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COFFEE PROBLEM: GLOBAL, REGIONAL &
LOCALLY PERSPECTIVES
PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH, MA, JD, PHD, EBS
CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUBSECTOR REFORMS IMPLEMENTATION STANDING
COMMITTEE, EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDNT
AFRICA COFFEE SUMMIT
SAFARI PARK HOTEL, NAIROBI, KENYA
25TH โ€“ 27 MAY 2022
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
๏‚— Stylized facts
๏‚ข long gestation period (3 years)
๏‚ข long producing life ( 28 years)
๏‚ข coffee is produced in the South (third world) but
consumed in the North (1 and 2 world): must be
exported
๏‚— Coffee Problem: PRICE
INSTABILITY/VOLATILITY
๏‚ข Why? Demand and Supply of Coffee are price
inelastic
2
AFRICA REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE
๏‚ข Africa has comparative and competitive
advantage in coffee production yet its total
coffee production has been steadily declining
๏‚ข FOB export price
๏‚— Africa coffee price receive 50 -70% compare with
Brazil and Vietnam which over 90%
๏‚ขRoot cause: internally inefficiency
3
KENYAโ€™S PERSPECTIVE
๏‚ข Paradox: High Price and decline production
๏‚— Why?
๏‚ขMarket Failure and policy ineffectiveness
๏‚— Why intervention? Coffee is a strategic
commodity
๏‚ขCoffee is an anchor of sustainable rural
development
๏‚ข Foreign currency earner
4
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
o Farmer-centric Coffee Reforms
o Pillar 1: Legal Reforms:
o The Crops (Coffee) General) Regulations 2019
o The Capital Markets(coffee exchange regulations 2019
o Objective: To protect farmersโ€™ property rights
o Status: Done
o Pillar 2: Coffee Subsidy Programs
o Objective: Reduce production costs
o Status: 1.4 Billion World Bank project
5
POLICY INTERVENTIONS.
o Pillar 3: Cherry Revolving Fund
o Objective; Addressing Cash-flow problems
o Status: 3 billion Cherry advance fund directive
o Status: Done
o Pillar 4: Modernization of NCE
o Objective: enhance transparency
o Status: NCE has been upgraded
6
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
o Pillar 5: Promote Youth Participation & Domestic consumption
o Objective: Strengthen Intergenerational link
o Status: proliferation of cafes
o Pillar 6: Institutional support
o Objective: support enforcement regulations and standards
o Status: minimum support
o Pillar 7: Market Kenyan Coffee
o Objective: Increase market share & minimize monopsony
problem
o Status: counties marketing initiative; Direct sale to South Korea
o Pillar 8: Audit Debts and Debt Waivers
o Objective: Free the farmers from odious debt
o Status: work on progress
7
PRELIMINARY IMPACT
๏‚ข General increase of the Coffee Prices
๏‚— Historical payout to coffee farmers
๏‚ขEmpowered Coffee Farmer
๏‚— Historical direct sale to South Korea
๏‚ขAlignment of interest of the coffee owners
and private actors
๏‚ข Farmers heightened awareness of their rights
๏‚ข Enhanced transparency on payout to farmers
๏‚ข Uptake of digitalization
8
TAKE AWAYS
๏‚ข POLICY IMPLEMENTATION QUESTION
๏‚— VARIABLE/PARAMETER?
๏‚ขINCREASE DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
๏‚— TO MITIGATE PRICE INSTABILITY
๏‚ข INCREASE INTER-REGIONAL TRADE
๏‚— TO MITIGATE MONOPSONY PROBLEM
๏‚ข COMMITMENT TO EMPOWER IACO
9
THANK-YOU
PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH JD PHD EBS
CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUB-SECTOR REFORMS
IMPLEMENTATION STANDING COMMITTEE
EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT
10

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Prof Kieyah presentation - The Kenya Coffee Reform Agenda.pptx

  • 1. COFFEE PROBLEM: GLOBAL, REGIONAL & LOCALLY PERSPECTIVES PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH, MA, JD, PHD, EBS CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUBSECTOR REFORMS IMPLEMENTATION STANDING COMMITTEE, EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDNT AFRICA COFFEE SUMMIT SAFARI PARK HOTEL, NAIROBI, KENYA 25TH โ€“ 27 MAY 2022
  • 2. GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE ๏‚— Stylized facts ๏‚ข long gestation period (3 years) ๏‚ข long producing life ( 28 years) ๏‚ข coffee is produced in the South (third world) but consumed in the North (1 and 2 world): must be exported ๏‚— Coffee Problem: PRICE INSTABILITY/VOLATILITY ๏‚ข Why? Demand and Supply of Coffee are price inelastic 2
  • 3. AFRICA REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE ๏‚ข Africa has comparative and competitive advantage in coffee production yet its total coffee production has been steadily declining ๏‚ข FOB export price ๏‚— Africa coffee price receive 50 -70% compare with Brazil and Vietnam which over 90% ๏‚ขRoot cause: internally inefficiency 3
  • 4. KENYAโ€™S PERSPECTIVE ๏‚ข Paradox: High Price and decline production ๏‚— Why? ๏‚ขMarket Failure and policy ineffectiveness ๏‚— Why intervention? Coffee is a strategic commodity ๏‚ขCoffee is an anchor of sustainable rural development ๏‚ข Foreign currency earner 4
  • 5. POLICY INTERVENTIONS o Farmer-centric Coffee Reforms o Pillar 1: Legal Reforms: o The Crops (Coffee) General) Regulations 2019 o The Capital Markets(coffee exchange regulations 2019 o Objective: To protect farmersโ€™ property rights o Status: Done o Pillar 2: Coffee Subsidy Programs o Objective: Reduce production costs o Status: 1.4 Billion World Bank project 5
  • 6. POLICY INTERVENTIONS. o Pillar 3: Cherry Revolving Fund o Objective; Addressing Cash-flow problems o Status: 3 billion Cherry advance fund directive o Status: Done o Pillar 4: Modernization of NCE o Objective: enhance transparency o Status: NCE has been upgraded 6
  • 7. POLICY INTERVENTIONS o Pillar 5: Promote Youth Participation & Domestic consumption o Objective: Strengthen Intergenerational link o Status: proliferation of cafes o Pillar 6: Institutional support o Objective: support enforcement regulations and standards o Status: minimum support o Pillar 7: Market Kenyan Coffee o Objective: Increase market share & minimize monopsony problem o Status: counties marketing initiative; Direct sale to South Korea o Pillar 8: Audit Debts and Debt Waivers o Objective: Free the farmers from odious debt o Status: work on progress 7
  • 8. PRELIMINARY IMPACT ๏‚ข General increase of the Coffee Prices ๏‚— Historical payout to coffee farmers ๏‚ขEmpowered Coffee Farmer ๏‚— Historical direct sale to South Korea ๏‚ขAlignment of interest of the coffee owners and private actors ๏‚ข Farmers heightened awareness of their rights ๏‚ข Enhanced transparency on payout to farmers ๏‚ข Uptake of digitalization 8
  • 9. TAKE AWAYS ๏‚ข POLICY IMPLEMENTATION QUESTION ๏‚— VARIABLE/PARAMETER? ๏‚ขINCREASE DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION ๏‚— TO MITIGATE PRICE INSTABILITY ๏‚ข INCREASE INTER-REGIONAL TRADE ๏‚— TO MITIGATE MONOPSONY PROBLEM ๏‚ข COMMITMENT TO EMPOWER IACO 9
  • 10. THANK-YOU PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH JD PHD EBS CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUB-SECTOR REFORMS IMPLEMENTATION STANDING COMMITTEE EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT 10