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Planetary Systems Biochemistry
Inferring the “Laws of Life”
at a Planetary Scale
Art by Michael Northrop (ASU)
Sara Imari Walker, PhD
Deputy Director, Beyond Center for Fundamental Concepts in Science
Associate Director, ASU-SFI Center for Biosocial Complex Systems
Associate Professor, School of Earth and Space Exploration
Arizona State University
External Faculty, Santa Fe Institute
Web: www.emergence.asu.edu
@Sara_Imari
“how can the events in space
and time which take place
within the spatial boundary of
a living organism be accounted
for by physics and chemistry?”
E. Schrödinger. What is Life? Cambridge University Press, 1944.
What is life?
- Andrew Ellington
(American Chemical Society 2012)
- Jack Szostak
(J. Biomolecular Struc. Dyn. 29.4 (2012): 599-600.)
Life does not exist...
*this does not imply reality is a simulation, rather that
simulations are physical and arise by physical mechanisms
“… living matter, while not eluding
the “laws of physics” as established
up to date, is likely to involve
“other laws of physics” hitherto
unknown”
E. Schrödinger. What is Life? Cambridge University Press, 1944.
Walker 2016 “The Descent of Math” In Trick of Truth: The Mysterious Connection Between Physics and Mathematics? A. Aguirre, B. Foster and Z. Merali (ed.) Springer.
Life is what?
(w/ Michael Lachmann, Aeon magazine 2019)
0 0 1 0
1 0 0 1 1
0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100
0 1
0
1
0
1
0 1
0
1
001
0
1
1
1
1 0
0
0
1
0
1
1 00001
0 1
0
1
1
1 0
1
1 0
0
1
00101001
00 1010011
001
1
0 1
1
1
001100
1 0
1
1
0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100 1
0
0 1
1
1
001100
1 0
1
1 0
0
00
10100110101
1
0
0 1
1
0
0
0 1
1
001100
1 0
1
1 0
0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100 1
0
0 1
1
1
001100
1
0
0
0
1 0
1
1 0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100
1
1
0
1
0
0 1
1
1 001100
1 0
1
1 0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100 1
1
0 1
0
1
0
0 1
1
1
1 0
1
1 0
1
00
10100110101
001100
1
001100
00 10100110000
Abiotic Biological Technological
Image from: Cronin and Walker “Beyond prebiotic
chemistry.” Science 352, no. 6290 (2016): 1174-1175.
‘Life’ is the where the physics of information is the dominant physics
0 0 1 0
1 0 0 1 1
0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100
0 1
0
1
0
1
0 1
0
1
001
0
1
1
1
1 0
0
0
1
0
1
1 00001
0 1
0
1
1
1 0
1
1 0
0
1
00
101001
00 1010011
001
1
0 1
1
1
001100
1 0
1
1
0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100 1
0
0 1
1
1
001100
1 0
1
1 0
0
00
10100110101
1
0
0 1
1
0
0
0 1
1
001100
1 0
1
1 0
0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100 1
0
0 1
1
1
001100
1
0
0
0
1 0
1
1 0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100
1
1
0
1
0
0 1
1
1 001100
1 0
1
1 0
1
00
10100110101
00 10100110000
001100 1
1
0 1
0
1
0
0 1
1
1
1 0
1
1 0
1
00
10100110101
001100
1
001100
00 10100110000
Finding the transition from non-living to living physics
Abiotic Biological
Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions
Figure 4.4
(d)
(b)
(a)
(c)
(a) Comparing a Poisson function with a
power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear plot.
Both distributions have k = 11.
(b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on a
log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the dif-
ference between the two functions in the
high-k regime.
(c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 50,
illustrating that most nodes have compara-
ble degree k k .
(d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k =
3, illustrating that numerous small-degree
nodes coexist with a few highly connected
hubs. The size of each node is proportional
to its degree.
The Largest Hub
All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N
1012
nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N
7 × 109
. These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com-
parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000
genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about
a thousand metabolites. This prompts us to ask: How does the network
size affect the size of its hubs? To answer this we calculate the maximum
degree, kmax
, called the natural cutoff of the degree distribution pk
. It rep-
resents the expected size of the largest hub in a network.
