. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025.Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, E-Mail ID: compliance.officer@axisdirect.in,Tel No: 022-42671582.