Continental Airlines Flies High with
Real-time Business Intelligence
Continental Airlines Flies High with
Real-time Business Intelligence1
Uday Kulkarni
Arizona State University
1 This mini case study is adapted for executive seminar audience from the original full-length case
study: “Continental Airlines Flies High with Real-time Business Intelligence”, Anderson-Lehman R.,
Watson H. J., Wixom B. H. and Hoffer J. A., Teradata University Network,
www.teradatauniversitynetwork.com
1
Continental Airlines Flies High with
Real-time Business Intelligence
Introduction
Real-time business intelligence (BI) is taking Continental Airlines to new heights. The company has
dramatically changed all aspects of its business, resulting in industry-leading customer service and
generating a considerable financial “lift.” Continental’s president and COO, Larry Kellner 2
, describes
the impact of real-time BI in the following way: “Real-time BI is critical to the accomplishment of our
business strategy and has created significant business benefits." Some of the ways that Continental is
using and benefiting from real-time BI are:
• Flight attendants, gate agents, and all “customer-facing” employees know at all times who
Continental’s high-value customers are, and they provide outstanding service to these
customers, contributing to Continental’s track record of customer service.
• The Operations staff at the hubs monitors on-time performance throughout the day and
makes operational decisions about catering, personnel, and gate traffic flow, thus solidifying
Continental’s ranking as the most on-time airline.
• Pricing specialists track in real-time the impact of price changes on reservations and make
adjustments that optimize revenues.
Company Background Information
Continental Airlines was founded in 1934 with a single-engine Lockheed aircraft on dusty runways in
the American Southwest. Over the years, Continental grew and successfully weathered the storms
associated with the highly volatile, competitive airline industry. In 2011, Continental was one of the
top 5 airlines in the USA measured by passengers carried, destinations, passenger-kilometers, etc. It
carries over 100 million passengers a year to five continents (North and South America, Europe, Asia,
and Australia), with over 2,400 daily departures, to more than 262 destinations. 3
An Airline in Trouble
In the early 1990’s, Continental was in trouble. There were ten major US airlines, and Continental
ranked tenth in on-time performance, mishandled baggage, customer complaints, and denied
boardings because of overbooking. Not surprisingly, with this kind of service, Continental was in
financial trouble. It had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection twice in the previous ten years
and was heading for a third, and likely final, bankruptcy. It had also gone through ten CEOs in ten ...
Continental Airlines Optimizes Revenue and Customer Service with Real-Time BI
1. Continental Airlines Flies High with
Real-time Business Intelligence
Continental Airlines Flies High with
Real-time Business Intelligence1
Uday Kulkarni
Arizona State University
1 This mini case study is adapted for executive seminar
audience from the original full-length case
study: “Continental Airlines Flies High with Real-time Business
Intelligence”, Anderson-Lehman R.,
Watson H. J., Wixom B. H. and Hoffer J. A., Teradata
University Network,
www.teradatauniversitynetwork.com
1
2. Continental Airlines Flies High with
Real-time Business Intelligence
Introduction
Real-time business intelligence (BI) is taking Continental
Airlines to new heights. The company has
dramatically changed all aspects of its business, resulting in
industry-leading customer service and
generating a considerable financial “lift.” Continental’s
president and COO, Larry Kellner 2
, describes
the impact of real-time BI in the following way: “Real-time BI
is critical to the accomplishment of our
business strategy and has created significant business benefits."
Some of the ways that Continental is
using and benefiting from real-time BI are:
• Flight attendants, gate agents, and all “customer-facing”
employees know at all times who
Continental’s high-value customers are, and they provide
outstanding service to these
customers, contributing to Continental’s track record of
customer service.
• The Operations staff at the hubs monitors on-time performance
throughout the day and
makes operational decisions about catering, personnel, and gate
traffic flow, thus solidifying
Continental’s ranking as the most on-time airline.
• Pricing specialists track in real-time the impact of price
changes on reservations and make
adjustments that optimize revenues.
3. Company Background Information
Continental Airlines was founded in 1934 with a single-engine
Lockheed aircraft on dusty runways in
the American Southwest. Over the years, Continental grew and
successfully weathered the storms
associated with the highly volatile, competitive airline industry.