It is instructive to perform the calculation first for the exponential dis-
tribution
For a network with minimum degree kmin
the normalization condition
provides C = e kmin
. To calculate kmax
we assume that in a network of N
nodes we expect at most one node in the (kmax
, ∞) regime (ADVANCED TOPICS
3.B). In other words the probability to observe a node whose degree exceeds
(4.15)
∫ =
∞
p k dk
( ) 1
kmin
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
p(k) = Ce k
.
Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions
Figure 4.4
(d)
(b)
(a)
(c)
(a) Comparing a Poisson function with a
power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear plot.
Both distributions have k = 11.
(b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on a
log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the dif-
ference between the two functions in the
high-k regime.
(c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 50,
illustrating that most nodes have compara-
ble degree k k .
(d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k =
3, illustrating that numerous small-degree
nodes coexist with a few highly connected
hubs. The size of each node is proportional
to its degree.
The Largest Hub
All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N
1012
nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N
7 × 109
. These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com-
parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000
genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about
a thousand metabolites. This prompts us to ask: How does the network
size affect the size of its hubs? To answer this we calculate the maximum
degree, kmax
, called the natural cutoff of the degree distribution pk
. It rep-
resents the expected size of the largest hub in a network.
It is instructive to perform the calculation first for the exponential dis-
tribution
For a network with minimum degree kmin
the normalization condition
provides C = e kmin
. To calculate kmax
we assume that in a network of N
nodes we expect at most one node in the (kmax
, ∞) regime (ADVANCED TOPICS
3.B). In other words the probability to observe a node whose degree exceeds
kmax
is 1/N:
(4.16)
(4.15)
∫ =
∞
p k dk
( ) 1
kmin
∫ =
∞
p k dk
N
( )
1
.
kmax
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
p(k) = Ce k
.
Statistical approaches to
characterizing life’s chemistry
Universal Signatures of Life
Life as the physics of information
The nature of intelligence
HFSP Form RGP-A (2020)
Cherry tree buds (Fig. 4C), and will confirm the functional connectivity between cells. The p
EB lab will travel to RB lab to perform these latter experiments using live hybrid aspen buds.
Biosignatures:
Where do we go from here?
Agnostic
Biosignatures
Big Data and
Statistical Metrics
Consensus Biosignature
Assessments
Consensus Biosignature
Assessments
OPLANET BIOSIGNATURES: OVERVIEW
Kiang et al. 2018 “Exoplanet Biosignatures: At the Dawn of a New Era of Planetary Observations” Astrobiology 18(6): 619- 629.
Detecting Life Statistically
OPLANET BIOSIGNATURES: OVERVIEW
Likelihood of observation
on Non-living worlds
Stellar environment
Climate and Geophysics
Geochemical Environment
Likelihood of observation on Living
Worlds
Black box approaches
Probabilistic biosignatures
Co-evolution of life and planets
Universal biology: scaling laws, information-
theoretic and network biosignatures
Posterior Likelihood of
Life
Statistical Inference and
Ensemble statistics
Prior Probability of Life
origins of life
biological innovations
observational constraints
P(life|data) =
P(data|life)P(life)
P(data|life)P(life) + P(data|abiotic)(1 P(life))
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Inferring life Bayesian
Framework for Life Detection
Figure courtesy of N. Kiang, adopted
from Walker et al. 2018 “Exoplanet
Biosignatures: Future Directions”
Astrobiology 18(6): 779-824
What statistical
patterns characterize
life in chemical space?
Are there molecules uniquely
producible by life?
Can we move to studying statistical
patterns and distributions of properties
that distinguish life from non-life?
• Molecules
• Reactions
• Pathways
• Networks
Agnostic
Biosignatures
Pathway Assembly
for Probabilistic Biosignatures
Marshall SM, Murray AR, Cronin L. A probabilistic framework for identifying biosignatures using Pathway Complexity. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2017 Dec 28;375(2109):20160342.
Marshall, S.M., Moore, D., Murray, A.R., Walker, S.I. and Cronin, L., 2019. Quantifying the pathways to life using assembly spaces. arXiv preprint arXiv:1907.04649.
