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THE NET LEASE
DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3 2016
	
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Basis Point
Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change
Walgreens 5.50% 5.80% +30
CVS 5.45% 5.70% +25
Rite Aid 6.63% 7.00% +37
DRUG STORE PROPERTIES
ON THE MARKET
	
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Percentage
Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change
Walgreens 203 135 -33.5%
CVS 95 85 -10.5%
Rite Aid 43 42 -2.3%
DRUG STORE PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE
Median Asking Median Price
Tenant Price Per Foot
Walgreens $6,116,833 $420
CVS $4,755,220 $407
Rite Aid $3,827,000 $282
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cap rates for single tenant CVS, Rite Aid and Walgreens properties
all increased significantly in the third quarter of 2016. Cap rates
for the net lease drug store sector increased by 33 basis points to
a 5.96% cap rate when compared to the prior year. Rite Aid and
Walgreens cap rates experienced the largest increase by 30 and
37 basis points each due to the investor concern of store closures
with the potential Rite Aid acquisition by Walgreens. In the same
timeframe, CVS cap rates increased by 25 basis points.
Transaction volume in drug store sector has been slowed by
investor trepidation due to the uncertainty of the potential Walgreens
and Rite Aid merger. However, investment sales activity has been
concentrated with drug store assets in core markets with strong
sales performance. The concern from the merger has caused
the cap rate premiums associated with the drug store sector to
decrease. In the third quarter of 2016, the spread between the
overall net lease retail market and the drug store sector compressed
to 14 basis points. This spread has historically been greater and in
the past three years the spread ranged from 62 to 100 basis points.
The supply of drug store assets decreased when compared
to the prior year by 23.2%. Not only did the availability of drug
store assets decrease, closed transaction volume for drug stores
decreased by 19.2% when comparing the first three quarters of
2015 and 2016. Rite Aid assets experienced the sharpest decline
with 26% less transaction volume during the same time period.
Furthermore, the supply of long term leased (20+ years) assets
decreased significantly across the sector due to lack of new store
development.
Transaction velocity for the remainder of 2016 in the net lease drug
store sector should remain at a similar pace to the first three quarters
of 2016 as uncertainty remains due to the potential Walgreens and
Rite Aid merger. However, drug store assets with strong sales
performance in top tier markets will garner demand from investors
who have preference for the strong credit profiles and residual
real estate locations that these drugstore assets provide. Private
investors will continue to be the primary buyer of these assets.
DRUG STORE PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3 2016
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING
Term Remaining Walgreens CVS Rite Aid
20+ 5.12% 4.95% 6.15%
15-19 5.50% 5.60% N/A
10-14 5.85% 6.00% 6.75%
6-9 6.75% 6.65% 7.18%
5 & Under 7.13% 7.50% 8.59%
DRUG STORE CAP RATE TRENDS
MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS. CLOSED
CAP RATE SPREAD
Tenant Closed Asking Spread (bps)
Walgreens 6.40% 6.20% 20
CVS 6.25% 6.05% 20
Rite Aid 7.25% 7.00% 25
DRUG STORE VS. RETAIL NET LEASE
MARKET CAP RATE
Q3 2015 Q3 2016
Sector (Previous) (Current)
Drug Store 5.63% 5.96%
Retail Net Lease Market 6.25% 6.10%
Drug Store Premium (bps) 62 14
Walgreens CVS Pharmacy Rite Aid
5.25%
5.75%
6.25%
6.75%
7.25%
7.75%
8.25%
8.75%
9.25%
9.75%
Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2012 Q3 2014
Above numbers are only reflective of closed transactions.