In 2011, Continental was one of the
top 5 airlines in the USA measured by passengers carried,
destinations, passenger-kilometers, etc. It
carries over 100 million passengers a year to five continents
(North and South America, Europe, Asia,
and Australia), with over 2,400 daily departures, to more than
262 destinations. 3
An Airline in Trouble
In the early 1990’s, Continental was in trouble. There were ten
major US airlines, and Continental
ranked tenth in on-time performance, mishandled baggage,
customer complaints, and denied
boardings because of overbooking. Not surprisingly, with this
kind of service, Continental was in
financial trouble. It had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
protection twice in the previous ten years
and was heading for a third, and likely final, bankruptcy. It had
also gone through ten CEOs in ten
years. People joked that Continental was a “Perfect 10.”
Gordon Bethune and the Go Forward Plan
The rebirth of Continental began in 1994 when Gordon Bethune
took the controls as CEO. He and
Greg Brenneman, who was a consultant at the time, completely
revamped the airline with a “Go
Forward Plan” 4 . It had four interrelated parts that formed the
4. cornerstone of Continental’s strategy.
• Fly to Win. Continental needed to better understand what
products customers wanted and
were willing to pay for.
• Fund the Future. Continental needed to change its costs and
cash flow so that the airline
2 2004-2009
3 On August 27, 2010, US regulators approved a planned
merger between United and Continental
Airlines. The merger was completed in early 2012, which made
the combined airline the second
biggest airline in terms of fleet size.
4 “Right Away and All at Once: How We Saved Continental” by
Greg Brenneman, Harvard Business
Review, Sep-Oct 1998.
2
could continue to operate.
• Make Reliability a Reality. Continental had to be an airline
that got its customers to their
destinations safely, on-time, and with their luggage.
• Working Together. Continental needed to create a culture
where people wanted to come to
work.
Most employees bought into the plan, and those who didn’t, left
the company. With the Go Forward
5. Plan and a re-energized workforce, Continental made rapid
strides. Within two years, it moved from
“worst to first” in many airline performance metrics.
Analytics
Continental’s current position is dramatically different
compared to those times. A key to this
turnaround, the Go Forward Plan, continues to be Continental’s
blueprint for success and is
increasingly supported by real-time BI and data warehousing.
Currently, the use of real-time
technologies has been critical for Continental in moving from
“first to favorite” among its customers,
especially among its best customers.
Analytical capabilities give Continental a competitive
advantage. But, these capabilities need to
continuously evolve to maintain the competitive advantage that
they offer. Initial applications in
pricing and revenue management provided a variety of early,
big “wins” for Continental. These were
followed by the integration of customer information, finance,
flight information, and security. They
created significant financial lift in all areas of the Go Forward
Plan.
This mini case study describes strategically aligned applications
of real-time BI in three areas:
revenue management, customer relationship management, and
flight operations. They are among the
many that Continental implemented and illustrate how real-time
BI is affecting almost all of the areas
that Continental does business in.
Real-time BI Applications
6. From its main operational systems to the warehouse,
Continental moves real-time data (ranging
from to-the-minute to hourly) about customers, reservations,
check-ins, operations, and flights. This
has transitioned Continental from analyzing and reporting what
happened in the past to influencing
current decisions and business processes.
REVENUE MANAGEMENT
The purpose of revenue management is to maximize revenue
given a set of resources. An airline seat
is a perishable good, and an unfilled seat has no value once a
plane takes off. The warehouse
integrates multiple data sources - flight schedule data, customer
data, inventory data, and more - to
support pricing and revenue management decision-making.
Fare Design
Continental understands how important it is to offer competitive
prices for flights to desired places
at convenient times. Continental uses real-time data to optimize
airfares (using mathematical
programming models). Once a change is made in price, revenue
management immediately begins
tracking the impact of that price on bookings. And, knowing
immediately how a fare is selling allows
the group to adjust how many seats should be sold at a given
price. Continental has earned an
estimated $10 million annually through fare design activities.
Prior to the availability of real-time
data, Continental’s pricing was a less effective at filling seats
and optimizing fares.
CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT
In additional to the traditional CRM applications (such as,
customer segmentation and target
7. marketing, loyalty/retention management, customer acquisition,
channel optimization, and
campaign management), marketing has created other innovative
CRM applications that leverage the
3
warehouse’s real-time capabilities. A customer value model
using frequency, recency, and monetary
value gives Continental an understanding of its most profitable
customers. Every month, the
customer value analysis is performed using data in the
warehouse, and the value is fed back to
Continental’s customer database. Although the value is not
adjusted real-time, it is provided to
Continental’s customer–facing systems so that employees know
who their best customers are.
Marketing Insight
With Marketing Insight, sales personnel, marketi ng
managers, and flight personnel (e.g., ticket agents, flight
attendants) can see customer profiles - what the person’s
value is to the airline. Flight attendants receive the
information by reading their “final report,” which lists the
passengers on their flights, expanded to include value
information. Gate agents are able to pull customer
information up on their screen and drill into flight history
to see which high-value customers have had flight
disruptions. A commonly told story is about a flight
attendant who saw a high-value customer’s recent flight
disruption and apologized on behalf of
Continental. The passenger was floored that she would know
about the incident and then care
enough to apologize.
8. FLIGHT OPERATIONS
Operations is concerned with all aspects of getting people
to their destinations safely, on-time, efficiently, and with
their luggage. This is where customers have either a good
or bad flying experience, and Continental works hard to
provide excellent service. Good operations also can reduce
costs by ensuring that ground personnel are in the right
place at the right time. Special real-time applications have
been developed to support this capability.
Flight Management Dashboard
The Flight Management Dashboard is an innovative set of
interactive graphical displays developed by
the data warehouse group. These displays are intended to help
the operations staff quickly identify
issues in the Continental flight network and then manage flights
in ways to improve customer
satisfaction and airline profitability.
Some of the dashboard’s displays help Operations to better
serve Continental’s high-value customers.
For example, one of the displays is a graphical depiction of a
concourse, which is used to assess
where Continental’s high-value customers are or will be in a
particular airport hub (see Figure 1).
The display shows gates where these customers have potential
gate connection problems so that gate
agents, baggage supervisors, and other operations managers can
assess where ground transportation
assistance and other services are needed so these customers and
their luggage avoid missing flights.
It can be seen that Flight 678 is arriving 21 minutes late at Gate
C37 and two high-value customers
(3* and 5*) need assistance in making their connections at
Gates C24 and C29, which are 20 and 12
9. minutes away, resp.
On-time arrival is an important operational measurement at
Continental. Therefore, another critical
set of dashboard displays helps Operations keep the arri vals and
departures of flights on time. One
display shows the traffic volume between the three Continental
hub stations and the rest of their
network (see Figure 2). The line thickness between nodes is
used to indicate relative flight volumes
and the number of late flights so that the operations staff can
anticipate where services need to be
expedited. The operations staff can click on the lines and drill
down to see individual flight
information. Another line graph summarizes flight lateness.
Users can drill down to more detailed pie
charts that show degrees of lateness, and then, within each pie,
to the individual flights in that
4
category. In all of these elements of the dashboard, high-level
views can be broken down to show the
details on customers or flights that compose different statistics
or categories.
Figure 1: Concourse Display of High-Value Customer Activity
Figure 2: Display of Flight Lateness and Current Traffic
From/To Hubs
10. Gate Flight From Status
C37 #678 SAN 21 min late
To C24 #155 DCA 3*/20 min
To C29 #253 OKC 5*/12 min
5
Value Creation
Regardless of how exciting a strategy and the supporting
applications are, value is not created until
people act. A key to Continental’s success is a service-oriented
culture – to one another and to
customers. Continental’s employees believe that people should
be treated with dignity and respect,
and this tenet is a major component of the Go Forward Plan
(e.g., Working Together). The
combination of a well thought out business strategy, a service-
oriented culture, and real-time
technologies that are consistent with this culture has been
responsible for Continental’s turnaround
and current success.