Biochemical Space Defined by Chemical
Complexity
Leroy Cronin private communication
Big Data and Statistical
Metrics
Universal Biochemistry
Universality in Biochemistry
“… it seems likely that the basic building blocks of life
anywhere will be similar to our own, in the generality
if not in the detail.”
-Norman Pace, PNAS, 2001
N. Pace “The Universal Nature of Biochemistry” PNAS 2001
“Phenomena with the same set of critical exponents are said to form a universality class”
Universality in Physics
|⇢+ ⇢ | / |T Tc| Liquid-gas critical point
M / (T Tc) Ferromagnetic critical point
N. Goldenfeld “Lectures on Phase Transitions and the Renormalization Group”
Does life have a universality class?
Life exists in chemical space
The Chemical Space of Life on Earth
Ecosystems
5,545 metagenomes
Individual Species
21,637 bacteria, 845 archaea, 77 eukarya genomes
Sampling the Ensemble of Biochemical Networks
Biosphere
8,658 cataloged, enzymatically catalyzed reactions
Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149; Jeong H, Tombor B, Albert R, Oltvai ZN,
Barabási AL. The large-scale organization of metabolic networks. Nature. 2000 Oct;407(6804):651-4. Albert R, Barabási AL. Statistical mechanics of complex networks. Reviews of
modern physics. 2002 Jan 30;74(1):47.
Planetary Systems Biochemistry: Determining Universal
Patterns as New Predictive Tools
regularities in Earth’s biochemistry across
levels are statistically distinguishable from
non-living chemistry
Universal scaling in network topology across
individuals and ecosystems
Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149.
Random sampling of biochemical space does not
recover universality class of biochemistry
Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149.
Random sampling of biochemical space does not
recover universality class of biochemistry
Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149.
Explaining scaling for network topology requires
universal set of shared reactions
Life exists in chemical space
What are the properties of life
in chemical space, are they
universal?
Universality and Coarse-graining
|⇢+ ⇢ | / |T Tc|
Liquid-gas critical point
T
Enzyme Commission Numbers
Coarse Grain Chemical Reaction Space
Class
Sub-class
Sub-subclass
Serial number
EC 1.x.x.x Oxioreductases
EC. 1.1.x.x CH-OH groups as donors
EC 1.1.1.x NAD+ or NADP+ as electron
acceptors
EC 1.1.1.1 alcohol dehydrogenase
Coarse Graining Chemical Reaction Space by
major categories of enzyme function
Class EC x
EC Class Name Function
EC1 Oxidoreductas
e
Transfer e
-
EC2 Transferase Transfer functional groups
EC3 Hydrolase Cleave bonds via hydrolysis
EC4 Lyase Cleave bonds not via
hydrolysis
EC5 Isomerase Molecular rearrangement
EC6 Ligase Join large molecules
Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
Scaling of Enzyme Class with Network Size
Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
Scaling regimes suggest different
universality classes
Archaea Bacteria Eukarya Metagenomes
Oxidoreductase
1.175+/-0.023 1.239+/-0.006 1.327+/-0.037 1.291+/-0.004
Transferase 0.937+/-0.013 0.868+/-0.003 0.864+/-0.021 0.911+/-0.003
Hydrolase 1.195+/-0.033 1.196+/-0.006 1.344+/-0.046 1.015+/-0.003
Lyase 1.303+/-0.022 1.158+/-0.005 1.014+/-0.046 0.995+/-0.003
Isomerase 0.820+/-0.028 0.959+/-0.006 0.959+/-0.066 0.887+/-0.004
Ligase 0.733+/-0.021 0.722+/-0.006 0.462+/-0.032 0.573+/-0.003
Super-linear Linear Sub-linear
Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
Enzyme universality classes are not
explained by enzyme universality
Area Under the
Curve
(AUC) scores
EC1 EC2 EC3 EC4 EC5 EC6
Archaea 0.152 0.244 0.158 0.228 0.248 0.461
Bacteria 0.156 0.249 0.210 0.233 0.284 0.431
Eukarya 0.253 0.337 0.303 0.233 0.214 0.522
Metagenomes
0.431 0.451 0.508 0.479 0.518 0.663
Pan-taxa
0.270 0.311 0.330 0.320 0.357 0.526
Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
What about symmetries?