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3 2016
SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES
Sale
Date Tenant City State Price
Price
Per SF
Cap
Rate
Lease Term
Remaining
7/22/16 Walgreens Allston MA $13,500,000 $918 5.00% 12
7/27/16 CVS Pharmacy Miami FL $12,500,000 $954 4.82% 23
8/5/16 CVS Pharmacy Phoenix AZ $10,466,400 $845 5.65% 17
9/23/16 Walgreens Citrus Heights CA $10,416,666 $703 6.00% 11
8/5/16 Walgreens Wappingers Falls NY $10,150,000 $787 5.67% 14
7/7/16 Walgreens Alhambra CA $9,800,000 $803 5.10% 9
8/19/16 CVS Pharmacy Venice FL $9,525,000 $735 5.13% 18
8/31/16 Rite Aid Anaheim CA $9,200,000 $654 4.53% 20
8/12/16 Rite Aid Visalia CA $8,000,000 $463 5.67% 10
9/13/16 Walgreens Brentwood CA $8,000,000 $552 5.00% 12
9/27/16 CVS Pharmacy Daly City CA $7,671,000 $529 5.63% 22
7/14/16 CVS Pharmacy Traverse City MI $7,534,000 $570 5.22% 21
9/28/16 Walgreens Huntley IL $7,450,000 $505 5.20% 14
7/8/16 CVS Pharmacy Brownsville TX $7,400,000 $569 5.50% 18
7/26/16 Rite Aid Mckees Rocks PA $7,108,864 $592 6.25% 20
7/13/16 Walgreens Huntington Station NY $7,000,000 $503 5.71% 21
8/12/16 CVS Pharmacy Phoenix AZ $6,900,000 $500 6.36% 13
8/18/16 Walgreens Ruston LA $6,500,000 $447 6.13% 11
8/1/16 Walgreens Alexander City AL $5,859,550 $403 6.00% 17
8/29/16 Walgreens Panama City FL $5,762,711 $389 5.75% 10
8/8/16 Rite Aid Rochester NY $5,400,000 $358 6.50% 10
9/9/16 CVS Pharmacy Livingston CA $5,165,000 $313 5.00% 24
8/31/16 Walgreens Cooper City FL $5,150,000 $341 6.37% 10
9/14/16 Walgreens Phoenix AZ $5,000,000 $345 6.84% 6
7/20/16 CVS Pharmacy Winchester VA $4,777,947 $451 5.65% 14
7/15/16 Rite Aid Murrieta CA $4,700,000 $281 5.85% 15
8/26/16 CVS Pharmacy Gadsden AL $4,300,000 $360 6.25% 17
7/11/16 Walgreens Horn Lake MS $4,135,714 $276 7.08% 5
8/25/16 CVS Pharmacy Ithaca NY $4,090,000 $404 6.75% 9
7/22/16 Walgreens Memphis TN $4,000,000 $266 7.32% 6
7/11/16 CVS Pharmacy Indianapolis IN $3,828,000 $378 7.58% 10
7/11/16 Walgreens Ramseur NC $3,608,000 $350 6.60% 8
7/15/16 Rite Aid Thornton CO $3,538,000 $255 6.64% 12
8/23/16 Walgreens Kingman AZ $3,390,500 $220 6.18% 16
9/12/16 CVS Pharmacy Brazil IN $3,300,000 $308 6.40% 11
8/25/16 Walgreens Tucson AZ $3,060,000 $191 7.31% 18
8/17/16 CVS Pharmacy Auburn GA $2,700,000 $267 6.39% 13
7/21/16 CVS Pharmacy Chattanooga TN $2,030,032 $191 6.75% 10
8/29/16 CVS Pharmacy Lilburn GA $1,500,000 $148 14.76% 7
7/12/16 Rite Aid Louisville KY $1,100,000 $85 7.50% 10
8/31/16 CVS Pharmacy Eureka IL $920,000 $114 7.40% 13
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3 2016
Walgreens CVS Rite Aid
Credit Rating BBB (Stable) BBB+ B
Market Cap $89 billion $93 billion $7 billion
Revenue $117 billion $167 billion $33 billion
Number of Stores 8,175 9,655 4,561
Typical Lease Term 20 year primary term with fifty
years of options
25 year primary term with six
5-year options
20 year primary term with six
5-year options
Typical Rent Increases None None in primary
10% increases in option periods
Increases every 10 years of
10%
COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW
© 2016. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the
information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose
nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly
disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or
distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group.