Continental invested approximately $30 million into real -time
warehousing, of which $20 million
was for hardware and software expenses, and $10 million was
for personnel costs. Although this
investment is significant, the quantifiable benefits from real -
time warehousing are magnitudes
larger. Specifically, over the first six years iteself, Continental
realized over $500 million in increased
revenues and cost savings, resulting in a ROI of over 1,000
percent. Below are some of the benefits
that have been realized.
11. Marketing:
o Continental performs customer segmentation, target
marketing, loyalty/retention
management, customer acquisition, channel optimization, and
campaign management using
the data warehouse. Targeted promotions have produced cost
savings and incremental
revenue of $15 to $18 million per year.
o A targeted CRM program resulted in $150 million in
additional revenues in one year, while
the rest of the airline industry declined 5 percent.
o There has been an average increase in travel of $800 for each
of the top 35,000 customers.
Corporate
o Continental was able to identify and prevent over $30 million
in Security fraud over the last
three years. This includes more than $7 million in cash
collected.
Information Technology
o The warehouse technology has significantly improved data
center management, leading to
cost savings of $20 million in capital and $15 million in
recurring data center costs.
Revenue
o Tracking and forecasting demand has resulted in $5 million in
Management incremental
12. revenue.
o Fare design and analysis improves the ability to gauge the
impact of fare sales, and these
activities have been estimated to earn $10 million annually.
o Full reservation analysis has realized $20 million in savings
through alliances, overbooking
systems, and demand-based scheduling.
Honors and Awards
• No. 1 Most Admired Global Airline; Fortune Magazine (2004–
2009) 5
• No. 1 Most Admired U.S. Airline; 'Fortune Magazine (2006–
2007, 2010)
6
• No. 1 Greenest U.S. Airline; Greenopia (2009)
• No. 1 Pet-Friendly Airline; PetFinder.org (2009) 7
5
"Continental Airlines Ranked No. 1 World's Most Admired
Airline by FORTUNE Magazine". Reuters.
March 11, 2008.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/03/11/idUS176168+11-
Mar-
2008+PRN20080311. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
6 "Continental Airlines Again Highest-Ranked U.S. Airline on
13. FORTUNE World's Most Admired List".
Bloomberg,
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a
mNcVo_udY38,
March 5, 2010. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS176168+11-
Mar-2008+PRN20080311�
http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/03/11/idUS176168+11-
Mar-2008+PRN20080311�
http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/03/11/idUS176168+11-
Mar-2008+PRN20080311�
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a
mNcVo_udY38�
6
• Best Executive/Business Class, OAG Airline of the Year
Awards (2003–2007, 2009);
Best Airline Based in North America, OAG Airline of the Year
Awards (2003-2009);
Best U.S Carrier Trans-Atlantic and Trans-Pacific Business
Class, Condé Nast Traveler
(1999–2006)
• Best Airline for North American Travel; Business Traveler
Magazine (2006-2009)
• Best Large Domestic Airline (Premium Seating); Zagat Airline
Survey(2008);
Best Value for the Money (International); Zagat Airline Survey
(2009)
• Highest-Ranked Network Airline; J.D. Power and Associates
(2007)
• Airline of the Year; OAG (2004–2005) 8
14. • Business Leadership Recycling Award;
American Forest & Paper Association (2010) 9
• Best Technology Awards: #1 Airline, #2 of 500 Companies –
InformationWeek; TDWI 2003
Best Practice Award – Enterprise Data Warehouse, TDWI 2003
Leadership Award, CIO
Enterprise Value Award
Discussion Questions
1. What surprised you most about this case?
2. What is Continental’s business strategy?
3. This case study tries to show how Continental’s investment in
a real-time BI is closely aligned
with its business strategy. Give examples of business processes
that have changed due to their
enablement by real-time BI and discuss how they have helped
its business strategy.
4. How is Continental making use of "analytics" in its
operational decision-making? What more can
they do?
5. Real-time BI needs real-time as well as historical data – real-
time data is needed to recognize a
business event as it happens and historical data is needed to
respond to it comprehensively. For
each application described in this case study, discuss:
o the need for real-time response
o the decision/activity supported
15. o the real-time and historical data needed and the analysis
performed
o the performance metrics to measure its effectiveness
7 Truong, Alice (July 10, 2009). "Continental Airlines Ranked
No. 1 Pet Friendly". The Wall Street
Journal. http://blogs.wsj.com/middleseat/2009/07/10/which-
airline-is-the-most-pet-friendly/.
