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Vamos falar do que
realmente importa em Mobile
From Latam with
Staff Traffic (NOI)
3x (2018 vs. 2017)
Flavio Levi Moreira
Sales Director - Brazil
Luiz Lima
Sales Executive - Brazil
Marlon Felipe Luft
Regional Marketing
Manager, LATAM
Ricardo Pereira Araújo
Customer Success
Manager
Luis Miguel una-Stapel
Senior Customer
Success Manager
Daniel Junowicz
Managing Director -
LATAM
Diego Valderamma
Customer Success
Manager
Camila Carneiro
Partner Development
Manager - LATAM
1 in 3
Customer-Obsessed
CUSTOMER
RETENTION
97%
CUSTOMER
FACING
Product-Driven
LARGEST
R&D
TEAM
2.5X INDUSTRY
AVERAGE
FASTEST
RELEASE
CYCLE
3X INDUSTRY AVERAGE
FRACTIONAL
ATTRIBUTION
FROM FIRST ASSIST TO
LAST CLICK
CROSS-DEVICE,
PEOPLE-BASED
INSIGHTS
ALONG THE CUSTOMER
JOURNEY
UNIQUE SCALE &
MACHINE LEARNING
FOR UNPARALLELED
COVERAGE
PEOPLE-BASED
ATTRIBUTION
MOBILE FRAUD
PROTECTION
MULTI-TOUCH
ATTRIBUTION
Road Map
The State of App Marketing:
Brazil
2018 vs. 2017 Trends
Data Sample
3 Billion
Installs
350 Billion
App opens
$170 Million
Revenue
120 Million
Installs with cost data
FOCUS
Overall Market Trends
INSTALLS
Non-Organic Organic
Q
2-2018
Non-Organic Rising
Share of Non-Organic Installs in the App Install Pie
80%
Q
1-2018
Q
4-2017
Q
3-2017
Q
2-2017
Q
1-2017
Q
4-2016
Q
3-2016
31%
25%
19%20%22%20%
31% 35%
78%
80% 81%
75%
69% 69%
65%
Apps Increasingly Investing
in Paid Channels
YoY Growth in Average Number of Installs Per App
2017
Non-Organic Organic
20182016
+165%
+15%
+9%
+3%
Popularity of Video Surging
Share of Paid Installs Attributed to Video Ads
2.2%
3.6%
8.8%
2017 20182016
Top Media
Sources by
Installs & Client
Adoption
(April-May)
2016
2016
Top Media
Sources by
Installs & Client
Adoption
(April-May)
2017
+8
+10
2016
Top Media
Sources by
Installs & Client
Adoption
(April-May)
+9
-3
+5
2018
2017
+8
+10 +11
1-2-3 Takeaways
Apps investing in non-organic amid
organic decline and increased confidence
in data & analytics
Marketers turning to video to drive quality
installs at scale
Media landscape in Brazil relatively
unchanged
1
2
3
ENGAGEMENT
sli.do
#mamasp
Loyalty from Organic Users Dropping
Day 30 Retention
5.5% 5.6%
Non-Organic Organic
6.2%
5.7%
2017 2018
Long-Term Retention is Slightly Decreasing
Week 12 Retention
5.7%
5.5%
2017
Non-Organic Organic
7.3%
7.1%
2018
Engagement Challenge → Retargeting
Average Retargeting Conversions Per App Running Campaigns (2017 vs. 2018)
+73% +52%
1-2-3 Takeaways
Retaining app users over time is a major challenge
Marketers are increasing their investment to bring
users back to their app, especially in Android
Marketers should focus on retention-driven
optimization, devise aggressive re-engagement
plan using multiple channels
1
2
3
LTV
Revenue-Driven Optimization Driving Results on iOS
Day 90 LTV By Platform (USD)
2017 2018
0.74
1.34
1.67
0.76
Non-Organic Closing Gap with Organic
Day 90 LTV By Type (USD)
Non-Organic Organic
2017 2018
0.71
0.78
0.89 0.88
More Users Spending Money in Apps, But Number Still Low
Share of Paying Users (90 Days)
2017 2018
2.7%
3.3%
2.9%
3.5%
Non-Organic Optimization Up 60%
Share of Paying Users (90 Days)
2017 2018
2.0%
3.2%
2.6%
3.4%
Non-Organic Organic
Revenue-related KPIs mainly positive across the
board; Good job marketers!
