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Crowdsourcing abuse deterrent
formulation street price differentials
Nabarun Dasgupta
Chief Data Scientist
Epidemico, Inc.
RADARS SAB
May 4, 2015
StreetRx.com
StreetRx (streetrx.com) is a collection of databases, websites, and citizen reports enabling real-time collection,
organization, and display of street price data on diverted pharmaceutical controlled substances. Based on
principles of crowdsourcing for public health surveillance, the site allows users to anonymously submit prices
they paid or heard were paid for diverted prescription drugs.
External Referrals
Find Addiction Treatment
SAMSA, ADIN, DroguesInfoService.fr,
L’ANAPAA, DBDD
Overdose Prevention
Medication safety sites, HRC, naloxone
Safe Storage, Disposal & Takeback
FDA, Health Products Stewardship
Association
Safe Pain Management & Advocacy
Canadian Pain Coalition,
PainAustralia.org, RBK Stuttgart
Harm Reduction
HRC, EuroHRN
Public health, pain patient advocacy, proper disposal
42,058 Referrals to Health OrganizationsFrom November 1, 2010 through March 31, 2015
Drug Treatment & Harm Reduction
Substance abuse treatment locators,
overdose prevention
Chronic Pain
Advocacy and support organizations
Proper Disposal and Storage
DEA and non-profit organizations
1,750
1,438
1,318
1,420
4,565
1,356
1,432
2,062
Cross-Validation of Black Market Prices
6
Dasgupta et al. Journal of Medical Internet Research. 2013
Dasgupta et al. Journal of Medical Internet Research. 2013
Events per 100,000 population (overall public health burden)
Events per 10,000 unique recipients (adjusted for drug availability)
RADARS® System Drug Diversion (law enforcement)
Can the Black Market Discriminate betweenADFs?Do different deterrence strategies and platforms result in discernible street price differences?
STEP1
STEP3
STEP2
STEP4
USA Data in USD
Nov 1, 2010 through Mar 31, 2015
Solid oral formulations
Compare 14 ADF to
unprotected street price per
milligram, within active
ingredient
Geometric means and 95% CI
N = 49,995
Non-parametric Wilcoxan
rank-sum (Mann-Whitney)
tests
(Partial-) Antagonists: Subutex vs. Suboxone
Prodrugs: morphine vs. codeine; Vyvanse vs. amphetamines
Phyical barriers: Zohydro vs. Hysingla ER vs. IR hydrocodone; OxyContin OP vs. OC;
Opana ER reformulation vs original; Xartemis XR vs. IR oxycodone;
Exalgo vs. IR hydromorphone; Concerta vs. Ritalin LA vs. methylphenidate, Nucynta ER vs. IR tapentadol
Not enough data to evaluate yet:
Embeda,Targin(iq), Oxytrex, Oxecta, Quillivant XR, Talwin NX, Amrix
Descriptive Results Abuse/tamper deterrent formulation
Original unprotected formulation
95% Confidence interval of the geometric mean
Percent Discount for ADF Versions
Putative abuse-deterrent formulation versus unprotected formulations with same active ingredient, using statistical comparison that is less influenced by outliers.
Physical Barrier Prodrug(Partial-)
Antagonist
Concerta
Exalgo
OpanaER
OxyContinOP
Zohydro
Vyvanse
codeine
Suboxone
tablet
XartemisXR
p<.01
z -38
p<.01
z -38
p<.01
z -3.0
p<.01
z -3.7
p=.78
z 0.3
p<.01
z -8.6
p<.01
z -13
p=.34
z -0.9
p=.24
z -1.2
TBD
?