503
Ising Universality Class
Fraction of chiral molecules scales with
network size
Kim et al. In prep
Biosignatures:
Building an Integrated Theory-
Driven Framework Across
Astrobiology
Agnostic
Biosignatures
Big Data and
Statistical Metrics
Consensus Biosignature
Assessments
Statistical patterns in technologically
produced molecules and networks
Reaxys Network
Statistically exploring the origins of life and
the role of planetary context
Surman, Andrew J., Marc Rodriguez-Garcia, Yousef M. Abul-Haija, Geoffrey JT Cooper, Piotr S. Gromski, Rebecca Turk-MacLeod, Margaret Mullin, Cole Mathis, Sara I. Walker, and Leroy Cronin.
(2019) "Environmental control programs the emergence of distinct functional ensembles from unconstrained chemical reactions." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (12) :
5387-5392. Shipp JA, Gould IR, Shock EL, Williams LB, Hartnett HE. Sphalerite is a geochemical catalyst for carbon− hydrogen bond activation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
2014 Aug 12;111(32):11642-5.
Astrobiologists need ‘big data’ approaches to
answer complex problems
Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions
Figure 4.4
(d)
(b)
(a)
(c)
(a) Comparing a Poisson function with a
power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear plot.
Both distributions have k = 11.
(b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on a
log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the dif-
ference between the two functions in the
high-k regime.
(c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 50,
illustrating that most nodes have compara-
ble degree k k .
(d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k =
3, illustrating that numerous small-degree
nodes coexist with a few highly connected
hubs. The size of each node is proportional
to its degree.
The Largest Hub
All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N
1012
nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N
7 × 109
. These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com-
parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000
genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions
Figure 4.4
(d)
(b)
(a)
(c)
(a) Comparing a Poisson function with a
power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear pl
Both distributions have k = 11.
(b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on
log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the d
ference between the two functions in t
high-k regime.
(c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 5
illustrating that most nodes have compar
ble degree k k .
(d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k
3, illustrating that numerous small-degr
nodes coexist with a few highly connect
hubs. The size of each node is proportion
to its degree.
The Largest Hub
All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N
1012
nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N
7 × 109
. These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com-
parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000
genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about
a thousand metabolites. This prompts us to ask: How does the network
size affect the size of its hubs? To answer this we calculate the maximum
degree, kmax
, called the natural cutoff of the degree distribution pk
. It rep-
resents the expected size of the largest hub in a network.
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
100
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.05
0.1
0.15
10-6
100
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
10-5
101
102
103
POISSON
k
k
pk
pk
pk
~ k-2.1
POISSON
pk
~ k-2.1
Grid of Jovian atmospheres,
with observational uncertainties
Statistical characterization
of Jovian atmospheres
Grid of Terrestrial atmospheres,
with observational uncertainties
Statistical characterization of
Terrestrial atmospheres, with
implications for biosignatures
From Networks to Observables
Network measures from forward modeling of
hot Jupiter atmospheres
See poster by Tessa Fisher
Inferring atmospheric properties : Combining
statistics, networks, and machine learning
Forward Models
See poster by Tessa Fisher
Increased
uncertainty Increased temperature
Inferred Kzz
“Base metals can be transmuted into gold by stars, and by intelligent
beings who understand the processes that power stars, and by nothing
else in the universe”
-David Deutsch
University of Oxford
“The Beginning of Infinity”
Walker SI, Bains W, Cronin L, DasSarma S, Danielache S,
Domagal-Goldman S, Kacar B, Kiang NY, Lenardic A, Reinhard CT,
Moore W, Schweiterman, EW, Shkolnik EL, Smith HB. Exoplanet
biosignatures: future directions. Astrobiology. 2018 Jun 1;18(6):779-
824.
Walker SI, Cronin L, Drew A, Domagal-Goldman S, Fisher T, Line
M, Millsaps C. Probabilistic Biosignature Frameworks. Planetary
Astrobiology. 2020 Jun 16:477.
