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Mobile Broadband Beyond 4G
Mark Neild
Head of Business Transformation – West Europe

11.07.2012


                               Customer presentation
1   © Nokia Siemens Networks
What will the world want from wireless by 2020?

                                          Mobile data traffic
    Support up to                                                          Rock solid,
    1000 times                        1000 EB
                                                                           ubiquitous
    more traffic                                                1000x      connectivity

                                           1 EB
                                                  2010     2015     2020
                                                                                          ©2011 Intuitive Surgical, Inc.


    Apps bandwidth demand                                                                   Millisecond
                                                         Gbps peak
                                      3D HD              speeds                             latency for
                                Ultra HD                                                    true “local
          3D SDTV                                                                           feel”
           Super HD
      HD
    0Mbps     100Mbps           200Mbps           300




2    © Nokia Siemens Networks
By 2020 – radio can reduce latency 10x


                               Latency in radio networks                      Radio latency can be
                                                                              pushed to 1 ms by
                               20 ms
                                                                              2020 by using a
                                                                              shorter frame length
                               15 ms
                                                                              The main benefit is
                               10 ms
                                                                              realized when content
                                                                              is close. 1 ms limits
                                                                              fiber length to 100 km.
                                5 ms


                                0 ms                                          Enable low-latency
                                         HSPA         LTE             “B4G“   M2M solutions
                                       Base station   Air interface     UE



3   © Nokia Siemens Networks
By 2020 - radio can improve in spectral efficiency 10x


                                       Spectral efficiency [bps/Hz/cell]                           Spectral efficiency can
                                                                                                   be improved by
                                                                                                   managing inter-cell
                 8
                                                                                                   interference.

                 6
                                                                                                   Efficiency is not
                                                                                                   limited by Shannon
                 4                                                                                 law but by inter-cell
                                                                                                   interference.
                 2

                                                                                                   Cell edge data rates
                 0                                                                                 improve twice as
                               HSPA         LTE     LTE      + CoMP       + UE         + further
                               today        2x2   Advanced            interference   innovations   much
                                                    4x4               cancelation



4   © Nokia Siemens Networks
By 2020 - there can be 10x more spectrum available


               Evolution of available radio spectrum
                                                           Unlic 5GHz
                1500MHz
                                                           Unlic 2.4GHz
                                                           3700 MHz
                                                           3400 MHz       10 times more
                                                           2600 MHz       spectrum can be
                1000MHz                                    2300 MHz       made available if we
                                                           2100 MHz TDD   drive for it.
                                                           2100 MHz
                                                           1800 MHz
                  500MHz
                                                           900 MHz        Cognitive radio
                                                           800 MHz        enables optimized
                                                           700 MHz        spectrum usage over
                                                           450 MHz        multiple operators
                               2010   2012   2015   2020


5   © Nokia Siemens Networks
By 2020 - there will be 10x more base stations


                               Global base station forecast                             Number of cellular
                                                                                        base stations grows
                               50 Mn                                                    to over 50 Million

                               40 Mn

                                                                                        80% will be microcell
                               30 Mn
                                                                                        or smaller
                               20 Mn


                               10 Mn
                                                                                        Additionally more than
                               0 Mn                                                     500 M WiFi APs
                                   2010                       2015               2020
                                          Micro, Pico, Femto BTS     Macro BTS



6   © Nokia Siemens Networks
Up to 1000 times more capacity




    10x                        10x        10x             1000x
    Performance                Spectrum   Base stations   capacity




7   © Nokia Siemens Networks
How about the “old” radios in 2020

    GSM will still be           HSPA and LTE            Carrier WiFi will    Spectral efficiency [Bps/Hz]
    around driven e.g.          networks will deliver   carry up to 50% of
    by installed M2M            the ubiquitous          total traffic .                            8
    base and billions of        mobile broadband                                            5
    legacy devices              experience.                                      2
                                                                                 1
                                                                               HSPA      LTE     “B4G”


                                                                             Latency [ms]
                                                                                20
                                                                                         10
                                                                                                   1
                                                                               HSPA     LTE-A    “B4G”


8    © Nokia Siemens Networks
How can we build this?

    Radio frequency bandwidth                 System on Chip enables         Laws of physics determine
    capability of basestations                small radios, low power        antenna size
                                              consumption & integration
                                200MHz        of intelligent functions.
                                              SDR is no problem for
                                              digital processing!
                          60MHz

    2MHz 20MHz                                Continous growth of
                                                                              1990   2000    2010   2020
    1990           2000         2010   2020
                                              computing power with
                                              Moore„s law
                                                                   60Bn
    Switched mode power                                                      For same performance,
    amplifier, high-voltage GaAs                                             antenna size does not get
    HBT and GaN technologies                                                 smaller. Size even increases
    for wideband radios with                                 2Bn             if beamforming is required
                                               2Mn   60Mn
    multicarrier capabilities
                                              1990    2000   2010     2020



9    © Nokia Siemens Networks
What will a macro site look like?

     Bulky shelters have         RF module is
     disappeared - base          integrated with the
     stations installed on       antenna
     mast tops




     Baseband                    New antenna form
     processing is               factors emerge:
     integrated with the         panels, arrays,
     antenna, or pooled          irregular shapes
     at central site




10    © Nokia Siemens Networks
What will a small base station look like?



