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COFFEE PROBLEM: GLOBAL, REGIONAL &
LOCALLY PERSPECTIVES
PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH, MA, JD, PHD, EBS
CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUBSECTOR REFORMS IMPLEMENTATION STANDING
COMMITTEE, EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDNT
AFRICA COFFEE SUMMIT
SAFARI PARK HOTEL, NAIROBI, KENYA
25TH – 27 MAY 2022
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
 Stylized facts
 long gestation period (3 years)
 long producing life ( 28 years)
 coffee is produced in the South (third world) but
consumed in the North (1 and 2 world): must be
exported
 Coffee Problem: PRICE
INSTABILITY/VOLATILITY
 Why? Demand and Supply of Coffee are price
inelastic
2
AFRICA REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE
 Africa has comparative and competitive
advantage in coffee production yet its total
coffee production has been steadily declining
 FOB export price
 Africa coffee price receive 50 -70% compare with
Brazil and Vietnam which over 90%
Root cause: internally inefficiency
3
KENYA’S PERSPECTIVE
 Paradox: High Price and decline production
 Why?
Market Failure and policy ineffectiveness
 Why intervention? Coffee is a strategic
commodity
Coffee is an anchor of sustainable rural
development
 Foreign currency earner
4
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
o Farmer-centric Coffee Reforms
o Pillar 1: Legal Reforms:
o The Crops (Coffee) General) Regulations 2019
o The Capital Markets(coffee exchange regulations 2019
o Objective: To protect farmers’ property rights
o Status: Done
o Pillar 2: Coffee Subsidy Programs
o Objective: Reduce production costs
o Status: 1.4 Billion World Bank project
5
POLICY INTERVENTIONS.
o Pillar 3: Cherry Revolving Fund
o Objective; Addressing Cash-flow problems
o Status: 3 billion Cherry advance fund directive
o Status: Done
o Pillar 4: Modernization of NCE
o Objective: enhance transparency
o Status: NCE has been upgraded
6
POLICY INTERVENTIONS
o Pillar 5: Promote Youth Participation & Domestic consumption
o Objective: Strengthen Intergenerational link
o Status: proliferation of cafes
o Pillar 6: Institutional support
o Objective: support enforcement regulations and standards
o Status: minimum support
o Pillar 7: Market Kenyan Coffee
o Objective: Increase market share & minimize monopsony
problem
o Status: counties marketing initiative; Direct sale to South Korea
o Pillar 8: Audit Debts and Debt Waivers
o Objective: Free the farmers from odious debt
o Status: work on progress
7
PRELIMINARY IMPACT
 General increase of the Coffee Prices
 Historical payout to coffee farmers
Empowered Coffee Farmer
 Historical direct sale to South Korea
Alignment of interest of the coffee owners
and private actors
 Farmers heightened awareness of their rights
 Enhanced transparency on payout to farmers
 Uptake of digitalization
8
TAKE AWAYS
 POLICY IMPLEMENTATION QUESTION
 VARIABLE/PARAMETER?
INCREASE DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
 TO MITIGATE PRICE INSTABILITY
 INCREASE INTER-REGIONAL TRADE
 TO MITIGATE MONOPSONY PROBLEM
 COMMITMENT TO EMPOWER IACO
9
THANK-YOU
PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH JD PHD EBS
CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUB-SECTOR REFORMS
IMPLEMENTATION STANDING COMMITTEE
EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT
10

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Prof Kieyah presentation - The Kenya Coffee Reform Agenda.pptx

  • 1. COFFEE PROBLEM: GLOBAL, REGIONAL & LOCALLY PERSPECTIVES PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH, MA, JD, PHD, EBS CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUBSECTOR REFORMS IMPLEMENTATION STANDING COMMITTEE, EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDNT AFRICA COFFEE SUMMIT SAFARI PARK HOTEL, NAIROBI, KENYA 25TH – 27 MAY 2022
  • 2. GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE  Stylized facts  long gestation period (3 years)  long producing life ( 28 years)  coffee is produced in the South (third world) but consumed in the North (1 and 2 world): must be exported  Coffee Problem: PRICE INSTABILITY/VOLATILITY  Why? Demand and Supply of Coffee are price inelastic 2
  • 3. AFRICA REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE  Africa has comparative and competitive advantage in coffee production yet its total coffee production has been steadily declining  FOB export price  Africa coffee price receive 50 -70% compare with Brazil and Vietnam which over 90% Root cause: internally inefficiency 3
  • 4. KENYA’S PERSPECTIVE  Paradox: High Price and decline production  Why? Market Failure and policy ineffectiveness  Why intervention? Coffee is a strategic commodity Coffee is an anchor of sustainable rural development  Foreign currency earner 4
  • 5. POLICY INTERVENTIONS o Farmer-centric Coffee Reforms o Pillar 1: Legal Reforms: o The Crops (Coffee) General) Regulations 2019 o The Capital Markets(coffee exchange regulations 2019 o Objective: To protect farmers’ property rights o Status: Done o Pillar 2: Coffee Subsidy Programs o Objective: Reduce production costs o Status: 1.4 Billion World Bank project 5
  • 6. POLICY INTERVENTIONS. o Pillar 3: Cherry Revolving Fund o Objective; Addressing Cash-flow problems o Status: 3 billion Cherry advance fund directive o Status: Done o Pillar 4: Modernization of NCE o Objective: enhance transparency o Status: NCE has been upgraded 6
  • 7. POLICY INTERVENTIONS o Pillar 5: Promote Youth Participation & Domestic consumption o Objective: Strengthen Intergenerational link o Status: proliferation of cafes o Pillar 6: Institutional support o Objective: support enforcement regulations and standards o Status: minimum support o Pillar 7: Market Kenyan Coffee o Objective: Increase market share & minimize monopsony problem o Status: counties marketing initiative; Direct sale to South Korea o Pillar 8: Audit Debts and Debt Waivers o Objective: Free the farmers from odious debt o Status: work on progress 7
  • 8. PRELIMINARY IMPACT  General increase of the Coffee Prices  Historical payout to coffee farmers Empowered Coffee Farmer  Historical direct sale to South Korea Alignment of interest of the coffee owners and private actors  Farmers heightened awareness of their rights  Enhanced transparency on payout to farmers  Uptake of digitalization 8
  • 9. TAKE AWAYS  POLICY IMPLEMENTATION QUESTION  VARIABLE/PARAMETER? INCREASE DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION  TO MITIGATE PRICE INSTABILITY  INCREASE INTER-REGIONAL TRADE  TO MITIGATE MONOPSONY PROBLEM  COMMITMENT TO EMPOWER IACO 9
  • 10. THANK-YOU PROF JOSEPH KIEYAH JD PHD EBS CHAIRMAN, COFFEE SUB-SECTOR REFORMS IMPLEMENTATION STANDING COMMITTEE EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT 10