Visit us on the web: www.emergence.asu.edu
Thank you
Lab Members working on projects presented:
Hyunju Kim
Doug Moore
Alexa Drew
Dylan Gagler
Tessa Fisher
Bradley Karas
John Malloy
Pilar Vergeli
Veronica Mierzejewski
Harrison Smith (now at ELSI)
Collaborators:
Lee Cronin (Glasgow)
Aaron Goldman (Oberlin)
Chris Kempes (SFI)

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Walker esa

  • 1. Planetary Systems Biochemistry Inferring the “Laws of Life” at a Planetary Scale Art by Michael Northrop (ASU) Sara Imari Walker, PhD Deputy Director, Beyond Center for Fundamental Concepts in Science Associate Director, ASU-SFI Center for Biosocial Complex Systems Associate Professor, School of Earth and Space Exploration Arizona State University External Faculty, Santa Fe Institute Web: www.emergence.asu.edu @Sara_Imari
  • 2. “how can the events in space and time which take place within the spatial boundary of a living organism be accounted for by physics and chemistry?” E. Schrödinger. What is Life? Cambridge University Press, 1944.
  • 4. - Andrew Ellington (American Chemical Society 2012) - Jack Szostak (J. Biomolecular Struc. Dyn. 29.4 (2012): 599-600.)
  • 5. Life does not exist...
  • 6. *this does not imply reality is a simulation, rather that simulations are physical and arise by physical mechanisms
  • 7. “… living matter, while not eluding the “laws of physics” as established up to date, is likely to involve “other laws of physics” hitherto unknown” E. Schrödinger. What is Life? Cambridge University Press, 1944.
  • 8. Walker 2016 “The Descent of Math” In Trick of Truth: The Mysterious Connection Between Physics and Mathematics? A. Aguirre, B. Foster and Z. Merali (ed.) Springer. Life is what?
  • 9. (w/ Michael Lachmann, Aeon magazine 2019)
  • 10. 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 001 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 00001 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 00101001 00 1010011 001 1 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 0 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 0 00 10100110101 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 0 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 001100 1 001100 00 10100110000 Abiotic Biological Technological
  • 11. Image from: Cronin and Walker “Beyond prebiotic chemistry.” Science 352, no. 6290 (2016): 1174-1175. ‘Life’ is the where the physics of information is the dominant physics
  • 12. 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 001 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 00001 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 00 101001 00 1010011 001 1 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 0 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 0 00 10100110101 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 0 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 001100 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 00 10100110000 001100 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 00 10100110101 001100 1 001100 00 10100110000 Finding the transition from non-living to living physics Abiotic Biological
  • 13. Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions Figure 4.4 (d) (b) (a) (c) (a) Comparing a Poisson function with a power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear plot. Both distributions have k = 11. (b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on a log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the dif- ference between the two functions in the high-k regime. (c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 50, illustrating that most nodes have compara- ble degree k k . (d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k = 3, illustrating that numerous small-degree nodes coexist with a few highly connected hubs. The size of each node is proportional to its degree. The Largest Hub All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N 1012 nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N 7 × 109 . These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com- parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000 genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about a thousand metabolites. This prompts us to ask: How does the network size affect the size of its hubs? To answer this we calculate the maximum degree, kmax , called the natural cutoff of the degree distribution pk . It rep- resents the expected size of the largest hub in a network. It is instructive to perform the calculation first for the exponential dis- tribution For a network with minimum degree kmin the normalization condition provides C = e kmin . To calculate kmax we assume that in a network of N nodes we expect at most one node in the (kmax , ∞) regime (ADVANCED TOPICS 3.B). In other words the probability to observe a node whose degree exceeds (4.15) ∫ = ∞ p k dk ( ) 1 kmin 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 p(k) = Ce k . Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions Figure 4.4 (d) (b) (a) (c) (a) Comparing a Poisson function with a power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear plot. Both distributions have k = 11. (b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on a log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the dif- ference between the two functions in the high-k regime. (c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 50, illustrating that most nodes have compara- ble degree k k . (d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k = 3, illustrating that numerous small-degree nodes coexist with a few highly connected hubs. The size of each node is proportional to its degree. The Largest Hub All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N 1012 nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N 7 × 109 . These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com- parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000 genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about a thousand metabolites. This prompts us to ask: How does the network size affect the size of its hubs? To answer this we calculate the maximum degree, kmax , called the natural cutoff of the degree distribution pk . It rep- resents the expected size of the largest hub in a network. It is instructive to perform the calculation first for the exponential dis- tribution For a network with minimum degree kmin the normalization condition provides C = e kmin . To calculate kmax we assume that in a network of N nodes we expect at most one node in the (kmax , ∞) regime (ADVANCED TOPICS 3.B). In other words the probability to observe a node whose degree exceeds kmax is 1/N: (4.16) (4.15) ∫ = ∞ p k dk ( ) 1 kmin ∫ = ∞ p k dk N ( ) 1 . kmax 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 p(k) = Ce k . Statistical approaches to characterizing life’s chemistry Universal Signatures of Life Life as the physics of information The nature of intelligence HFSP Form RGP-A (2020) Cherry tree buds (Fig. 4C), and will confirm the functional connectivity between cells. The p EB lab will travel to RB lab to perform these latter experiments using live hybrid aspen buds.