FOR MORE INFORMATION
AUTHOR
John Feeney | Vice President
john@bouldergroup.com
Randy Blankstein | President
randy@bouldergroup.com
Jimmy Goodman | Partner
jimmy@bouldergroup.com
Asher Wenig | Vice President
asher@bouldergroup.com
CONTRIBUTORS
Scott Harris | Analyst
scott@bouldergroup.com

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The Boulder Group Net Lease Drug Store Research Report

  • 1. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2016 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Basis Point Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change Walgreens 5.50% 5.80% +30 CVS 5.45% 5.70% +25 Rite Aid 6.63% 7.00% +37 DRUG STORE PROPERTIES ON THE MARKET Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Percentage Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change Walgreens 203 135 -33.5% CVS 95 85 -10.5% Rite Aid 43 42 -2.3% DRUG STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE Median Asking Median Price Tenant Price Per Foot Walgreens $6,116,833 $420 CVS $4,755,220 $407 Rite Aid $3,827,000 $282 MARKET OVERVIEW Cap rates for single tenant CVS, Rite Aid and Walgreens properties all increased significantly in the third quarter of 2016. Cap rates for the net lease drug store sector increased by 33 basis points to a 5.96% cap rate when compared to the prior year. Rite Aid and Walgreens cap rates experienced the largest increase by 30 and 37 basis points each due to the investor concern of store closures with the potential Rite Aid acquisition by Walgreens. In the same timeframe, CVS cap rates increased by 25 basis points. Transaction volume in drug store sector has been slowed by investor trepidation due to the uncertainty of the potential Walgreens and Rite Aid merger. However, investment sales activity has been concentrated with drug store assets in core markets with strong sales performance. The concern from the merger has caused the cap rate premiums associated with the drug store sector to decrease. In the third quarter of 2016, the spread between the overall net lease retail market and the drug store sector compressed to 14 basis points. This spread has historically been greater and in the past three years the spread ranged from 62 to 100 basis points. The supply of drug store assets decreased when compared to the prior year by 23.2%. Not only did the availability of drug store assets decrease, closed transaction volume for drug stores decreased by 19.2% when comparing the first three quarters of 2015 and 2016. Rite Aid assets experienced the sharpest decline with 26% less transaction volume during the same time period. Furthermore, the supply of long term leased (20+ years) assets decreased significantly across the sector due to lack of new store development. Transaction velocity for the remainder of 2016 in the net lease drug store sector should remain at a similar pace to the first three quarters of 2016 as uncertainty remains due to the potential Walgreens and Rite Aid merger. However, drug store assets with strong sales performance in top tier markets will garner demand from investors who have preference for the strong credit profiles and residual real estate locations that these drugstore assets provide. Private investors will continue to be the primary buyer of these assets. DRUG STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES
  • 2. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2016 MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Term Remaining Walgreens CVS Rite Aid 20+ 5.12% 4.95% 6.15% 15-19 5.50% 5.60% N/A 10-14 5.85% 6.00% 6.75% 6-9 6.75% 6.65% 7.18% 5 & Under 7.13% 7.50% 8.59% DRUG STORE CAP RATE TRENDS MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS. CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD Tenant Closed Asking Spread (bps) Walgreens 6.40% 6.20% 20 CVS 6.25% 6.05% 20 Rite Aid 7.25% 7.00% 25 DRUG STORE VS. RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET CAP RATE Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Sector (Previous) (Current) Drug Store 5.63% 5.96% Retail Net Lease Market 6.25% 6.10% Drug Store Premium (bps) 62 14 Walgreens CVS Pharmacy Rite Aid 5.25% 5.75% 6.25% 6.75% 7.25% 7.75% 8.25% 8.75% 9.25% 9.75% Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2012 Q3 2014 Above numbers are only reflective of closed transactions.