     Pico/Micro size is         Femto module
     dictated by                shrinks to finger
     required antenna           tip size
     performance




11   © Nokia Siemens Networks
How can we deploy, commission and maintain
all the radios, frequency bands and layers?

     All cells and frequency       Multi-technology
     layers automatically
     managed by advanced SON



     All spectrum under unified
     RRM for instant capacity
     and coverage optimization



     Cognitive networks will
     reduce errors, improve
     quality and lower operation
     and energy costs


12    © Nokia Siemens Networks
Gigabit Experience
     Reliable, Efficient and Personal

                                                                     Ubiquitous
                                                                     Connectivity



                                                     Unified Radio   Cognitive
                                                     Resource        Networks
                                                     Management


                                          Active     Wideband        Liquid Radio
                                          Antennas   Multiradio



                                Multi-    Multi-     Heterogenous    Self Organized
                                Carrier   Standard   Networks        Networks




13   © Nokia Siemens Networks
Thank you!




14   © Nokia Siemens Networks

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Mark Neild Nsn Beyond 4 G

  • 1. Mobile Broadband Beyond 4G Mark Neild Head of Business Transformation – West Europe 11.07.2012 Customer presentation 1 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 2. What will the world want from wireless by 2020? Mobile data traffic Support up to Rock solid, 1000 times 1000 EB ubiquitous more traffic 1000x connectivity 1 EB 2010 2015 2020 ©2011 Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Apps bandwidth demand Millisecond Gbps peak 3D HD speeds latency for Ultra HD true “local 3D SDTV feel” Super HD HD 0Mbps 100Mbps 200Mbps 300 2 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 3. By 2020 – radio can reduce latency 10x Latency in radio networks Radio latency can be pushed to 1 ms by 20 ms 2020 by using a shorter frame length 15 ms The main benefit is 10 ms realized when content is close. 1 ms limits fiber length to 100 km. 5 ms 0 ms Enable low-latency HSPA LTE “B4G“ M2M solutions Base station Air interface UE 3 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 4. By 2020 - radio can improve in spectral efficiency 10x Spectral efficiency [bps/Hz/cell] Spectral efficiency can be improved by managing inter-cell 8 interference. 6 Efficiency is not limited by Shannon 4 law but by inter-cell interference. 2 Cell edge data rates 0 improve twice as HSPA LTE LTE + CoMP + UE + further today 2x2 Advanced interference innovations much 4x4 cancelation 4 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 5. By 2020 - there can be 10x more spectrum available Evolution of available radio spectrum Unlic 5GHz 1500MHz Unlic 2.4GHz 3700 MHz 3400 MHz 10 times more 2600 MHz spectrum can be 1000MHz 2300 MHz made available if we 2100 MHz TDD drive for it. 2100 MHz 1800 MHz 500MHz 900 MHz Cognitive radio 800 MHz enables optimized 700 MHz spectrum usage over 450 MHz multiple operators 2010 2012 2015 2020 5 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 6. By 2020 - there will be 10x more base stations Global base station forecast Number of cellular base stations grows 50 Mn to over 50 Million 40 Mn 80% will be microcell 30 Mn or smaller 20 Mn 10 Mn Additionally more than 0 Mn 500 M WiFi APs 2010 2015 2020 Micro, Pico, Femto BTS Macro BTS 6 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 7. Up to 1000 times more capacity 10x 10x 10x 1000x Performance Spectrum Base stations capacity 7 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 8. How about the “old” radios in 2020 GSM will still be HSPA and LTE Carrier WiFi will Spectral efficiency [Bps/Hz] around driven e.g. networks will deliver carry up to 50% of by installed M2M the ubiquitous total traffic . 8 base and billions of mobile broadband 5 legacy devices experience. 2 1 HSPA LTE “B4G” Latency [ms] 20 10 1 HSPA LTE-A “B4G” 8 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 9. How can we build this? Radio frequency bandwidth System on Chip enables Laws of physics determine capability of basestations small radios, low power antenna size consumption & integration 200MHz of intelligent functions. SDR is no problem for digital processing! 60MHz 2MHz 20MHz Continous growth of 1990 2000 2010 2020 1990 2000 2010 2020 computing power with Moore„s law 60Bn Switched mode power For same performance, amplifier, high-voltage GaAs antenna size does not get HBT and GaN technologies smaller. Size even increases for wideband radios with 2Bn if beamforming is required 2Mn 60Mn multicarrier capabilities 1990 2000 2010 2020 9 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 10. What will a macro site look like? Bulky shelters have RF module is disappeared - base integrated with the stations installed on antenna mast tops Baseband New antenna form processing is factors emerge: integrated with the panels, arrays, antenna, or pooled irregular shapes at central site 10 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 11. What will a small base station look like? Pico/Micro size is Femto module dictated by shrinks to finger required antenna tip size performance 11 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 12. How can we deploy, commission and maintain all the radios, frequency bands and layers? All cells and frequency Multi-technology layers automatically managed by advanced SON All spectrum under unified RRM for instant capacity and coverage optimization Cognitive networks will reduce errors, improve quality and lower operation and energy costs 12 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 13. Gigabit Experience Reliable, Efficient and Personal Ubiquitous Connectivity Unified Radio Cognitive Resource Networks Management Active Wideband Liquid Radio Antennas Multiradio Multi- Multi- Heterogenous Self Organized Carrier Standard Networks Networks 13 © Nokia Siemens Networks
  • 14. Thank you! 14 © Nokia Siemens Networks