  • 14. Biosignatures: Where do we go from here? Agnostic Biosignatures Big Data and Statistical Metrics Consensus Biosignature Assessments
  • 16. OPLANET BIOSIGNATURES: OVERVIEW Kiang et al. 2018 “Exoplanet Biosignatures: At the Dawn of a New Era of Planetary Observations” Astrobiology 18(6): 619- 629. Detecting Life Statistically OPLANET BIOSIGNATURES: OVERVIEW
  • 17. Likelihood of observation on Non-living worlds Stellar environment Climate and Geophysics Geochemical Environment Likelihood of observation on Living Worlds Black box approaches Probabilistic biosignatures Co-evolution of life and planets Universal biology: scaling laws, information- theoretic and network biosignatures Posterior Likelihood of Life Statistical Inference and Ensemble statistics Prior Probability of Life origins of life biological innovations observational constraints P(life|data) = P(data|life)P(life) P(data|life)P(life) + P(data|abiotic)(1 P(life)) <latexit sha1_base64="syds/iddc1OMXO+gxKdmH3wnBfQ=">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</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="syds/iddc1OMXO+gxKdmH3wnBfQ=">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</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="syds/iddc1OMXO+gxKdmH3wnBfQ=">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</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="syds/iddc1OMXO+gxKdmH3wnBfQ=">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</latexit> Inferring life Bayesian Framework for Life Detection Figure courtesy of N. Kiang, adopted from Walker et al. 2018 “Exoplanet Biosignatures: Future Directions” Astrobiology 18(6): 779-824
  • 18. What statistical patterns characterize life in chemical space? Are there molecules uniquely producible by life? Can we move to studying statistical patterns and distributions of properties that distinguish life from non-life? • Molecules • Reactions • Pathways • Networks
  • 20. Pathway Assembly for Probabilistic Biosignatures Marshall SM, Murray AR, Cronin L. A probabilistic framework for identifying biosignatures using Pathway Complexity. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 2017 Dec 28;375(2109):20160342. Marshall, S.M., Moore, D., Murray, A.R., Walker, S.I. and Cronin, L., 2019. Quantifying the pathways to life using assembly spaces. arXiv preprint arXiv:1907.04649.
  • 21. Biochemical Space Defined by Chemical Complexity Leroy Cronin private communication
  • 22. Big Data and Statistical Metrics
  • 24. Universality in Biochemistry “… it seems likely that the basic building blocks of life anywhere will be similar to our own, in the generality if not in the detail.” -Norman Pace, PNAS, 2001 N. Pace “The Universal Nature of Biochemistry” PNAS 2001
  • 25. “Phenomena with the same set of critical exponents are said to form a universality class” Universality in Physics |⇢+ ⇢ | / |T Tc| Liquid-gas critical point M / (T Tc) Ferromagnetic critical point N. Goldenfeld “Lectures on Phase Transitions and the Renormalization Group”
  • 26. Does life have a universality class?
