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ENGLISH 7_Q4_LESSON 2_ Employing a Variety of Strategies for Effective Interp...
Risk assessment
1.
2. COURSE CONTENTS
ENVIRONMENTAL TOXICOLOGY ZOL 610 3(2-1)
Toxicology: History , Terms and definitions, principles of
Toxicology, Development and present scope of
environmental toxicology, Framework of environmental
toxicology, toxicological evaluation, Sources of
environmental toxicants, / Pollutants: Gaseous chemicals
and heavy metals, toxicity testing,
Characteristics of exposure, spectrum of Toxic effects,
Indices of toxicity, toxico- dynamics, toxico-kinetics
(absorption, distribution and elimination of toxic agents)
Biotransformation, Detoxification and biodegradation.
Pollution and remediation, ecological risk assessment
3.
4. Risk is defined as the possibility of loss or
injury
Within the context of environmental
toxicology it is the possibility of an
undesirable biological response (toxicity) that
results from exposure to a toxicant.
5. Risk may be expressed as a
probability (e.g.,P=0.00001) or
incidence (e.g., 1 in 100,000).
Risk (probability or incidence) is based on
statistical estimates from sample populations
studied during toxicity testing and on other
observations
6. Risk assessment is the process of examining
toxicological and epidemiological data
for a suspected toxicant and then, if
warranted, estimating permissible exposures
7. Four steps characterize the process:
1 toxicant identification
2 toxicant evaluation
3 exposure evaluation
4 risk estimation.
8. To identify a toxicant
a review of existing literature,
include toxicity tests and
epidemiology
descriptive toxicity testing
Does the agent cause the adverse
effect?
9. Different toxicity tests are performed. For
careful testing following points are important
the applicability of those tests to humans
must be evaluated, carried out in non human
species
Careful attention to variability in age, sex,
diet, circadian rhythms, hormonal status, and
biotransformation
10. With good experimental design, exposure
to a suspected toxicant is precisely regulated
during toxicity testing.
Descriptive toxicologists predetermine the
exposure parameters, including the
organisms exposed, route of entry, dose,
frequency (how often), and duration (how
long) of dosing.
11. Under “field” conditions the regulation of
these parameters can present an illusive
element to the risk assessor
the inability to control the test organisms
(young, old, male, female, or pregnant
female),
route of entry (percutaneous, respiratory
or digestive system),
dose (?mg/ kg),
frequency of dose (?mg/kg/?min, day,
week, year, lifetime)
duration of dose (seconds, minutes, hours,
12. The assessment should examine exposures
currently experienced as well as those
anticipated under different conditions.
13. Maximum daily dose (MDD)
Exposure for non carcinogenic toxicants
is expressed as maximum daily dose
(mg/kg/day)
Lifetime average daily dose (LADD)
Exposure to carcinogens is stated as lifetime
average daily dose (LADD) (mg /kg /day
/lifetime).
14. Risk
is the probability of an undesirable
biological response resulting from exposure
to a toxicant.
Estimating risk
requires an integration of the toxicity
conclusions
(toxicant identification and dose-response
evaluation) and exposure assessment (MDD
or LADD).
15. Risk is approximated by the equation:
R = T x E
Where
risk=R
toxicity=T
exposure =E
16. Dose-response relationships are not linear
(as in the characteristic sigmoidal graph
lines), exposure is more accurately expressed
as a function (f) as seen in the following
equation:
R = T x f (E)
17. R = T x f (E)
This equation is the source of risk statements
such as 1 in 1,000 individuals will
develop toxicity (a specific disease) if
exposed
to a specific dose (MDD or LADD)
of a toxicant for a certain period of time.
18. Risk management is to examine risk
assessment data and, where needed, develop
regulatory options that address public health
and social and economic concerns.
19. Federal agencies charged with overseeing risk
management often
must overcome the influence of negative
public perceptions and
legislative mandates to arrive at responsible
decisions.
20. Safety is defined as the possibility that an
undesirable biological response (toxicity)
will not result from exposure to a toxicant—
it is the inverse of the probability of risk
(i.e., 1÷P).
21. For example, when the risk of toxicity from a
given exposure is P=0.00001, safety equals 1
divided by 0.00001 (or
Safety = 1/0.00001
It can be concluded that for every 100,000
exposures only 1 of those exposures will
result in an adverse response.
22. Since toxicity studies depend on nonhuman
test organisms, some means of extrapolating
results to humans is required.
One calculation that permits more realistic
extrapolations of toxicokinetic data from test
organisms to humans is the Safe Human Dose
(SHD) formula
23. Safe Human Dose (SHD) formula:
SHD = mg/ day
=ED0.0 x A1/h xT1/21/h x Wt x D1/h
SF
The goal of the SHD is to establish doses at
which risk equals or approaches zero (P=0.0).
24. where
ED 0.0 = threshold dose of toxicant
(NOEL)
At/h = ratio of absorption of toxicant in test
organism and human
T1/2t/h = ratio of half-life of toxicant in test
organism and human
Wt = weight of exposed individual
D t/h = ratio of toxicant test dosages in animals
to exposure dosages in humans
SF = safety factor
25. safety factor (SF)
depends on the reliability of data used for
extrapolation—a subjective judgment based
on previous experience.
may range from 10 to 1,000,
with lower SFs being used when valid human
data is available and higher SFs indicative of a
lack of human data.
26. Shaw, I. and J. Chadwick. 2002. Principles of
Environmental Toxicology. Taylor & Francis Ltd, 1
Gunpowder Square, London EC4A 3DF.
Yu, Ming-Ho. 2005. Environmental toxicology:
biological and health effects of pollutants. 2nd
edition. CRC Press LLC, 2000 N.W. Corporate
Blvd., Boca Raton, Florida 33431
Hughes, W. William. 2005. Essentials of
environmental toxicology: Risk Assessment.
Taylor & Francis, 325 Chestnut St., Suite 800,
Philadelphia, Pa 19106. pp. 143-147
Editor's Notes
Risk statements, when properly interpreted, provide a valuable means for comparing the relative, but not necessarily absolute, possibility of a response occurring on exposure to a toxicant.
Epidemiological data are different from experimental data, and refer to various nonexperimental observations, including population exposure levels and health effect values observed from the samples.
The dose-response conclusions of descriptive toxicology are sufficient for toxicant identification—it is not necessary to understand the mode of action of a toxicant (mechanistic toxicology).
An awareness of inter specific (between species) and intra specific (within species) variability in toxicity testing is necessary when evaluating non human tests.
Risk and safety are numerical estimates that result from consideration of toxicity and exposure—only two of the many factors influencing the capacity of a toxic agent to cause disease and death.