iOS LTV outperforms Android, among paying users
the OS gap is less significant
Difference between organic and non-organic LTV is
narrowing thanks to increased growth of the latter
1-2-3 Takeaways
1
2
3
Cost & ROI
Media Cost Shows 5X Higher Growth Rate on Android
Cost Per Install (USD)
2017 2018
0.60
0.74
0.88
0.92
ROAS: Room For Improvement
Return on Ad Spend (90 Days)
2017 2018
40.8%37.8%
Break-even point
1-2-3 Takeaways
Price of media keeps rising but LTV is growing
faster, leading to improved ROAS
ROAS relatively low due to a low LTV
Focusing on LTV-driven optimization to boost
revenue will push ROAS forward thanks to low CPI
1
2
3
FRAUD
Fraud Comes in Waves
Overall App Install Fraud Rate Trend
Jan 18 Feb 18 Mar 18 Apr 18 May 18
10.1%
15.0%
13.4%
14.3%
18.8%
June 18
11.2%
$82M
Scale, Lack of Sophistication Attracts Fraudsters
Financial Exposure (January-May 2018)
1-2-3 Takeaways
Protect Yourself1
UNVEILING
App Install Market Predictions
Industry-First!
sli.do
#mamasp
Predictive Model
● 5 statistical models applied
● Based on AppsFlyer’s historical data comprising of:
● 25 billion installs
● $16 billion in ad spend
● 50,000 apps
● Marketing-driven app installs divided into two groups:
1. Attribution market
2. Non-attributed market
● Other parameters
1. 3rd party mobile attribution market share data
2. CPI prediction per region
3. Number of apps in stores
4. Number of installs
Mobile Attribution keep biting of the
Non-Attributed share
Non-Organic Installs in LATAM in Billions (2017-2020)
0.8
1.6
2017 2018 2019 2020
1.1
2.6
1.4
3.7
1.7
4.6
2.4
3.7
5.1
6.3
55%
37%
Mobile Attribution Non-Attributed YOY Growth
23%
High Growth Rate Predicted in Spend
Despite Relative Slowdown
App Install Ad Spend in LATAM, in Billions (2017-2020)
Mobile Attribution Non-Attributed YOY Growth
2017 2018 2019 2020
$1.8
$1.2
$3.1
$1.7
$3.0
$4.8
$6.8
$4.6
$2.2
$6.0
$2.5
$8.5
58%
41%
26%
1-2-3 Takeaways
The Mobile Attribution market in LATAM is expected to
grow at the expense of the non-attributed market as
more apps realize the need
The equation is clear:
Higher cost + more paid campaigns + more apps
+ increased mobile use + more users
= increased spend
With maturity, growth slows but remains robust
1
2
3
THANK YOU!

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The State of App Marketing in Brazil and LATAM 2018 by AppsFlyer

  • 1. Vamos falar do que realmente importa em Mobile
  • 2. From Latam with Staff Traffic (NOI) 3x (2018 vs. 2017) Flavio Levi Moreira Sales Director - Brazil Luiz Lima Sales Executive - Brazil Marlon Felipe Luft Regional Marketing Manager, LATAM Ricardo Pereira Araújo Customer Success Manager Luis Miguel una-Stapel Senior Customer Success Manager Daniel Junowicz Managing Director - LATAM Diego Valderamma Customer Success Manager Camila Carneiro Partner Development Manager - LATAM
  • 5. FRACTIONAL ATTRIBUTION FROM FIRST ASSIST TO LAST CLICK CROSS-DEVICE, PEOPLE-BASED INSIGHTS ALONG THE CUSTOMER JOURNEY UNIQUE SCALE & MACHINE LEARNING FOR UNPARALLELED COVERAGE PEOPLE-BASED ATTRIBUTION MOBILE FRAUD PROTECTION MULTI-TOUCH ATTRIBUTION Road Map
  • 6. The State of App Marketing: Brazil 2018 vs. 2017 Trends
  • 7. Data Sample 3 Billion Installs 350 Billion App opens $170 Million Revenue 120 Million Installs with cost data
  • 10. Non-Organic Organic Q 2-2018 Non-Organic Rising Share of Non-Organic Installs in the App Install Pie 80% Q 1-2018 Q 4-2017 Q 3-2017 Q 2-2017 Q 1-2017 Q 4-2016 Q 3-2016 31% 25% 19%20%22%20% 31% 35% 78% 80% 81% 75% 69% 69% 65%
  • 11. Apps Increasingly Investing in Paid Channels YoY Growth in Average Number of Installs Per App 2017 Non-Organic Organic 20182016 +165% +15% +9% +3%
  • 12. Popularity of Video Surging Share of Paid Installs Attributed to Video Ads 2.2% 3.6% 8.8% 2017 20182016
  • 13. Top Media Sources by Installs & Client Adoption (April-May) 2016
  • 14. 2016 Top Media Sources by Installs & Client Adoption (April-May) 2017 +8 +10