OROSOROSINTAC INTAC PolyOx
RitalinLA
p<.01
z -3.9
SODAS
NucyntaER
p=.10
z -1.6
INTAC
HysinglaER
p=0.46
z -0.7
INTAC INTAC
Thank You & Contact Info
Boston, MA nabarun@epidemico.com
@street_rx
@epidemico
epidemico.com

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Crowdsourcing abuse deterrent formulation street price differentials

  • 1. Crowdsourcing abuse deterrent formulation street price differentials Nabarun Dasgupta Chief Data Scientist Epidemico, Inc. RADARS SAB May 4, 2015
  • 2. StreetRx.com StreetRx (streetrx.com) is a collection of databases, websites, and citizen reports enabling real-time collection, organization, and display of street price data on diverted pharmaceutical controlled substances. Based on principles of crowdsourcing for public health surveillance, the site allows users to anonymously submit prices they paid or heard were paid for diverted prescription drugs.
  • 3.
  • 4. External Referrals Find Addiction Treatment SAMSA, ADIN, DroguesInfoService.fr, L’ANAPAA, DBDD Overdose Prevention Medication safety sites, HRC, naloxone Safe Storage, Disposal & Takeback FDA, Health Products Stewardship Association Safe Pain Management & Advocacy Canadian Pain Coalition, PainAustralia.org, RBK Stuttgart Harm Reduction HRC, EuroHRN Public health, pain patient advocacy, proper disposal
  • 5. 42,058 Referrals to Health OrganizationsFrom November 1, 2010 through March 31, 2015 Drug Treatment & Harm Reduction Substance abuse treatment locators, overdose prevention Chronic Pain Advocacy and support organizations Proper Disposal and Storage DEA and non-profit organizations 1,750 1,438 1,318 1,420 4,565 1,356 1,432 2,062
  • 6. Cross-Validation of Black Market Prices 6 Dasgupta et al. Journal of Medical Internet Research. 2013
  • 7. Dasgupta et al. Journal of Medical Internet Research. 2013
  • 8. Events per 100,000 population (overall public health burden) Events per 10,000 unique recipients (adjusted for drug availability) RADARS® System Drug Diversion (law enforcement)
  • 9. Can the Black Market Discriminate betweenADFs?Do different deterrence strategies and platforms result in discernible street price differences? STEP1 STEP3 STEP2 STEP4 USA Data in USD Nov 1, 2010 through Mar 31, 2015 Solid oral formulations Compare 14 ADF to unprotected street price per milligram, within active ingredient Geometric means and 95% CI N = 49,995 Non-parametric Wilcoxan rank-sum (Mann-Whitney) tests (Partial-) Antagonists: Subutex vs. Suboxone Prodrugs: morphine vs. codeine; Vyvanse vs. amphetamines Phyical barriers: Zohydro vs. Hysingla ER vs. IR hydrocodone; OxyContin OP vs. OC; Opana ER reformulation vs original; Xartemis XR vs. IR oxycodone; Exalgo vs. IR hydromorphone; Concerta vs. Ritalin LA vs. methylphenidate, Nucynta ER vs. IR tapentadol Not enough data to evaluate yet: Embeda,Targin(iq), Oxytrex, Oxecta, Quillivant XR, Talwin NX, Amrix
  • 10. Descriptive Results Abuse/tamper deterrent formulation Original unprotected formulation 95% Confidence interval of the geometric mean
  • 11. Percent Discount for ADF Versions Putative abuse-deterrent formulation versus unprotected formulations with same active ingredient, using statistical comparison that is less influenced by outliers. Physical Barrier Prodrug(Partial-) Antagonist Concerta Exalgo OpanaER OxyContinOP Zohydro Vyvanse codeine Suboxone tablet XartemisXR p<.01 z -38 p<.01 z -38 p<.01 z -3.0 p<.01 z -3.7 p=.78 z 0.3 p<.01 z -8.6 p<.01 z -13 p=.34 z -0.9 p=.24 z -1.2 TBD ? OROSOROSINTAC INTAC PolyOx RitalinLA p<.01 z -3.9 SODAS NucyntaER p=.10 z -1.6 INTAC HysinglaER p=0.46 z -0.7 INTAC INTAC
  • 12. Thank You & Contact Info Boston, MA nabarun@epidemico.com @street_rx @epidemico epidemico.com