  • 27. Life exists in chemical space
  • 28. The Chemical Space of Life on Earth
  • 29. Ecosystems 5,545 metagenomes Individual Species 21,637 bacteria, 845 archaea, 77 eukarya genomes Sampling the Ensemble of Biochemical Networks Biosphere 8,658 cataloged, enzymatically catalyzed reactions
  • 30. Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149; Jeong H, Tombor B, Albert R, Oltvai ZN, Barabási AL. The large-scale organization of metabolic networks. Nature. 2000 Oct;407(6804):651-4. Albert R, Barabási AL. Statistical mechanics of complex networks. Reviews of modern physics. 2002 Jan 30;74(1):47. Planetary Systems Biochemistry: Determining Universal Patterns as New Predictive Tools regularities in Earth’s biochemistry across levels are statistically distinguishable from non-living chemistry
  • 31. Universal scaling in network topology across individuals and ecosystems Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149.
  • 32. Random sampling of biochemical space does not recover universality class of biochemistry Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149.
  • 33. Random sampling of biochemical space does not recover universality class of biochemistry Kim, Smith, Mathis, Raymond & Walker. 2019 Universal scaling across biochemical networks on Earth. Science Advances, 5(1), p.eaau0149.
  • 34. Explaining scaling for network topology requires universal set of shared reactions
  • 35. Life exists in chemical space What are the properties of life in chemical space, are they universal?
  • 36. Universality and Coarse-graining |⇢+ ⇢ | / |T Tc| Liquid-gas critical point T
  • 37. Enzyme Commission Numbers Coarse Grain Chemical Reaction Space Class Sub-class Sub-subclass Serial number EC 1.x.x.x Oxioreductases EC. 1.1.x.x CH-OH groups as donors EC 1.1.1.x NAD+ or NADP+ as electron acceptors EC 1.1.1.1 alcohol dehydrogenase
  • 38. Coarse Graining Chemical Reaction Space by major categories of enzyme function Class EC x EC Class Name Function EC1 Oxidoreductas e Transfer e - EC2 Transferase Transfer functional groups EC3 Hydrolase Cleave bonds via hydrolysis EC4 Lyase Cleave bonds not via hydrolysis EC5 Isomerase Molecular rearrangement EC6 Ligase Join large molecules
  • 39. Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
  • 40. Scaling of Enzyme Class with Network Size Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
  • 41. Scaling regimes suggest different universality classes Archaea Bacteria Eukarya Metagenomes Oxidoreductase 1.175+/-0.023 1.239+/-0.006 1.327+/-0.037 1.291+/-0.004 Transferase 0.937+/-0.013 0.868+/-0.003 0.864+/-0.021 0.911+/-0.003 Hydrolase 1.195+/-0.033 1.196+/-0.006 1.344+/-0.046 1.015+/-0.003 Lyase 1.303+/-0.022 1.158+/-0.005 1.014+/-0.046 0.995+/-0.003 Isomerase 0.820+/-0.028 0.959+/-0.006 0.959+/-0.066 0.887+/-0.004 Ligase 0.733+/-0.021 0.722+/-0.006 0.462+/-0.032 0.573+/-0.003 Super-linear Linear Sub-linear Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
  • 42. Enzyme universality classes are not explained by enzyme universality Area Under the Curve (AUC) scores EC1 EC2 EC3 EC4 EC5 EC6 Archaea 0.152 0.244 0.158 0.228 0.248 0.461 Bacteria 0.156 0.249 0.210 0.233 0.284 0.431 Eukarya 0.253 0.337 0.303 0.233 0.214 0.522 Metagenomes 0.431 0.451 0.508 0.479 0.518 0.663 Pan-taxa 0.270 0.311 0.330 0.320 0.357 0.526 Gagler, Karas et al. In prep
  • 43. What about symmetries? 503 Ising Universality Class
  • 44.