Retrieved May 7, 2014.
8 "OAG Airline Industry Awards – Previous AOY". OAG. 2008.
Archived from the original on June 15,
2008.
http://web.archive.org/web/20080702174024/http://oagairlineaw
ards.com/pressroom.html
Retrieved May 7, 2014.
9 "2010 Business Leadership Recycling Award Presented to
Continental Airlines".
http://www.afandpa.org/docs/default-source/default-document-
library/2010-af-amp-pa-
sustainability-report.pdf. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OAG�
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OAG�
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cond%C3%A9_Nast_Traveler�
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OAG�
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Forest_%26_Paper_Asso
ciation�
http://blogs.wsj.com/middleseat/2009/07/10/which-airline-is-
the-most-pet-friendly/�
http://blogs.wsj.com/middleseat/2009/07/10/which-airline-is-
the-most-pet-friendly/�
http://web.archive.org/web/20080615204257/http:/www.oagairli
17. • Very good physical layout and logical structure.
• Very good attention to detail.
• The work is presented in an accurate, concise and coherent
fashion, with very few errors.
• Few errors in the acknowledgement of the work of others and
a correctly formatted reference section.
• Correct use of equations, footers and headers
•
A planned approach which follows from the business
requirements.
• The approach is systematic.
• The approach is ethical.
-Addressed case 1 and case 2 appropriately with details
-provided a detailed analysis of both cases
Good logical structure and physical layout.
• The work is presented in an accurate, concise and coherent
fashion with good attention to detail in most areas and few
errors.
• Good technical style.
• Few spelling mistakes or grammatical errors.
• Few errors in the acknowledgement of the work of others or
the reference section.
• Few errors in equations, footers and headers.
• A satisfactory plan of work is offered.
• The approach is reasonably systematic.
• The approach is ethical.
-Addressed case 1 and case 2 in a good manner, provided details
-provided an acceptable detailed analysis of both cases
• Satisfactory logical structure and physical layout.
• Satisfactory attention to detail.
• The work is presented in a satisfactory fashion.
• Occasional errors in the acknowledgement of the work of
18. others, satisfactorily formatted reference section.
• Occasional errors in equations, footers and headers.
•.
• The plan of work offered is poor, or only partly relates to the
business requirements.
•
• The plan of work offered is incomplete or unclear, or does not
completely relate to the business requirements.
• The approach is ill-considered, and does not logically flow
from the business requirements.
-Addressed case 1 and case 2 in general as an overview,
provided enough details
-provided an acceptable detailed analysis of both cases
Poor structure and inconsistent physical layout.
• The work is presented poorly with little attention to detail.
• Very many errors in the acknowledgement of the work of
others and a poorly formatted reference section.
• Poor (or no) footers or headers.
The plan of work offered is poor, or only partly relates to the
business requirements.
• The approach is ill-considered, and bears little relationship to
the business requirements.
Did not address the cases appropriately.
Excellent
Well done
Very good
OK
Need to review
HD
D
C
19. P
F
Section 2 : Answers
Description
• Excellent, clear definition of requirements.
• Excellent description of the questions, problems, and/or
requirements (including statement of purpose and relevance).
-Excellent analysis of the case shown in questions responses,
in-depth knowledge of the presented case specifications
• Very good definition of requirements.
• Very good description of questions, problems, and/or
requirements (including statement of purpose and relevance).
-very good analysis of the case shown in questions responses,
demonstrated an adequate understanding of the presented case
specifications
Good definition of adequate requirements.
• Good description of questions, problems and/or hypothesis
(including statement of purpose and relevance).
• good analysis of the case shown in questions responses, in-
depth knowledge of the presented case specifications
-Good analysis of the case shown in questions responses,
demonstrated an adequate understanding of the presented case
specifications
•Satisfactory definition of basic requirements /problem.
-satisfactory responses to questions
Unsatisfactory definition of requirements.