  • 15. 2016 Top Media Sources by Installs & Client Adoption (April-May) +9 -3 +5 2018 2017 +8 +10 +11
  • 16. 1-2-3 Takeaways Apps investing in non-organic amid organic decline and increased confidence in data & analytics Marketers turning to video to drive quality installs at scale Media landscape in Brazil relatively unchanged 1 2 3
  • 19. Loyalty from Organic Users Dropping Day 30 Retention 5.5% 5.6% Non-Organic Organic 6.2% 5.7% 2017 2018
  • 20. Long-Term Retention is Slightly Decreasing Week 12 Retention 5.7% 5.5% 2017 Non-Organic Organic 7.3% 7.1% 2018
  • 21. Engagement Challenge → Retargeting Average Retargeting Conversions Per App Running Campaigns (2017 vs. 2018) +73% +52%
  • 22. 1-2-3 Takeaways Retaining app users over time is a major challenge Marketers are increasing their investment to bring users back to their app, especially in Android Marketers should focus on retention-driven optimization, devise aggressive re-engagement plan using multiple channels 1 2 3
  • 23. LTV
  • 24. Revenue-Driven Optimization Driving Results on iOS Day 90 LTV By Platform (USD) 2017 2018 0.74 1.34 1.67 0.76
  • 25. Non-Organic Closing Gap with Organic Day 90 LTV By Type (USD) Non-Organic Organic 2017 2018 0.71 0.78 0.89 0.88
  • 26. More Users Spending Money in Apps, But Number Still Low Share of Paying Users (90 Days) 2017 2018 2.7% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5%
  • 27. Non-Organic Optimization Up 60% Share of Paying Users (90 Days) 2017 2018 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 3.4% Non-Organic Organic
  • 28. Revenue-related KPIs mainly positive across the board; Good job marketers! iOS LTV outperforms Android, among paying users the OS gap is less significant Difference between organic and non-organic LTV is narrowing thanks to increased growth of the latter 1-2-3 Takeaways 1 2 3
  • 30. Media Cost Shows 5X Higher Growth Rate on Android Cost Per Install (USD) 2017 2018 0.60 0.74 0.88 0.92
  • 31. ROAS: Room For Improvement Return on Ad Spend (90 Days) 2017 2018 40.8%37.8% Break-even point
  • 32. 1-2-3 Takeaways Price of media keeps rising but LTV is growing faster, leading to improved ROAS ROAS relatively low due to a low LTV Focusing on LTV-driven optimization to boost revenue will push ROAS forward thanks to low CPI 1 2 3
  • 33. FRAUD
  • 34. Fraud Comes in Waves Overall App Install Fraud Rate Trend Jan 18 Feb 18 Mar 18 Apr 18 May 18 10.1% 15.0% 13.4% 14.3% 18.8% June 18 11.2%
  • 35. $82M Scale, Lack of Sophistication Attracts Fraudsters Financial Exposure (January-May 2018)
  • 37. UNVEILING App Install Market Predictions Industry-First!
  • 39. Predictive Model ● 5 statistical models applied ● Based on AppsFlyer’s historical data comprising of: ● 25 billion installs ● $16 billion in ad spend ● 50,000 apps ● Marketing-driven app installs divided into two groups: 1. Attribution market 2. Non-attributed market ● Other parameters 1. 3rd party mobile attribution market share data 2. CPI prediction per region 3. Number of apps in stores 4. Number of installs
  • 40. Mobile Attribution keep biting of the Non-Attributed share Non-Organic Installs in LATAM in Billions (2017-2020) 0.8 1.6 2017 2018 2019 2020 1.1 2.6 1.4 3.7 1.7 4.6 2.4 3.7 5.1 6.3 55% 37% Mobile Attribution Non-Attributed YOY Growth 23%
  • 41. High Growth Rate Predicted in Spend Despite Relative Slowdown App Install Ad Spend in LATAM, in Billions (2017-2020) Mobile Attribution Non-Attributed YOY Growth 2017 2018 2019 2020 $1.8 $1.2 $3.1 $1.7 $3.0 $4.8 $6.8 $4.6 $2.2 $6.0 $2.5 $8.5 58% 41% 26%
  • 42. 1-2-3 Takeaways The Mobile Attribution market in LATAM is expected to grow at the expense of the non-attributed market as more apps realize the need The equation is clear: Higher cost + more paid campaigns + more apps + increased mobile use + more users = increased spend With maturity, growth slows but remains robust 1 2 3