  • 45. Fraction of chiral molecules scales with network size Kim et al. In prep
  • 46. Biosignatures: Building an Integrated Theory- Driven Framework Across Astrobiology Agnostic Biosignatures Big Data and Statistical Metrics Consensus Biosignature Assessments
  • 47. Statistical patterns in technologically produced molecules and networks Reaxys Network
  • 48. Statistically exploring the origins of life and the role of planetary context Surman, Andrew J., Marc Rodriguez-Garcia, Yousef M. Abul-Haija, Geoffrey JT Cooper, Piotr S. Gromski, Rebecca Turk-MacLeod, Margaret Mullin, Cole Mathis, Sara I. Walker, and Leroy Cronin. (2019) "Environmental control programs the emergence of distinct functional ensembles from unconstrained chemical reactions." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (12) : 5387-5392. Shipp JA, Gould IR, Shock EL, Williams LB, Hartnett HE. Sphalerite is a geochemical catalyst for carbon− hydrogen bond activation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2014 Aug 12;111(32):11642-5.
  • 49. Astrobiologists need ‘big data’ approaches to answer complex problems
  • 50. Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions Figure 4.4 (d) (b) (a) (c) (a) Comparing a Poisson function with a power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear plot. Both distributions have k = 11. (b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on a log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the dif- ference between the two functions in the high-k regime. (c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 50, illustrating that most nodes have compara- ble degree k k . (d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k = 3, illustrating that numerous small-degree nodes coexist with a few highly connected hubs. The size of each node is proportional to its degree. The Largest Hub All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N 1012 nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N 7 × 109 . These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com- parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000 genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 Poisson vs. Power-law Distributions Figure 4.4 (d) (b) (a) (c) (a) Comparing a Poisson function with a power-law function ( = 2.1) on a linear pl Both distributions have k = 11. (b) The same curves as in (a), but shown on log-log plot, allowing us to inspect the d ference between the two functions in t high-k regime. (c) A random network with k = 3 and N = 5 illustrating that most nodes have compar ble degree k k . (d) A scale-free network with =2.1 and k 3, illustrating that numerous small-degr nodes coexist with a few highly connect hubs. The size of each node is proportion to its degree. The Largest Hub All real networks are finite. The size of the WWW is estimated to be N 1012 nodes; the size of the social network is the Earth’s population, about N 7 × 109 . These numbers are huge, but finite. Other networks pale in com- parison: The genetic network in a human cell has approximately 20,000 genes while the metabolic network of the E. Coli bacteria has only about a thousand metabolites. This prompts us to ask: How does the network size affect the size of its hubs? To answer this we calculate the maximum degree, kmax , called the natural cutoff of the degree distribution pk . It rep- resents the expected size of the largest hub in a network. 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 0.05 0.1 0.15 10-6 100 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 101 102 103 POISSON k k pk pk pk ~ k-2.1 POISSON pk ~ k-2.1 Grid of Jovian atmospheres, with observational uncertainties Statistical characterization of Jovian atmospheres Grid of Terrestrial atmospheres, with observational uncertainties Statistical characterization of Terrestrial atmospheres, with implications for biosignatures From Networks to Observables
  • 51. Network measures from forward modeling of hot Jupiter atmospheres See poster by Tessa Fisher
  • 52. Inferring atmospheric properties : Combining statistics, networks, and machine learning Forward Models See poster by Tessa Fisher Increased uncertainty Increased temperature Inferred Kzz
  • 53. “Base metals can be transmuted into gold by stars, and by intelligent beings who understand the processes that power stars, and by nothing else in the universe” -David Deutsch University of Oxford “The Beginning of Infinity”
  • 54. Walker SI, Bains W, Cronin L, DasSarma S, Danielache S, Domagal-Goldman S, Kacar B, Kiang NY, Lenardic A, Reinhard CT, Moore W, Schweiterman, EW, Shkolnik EL, Smith HB. Exoplanet biosignatures: future directions. Astrobiology. 2018 Jun 1;18(6):779- 824. Walker SI, Cronin L, Drew A, Domagal-Goldman S, Fisher T, Line M, Millsaps C. Probabilistic Biosignature Frameworks. Planetary Astrobiology. 2020 Jun 16:477.
  • 55. Visit us on the web: www.emergence.asu.edu Thank you Lab Members working on projects presented: Hyunju Kim Doug Moore Alexa Drew Dylan Gagler Tessa Fisher Bradley Karas John Malloy Pilar Vergeli Veronica Mierzejewski Harrison Smith (now at ELSI) Collaborators: Lee Cronin (Glasgow) Aaron Goldman (Oberlin) Chris Kempes (SFI)