-
Unsatisfactory responses on questions
Excellent
49. What will happen?
Why will it happen?
What should I do?
Why should I do it?
üBusiness reporting
üDashboards
üScorecards
üData warehousing
üData mining
üText mining
üWeb/media mining
üForecasting
üOptimization
üSimulation
üDecision modeling
üExpert systems
Well defined
business problems
and opportunities
Accurate projections
of future events and
outcomes
Best possible
business decisions
and actions
51. DescriptivePredictivePrescriptive
Business Analytics
Business Intelligence
Advanced Analytics
1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s
üMainframe computers
üSimple data entry
üRoutine reporting
üPrimitive database structures
üTeradata incorporated
üMini/personal computers (PCs)
üBusiness applications for PCs
üDistributer DBMS
üRelational DBMS
üTeradata ships commercial DBs
üBusiness Data Warehousecoined
üCentralized data storage
üData warehousing was born
üInmon, Building the Data Warehouse
üKimball, The Data Warehouse Toolkit
üEDW architecture design
üExponentially growing data Web data
üConsolidation of DW/BI industry
üData warehouse appliances emerged
üBusiness intelligence popularized
52. üData mining and predictive modeling
üOpen source software
üSaaS, PaaS, Cloud Computing
üBig Data analytics
üSocial media analytics
üText and Web Analytics
üHadoop, MapReduce, NoSQL
üIn-memory, in-database
Data Warehouse
One management and analytics platform
for product configuration, warranty, and
diagnostic readout data
Reduced
Infrastructure
Expenses
2/3 cost reduction through
data mart consolidation
Produced Warranty
Expenses
Improved reimbursement
accuracy through improved
claim data quality
Improved Cost of
Quality
Faster identification,
53. prioritization, and resolution
of quality issues
Accurate
Environmental
Performance
Reporting
IT Architecture
Standardization
One strategic platform for
business intelligence and
compliance reporting
Data
Sources
ERP
Legacy
POS
Other
OLTP/Web
External
Data
Select
Transform
Extract
Integrate
Load
56. Marts
No data marts option
Tier 2:
Application server
Tier 1:
Client workstation
Tier 3:
Database server
Tier 1:
Client workstation
Tier 2:
Application & database server
Web
Server
Client
(Web browser)
Application
Server
Data
warehouse
Web pages
Internet/
Intranet/
Extranet
Source
57. Systems
Staging
Area
Independent data marts
(atomic/summarized data)
End user
access and
applications
ETL
(a) Independent Data Marts Architecture
Source
Systems
Staging
Area
End user
access and
applications
ETL
Dimensionalized data marts
linked by conformed dimentions
(atomic/summarized data)
(b) Data Mart Bus Architecture with Linked Dimensional
Datamarts
Source
Systems
58. Staging
Area
End user
access and
applications
ETL
Normalized relational
warehouse (atomic data)
Dependent data marts
(summarized/some atomic data)
(c) Hub and Spoke Architecture (Corporate Information
Factory)
Source
Systems
Staging
Area
Normalized relational
warehouse (atomic/some
summarized data)
End user
access and
applications
ETL
(d) Centralized Data Warehouse Architecture
End user
59. access and
applications
Logical/physical integration of
common data elements
Existing data warehouses
Data marts and legacy systmes
Data mapping / metadata
(e) Federated Architecture
Packaged
application
Legacy
system
Other internal
applications
Transient
data source
Data
warehouse
Data
marts
ExtractExtractExtractExtract
Product
T
i
m
60. e
G
e
o
g
r
a
p
h
y
Sales volumes of
a specific Product
on variable Time
and Region
Sales volumes of
a specific Region
on variable Time
and Products
Sales volumes of
a specific Time on
variable Region
and Products
Cells are filled
with numbers
representing
61. sales volumes
A 3-dimensional
OLAP cube with
slicing
operations
VISION &
STRATEGY
Internal
Business
Process
Perspective
Customer
Perspective
Financial
Perspective
Learning and
Growth
Perspective
Business Intelligence, Analytics, and Data Science: A
Managerial Perspective
Fourth Edition
Chapter 3
Descriptive Analytics II: Business Intelligence and Data