  • 3. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2016 SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES Sale Date Tenant City State Price Price Per SF Cap Rate Lease Term Remaining 7/22/16 Walgreens Allston MA $13,500,000 $918 5.00% 12 7/27/16 CVS Pharmacy Miami FL $12,500,000 $954 4.82% 23 8/5/16 CVS Pharmacy Phoenix AZ $10,466,400 $845 5.65% 17 9/23/16 Walgreens Citrus Heights CA $10,416,666 $703 6.00% 11 8/5/16 Walgreens Wappingers Falls NY $10,150,000 $787 5.67% 14 7/7/16 Walgreens Alhambra CA $9,800,000 $803 5.10% 9 8/19/16 CVS Pharmacy Venice FL $9,525,000 $735 5.13% 18 8/31/16 Rite Aid Anaheim CA $9,200,000 $654 4.53% 20 8/12/16 Rite Aid Visalia CA $8,000,000 $463 5.67% 10 9/13/16 Walgreens Brentwood CA $8,000,000 $552 5.00% 12 9/27/16 CVS Pharmacy Daly City CA $7,671,000 $529 5.63% 22 7/14/16 CVS Pharmacy Traverse City MI $7,534,000 $570 5.22% 21 9/28/16 Walgreens Huntley IL $7,450,000 $505 5.20% 14 7/8/16 CVS Pharmacy Brownsville TX $7,400,000 $569 5.50% 18 7/26/16 Rite Aid Mckees Rocks PA $7,108,864 $592 6.25% 20 7/13/16 Walgreens Huntington Station NY $7,000,000 $503 5.71% 21 8/12/16 CVS Pharmacy Phoenix AZ $6,900,000 $500 6.36% 13 8/18/16 Walgreens Ruston LA $6,500,000 $447 6.13% 11 8/1/16 Walgreens Alexander City AL $5,859,550 $403 6.00% 17 8/29/16 Walgreens Panama City FL $5,762,711 $389 5.75% 10 8/8/16 Rite Aid Rochester NY $5,400,000 $358 6.50% 10 9/9/16 CVS Pharmacy Livingston CA $5,165,000 $313 5.00% 24 8/31/16 Walgreens Cooper City FL $5,150,000 $341 6.37% 10 9/14/16 Walgreens Phoenix AZ $5,000,000 $345 6.84% 6 7/20/16 CVS Pharmacy Winchester VA $4,777,947 $451 5.65% 14 7/15/16 Rite Aid Murrieta CA $4,700,000 $281 5.85% 15 8/26/16 CVS Pharmacy Gadsden AL $4,300,000 $360 6.25% 17 7/11/16 Walgreens Horn Lake MS $4,135,714 $276 7.08% 5 8/25/16 CVS Pharmacy Ithaca NY $4,090,000 $404 6.75% 9 7/22/16 Walgreens Memphis TN $4,000,000 $266 7.32% 6 7/11/16 CVS Pharmacy Indianapolis IN $3,828,000 $378 7.58% 10 7/11/16 Walgreens Ramseur NC $3,608,000 $350 6.60% 8 7/15/16 Rite Aid Thornton CO $3,538,000 $255 6.64% 12 8/23/16 Walgreens Kingman AZ $3,390,500 $220 6.18% 16 9/12/16 CVS Pharmacy Brazil IN $3,300,000 $308 6.40% 11 8/25/16 Walgreens Tucson AZ $3,060,000 $191 7.31% 18 8/17/16 CVS Pharmacy Auburn GA $2,700,000 $267 6.39% 13 7/21/16 CVS Pharmacy Chattanooga TN $2,030,032 $191 6.75% 10 8/29/16 CVS Pharmacy Lilburn GA $1,500,000 $148 14.76% 7 7/12/16 Rite Aid Louisville KY $1,100,000 $85 7.50% 10 8/31/16 CVS Pharmacy Eureka IL $920,000 $114 7.40% 13
  • 4. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2016 Walgreens CVS Rite Aid Credit Rating BBB (Stable) BBB+ B Market Cap $89 billion $93 billion $7 billion Revenue $117 billion $167 billion $33 billion Number of Stores 8,175 9,655 4,561 Typical Lease Term 20 year primary term with fifty years of options 25 year primary term with six 5-year options 20 year primary term with six 5-year options Typical Rent Increases None None in primary 10% increases in option periods Increases every 10 years of 10% COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW © 2016. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group. FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney | Vice President john@bouldergroup.com Randy Blankstein | President randy@bouldergroup.com Jimmy Goodman | Partner jimmy@bouldergroup.com Asher Wenig | Vice President asher@bouldergroup.com CONTRIBUTORS Scott Harris | Analyst scott@bouldergroup.com